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  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    I don't know. I got 29% so 19% seems modest.

    Well done twh. Was that purely an inflationary rise?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited January 2023
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Worth remembering the Tory Party removed the cap on bankers' bonuses, so bankers wouldn't permanently withdraw their labour in search of more money, but plan to change the rules so other worker can't withdraw their labour temporarily in search of more money

    Game's rigged

    It's all about market rates. Seems some workers have optimistic ideas about what their market rate is.
    There’s 133,000 vacancies in the NHS. That would suggest the current rate is too low. Above inflation pay rises all round 👍
    I don't pretend to be an expert on market rates for salaries in that sector, unlike some. But just for info, inflation is not 19% ;)
    😂

    Just for info, I never said inflation was 19%. Can you show me evidence where I did? I said ‘above inflation pay rises’

    Happy new year pal 👍
    It's what they're asking for. Realistic?

    HNY to you too.
    What if they were asking for the real wage equivalent of 2010 wages?

    (Same thing)
    It would be nice if many peoples salaries (including my own) had kept pace with inflation recently, but you don't always get what you want.
    To be clear, with a monopsonistic labour market where labour wages have been shrinking in real terms for a decade, you think it’s unreasonable to not to accept a real terms pay cut again?!

    How on earth do you think labour in a monopsonistic market is supposed to get a reasonable wage?

    And what about the 130,000 vacancies makes you think health wages are at the optimum, most market efficient, level?




    Let’s assume E1 is the optimal number of staff needed to run the NHS properly
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967
    The vacancies suggest that a rise is likely needed, but what that rise should be I am not sure as I'm not the expert. So you tell us what you think it should be, remembering that even Labour have said that the requested 19% is not affordable.

    Bonus points for using a clever word BTW ;)
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Worth remembering the Tory Party removed the cap on bankers' bonuses, so bankers wouldn't permanently withdraw their labour in search of more money, but plan to change the rules so other worker can't withdraw their labour temporarily in search of more money

    Game's rigged

    It's all about market rates. Seems some workers have optimistic ideas about what their market rate is.
    There’s 133,000 vacancies in the NHS. That would suggest the current rate is too low. Above inflation pay rises all round 👍
    I don't pretend to be an expert on market rates for salaries in that sector, unlike some. But just for info, inflation is not 19% ;)
    😂

    Just for info, I never said inflation was 19%. Can you show me evidence where I did? I said ‘above inflation pay rises’

    Happy new year pal 👍
    It's what they're asking for. Realistic?

    HNY to you too.
    What if they were asking for the real wage equivalent of 2010 wages?

    (Same thing)
    It would be nice if many peoples salaries (including my own) had kept pace with inflation recently, but you don't always get what you want.
    To be clear, with a monopsonistic labour market where labour wages have been shrinking in real terms for a decade, you think it’s unreasonable to not to accept a real terms pay cut again?!

    How on earth do you think labour in a monopsonistic market is supposed to get a reasonable wage?

    And what about the 130,000 vacancies makes you think health wages are at the optimum, most market efficient, level?




    Let’s assume E1 is the optimal number of staff needed to run the NHS properly
    Do you have a vacancy breakdown by region?
  • Stevo_666 said:

    The vacancies suggest that a rise is likely needed, but what that rise should be I am not sure as I'm not the expert. So you tell us what you think it should be, remembering that even Labour have said that the requested 19% is not affordable.

    Bonus points for using a clever word BTW ;)

    Is this in the Labour thread because they have the better approach to it then?
    There's going to be a higher rise than currently offered, it's not going to be 19%. Why do we need to have more strikes before the government starts talking?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Worth remembering the Tory Party removed the cap on bankers' bonuses, so bankers wouldn't permanently withdraw their labour in search of more money, but plan to change the rules so other worker can't withdraw their labour temporarily in search of more money

    Game's rigged

    It's all about market rates. Seems some workers have optimistic ideas about what their market rate is.
    There’s 133,000 vacancies in the NHS. That would suggest the current rate is too low. Above inflation pay rises all round 👍
    I don't pretend to be an expert on market rates for salaries in that sector, unlike some. But just for info, inflation is not 19% ;)
    😂

    Just for info, I never said inflation was 19%. Can you show me evidence where I did? I said ‘above inflation pay rises’

    Happy new year pal 👍
    It's what they're asking for. Realistic?

