The big Coronavirus thread

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Comments

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    It is quite remarkable we're not buffing up against testing capacity.
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

  • Jonathan Ashworth was useless on the news yesterday. Wouldn't commit to a policy by Labour on this. Just say one way or the other. Fair play to Andy Burnham he came out and said he supported no restrictions at this time.

    If you want to be a shadow government inform us what you would be doing differently.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    Stevo's our resident BoJo defender (though has been quite on that topic for the last couple of months), so I am curious why *who is doing the lying* matters to him.
  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    You don't think when the numbers go up, England will follow next week?
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    I wonder how English stats would be looking now had Whitty not been at that press conference last week to issue his 'prioritise what's important to you' advice

    Or what Boris's actual strategy would have been were it not for his back benchers, none if whom knew how it would turn out....



    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,408

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    Stevo's our resident BoJo defender (though has been quite on that topic for the last couple of months), so I am curious why *who is doing the lying* matters to him.
    Its to do with what Drakeford said & why - and how people in Wales might take that. Try sticking to the point.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,408

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    That's what it looks like.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    You don't think when the numbers go up, England will follow next week?
    which numbers?
  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    You don't think when the numbers go up, England will follow next week?
    which numbers?
    Cases, hospital admissions, deaths.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,554

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    The context are credible sources though, it wasn't the local astrologist.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,408
    rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    I think that's been well demonstrated in Cake Stop over a long period of time.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,605

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Welsh might be bothered.
    BBC breakfast asked his sidekick Vaughan Gething what the reasoning was. Aside from mentioning the model used, he justified tougher restrictions being introduced yesterday, because of increased cases numbers………….yesterday.

    Now that’s what I call a rapid response.

    I see that now studies seem to be confirming Omicron is less potent than Delta, Sturgeon is also coming in for criticism.

    I think even with lower virulence, restrictions can be justifiable because of the huge numbers, and spreading out the time that health workers catch it and have to isolate, and to give time for the boosters to do their thing.

    Restrictions once it's already spread and the boosters are working are less justifiable though. And restrictions that allow people to be in the same room with people they don't regularly spend time with, less so again.
    Closing nightclubs once its spread among the yoof seems particularly silly. More so leaving them open in the week running up to everyone meeting up with Grandparents.

  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    You don't think when the numbers go up, England will follow next week?
    which numbers?
    Cases, hospital admissions, deaths.
    And nhs workers off
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,554

    rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    The context are credible sources though, it wasn't the local astrologist.
    If you click through to the original article it clearly states that the effects of NSAIDs on the efficacy of Covid vaccines has not been studied. So it's just a guess.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    You don't think when the numbers go up, England will follow next week?
    which numbers?
    Cases, hospital admissions, deaths.
    I just checked. Cases are up (obviously), but admissions are flat, as are ICU bed numbers. Deaths are falling. All based on 1xmonth data. When are you expecting the numbers to go up?
  • Ben6899
    Ben6899 Posts: 9,686
    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    The context are credible sources though, it wasn't the local astrologist.
    If you click through to the original article it clearly states that the effects of NSAIDs on the efficacy of Covid vaccines has not been studied. So it's just a guess.

    Paracetamol isn’t an NSAID. Is it?

    Not that I really want to get into this!
    Ben

    Bikes: Donhou DSS4 Custom | Condor Italia RC | Gios Megalite | Dolan Preffisio | Giant Bowery '76
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  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,152
    edited December 2021

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Despite the positive evidence, I can understand why someone calling the shots wants to be "better safe than sorry" with regards the demands on essential services, especially if a reasonable amount of people throw caution to the wind.

    I wouldn't want to make the call.

    He's already been accused of lying about it:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/23/mark-drakeford-accused-lying-claim-omicron-probably-severe-delta/

    And based on the evidence he looks to be factually incorrect at least.
    What bothers you about politicians lying, Stevo?
    It doesn't bother me what Drakeford says, but the Weslsh might.
    Why might it bother them, Stevo?
    The general feeling around here is that he has over-reached himself this time.

    You don't think when the numbers go up, England will follow next week?
    which numbers?
    Cases, hospital admissions, deaths.
    I just checked. Cases are up (obviously), but admissions are flat, as are ICU bed numbers. Deaths are falling. All based on 1xmonth data. When are you expecting the numbers to go up?
    At the usual offsets, with a lower percentage correlation than before vaccines and boosters.

