The big Coronavirus thread

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  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    I am working with a few companies who are making the desktop machines which can do exactly as you say. Expensive-ish to buy but then you need to buy the consumables.
    That said, someone else I am speaking to has allegedly made a chemical which can amplify without thermal cycling which could potentially be a game changer.

    You need to watch some of the youtube documentaries about Theranos before investing.
  • Has anybody else volunteered for an antibody test?

    if so do they tell you the result?

    How did you do that?
    I got a lot of texts/emails after the positive PCR one of which asked if I would take part in an anti-gen survey.

    Am intrigued to know if they will let me know my individual result
    My dad did a couple of the ONS ones. They are just instant ones that tell you the result. They aren't very reliable though for an individual. Maybe you are being offered something else.
    this goes in a test tube that is posted off to a laboratory
  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,605
    I think it's just a scam to get your dna on a database.
  • Jezyboy said:

    I think it's just a scam to get your dna on a database.

    totes obvs but was still hoping they would share the result
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    Jezyboy said:

    I think it's just a scam to get your dna on a database.

    Or worse still, to check it against a sample that is already on the database!
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,327
    Pross said:

    Jezyboy said:

    I think it's just a scam to get your dna on a database.

    Or worse still, to check it against a sample that is already on the database!
    What do you think midwives are doing when they take a newborn away?
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    Jezyboy said:

    I think it's just a scam to get your dna on a database.

    Or worse still, to check it against a sample that is already on the database!
    What do you think midwives are doing when they take a newborn away?
    I alway assumed that was to swap them around
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,327

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    Jezyboy said:

    I think it's just a scam to get your dna on a database.

    Or worse still, to check it against a sample that is already on the database!
    What do you think midwives are doing when they take a newborn away?
    I alway assumed that was to swap them around
    That's just for sh!ts and giggles though. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    "The findings re-emphasise the importance of short-range Covid transmission, with physical distancing and mask-wearing likely to be the most effective means of preventing infection. Ventilation, though still worthwhile, is likely to have a lesser impact."

    I know someone who won't be pleased.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Also humidity is important, it seems. So:

    "Hands. Face. Space. Air Conditioning."
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,915

    "The findings re-emphasise the importance of short-range Covid transmission, with physical distancing and mask-wearing likely to be the most effective means of preventing infection. Ventilation, though still worthwhile, is likely to have a lesser impact."

    I know someone who won't be pleased.
    i assumed he would be apoplectic with rage by the following paragraph which suggests there has been focus on ventilation.

    “People have been focused on poorly ventilated spaces and thinking about airborne transmission over metres or across a room. I’m not saying that doesn’t happen, but I think still, the greatest risk of exposure is when you’re close to someone,”
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349

    "The findings re-emphasise the importance of short-range Covid transmission, with physical distancing and mask-wearing likely to be the most effective means of preventing infection. Ventilation, though still worthwhile, is likely to have a lesser impact."

    I know someone who won't be pleased.
    i assumed he would be apoplectic with rage by the following paragraph which suggests there has been focus on ventilation.

    “People have been focused on poorly ventilated spaces and thinking about airborne transmission over metres or across a room. I’m not saying that doesn’t happen, but I think still, the greatest risk of exposure is when you’re close to someone,”

    Well, I suspect it won't just be me raising an eyebrow at those findings... there might be rather more eminent scientists than someone with a B at O-level questioning that.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    "The findings re-emphasise the importance of short-range Covid transmission, with physical distancing and mask-wearing likely to be the most effective means of preventing infection. Ventilation, though still worthwhile, is likely to have a lesser impact."

    I know someone who won't be pleased.
    i assumed he would be apoplectic with rage by the following paragraph which suggests there has been focus on ventilation.

    “People have been focused on poorly ventilated spaces and thinking about airborne transmission over metres or across a room. I’m not saying that doesn’t happen, but I think still, the greatest risk of exposure is when you’re close to someone,”

    Well, I suspect it won't just be me raising an eyebrow at those findings... there might be rather more eminent scientists than someone with a B at O-level questioning that.
    It isn't peer reviewed. Nor intuitive, necessarily. But interesting. Partucularly the humidity dependence part.

