TDF 2020 - Stage 20: Lure - La Planche des Belles Filles 36.2 km *Spoilers*

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Comments

  • This edition of the TdF will be written off anyway. Covid wins.

    You seemed to be quite enjoying it up to today. What changed?
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 40,789
    m.r.m. said:

    Pross said:

    m.r.m. said:

    Elated for Pogacar. Utterly insane performance this Tour. How do you decimate Ineos and JV basically on your own? Utterly magnificent. I'm truly blown away.

    Feel really sorry for Roglic.

    If Roglic were French, he'd be set for life.

    He didn't exactly decimate JV did he? He held onto their coat tails on all bar one stage and then put in a superb performance on the only one v one stage. Ineos didn't really turn up until their leader went home.
    How else was he supposed to ride when having next to no one to close gaps for him? Compare the UAE riders towards the end of stages around Roglic and Pogacar compared to JV riders.

    Froome's attacks to drop his rivals is built off the strength of the team to bridge gaps on other stages (mostly Poels and Porte) or to ride their notorious mountain train tempo. If you do that entirely on your own you get countered after WVA, Bennett, Dumoulin or Kuss have neutralized the attack.

    Pogacar won 3 stages and the GC this Tour with practically no team support (outside of de la Cruz). Wouldn't you say it was a masterpiece of building on his strengths with the cards he was dealt. I really don't think we can overstate the achievement in terms of winning with that team. Compare his team to Bernal's last year.

    I think the hyperbole (decimate) is justified under the circumstances. Doesn't he have as many stage wins as JV as team this Tour (3 for Pogacar - 1 for Roglic, 2 for WVA)?
    I was just pointing out how he did it, the tactic was sound and JV should have done more to lose him but with hindsight maybe Roglic was at his limit. I just don't see how gaining a few seconds on one stage and then smashing his rival one on one in a TT where a team can't help can be called decimation.
  • Humiliation, perhaps?
  • JV wasted three weeks of dominance by riding a conservative race.
  • m.r.m.
    m.r.m. Posts: 3,347
    edited September 2020
    Pross said:

    m.r.m. said:

    Pross said:

    m.r.m. said:

    Elated for Pogacar. Utterly insane performance this Tour. How do you decimate Ineos and JV basically on your own? Utterly magnificent. I'm truly blown away.

    Feel really sorry for Roglic.

    If Roglic were French, he'd be set for life.

    He didn't exactly decimate JV did he? He held onto their coat tails on all bar one stage and then put in a superb performance on the only one v one stage. Ineos didn't really turn up until their leader went home.
    How else was he supposed to ride when having next to no one to close gaps for him? Compare the UAE riders towards the end of stages around Roglic and Pogacar compared to JV riders.

    Froome's attacks to drop his rivals is built off the strength of the team to bridge gaps on other stages (mostly Poels and Porte) or to ride their notorious mountain train tempo. If you do that entirely on your own you get countered after WVA, Bennett, Dumoulin or Kuss have neutralized the attack.

    Pogacar won 3 stages and the GC this Tour with practically no team support (outside of de la Cruz). Wouldn't you say it was a masterpiece of building on his strengths with the cards he was dealt. I really don't think we can overstate the achievement in terms of winning with that team. Compare his team to Bernal's last year.

    I think the hyperbole (decimate) is justified under the circumstances. Doesn't he have as many stage wins as JV as team this Tour (3 for Pogacar - 1 for Roglic, 2 for WVA)?
    I was just pointing out how he did it, the tactic was sound and JV should have done more to lose him but with hindsight maybe Roglic was at his limit. I just don't see how gaining a few seconds on one stage and then smashing his rival one on one in a TT where a team can't help can be called decimation.
    Okay I can see your point. It is to me though, simply because he won 3 stages and GC despite Roglic having the team he did.
    PTP Champion 2019, 2022 & 2023
  • m.r.m.
    m.r.m. Posts: 3,347

    I agree it was the strongest team but did it feel to you like they were united on the one sole aim of winning GC?

    Also - one memorable effort to shift your competition?

    I don't think we should make too much out of WVA sprinting for stages. It would have been a problem, if it meant he wasn't there at the end to support Roglic; but he was. He lost nothing to attrition over the 3 weeks as can be seen by his performance in the final week and in the ITT. Maybe JV didn't risk enough. Maybe Roglic should have tried to attack earlier at some point; but maybe he was simply already at his limit and unable to drop Pogacar.
    PTP Champion 2019, 2022 & 2023
  • JV wasted three weeks of dominance by riding a conservative race.

    That's easy to say with hindsight. If Roglic hadn't of had a bad day (for whatever reason) everybody would be saying how brilliantly JV controlled the race akin to Sky/Ineos.
  • I agree it was the strongest team but did it feel to you like they were united on the one sole aim of winning GC?

