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  • shortfall
    shortfall Posts: 3,288
    edited May 2021
    Jezyboy said:

    shortfall said:

    https://unherd.com/2021/05/labour-isnt-working/

    Paul Embery nails it in this brilliant analysis.

    I think he rather glosses over how Labour keep the metropolitan "elite" happy whilst appealing to the "working" class.

    It's no good winning Hartlepool if all you've done is swap it for Islington.

    He devotes a couple.of paragraphs to explaining that the metropolitan elite will have to learn to park their devotion to identify politics and wokery and compromise with large swathes of voters in their northern heartlands who don't share their views and who had to suck it up in the same way when B!air took the party in a different direction. It's not going to be easy, this is existential for Labour. It shows you how far they've fallen that they're getting annihilated by a terrible government who have been in power for 10 years and struggled to deal with a pandemic.
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,670
    Devotion to wokery :D
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 62,022
    Good flounce by the defeated Labour candidate for Hartlepool :)

    https://metro.co.uk/2021/05/07/hartlepool-labour-candidate-walks-off-without-speech-after-landslide-defeat-14536039/

    Not just a bad party, bad losers as well.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • DeVlaeminck
    DeVlaeminck Posts: 9,112
    What Labour has to do (imo) is present a vision for the future of the country and then try and take people with them.

    It can't be a zero sum game where people's opinions are fixed and Labour try and position themselves so their policies alienate the smallest number because they just look like they stand for nothing. Go out and try and shape what people think, inspire them, win the argument.

    [Castle Donington Ladies FC - going up in '22]
  • morstar
    morstar Posts: 6,190

    What Labour has to do (imo) is present a vision for the future of the country and then try and take people with them.

    It can't be a zero sum game where people's opinions are fixed and Labour try and position themselves so their policies alienate the smallest number because they just look like they stand for nothing. Go out and try and shape what people think, inspire them, win the argument.

    Well put.
    Added to that they need to be massively more visible.
    It’s the Information Age and yet for the last 5 years Labour leadership has been background noise at best. Corbin was totally absent and keir has yet to do much.

    Andy Burnham won a landslide victory as a visible leader. Bojo is the same, visible and popular, Wales and Scotland a similar story.
    Being quietly competent in the background counts for nothing. PMQ’s is only noticed by a minority who are actively engaged.
  • shortfall
    shortfall Posts: 3,288
    edited May 2021
    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 62,022
    edited May 2021
    Gobshyte Rayner just been sacked. Looks like Keir feels he has to wield the axe.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • shortfall
    shortfall Posts: 3,288
    Stevo_666 said:

    Gobshyte Rayner just been sacked. Looks like Keir feels he has to wield the axe.

    It's really annoyed Owen Jones and Ash Sarkar so it's probably a smart move.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 62,022
    shortfall said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Gobshyte Rayner just been sacked. Looks like Keir feels he has to wield the axe.

    It's really annoyed Owen Jones and Ash Sarkar so it's probably a smart move.
    Thats a good sign. They probably see it as the start of a purge of the Corbynite lefties.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,670
    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,670
    And I'll add that I think equating climate change with "woke causes" is pretty silly too.
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • shortfall
    shortfall Posts: 3,288
    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,670
    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
    Your analogy is a little confused but, again, I don't disagree that Labour are not widely electable at the moment. Obviously...

    What I disagree with is the concept of cities full of woke metropolitan elites. Otherwise Labour would be doing much better.

    Or are you alluding to widespread homophobia being the problem?
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
    This type of analysis is guilty of paying to much attention to the number of seats and too little to actual voter behaviour.

    Johnson may have a stinking 81 seat majority but the proportion of votes isn’t that high.

    If you add up labour LD and Greens there’s usually a progressive majority in more or less every election in the last 30 years.

    FPTP really exaggerates shifts and puts a huge emphasis on both big parties showing up. It is not really very representative.

    I mentioned it in the other thread.

    The local mayoral election was very close on the first vote - very few vote in it. On the second vote labour absolutely smashed the Tory candidate. That second round info is info we are normally not privy to.

    Different systems produce different results.
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,670

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
    This type of analysis is guilty of paying to much attention to the number of seats and too little to actual voter behaviour.

    Johnson may have a stinking 81 seat majority but the proportion of votes isn’t that high.

    If you add up labour LD and Greens there’s usually a progressive majority in more or less every election in the last 30 years.

    FPTP really exaggerates shifts and puts a huge emphasis on both big parties showing up. It is not really very representative.

    I mentioned it in the other thread.

    The local mayoral election was very close on the first vote - very few vote in it. On the second vote labour absolutely smashed the Tory candidate. That second round info is info we are normally not privy to.

    Different systems produce different results.
    Same here, although labour had a slim lead after the first votes, after the second:

    Dan Norris (Labour) -125,482
    Samuel Williams (Conservative) - 85,389
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    There is also an awful lot of characaturing of labour faithful here too.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited May 2021
    And as for thinking sneering at people at the other end of the political spectrum is somehow the exclusive realm of people on the left....