    Given the nature of the work - it isn't day critical information for public health decisions - it does bother me that yet another academic has published something before it's been published properly.

    If he forgot to divide by 10 somewhere and actually it should be 9% and not 90%, who will rember anything other than the original article?
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349

    "The findings re-emphasise the importance of short-range Covid transmission, with physical distancing and mask-wearing likely to be the most effective means of preventing infection. Ventilation, though still worthwhile, is likely to have a lesser impact."

    I know someone who won't be pleased.
    i assumed he would be apoplectic with rage by the following paragraph which suggests there has been focus on ventilation.

    “People have been focused on poorly ventilated spaces and thinking about airborne transmission over metres or across a room. I’m not saying that doesn’t happen, but I think still, the greatest risk of exposure is when you’re close to someone,”

    Well, I suspect it won't just be me raising an eyebrow at those findings... there might be rather more eminent scientists than someone with a B at O-level questioning that.
    It isn't peer reviewed. Nor intuitive, necessarily. But interesting. Partucularly the humidity dependence part.

    Given the nature of the work - it isn't day critical information for public health decisions - it does bother me that yet another academic has published something before it's been published properly.

    If he forgot to divide by 10 somewhere and actually it should be 9% and not 90%, who will rember anything other than the original article?

    I'd read in a few other places about humidity being important.

    I've not read this paper, but seeing the headline strikes me that it's an attention grabber. The science has been trending towards the importance of ventilation for quite a while, so I'd be surprised if that trend, with the wealth of real-world data (such as studies of airflows in Japanese restaurants where there were outbreaks) was entirely wrong.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    If ventilation isn't that important does it also mean that being outside isn't much better than being inside?
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Pross said:

    If ventilation isn't that important does it also mean that being outside isn't much better than being inside?

    I'd understood it as being that the ventilation of a room doesn't make enough of a difference to outweigh being on the other side of it in the first place.
  • Ben6899
    Ben6899 Posts: 9,686
    edited January 2022
    The findings of this study - to me as a virology and epidemiology layman - fly in the face of what we're told about how contagious the virus is.

    We hear stories "there was a New Years Eve party and everyone there ended up testing positive..."

    For me that always meant "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Breathed out into person B's front room all night, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Whereas now I'm seeing a scenario where "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Spoke closely with every single person there, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Very happy to be told I'm misunderstanding completely, I am after all a simple Civil Engineer.
    Ben

    Bikes: Donhou DSS4 Custom | Condor Italia RC | Gios Megalite | Dolan Preffisio | Giant Bowery '76
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  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349
    While UK has another fall in cases reported today (121k), France is still on the up... 350k. Starting to feel a bit safer to say that a corner has been turned...
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    While UK has another fall in cases reported today (121k), France is still on the up... 350k. Starting to feel a bit safer to say that a corner has been turned...

    Has absolutely everyone in France gone skiing at the same time or something, because that's an insane number.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Ben6899 said:

    The findings of this study - to me as a virology and epidemiology layman - fly in the face of what we're told about how contagious the virus is.

    We hear stories "there was a New Years Eve party and everyone there ended up testing positive..."

    For me that always meant "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Breathed out into person B's front room all night, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Whereas now I'm seeing a scenario where "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Spoke closely with every single person there, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Very happy to be told I'm misunderstanding completely, I am after all a simple Civil Engineer.

    Is it really inconsistent with what you've been told? We breathe out, what 20 times each minute? So if you are in a crowded room with 5 people around you that's lot of exhaled aerosols built up over 5 minutes, no?
  • New slogan I saw earlier...

    Hands.
    Face.
    Drinks at my place.

    :D
    ================
    2020 Voodoo Marasa
    2017 Cube Attain GTC Pro Disc 2016
    2016 Voodoo Wazoo
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349

    While UK has another fall in cases reported today (121k), France is still on the up... 350k. Starting to feel a bit safer to say that a corner has been turned...

