The big Coronavirus thread

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Comments

  • orraloon
    orraloon Posts: 13,269
    My paramedic extended family member last week relayed the local NHS view that peak hysteria would be towards the end of the coming week. Building up nicely so far.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,808
    dabber said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    This is just a bloody dreadful situation to be in for people with elderly relatives and I know quite a few on here are in that position. The only possible positive spin you can put on it is that around 92% of those in their 70's and 85% of those in their 80's survive this virus.

    A weird situation for the so called elderly as well. I'm 72, ride around 100 miles a week... road,off-road and turbo. No underlying illness. Probably massively fitter than the majority of those in the their mid-50's (or younger).
    My wife is 70, again very fit, pilates, body balance etc 3 times a week, both walk regularly as well. No underlying illness.
    What are we supposed to do? Vegetate in the house for 4 months, lose our fitness both physically and mentally?
    The "70" threshold is purely an artificial number.

    Clearly in any age range there is a lot of variation and you are probably much more likely to shake it off than others your age. As for self isolating, well going for a good bike ride on your own is a pretty good option.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • dabber
    dabber Posts: 1,982
    Stevo_666 said:

    dabber said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    This is just a bloody dreadful situation to be in for people with elderly relatives and I know quite a few on here are in that position. The only possible positive spin you can put on it is that around 92% of those in their 70's and 85% of those in their 80's survive this virus.

    A weird situation for the so called elderly as well. I'm 72, ride around 100 miles a week... road,off-road and turbo. No underlying illness. Probably massively fitter than the majority of those in the their mid-50's (or younger).
    My wife is 70, again very fit, pilates, body balance etc 3 times a week, both walk regularly as well. No underlying illness.
    What are we supposed to do? Vegetate in the house for 4 months, lose our fitness both physically and mentally?
    The "70" threshold is purely an artificial number.

    Clearly in any age range there is a lot of variation and you are probably much more likely to shake it off than others your age. As for self isolating, well going for a good bike ride on your own is a pretty good option.
    And I guess that's the way we will actually handle it Stevo.... get out in the great outdoors.
    The food shopping is the bigger problem. Fortunately the additional costs of ordering on-line isn't a problem for us although it isn't our preferred method especially for fresh food. However, I fear that many older people may find the additional cost burdensome.
    “You may think that; I couldn’t possibly comment!”

    Wilier Cento Uno SR/Wilier Mortirolo/Specialized Roubaix Comp/Kona Hei Hei/Calibre Bossnut
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    wiznaeme said:

    An attempt to quarantine an age group such as over 70’s will amount to no more than well intentioned advice. No one will be approaching the elderly in the street asking what age they are and sending them home and the police will arrest no one.

    This is correct and realistically just carry on keeping away from people as much as possible, there is no reason why you should stop cycling.

    The Govt have to offer simplistic guidelines because the average person is not bright enough to process more nuanced instructions
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    Pross said:

    Pross said:

    I've actually seen a friend share a post on Facebook comparing countries most affected by Coronavirus with those which are rolling out 5G. I mean, I know she's nuts (big into holistic medicine, hates big pharma, thinks cancer should be treated with natural remedies, anti-vaccination etc.) but how even so how can anyone be seriously linking a virus with 5G?

    Do you really think that is madder than Goo thinking the Chinese Govt launched Coronavirus to distract from demonstrators in HK

    5G = Huawei = Chinese Govt = Coronavirus
    I actually think Goo's theory was far more believable. I mean, if you're into conspiracies they creating a diversion so that you can continue human right abuses without media attention makes sense. Even wearing my tinfoil hat I'm struggling to understand the case for 5g signals causing a virus.
    You are trying to apply logic to people who think the world is flat
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,808
    edited March 2020
    dabber said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    dabber said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    This is just a bloody dreadful situation to be in for people with elderly relatives and I know quite a few on here are in that position. The only possible positive spin you can put on it is that around 92% of those in their 70's and 85% of those in their 80's survive this virus.

