Donald Trump
Comments
-
She's a woman and she's black. What is wrong with y'all?veronese68 said:
They haven't declared Trump gaga yet, that's in spite of plenty of evidence. Reagan wasn't declared gaga and he certainly seemed to be losing it at the end of his presidency.ballysmate said:If Biden wins, how long before he is declared gaga and we have President Harris?
What would be so bad about president Harris?2 -
So is Diane Abbott if that is your criteria for being a first rate politician.First.Aspect said:
She's a woman and she's black. What is wrong with y'all?veronese68 said:
They haven't declared Trump gaga yet, that's in spite of plenty of evidence. Reagan wasn't declared gaga and he certainly seemed to be losing it at the end of his presidency.ballysmate said:If Biden wins, how long before he is declared gaga and we have President Harris?
What would be so bad about president Harris?
Or if identity politics is your bag1 -
You should start with easy reading books before trying the internet.ballysmate said:
So is Diane Abbott if that is your criteria for being a first rate politician.First.Aspect said:
She's a woman and she's black. What is wrong with y'all?veronese68 said:
They haven't declared Trump gaga yet, that's in spite of plenty of evidence. Reagan wasn't declared gaga and he certainly seemed to be losing it at the end of his presidency.ballysmate said:If Biden wins, how long before he is declared gaga and we have President Harris?
What would be so bad about president Harris?
Or if identity politics is your bag0 -
When I've finished them, I'll pass them on to you. By then, you may have progressed from colouring.First.Aspect said:
You should start with easy reading books before trying the internet.ballysmate said:
So is Diane Abbott if that is your criteria for being a first rate politician.First.Aspect said:
She's a woman and she's black. What is wrong with y'all?veronese68 said:
They haven't declared Trump gaga yet, that's in spite of plenty of evidence. Reagan wasn't declared gaga and he certainly seemed to be losing it at the end of his presidency.ballysmate said:If Biden wins, how long before he is declared gaga and we have President Harris?
What would be so bad about president Harris?
Or if identity politics is your bag
0 -
...
“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0 -
LOL
“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0 -
-
tailwindhome said:
LOL
If that's not the definition of pre-emptive whining and whingeing, I don't know what is.0 -
CNN project Michigan for Biden
253
Nevada and Arizona put him over the top
He's leading in both
“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0 -
Trump supporters demanding the count is stopped in Michigan.
Their man is behind in Michigan
“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0 -
-
“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0 -
At what point do the rats flee the sinking ship?0
-
Coopsters gone quiet, cant hear his corn popping.First.Aspect said:At what point do the rats flee the sinking ship?
0 -
He broke a filling on one of the unpopped ones.darkhairedlord said:
Coopsters gone quiet, cant hear his corn popping.First.Aspect said:At what point do the rats flee the sinking ship?
Either that or he has come down with a dry cough.0 -
Pennsylvania...
0 -
The concept of someone else getting more votes seems to be evading him.
Wonder just how annoyed he was in the hidden tweets!
The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
I am not sure. You have no chance.Veronese68 wrote:PB is the most sensible person on here.0 -
Depends on if the counting finishes at 17:00 local time or continues. I have a sneaky suspicion that there will be some news by 21:00 local. Just in time for the TV news.ddraver said:Us Britz aren't gonna learn anything more tonight right..?
Anyone else thinking some are holding out to be the decisive state?The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
I am not sure. You have no chance.Veronese68 wrote:PB is the most sensible person on here.0 -
This made me chuckle, sorry I couldn't find a link that wasn't through farcebook. https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=10980332872924080
-
-
-
Ah well. Looks like this isn't worth a nightshift.ddraver said:Us Britz aren't gonna learn anything more tonight right..?
The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
I am not sure. You have no chance.Veronese68 wrote:PB is the most sensible person on here.0 -
Utter incompetence, wholesale corruption, plainly working against national interest, inviting foreign interference in an election are not impediments to a decent run at an election in fptp.
That’s the lesson labour and BoJo’s opponents need to learn.0 -
0
-
The elected President of a supposedly democratic western country making comments that only serve to cause division and encourage violence is pretty frightening but we all new it would come to that didn't we?0
-
Only TV I watched was the white trash of Detroit trying to break into the polling centre because it wasn't going their way.Ben
Bikes: Donhou DSS4 Custom | Condor Italia RC | Gios Megalite | Dolan Preffisio | Giant Bowery '76
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ben_h_ppcc/
Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/143173475@N05/0 -
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/
I don't think anything's changed much from this summary. Trump could end up needing to win unlikely legal cases in multiple states.Here’s where the presidential race stands from most likely Trump win to least likely Trump win:
North Carolina. Trump leads by 1.4 points or about 77,000 votes, but mail ballots can arrive after Election Day in North Carolina, so perhaps 5 percent of the vote is still outstanding. The mail vote should be pretty blue in North Carolina, but is it enough to flip the state? Probably not, according to The Upshot’s needle, which gave Biden about a 15 percent chance in North Carolina before it was frozen. I’d call this one Likely Trump, although 15 percent chances aren’t zero, obviously!
Georgia. Trump leads by 78,000 votes without around 200,000 votes outstanding (there’s some uncertainty over the exact number). That gap seems like a tall order for Biden to close, but the remaining vote is expected to be very blue: mail votes from blue counties plus some Election Day votes from predominantly Black precincts in blue counties. The Upshot’s needle actually had Biden slightly favored to pull it off as of last night. We’ll know more soon. Let’s say Toss-up, but you could force me into Lean Biden if you told me I had to make a pick.
Pennsylvania. As expected, far more uncounted votes here than elsewhere, mostly mail votes that should be quite Democratic-leaning, though. There are too many outstanding ballots for us to be in the endgame where we can game out exact scenarios, but in counties that have completed reporting, Biden looks to be hitting the targets he needs. Even with the Trump campaign filing a number of lawsuits, the margin is tightening quickly enough that I think this belongs in Lean Biden.
Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re distributed fairly evenly throughout the state.
Wait — outstanding mail votes? Shouldn’t those be good for Biden, as they are in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and — this is the key part — the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be counted) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration breakdown of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday was: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.
But … here’s the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. The state has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.
There’s also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. I’d assume they’ve looked into this more than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you do get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, I’d say this is Likely Biden, but I don’t think the state should have been called yet.
Nevada. This one’s a bit more straightforward. Biden leads by only 0.6 percent, or about 7,500 votes. But what’s remaining should be pretty good for him. It’s all mail-in ballots that were either received late in the process or that are still coming in — in Nevada, mail ballots can be received by Nov. 10 provided they’re postmarked by Election Day. The mail ballots were quite blue in Nevada by party registration, much more so than in Arizona, including votes that arrived relatively late in the process. Likely Biden.
Wisconsin. No known votes left to be counted. The Trump campaign says it will seek a recount, but recounts rarely change results, and certainly not with something on the magnitude of Biden’s 20,000-vote lead. Biden is the “apparent winner,” per ABC News.0 -