    Curious he thinks racial minorities are somehow an electoral problem for the Tories but anyway....
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
    This type of analysis is guilty of paying to much attention to the number of seats and too little to actual voter behaviour.

    Johnson may have a stinking 81 seat majority but the proportion of votes isn’t that high.

    If you add up labour LD and Greens there’s usually a progressive majority in more or less every election in the last 30 years.

    FPTP really exaggerates shifts and puts a huge emphasis on both big parties showing up. It is not really very representative.

    I mentioned it in the other thread.

    The local mayoral election was very close on the first vote - very few vote in it. On the second vote labour absolutely smashed the Tory candidate. That second round info is info we are normally not privy to.

    Different systems produce different results.
    So on this, the gap between Tories and Labour has shrunk substantially in terms of actual number of votes.

    Wales is a big surprise.

    Arguably this govt is riding a wave as a result of the vaccination programme.

    It’s not all doom and gloom.


    And as for “woke” candidates banging on about pronouns, here’s an anecdote for you.

    Newnham here in Cambridge is the main University district. Big expensive houses backing onto beautiful historical buildings. Highest concentration of Nobel prize winners in the world.

    Newnham is Lib Dem through and through. Been yellow for as long as I can remember.

    3 city council seats available in Newnham. Has always been LD.

    This year a very vocal councillor who was very hot on gender fluidity and pronouns etc got kicked out for a labour candidate - Newnham turned in two LD councillors and one labour and the “woke” councillor got binned.

    And they don’t get much more progressive than Newnham.

    It’s a red herring I’m telling ya.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,302
    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
    It's an interesting point, and key to understanding. Eddie Izzard and Owen Jones aren't Labour politicians like Foot and Kinnock were. And they don't only turn northerners off.
  • pinkbikini
    pinkbikini Posts: 876

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    shortfall said:

    pangolin said:

    Devotion to wokery :D

    Thanks for your contribution. This is what he actually says if it helps:
    If that means that topics such as LGBT rights, climate change, gender identity, Palestine and the next woke cause that comes along must take more of a back seat, so be it.

    Do you have any thoughts of your own that might illuminate the discussion?
    I did read it. Didn't disagree with much of it really, a lot if it is what people have said on here.

    I do find the idea that there is more than a handful of vocal twitter users who are 'devoted to wokery' quite funny, sorry. If cites were as chock full of these liberal elites as some people make out then Labour's recent guise would have been doing much better.
    Let's put it another way. Eddie Izzard, Owen Jones and Diane Abbott are to Boris as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock were to Maggie. Former Labour voters in the northern heartlands aren't going to flood back all the time people like that are seen as the face of the party. They're electoral kryptonite outside of London and the South.
    It's an interesting point, and key to understanding. Eddie Izzard and Owen Jones aren't Labour politicians like Foot and Kinnock were. And they don't only turn northerners off.
    If we’re talking electoral kryptonite, how does anyone (esp. Conservative voters) explain a failure like Gavin Williamson? Or Thicky Patel? How can massively unqualified and unsuccessful ministers be ignored over a Labour side-policy relating to, for instance, LGBT?
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    Why don’t they out populist him with bigger promises and bigger flags, attack him for being soft on Brussels?
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,477
    edited May 2021
    The conclusion seems to be that Northern England don't vote Labour because of everything they've done in government for the last 10 years, because of people who aren't anywhere near the running of Labour, that there are no working class people in London and identity politics is to blame, but they shouldn't sack a northern working class woman.

    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Why don’t they out populist him with bigger promises and bigger flags, attack him for being soft on Brussels?

    London won’t vote for that surely
  • elbowloh
    elbowloh Posts: 7,078

    The conclusion seems to be that Northern England don't vote Labour because of everything they've done in government for the last 10 years, because of people who aren't anywhere near the running of Labour, that there are no working class people in London and identity politics is to blame, but they shouldn't sack a northern working class woman.

    No working class people in Manchester either. They're also London centered metropolitan elite wannabees there.
    Felt F1 2014
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  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    I guess focusing on the whole culture wars is a helpful way to distract from a decade of failed economic policy.

  • morstar
    morstar Posts: 6,190
    The current situation is that fptp fundamentally works in a two party system but once the voting is wider spread it totally disproportionately favours tha largest single party regardless of overall popularity.
    The tories are by far and a way the largest single.
    Assuming that doesn’t change in the foreseeable future to overcome this, the opposition parties have to unite to gain power, the only way I see this happening is both national cohesion and a firm commitment to introduce PR upon success.

    If not, it is simply a case of waiting while the incumbent party gets so complacent that people turn their backs on them.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 62,022

    but they shouldn't sack a northern working class woman.

    Speaking of which, Starmer can't sack Rayner as deputy leader because she is elected to the post. So after getting rid of her as party chairman, they really are going to get on well. The dream ticket :smile:
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,302
    Is Owen Jones not a working class northerner?
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 62,022

    I guess focusing on the whole culture wars is a helpful way to distract from a decade of failed economic policy.

    What I see here is people trying to distract from some very good election results for the tories.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    No one is saying that Stevo, relax.