    Also - one memorable effort to shift your competition?

    I think you are confusing the team's effort with the team leader's ability to follow it through.

    No question in my mind Team JV were comfortable on a par with Sky, but Roglic is not Froome.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • Pross said:

    with hindsight maybe Roglic was at his limit

    I think a lot of the tour needs re-examining in response to today. If - and I'm not sure I believe this myself, so it's a big IF - Roglic wasn't as good as we assumed he was then JV's tactics make much more sense. You can't burn people off early because it puts Roglic on the rivet. You can't launch him early because after the initial 5 minute effort he's not got the legs.

    A lot of us figured they were being overly conservative, but if there's nothing to be conservative about then it takes a different complexion. Maybe JV were actually running a masterclass in bluffing, covering your weaknesses and riding defensively. And they very nearly pulled it off...
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 40,789

    JV wasted three weeks of dominance by riding a conservative race.

    That's easy to say with hindsight. If Roglic hadn't of had a bad day (for whatever reason) everybody would be saying how brilliantly JV controlled the race akin to Sky/Ineos.
    Go back through the thread spoilers and you'll see people were saying it at the time. When Sky did the train for Wiggins it was at a pace that no-one could attack off and they knew he was head and shoulders better in the TT than his rivals. When they did it for Froome it generally set him up for a big attack when his rivals were at their limit.
  • mididoctors
    mididoctors Posts: 16,972

    Humiliation, perhaps?

    Utterly
    "If I was a 38 year old man, I definitely wouldn't be riding a bright yellow bike with Hello Kitty disc wheels, put it that way. What we're witnessing here is the world's most high profile mid-life crisis" Afx237vi Mon Jul 20, 2009 2:43 pm
  • mididoctors
    mididoctors Posts: 16,972
    Mystery road not half bad
    "If I was a 38 year old man, I definitely wouldn't be riding a bright yellow bike with Hello Kitty disc wheels, put it that way. What we're witnessing here is the world's most high profile mid-life crisis" Afx237vi Mon Jul 20, 2009 2:43 pm
  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,166
    Three notes:

    1. For all the ridicule aimed at Bahrain for their efforts this week, they moved Landa up from 7th to 4th

    2. If Pogacar has a weakness, it might be high altitude.

    3. A journalist said that in Slovenia that fitness and sports participation is taken very seriously, not least by the government. As a result they are not only punching above their weight in pro sports but are also the only European country with dropping rates of childhood obesity.
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,399


    No question in my mind Team JV were comfortable on a par with Sky, but Roglic is not Froome.

    That's it, that's the twe... post!
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 25,889
    m.r.m. said:

    Pross said:

    m.r.m. said:

    Pross said:

    m.r.m. said:

    Elated for Pogacar. Utterly insane performance this Tour. How do you decimate Ineos and JV basically on your own? Utterly magnificent. I'm truly blown away.

    Feel really sorry for Roglic.

    If Roglic were French, he'd be set for life.

    He didn't exactly decimate JV did he? He held onto their coat tails on all bar one stage and then put in a superb performance on the only one v one stage. Ineos didn't really turn up until their leader went home.
    How else was he supposed to ride when having next to no one to close gaps for him? Compare the UAE riders towards the end of stages around Roglic and Pogacar compared to JV riders.

    Froome's attacks to drop his rivals is built off the strength of the team to bridge gaps on other stages (mostly Poels and Porte) or to ride their notorious mountain train tempo. If you do that entirely on your own you get countered after WVA, Bennett, Dumoulin or Kuss have neutralized the attack.

    Pogacar won 3 stages and the GC this Tour with practically no team support (outside of de la Cruz). Wouldn't you say it was a masterpiece of building on his strengths with the cards he was dealt. I really don't think we can overstate the achievement in terms of winning with that team. Compare his team to Bernal's last year.

    I think the hyperbole (decimate) is justified under the circumstances. Doesn't he have as many stage wins as JV as team this Tour (3 for Pogacar - 1 for Roglic, 2 for WVA)?
    I was just pointing out how he did it, the tactic was sound and JV should have done more to lose him but with hindsight maybe Roglic was at his limit. I just don't see how gaining a few seconds on one stage and then smashing his rival one on one in a TT where a team can't help can be called decimation.
    Okay I can see your point. It is to me though, simply because he won 3 stages and GC despite Roglic having the team he did.
    Not to mention Polka and White.
    Easy to forget given the drama.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,864
    edited September 2020
    Hard to fault the tactics when we were all blown away by what is one of the TTs of a lifetime.

    Would you all be saying Roglic binned it if he finished on Tom’s time?