    Are you not?
  • I wonder how English stats would be looking now had Whitty not been at that press conference last week to issue his 'prioritise what's important to you' advice

    Or what Boris's actual strategy would have been were it not for his back benchers, none if whom knew how it would turn out....



    Since the emergence of omicron, Boris has always urged caution in socialising to the people of Airstrip One.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,554
    Ben6899 said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    The context are credible sources though, it wasn't the local astrologist.
    If you click through to the original article it clearly states that the effects of NSAIDs on the efficacy of Covid vaccines has not been studied. So it's just a guess.

    Paracetamol isn’t an NSAID. Is it?

    Not that I really want to get into this!
    Thanks for the correction. I think it was more vague even than that: and simply stated 'painkillers'.

    Pre-emptive paracetamol is a bit silly, though.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028

    Are you not?

    A rise wouldn't surprise me, but based on everything I've seen to date (SA data, DrJC analyses, and now the two studies from the UK), I don't see why it should rise to beyond manageable levels.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,554
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    I think that's been well demonstrated in Cake Stop over a long period of time.
    🤨
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Are you not?

    A rise wouldn't surprise me, but based on everything I've seen to date (SA data, DrJC analyses, and now the two studies from the UK), I don't see why it should rise to beyond manageable levels.

    We'll get to find out. I think the reduced number of staff will make it pretty tough.

    Based on the Warwick modelling, at 10% severity, it was predicted to rise to a peak of about 2,500 a day hospital admissions and 1,500 deaths per day.

    I think it is reasonable to guess that the behaviour changes have been enough to make a difference in the effective NPIs, which would bring admissions down to a peak of about 1,500 and deaths a peak of under 1,000 a day.

    That's based on infections continuing to go up from here which is likely, but still not convinced it's something that would have been worth putting more formal restrictions in, and any implemented in January are worthless.
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028



    That's based on infections continuing to go up from here which is likely, but still not convinced it's something that would have been worth putting more formal restrictions in, and any implemented in January are worthless.

    Infections were supposed to be doubling every 2.5 days(?) I know the true number of infections is probably much higher, but unless I'm missing something I'm not seeing the rises that were predicted.

  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,648
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Common side effects
    Like all medicines, the COVID-19 vaccines can cause side effects, but not everyone gets them.

    Most side effects are mild and should not last longer than a week, such as:

    a sore arm from the injection
    feeling tired
    a headache
    feeling achy
    feeling or being sick
    You may also get a high temperature or feel hot or shivery 1 or 2 days after your vaccination. You can take painkillers such as paracetamol if you need to. If your symptoms get worse or you're worried, call 111.

    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/safety-and-side-effects/

    It does annoy me when there are mixed messages from credible sources.
    If you hunt around the Internet long enough I'm sure you can find a source for anything.
    I think that's been well demonstrated in Cake Stop over a long period of time.
    🤨

    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono


  • That's based on infections continuing to go up from here which is likely, but still not convinced it's something that would have been worth putting more formal restrictions in, and any implemented in January are worthless.

    Infections were supposed to be doubling every 2.5 days(?) I know the true number of infections is probably much higher, but unless I'm missing something I'm not seeing the rises that were predicted.

    They were, but any assumptions they would carry on like that were obviously fanciful once people knew about it and wanted to not catch it. London settling down at about 4 times higher than previous still is great news if you expected the whole country to have caught it by Xmas eve.
  • veronese68
    veronese68 Posts: 27,816
    I had an email from the NHS the other day telling me that due to previous conditions I'm eligible for new treatments if I catch Covid and would be sent a PCR kit to use if I get symptoms. Test kit arrived today. Anybody else had similar?
  • harry-s
    harry-s Posts: 295

    I had an email from the NHS the other day telling me that due to previous conditions I'm eligible for new treatments if I catch Covid and would be sent a PCR kit to use if I get symptoms. Test kit arrived today. Anybody else had similar?

    That's interesting. My mrs is in the 'extremely clinically vulnerable' group and usually is notified pretty quickly about what she should and shouldn't be doing and taking, but we haven't been contacted. We're in the Kingston/Surbiton area, perhaps it depends on your local health care resources? It would be good news, I think.

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    All boosted with Pfizer. Literally straight in, jabbed and out.