    HNY to you too.
    What if they were asking for the real wage equivalent of 2010 wages?

    (Same thing)
    It would be nice if many peoples salaries (including my own) had kept pace with inflation recently, but you don't always get what you want.
    To be clear, with a monopsonistic labour market where labour wages have been shrinking in real terms for a decade, you think it’s unreasonable to not to accept a real terms pay cut again?!

    How on earth do you think labour in a monopsonistic market is supposed to get a reasonable wage?

    And what about the 130,000 vacancies makes you think health wages are at the optimum, most market efficient, level?




    Let’s assume E1 is the optimal number of staff needed to run the NHS properly
    Do you have a vacancy breakdown by region?
    https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/nhs-vacancies-survey/april-2015---september-2022-experimental-statistics

    Might be in there. Can’t see on my phone as they’re spreadies.

    The vacancy rate is running around 10% fwiw.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967
    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    Stevo_666 said:

    The vacancies suggest that a rise is likely needed, but what that rise should be I am not sure as I'm not the expert. So you tell us what you think it should be, remembering that even Labour have said that the requested 19% is not affordable.

    Bonus points for using a clever word BTW ;)

    Is this in the Labour thread because they have the better approach to it then?
    There's going to be a higher rise than currently offered, it's not going to be 19%. Why do we need to have more strikes before the government starts talking?
    We don't have to have more strikes: that is the unions' choice.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited January 2023
    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The vacancies suggest that a rise is likely needed, but what that rise should be I am not sure as I'm not the expert. So you tell us what you think it should be, remembering that even Labour have said that the requested 19% is not affordable.

    Bonus points for using a clever word BTW ;)

    Is this in the Labour thread because they have the better approach to it then?
    There's going to be a higher rise than currently offered, it's not going to be 19%. Why do we need to have more strikes before the government starts talking?
    We don't have to have more strikes: that is the unions' choice.
    Agree or disagree with the nurses' strikes, the government is choosing not to do anything to pause or stop them. I find that odd.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,903
    ...
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967
    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.
    Making an offer on day 1 could well give the impression of weakness and encourage more disruption. That said, the 9% offered looked reasonable to me.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The vacancies suggest that a rise is likely needed, but what that rise should be I am not sure as I'm not the expert. So you tell us what you think it should be, remembering that even Labour have said that the requested 19% is not affordable.

    Bonus points for using a clever word BTW ;)

    Is this in the Labour thread because they have the better approach to it then?
    There's going to be a higher rise than currently offered, it's not going to be 19%. Why do we need to have more strikes before the government starts talking?
    We don't have to have more strikes: that is the unions' choice.
    Agree or disagree with the nurses' strikes, the government is choosing not to do anything to pause or stop them. I find that odd.
    Possibly part of the negotiation strategy? No point appearing too keen.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,938
    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,938
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/

    Why shouldn't there be? Sunak is also 'playing politics' by refusing to listen: he's playing into Lynch's hands. the way that Scargill played into Thatcher's hands.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited January 2023
    Thatcher also agreed big pay rises too.

    Divide and conquer and all that.

    Virtually the entire public is behind the NHS staff.

    Everyone thinks the train staff treat us all like mugs anyway, so the trains are a different kettle of fish entirely.

    We were all clapping etc in 2020 for hospital staff and all felt they were paid too little then. We all remember that.

  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,938

    Thatcher also agreed big pay rises too.

    Divide and conquer and all that.

    Virtually the entire public is behind the NHS staff.

    Everyone thinks the train staff treat us all like mugs anyway, so the trains are a different kettle of fish entirely.

    We were all clapping etc in 2020 for hospital staff and all felt they were paid too little then. We all remember that.