    A weird situation for the so called elderly as well. I'm 72, ride around 100 miles a week... road,off-road and turbo. No underlying illness. Probably massively fitter than the majority of those in the their mid-50's (or younger).
    My wife is 70, again very fit, pilates, body balance etc 3 times a week, both walk regularly as well. No underlying illness.
    What are we supposed to do? Vegetate in the house for 4 months, lose our fitness both physically and mentally?
    The "70" threshold is purely an artificial number.

    Clearly in any age range there is a lot of variation and you are probably much more likely to shake it off than others your age. As for self isolating, well going for a good bike ride on your own is a pretty good option.
    And I guess that's the way we will actually handle it Stevo.... get out in the great outdoors.
    The food shopping is the bigger problem. Fortunately the additional costs of ordering on-line isn't a problem for us although it isn't our preferred method especially for fresh food. However, I fear that many older people may find the additional cost burdensome.
    That's true Dabber, I'm working from home as of now so will need to get out from time to time to avoid cabin fever, even if work is likely to be pretty busy anyway.

    Now you mention shopping, I was also thinking about other stuff that is normally routine - like how to get my hair cut without putting myself at risk. May have to invest in some clippers and go skinhead.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,459
    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154
    Phefff, I'm going to cheer myself up and watch Das Boot.
  • slowbike
    slowbike Posts: 8,498
    isolating the over 70's also kills off a lot of childcare for their grandkids - so it's a massive impact.
    We'd be impacted, but would have to deal with it - if they shut schools at the same time it would be handy as 2 of our neighbours are teachers - so they can carry on then ;)
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,717
    More from the Verbier chronicles.

    When I developed a cough for a night, my other housemates - with whom I do not get on with very well as theyre all romanian and so speak that 99% of the time - called the other Resort Manager (my equal) in dire straits about how I might have Coronavirus.

    This week, one of them has come down with symptoms and is 'self-isolating' by sitting in the middle of the couch with all of them.

    Apparently the coronavirus is only an issue if you don't catch it from a friend.

    This is why we can't have nice things

    [/rant]
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,808
    edited March 2020
    ddraver said:

    More from the Verbier chronicles.

    When I developed a cough for a night, my other housemates - with whom I do not get on with very well as theyre all romanian and so speak that 99% of the time - called the other Resort Manager (my equal) in dire straits about how I might have Coronavirus.

    This week, one of them has come down with symptoms and is 'self-isolating' by sitting in the middle of the couch with all of them.

    Apparently the coronavirus is only an issue if you don't catch it from a friend.

    This is why we can't have nice things

    [/rant]

    Surely if he has it, then you will get it (assuming you don't already have it).
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,717
    edited March 2020
    Oh I probably gave it to him. I would think it's the same virus, Corona or not*.

    My issue is more with the total variation in reaction. I suspect it's way more common that we might realise and the implications thereof are... concerning.

    (*That said, we work driving people around so we could have got it from anyone any time over the last 2 or 3 weeks)
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • mr_goo
    mr_goo Posts: 3,770
    Why are the government considering 'buying' private hospital beds? This is the UKs biggest national emergency since WW2. Surely the requisition of private hospitals is the order of the day.
    Always be yourself, unless you can be Aaron Rodgers....Then always be Aaron Rodgers.
  • john80
    john80 Posts: 2,965
    mr_goo said:

    Why are the government considering 'buying' private hospital beds? This is the UKs biggest national emergency since WW2. Surely the requisition of private hospitals is the order of the day.

    Probably for similar reasons they cant just requisition your house
  • mr_goo
    mr_goo Posts: 3,770
    john80 said:

    mr_goo said:

    Why are the government considering 'buying' private hospital beds? This is the UKs biggest national emergency since WW2. Surely the requisition of private hospitals is the order of the day.

    Probably for similar reasons they cant just requisition your house
    My house doesn't contain medical equipment essential for the saving of lives. Private hospitals do.
    Always be yourself, unless you can be Aaron Rodgers....Then always be Aaron Rodgers.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,485
    edited March 2020
    john80 said:

    mr_goo said:

    Why are the government considering 'buying' private hospital beds? This is the UKs biggest national emergency since WW2. Surely the requisition of private hospitals is the order of the day.