    Think you’re all selling Pog a bit short here.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 25,889



    Think you’re all selling Pog a bit short here.

    He did have a mare though. And that bike switch was awful with a push way more than the legal 5 seconds. That could have come into play if push came to shove. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • davidof
    davidof Posts: 3,042
    edited September 2020
    Looks like Jaja and Richard called it


    davidof
    richard_t._biscuit said:
    if Pogacar is just a little bit stronger in the final of summit finishes and the TT, with only 40 seconds in a two horse race he can afford to sit on the Jumbo train just as much as Roglic and still have a damn good shot at GC.

    Laurent Jalabert thinks the same as you , Roglic could lose it on the TT. However leading on GC can bring out the best in riders in the time trial.


    https://forum.bikeradar.com/discussion/13113163/tdf-2020-stage-15-lyon-grand-colombier-174-5-km-spoilers/p11

    and there is more

    salsiccia1 Posts: 3,376
    14 September

    ddraver said:

    2/3 ITV pundits predict Pog FTW...

    I think that was wishful thinking on their behalf, perhaps trying to keep viewers interested. If they all said it's over, Roglic has won it then that's not going encourage everyone to tune in. I just can't see JV letting Pog go or Pog beating Roglic in the TT.

    2/3 pundits also said Porte would come 3rd and I can't see that either.


    DeadCalm
    15 September
    Pogacar beat Roglic by just 9 seconds in the Slovenian National Champs TT over 15.7km.
    Last year, in the Vuelta, Roglc beat Pogacar by almost a minute and a half over 36.2km.
    Coincidentally, stage 20 is also 36.2km and the profile looks more similar to the Vuelta stage than the National Champs race. I make Roglic the favourite for the TT.



    gsk82

    15 September
    There isn't a chance in hell that pogacar will beat Roglic in the TT. He needs to find a couple of minutes before then.



    BASI Nordic Ski Instructor
    Instagramme
  • Would you all be saying Roglic binned it if he finished on Tom’s time?

    In my case I suspect that I'd be harder on JV if Roglic had ridden Dumoulin's time. As it is I can almost convince myself it's evidence they rode really well.

    A mischievous thought does pop up that maybe they'd have been better off by riding for Dumoulin, but I don't think he was in the form to really take time when people could sit on his wheel and sprint past at the end.
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,399
    I would like to point out that my quote in the aboveabove post was just...

    2/3 ITV pundits predict Pog FTW...


    😶
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • No question in my mind Team JV were comfortable on a par with Sky, but Roglic is not Froome.

    This.

    Say what you like about Sky/Ineos but Froome has had some cracking stage wins/attacks out of the GC group where he's shown his dominance.
    Correlation is not causation.
  • Anyway the Toblerone didn't melt!

    Yay, 2020 is somewhat saved.


    Correlation is not causation.
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,399
    (thought - what made the surprise even more...surprising was that WvA and Tommy D's super strong rides just made it look even more like JV had everything wrapped up...

    As a twist, you really could'nt have written any better!)
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,399

    Anyway the Toblerone didn't melt!

    Yay, 2020 is somewhat saved.


    It's noticeable that there are almost as many Congratulatory tweets from riders for Ritchie as for Tadej...
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,166
    edited September 2020
    ddraver said:

    I would like to point out that my quote in the aboveabove post was just...

    2/3 ITV pundits predict Pog FTW...


    😶

    On the rest day show both Pete Kennaugh and Chris Froome predicted the podium perfectly. Admittedly, the choice of Porte will have been a little biased.

    But one pundit predicted at the beginning of the race that no-one from Jumbo or Ineos would win, and only one of them would podium. He also had each way bets on Pogacar (12/1) and Porte (150/1). He tends to lose his mind on PTP though.
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • bobmcstuff
    bobmcstuff Posts: 11,196



    His helmet all off his bonce was a bit odd considering how importantly they take all the aerodynamics.

    Before the climb he had a visor on too, if you watch the start. So it looked fine until he ditched the visor on the climb...
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,399
    RichN95. said:


    But one pundit predicted at the beginning of the race that no-one from Jumbo or Ineos would win, and only one of them would podium. He also had each way bets on Pogacar (12/1) and Porte (150/1). He tends to lose his mind on PTP though.



    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • m.r.m.
    m.r.m. Posts: 3,347

    Anyway the Toblerone didn't melt!

    Yay, 2020 is somewhat saved.


    As always, that Toblerone is regular size.
    PTP Champion 2019, 2022 & 2023


  • His helmet all off his bonce was a bit odd considering how importantly they take all the aerodynamics.

    Before the climb he had a visor on too, if you watch the start. So it looked fine until he ditched the visor on the climb...
    Ah, cheers that explains it.
  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,166
    This is nice


    Twitter: @RichN95