    Thatcher prepared the ground well, and (unlike the poll tax) assessed the balance of support she'd get - I suspect even her most ardent political enemies would concede that. Sunak, not surprisingly, hasn't got either of those strengths.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/

    Why shouldn't there be? Sunak is also 'playing politics' by refusing to listen: he's playing into Lynch's hands. the way that Scargill played into Thatcher's hands.
    Read the link about what Lynch said: he sees himself as engaged in the old class struggle. Typical deluded hard leftie. That is a very different from allegedly not listening.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,938
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/

    Why shouldn't there be? Sunak is also 'playing politics' by refusing to listen: he's playing into Lynch's hands. the way that Scargill played into Thatcher's hands.
    Read the link about what Lynch said: he sees himself as engaged in the old class struggle. Typical deluded hard leftie. That is a very different from allegedly not listening.

    You don't think that Sunak is engaged in trying to dictate what 'classes' get access to what resources, and that that might be both motivating Lynch and giving him ammunition?

    The widening gap between the well-off and the not-well-off suggests why the not-well-off might be sensing that it's time to make a stand, and that they have a reasonable degree of public support (certainly greater in the case of nurses). The record of this government (in turbo-charged form with Truss & Kwarteng) is that the widening gap does not concern them in the least.

    If Lynch doesn't have the public support he needs, ultimately he'll fail. But of course it's politics: it takes two to tango.
  • https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11588635/amp/The-cruel-inefficient-Tories-betrayed-Mrs-Thatchers-principles-argues-LORD-SAATCHI.html

    I fear I may be becoming an old school Tory. I can’t disagree with a lot of that.

    The fact that this shill of a Tory party isn’t even pretending to negotiate is playing into the unions hands.

    If you offered nurses 9% this annum (not over two years as per Stevos railway workers offer) and they rejected it, public support would fall away quickly.

    Not even talking to them just looks like incompetence, not strength
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/

    Why shouldn't there be? Sunak is also 'playing politics' by refusing to listen: he's playing into Lynch's hands. the way that Scargill played into Thatcher's hands.
    Read the link about what Lynch said: he sees himself as engaged in the old class struggle. Typical deluded hard leftie. That is a very different from allegedly not listening.

    You don't think that Sunak is engaged in trying to dictate what 'classes' get access to what resources, and that that might be both motivating Lynch and giving him ammunition?

    The widening gap between the well-off and the not-well-off suggests why the not-well-off might be sensing that it's time to make a stand, and that they have a reasonable degree of public support (certainly greater in the case of nurses). The record of this government (in turbo-charged form with Truss & Kwarteng) is that the widening gap does not concern them in the least.

    If Lynch doesn't have the public support he needs, ultimately he'll fail. But of course it's politics: it takes two to tango.
    Not sure exactly what Sunak may be doing to achieve what you claim in your first paragraph, but again in the link Lynch is quoted as seeing himself as part of a class struggle. It's not a case of now is the time to make a stand; lefties have always seen it this way. He's just a hard left dinosaur.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    Why the focus on Lynch? There are dozens of other industries with strike actions.
  • Why the focus on Lynch? There are dozens of other industries with strike actions.

    He's the easy one.

    It's the same but opposite reason the focus is equally on nurses.

    Ironic that he's the chosen easy target on the Labour thread when he represents a union that is not been affiliated with/was expelled by Labour (depending on your viewpoint).

    Link from the newspaper of record about how kindly Lynch views the Labour Party: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/05/29/rail-unions-consider-leaving-labour-behind-keir-starmer-not/
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967

    Why the focus on Lynch? There are dozens of other industries with strike actions.

    He's a good enough example.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,903
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.
    Making an offer on day 1 could well give the impression of weakness and encourage more disruption. That said, the 9% offered looked reasonable to me.
    Key word is sensible. Making an early offer doesn't show weakness; it shows an interest in resolving the matter quickly, which saves everyone money. Delay always has a cost. You are also in effect saying you are happy for the government to collude in inconveniencing everyone for the sake of some illusory saving.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,903
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/

    Why shouldn't there be? Sunak is also 'playing politics' by refusing to listen: he's playing into Lynch's hands. the way that Scargill played into Thatcher's hands.
    Read the link about what Lynch said: he sees himself as engaged in the old class struggle. Typical deluded hard leftie. That is a very different from allegedly not listening.

    You don't think that Sunak is engaged in trying to dictate what 'classes' get access to what resources, and that that might be both motivating Lynch and giving him ammunition?

