The big Coronavirus thread

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  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,680

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Italy is in the US?
  • DeVlaeminck
    DeVlaeminck Posts: 9,110
    Yeah I thought that was us.
    [Castle Donington Ladies FC - going up in '22]
  • DeVlaeminck
    DeVlaeminck Posts: 9,110
    Joking aside though I do find the political implications interesting.
    [Castle Donington Ladies FC - going up in '22]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    Typo - EU.
  • Dorset_Boy
    Dorset_Boy Posts: 7,623
    mrfpb said:

    Looking at the maths, if we want less than 20,000 deaths we need the peak to happen this week, before we reach 10,000 deaths.

    With cases and deaths doubling every 3 days, we would hit 20,000 deaths next weekend without peaking.

    They were saying on R5 this morning that the doubling time is 4-5 days now.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,947

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • nickice
    nickice Posts: 2,439
    Stevo_666 said:

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    Which shouldn't really be surprising for even the most ardent EU supporter. German governments get voted in by Germans etc.
  • ballysmate
    ballysmate Posts: 16,017

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    Stevo_666 said:

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    And if we were still in the EU, 52% of the population would be bitching and moaning about looking after your own
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    mrfpb said:

    Looking at the maths, if we want less than 20,000 deaths we need the peak to happen this week, before we reach 10,000 deaths.

    With cases and deaths doubling every 3 days, we would hit 20,000 deaths next weekend without peaking.

    They were saying on R5 this morning that the doubling time is 4-5 days now.

    That is my interpretation of the graphs and based upon the assumption that they are not massaging the death count.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
  • ballysmate
    ballysmate Posts: 16,017
    Not crowing.
    Just agreeing that the reality is starting to dawn on people.
    Whatever...
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,947

    Stevo_666 said:

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    And if we were still in the EU, 52% of the population would be bitching and moaning about looking after your own
    Maybe, but it's not particularly relevant to the point here.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,891

    If you consider how much medical care could be provided in Downing St and the obvious desire to keep him out of hospital you have to wonder how bad he is.

    Given about 1 in 5 of those infected end up in hospital, it's surprising that there haven't been more ministers more seriously affected.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,471
    nickice said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    Which shouldn't really be surprising for even the most ardent EU supporter. German governments get voted in by Germans etc.

    Germany has been using its spare ICU capacity to treat patients from Italy and France
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    It's also the Dutch & German intransigence to want to help out Italy economically too. They both have massively gained from the way the EU is structured and run and they don't seem to recognise that.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,461
    pblakeney said:

    crescent said:

    Catherine Calderwood has resigned.

    That looked to be the only outcome, based on the way the story was unfolding. Very disappointing, and beyond naive, that she did what she did, but I think she was a very genuine and competent person and had a lot to offer the Scottish Govt. I'm not one for calling for people to be sacked but, as the Scottish face of the "stay at home" campaign, it just made her position completely untenable.
    All of that is undoubtably true.
    Will her resignation help the situation though?
    Much like BJ, you worry about the competence of the back up.
    The Scottish Government has had very little to offer outside of relaying the message of the UK government. The "taskforce" seems to be more about showing that we could manage all by ourselves up here than anything else. We aren't short of medical professionals or other experts. Her expertise is replaceable, basically.

    And given that her main role in all of this was to convey some more local sincerity and gravitas, to stay would have actually been detrimental. Even where I live in the sticks we had a lot of day trippers this weekend, and the Easter weekend will be much more challenging. Having a hypocrite telling people to do as I say not as I do would have been very bad.
  • ballysmate
    ballysmate Posts: 16,017
    edited April 2020

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    See above post re crowing.

    Are you seriously saying that any country's offer to aid another country hit by an earthquake would be dependent on its membership of the EU?
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,079

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    It's also the Dutch & German intransigence to want to help out Italy economically too. They both have massively gained from the way the EU is structured and run and they don't seem to recognise that.
    There seems to be a lot of conflations between the Eurozone and the EU. That of course has been one of the criticisms recently.
  • nickice
    nickice Posts: 2,439

    nickice said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    Which shouldn't really be surprising for even the most ardent EU supporter. German governments get voted in by Germans etc.

    Germany has been using its spare ICU capacity to treat patients from Italy and France
    But I bet when it comes to getting masks etc, or the coronabonds they'd be acting differently. Don't get me wrong, it's great that they're doing what they're doing but if it came to it that they had to choose between French and Germans, solidarity would disappear.
  • mrfpb
    mrfpb Posts: 4,569

    mrfpb said:

    Looking at the maths, if we want less than 20,000 deaths we need the peak to happen this week, before we reach 10,000 deaths.