    Probably for similar reasons they cant just requisition your house
    I think you’ll find that they can, for a price, and it may not be the price you’d like. It’s called compulsory purchase. Ask anyone living on a proposed motorway/railway line.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,808
    ddraver said:

    Oh I probably gave it to him. I would think it's the same virus, Corona or not*.

    My issue is more with the total variation in reaction. I suspect it's way more common that we might realise and the implications thereof are... concerning.

    (*That said, we work driving people around so we could have got it from anyone any time over the last 2 or 3 weeks)

    I'll agree that it is probably much more widespread than people think, it looks like it is very infectious/contagious and the testing is someway behind the actual infections. That's why I'm becoming Harry Hermit, working from home and no social engagements.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • DeVlaeminck
    DeVlaeminck Posts: 9,108
    Just got back earlier from talking to my parents about them self isolating - read the Guardian on line about a govt. report that this epidemic may last until next spring. I mean I've just spent an hour or two persuading them that they have to take this seriously or run a significant risk it'll kill them - in my dad's case I'd say it likely would, my mum is still pretty fit for someone in her 80s - but 12 months self isolating is a hell of a thing to ask of people.
    [Castle Donington Ladies FC - going up in '22]
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,592
    Roads were surprisingly busy this morning but the train station is virtually deserted and I managed to park on the closest available street to the station for only the second time in the time I've been commuting by train.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,485
    I can see a connection between busy roads and quiet trains. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    That looks like we are about to take a decisive lead
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,592
    pblakeney said:

    I can see a connection between busy roads and quiet trains. 😉

    Yeah although I expected both to be a lot quieter to be honest. My work relies a lot on traffic surveys and we've been debating whether to keep on getting them done as they need to be typical examples and we were expecting a sharp drop off that might mean them having to be redone.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,459




    Reuters aren't playing the 'Downing Street sources' game any more
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,811

    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    That looks like we are about to take a decisive lead
    Like another chart I saw, comparing raw figures rather than per capita, is rather misleading.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    That looks like we are about to take a decisive lead
    People also seem to forget the y axis isn’t linear...
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Just got back earlier from talking to my parents about them self isolating - read the Guardian on line about a govt. report that this epidemic may last until next spring. I mean I've just spent an hour or two persuading them that they have to take this seriously or run a significant risk it'll kill them - in my dad's case I'd say it likely would, my mum is still pretty fit for someone in her 80s - but 12 months self isolating is a hell of a thing to ask of people.

    I am having the same conversations - maybe the older generations are more literal and it has to be translated as minimising contact
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    That looks like we are about to take a decisive lead
    People also seem to forget the y axis isn’t linear...
    OK, I get yours (and RJST’s) points about the scale but why does this not mean that Boris’s plan is not working and our number of deaths is not outstripping countries who have tried to control the spread.

    Personally I would have learnt from the countries on the right of the graph.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    mr_goo said:

    Why are the government considering 'buying' private hospital beds? This is the UKs biggest national emergency since WW2. Surely the requisition of private hospitals is the order of the day.

    Why do you think the Govt seizing and running private hospitals would lead to a more optimal outcome?
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,227
    rjsterry said:

    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    That looks like we are about to take a decisive lead
    Like another chart I saw, comparing raw figures rather than per capita, is rather misleading.
    It is not misleading as regards the speed of the spread. If you are looking at it as giving a likelihood that you will get the disease, then you need a per capita.

    And that would look worse for the UK.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Tracking deaths instead of positives


    That looks like we are about to take a decisive lead
    People also seem to forget the y axis isn’t linear...
    OK, I get yours (and RJST’s) points about the scale but why does this not mean that Boris’s plan is not working and our number of deaths is not outstripping countries who have tried to control the spread.

    Personally I would have learnt from the countries on the right of the graph.
    I tend to agree.

    I have read it's because the UK is eyeing up the 2nd wave and not the first, but I am not convinced by this.

    It would be nice if they articulated why they are doing things differently.