    Has absolutely everyone in France gone skiing at the same time or something, because that's an insane number.

    Hmm, odd figures going on... only 82k reported yesterday, so might be lumpy data, though the 7-day average is 270k
  • Ben6899
    Ben6899 Posts: 9,686

    Ben6899 said:

    The findings of this study - to me as a virology and epidemiology layman - fly in the face of what we're told about how contagious the virus is.

    We hear stories "there was a New Years Eve party and everyone there ended up testing positive..."

    For me that always meant "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Breathed out into person B's front room all night, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Whereas now I'm seeing a scenario where "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Spoke closely with every single person there, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Very happy to be told I'm misunderstanding completely, I am after all a simple Civil Engineer.

    Is it really inconsistent with what you've been told? We breathe out, what 20 times each minute? So if you are in a crowded room with 5 people around you that's lot of exhaled aerosols built up over 5 minutes, no?

    Agreed. But on one hand we're being told that one person can infect a whole room, even if they remain several metres away from certain people for the whole time.

    This study - as I understand (see my disclaimers!) - is telling us that, if you're several metres from the person in the room then the chance of you becoming infected via their aerosols reduces to ~10%. That's a heck of a risk reduction and changes the picture entirely, as far as I can understand.

    I have to say, I'm very keen to not come across as a denier in this. I'm quite the opposite.
    Ben

    Bikes: Donhou DSS4 Custom | Condor Italia RC | Gios Megalite | Dolan Preffisio | Giant Bowery '76
    Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ben_h_ppcc/
    Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/143173475@N05/
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Ben6899 said:

    Ben6899 said:

    The findings of this study - to me as a virology and epidemiology layman - fly in the face of what we're told about how contagious the virus is.

    We hear stories "there was a New Years Eve party and everyone there ended up testing positive..."

    For me that always meant "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Breathed out into person B's front room all night, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Whereas now I'm seeing a scenario where "person A was positive, didn't know and turned up. Spoke closely with every single person there, and persons B thru Z all caught it from person A".

    Very happy to be told I'm misunderstanding completely, I am after all a simple Civil Engineer.

    Is it really inconsistent with what you've been told? We breathe out, what 20 times each minute? So if you are in a crowded room with 5 people around you that's lot of exhaled aerosols built up over 5 minutes, no?

    Agreed. But on one hand we're being told that one person can infect a whole room, even if they remain several metres away from certain people for the whole time.

    This study - as I understand (see my disclaimers!) - is telling us that, if you're several metres from the person in the room then the chance of you becoming infected via their aerosols reduces to ~10%. That's a heck of a risk reduction and changes the picture entirely, as far as I can understand.

    I have to say, I'm very keen to not come across as a denier in this. I'm quite the opposite.
    That's what I understood too, but surely has to apply to a set of conditions that aren't reported in the article.

    I don't know enough about droplet diffusion rates in air to be able to judge one way or the other.

    A gas would certainly diffuse more quickly, but a droplet? No idea.
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349

    While UK has another fall in cases reported today (121k), France is still on the up... 350k. Starting to feel a bit safer to say that a corner has been turned...

    Has absolutely everyone in France gone skiing at the same time or something, because that's an insane number.

    Hmm, odd figures going on... only 82k reported yesterday, so might be lumpy data, though the 7-day average is 270k

    Yeah, 368k today, so 450k for two days, so looks about right.
  • kingstonian
    kingstonian Posts: 2,847
    In usual circumstances there’s a clear process to follow - any bidding process involving the public sector is laborious but it is what it is. I don’t believe this should have been completely ripped up to instead allow a free-for-all, but in the face of a public health emergency there was a need for a middle ground approach.
  • joe2019
    joe2019 Posts: 1,338
    Has anyone read Viral: The Search for the Origin of COVID-19 by Alina Chan and Matt Ridley?

    A very interesting read, highly recommended.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    No. Did they start writing it with an open mind, by any chance?