    With cases and deaths doubling every 3 days, we would hit 20,000 deaths next weekend without peaking.

    They were saying on R5 this morning that the doubling time is 4-5 days now.

    That is my interpretation of the graphs and based upon the assumption that they are not massaging the death count.
    Deaths have more than doubled in the last 4 days, so unless they slow consistently over the next few days, we will have 20,000 by next weekend. As said above, there appears to be lower death counts at weekend. I think a peak before 10,000 deaths is unlikely. I hope I'm wrong.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    It's also the Dutch & German intransigence to want to help out Italy economically too. They both have massively gained from the way the EU is structured and run and they don't seem to recognise that.
    There seems to be a lot of conflations between the Eurozone and the EU. That of course has been one of the criticisms recently.
    I don't see how that point is relevant in this instance.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,079

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    It's also the Dutch & German intransigence to want to help out Italy economically too. They both have massively gained from the way the EU is structured and run and they don't seem to recognise that.
    There seems to be a lot of conflations between the Eurozone and the EU. That of course has been one of the criticisms recently.
    I don't see how that point is relevant in this instance.
    A lot of talk that the EU looks wobbly, but it is the Eurozone that looks wobbly. It always has. There simply isn't the political unity for monetary unity.

    Now, you could argue that if the Eurozone collapsed then so would the EU, and that is fair enough, but it doesn't have to.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    It's also the Dutch & German intransigence to want to help out Italy economically too. They both have massively gained from the way the EU is structured and run and they don't seem to recognise that.
    There seems to be a lot of conflations between the Eurozone and the EU. That of course has been one of the criticisms recently.
    I don't see how that point is relevant in this instance.
    A lot of talk that the EU looks wobbly, but it is the Eurozone that looks wobbly. It always has. There simply isn't the political unity for monetary unity.

    Now, you could argue that if the Eurozone collapsed then so would the EU, and that is fair enough, but it doesn't have to.
    Italy leaving the EU is a big problem, and the eurozone problems are emphatically EU problems.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,287
    mrfpb said:

    mrfpb said:

    Looking at the maths, if we want less than 20,000 deaths we need the peak to happen this week, before we reach 10,000 deaths.

    With cases and deaths doubling every 3 days, we would hit 20,000 deaths next weekend without peaking.

    They were saying on R5 this morning that the doubling time is 4-5 days now.

    That is my interpretation of the graphs and based upon the assumption that they are not massaging the death count.
    Deaths have more than doubled in the last 4 days, so unless they slow consistently over the next few days, we will have 20,000 by next weekend. As said above, there appears to be lower death counts at weekend. I think a peak before 10,000 deaths is unlikely. I hope I'm wrong.
    About 4 days seems right - ignoring yesterday's low number, and looking at the number released on Saturday (24 hours to 5pm on Friday), that was 708, which is 20% of the previous day's total, so a 5 day doubling.

    Average that calculation over the last few days, and you get doubling between 4 and 4.5 days.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.

    Pretty much as I was saying a few days ago on this thread.

    It has been a return to the nation state approach in this crisis.
    And if we were still in the EU, 52% of the population would be bitching and moaning about looking after your own
    Maybe, but it's not particularly relevant to the point here.
    My point is that people do not understand the EU and the haters overestimate it’s powers and reach, right up until they don’t do something and then criticise them for that.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,471
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Article in the FT on Italian attitudes towards the EU during this.

    Quote from one of the most pro-EU parties; "why do we want to stay in the US? It is useless".

    Basically because no-one came to the rescue or even to help.



    Mmm.
    I like the smell of coffee in the morning.
    The prospect of nations not coming together in the face of a pandemic isn't something I would be crowing about, but whatever.
    I agree on the crowing front as that is just weird.

    But with regards to the EU is that not based upon a DM belief in it’s supranational powers.

    If Italy had been hit by a devastating earthquake I am sure it’s neighbours would have offered immediate assistance. With C19 everybody (ex-UK) would have been bracing themselves for the onslaught so could reasonably claim to have nothing to offer.
    See above post re crowing.

    Are you seriously saying that any country's offer to aid another country hit by an earthquake would be dependent on its membership of the EU?
    I don’t view everything through a prism of EU membership so that is not my point. My use of the word “neighbours” was geographic.

    My point is that nobody had a load of resources they weren’t going to need in a month’s time.
  • nickice
    nickice Posts: 2,439
    If Ireland is anything like Scotland, this is not currently necessary. GP's are generally quiet and most people in Edinburgh Royal Infirmary are just sitting around as a lot has been cancelled to await more COVID-19 patients.