    The widening gap between the well-off and the not-well-off suggests why the not-well-off might be sensing that it's time to make a stand, and that they have a reasonable degree of public support (certainly greater in the case of nurses). The record of this government (in turbo-charged form with Truss & Kwarteng) is that the widening gap does not concern them in the least.

    If Lynch doesn't have the public support he needs, ultimately he'll fail. But of course it's politics: it takes two to tango.
    Not sure exactly what Sunak may be doing to achieve what you claim in your first paragraph, but again in the link Lynch is quoted as seeing himself as part of a class struggle. It's not a case of now is the time to make a stand; lefties have always seen it this way. He's just a hard left dinosaur.
    Well obviously. Which is why it's such a stupid move to give Lynch exactly the showdown he wants.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.
    Making an offer on day 1 could well give the impression of weakness and encourage more disruption. That said, the 9% offered looked reasonable to me.
    Key word is sensible. Making an early offer doesn't show weakness; it shows an interest in resolving the matter quickly, which saves everyone money. Delay always has a cost. You are also in effect saying you are happy for the government to collude in inconveniencing everyone for the sake of some illusory saving.
    The choice to strike is with the unions as I've already said. It sounds like you've bought into the union rhetoric of 'we were forced to strike'.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,967
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    ...

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The lack of a reply to my post above suggests that googling a stock graph from an economics website and posting it on here only gets you so far :)

    When was the last time there weren’t chronic shortages? Have a look and then extrapolate what those real wages were.

    Given they’ve had roughly a 5% real wage cut since 2010, and inflation is currently at 10%, you’d expect 15% would the close to the mark, unless you’re going to say they were overpaid in 2010?
    Hard to say what is overpaid in this case. Although I know rom my medic friends that the NHS pension arrangements are pretty generous (being a mixture of final salary and career average DB schemes), which is worth a lot compared to to DC schemes most of us have.

    The problem with a rise like that is that it will encourage other unions to go on strike for more. Can't imagine Mick Lynch and the other hard left union barons settling for less if the government rolls over on this one.
    I think you've bought into Lynch's own hype a bit too much. Sunak is playing right into Lynch's hands by trying to act tough. He could have completely undermined most of Lynch's nonsense (as R4 did in their interview) if he'd just authorised making a sensible offer on day one.

    Sunak is obviously hoping that Lynch will be his Scargill, but that's not going to fly, firstly because Lynch is smarter than Scargill, and because there was a genuine fear (not universally shared, obviously) that Scargill could bring the country to its knees, at a time when union power was much greater, and coal had the monopoly on power generation. Scargill also (IIRC) overplayed his hand by not balloting his members, so giving Thatcher's actions some cover. As far as I'm aware, Lynch has played it by the (union rule) book.
    Whether he has or hasn't played it by the rule book, I'm pretty sure there is a political motivation to what he is doing.
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/14/mick-lynch-bandwagon-has-stalled-knows/

    Why shouldn't there be? Sunak is also 'playing politics' by refusing to listen: he's playing into Lynch's hands. the way that Scargill played into Thatcher's hands.
    Read the link about what Lynch said: he sees himself as engaged in the old class struggle. Typical deluded hard leftie. That is a very different from allegedly not listening.

    You don't think that Sunak is engaged in trying to dictate what 'classes' get access to what resources, and that that might be both motivating Lynch and giving him ammunition?

    The widening gap between the well-off and the not-well-off suggests why the not-well-off might be sensing that it's time to make a stand, and that they have a reasonable degree of public support (certainly greater in the case of nurses). The record of this government (in turbo-charged form with Truss & Kwarteng) is that the widening gap does not concern them in the least.

    If Lynch doesn't have the public support he needs, ultimately he'll fail. But of course it's politics: it takes two to tango.
    Not sure exactly what Sunak may be doing to achieve what you claim in your first paragraph, but again in the link Lynch is quoted as seeing himself as part of a class struggle. It's not a case of now is the time to make a stand; lefties have always seen it this way. He's just a hard left dinosaur.
    Well obviously. Which is why it's such a stupid move to give Lynch exactly the showdown he wants.
    What, by giving in?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]