Poo tin... Put@in...
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If this is genuine (and even if no-one was in the dugout), it's pretty impressive drone flying... bet the operator is good at computer games.
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Still incremental, but there does seem to be a plan...
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It was quite a surprise that’s for sure.shirley_basso said:
I see the final count of helicopters damaged or destroyed by that pair of ATACAMS is up to 20 confirmed now. That’s VFM.
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thegreatdivide said:
It was quite a surprise that’s for sure.shirley_basso said:
I see the final count of helicopters damaged or destroyed by that pair of ATACAMS is up to 20 confirmed now. That’s VFM.
I think the US ATACMS could swing things... I see that UKR has made a bit of a breakthrough on the Dnpro river, and Russian milbloggers are concerned, though elsewhere Russia had made a few marginal advances.0 -
Oops. Maybe they need to look at their risk assessments anew.
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They should widen their goals as it is only a hop skip and ajump to the Volga then if they get the Kazakhs and Georgians to join in then Putin would be well snookeredbriantrumpet said:0 -
surrey_commuter said:
They should widen their goals as it is only a hop skip and ajump to the Volga then if they get the Kazakhs and Georgians to join in then Putin would be well snookeredbriantrumpet said:
It's all gone a bit quiet - though the stuff on ISW doesn't give cause for too much pessimism at the moment on that front.
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I know it's only one Rusky thing destroyed, but it's worth listening with the sound up for the onomatopoeic words in Ukrainian and the universal swear word right at the end. And to see some really bad reversing.
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Worth a read for the perception from a Ukrainian journalist about the winter to come...
tl;dr - it's still going to be hard, but hopefully not as hard as last winter.
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Crimea’s southern coast and the peninsula itself was battered by a pretty major storm at the weekend and from reading a few posts, it looks like it’s destroyed swathes of coastal defences.0
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thegreatdivide said:
Crimea’s southern coast and the peninsula itself was battered by a pretty major storm at the weekend and from reading a few posts, it looks like it’s destroyed swathes of coastal defences.
It would be remiss of Ukraine not to take advantage... the Kerch Bridge, for instance...0 -
Looking at the weather in Europe at present I can’t see there being much progress on land any time soon. It might test the Russian supply lines though.0
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While Russia seems to be consolidating by throwing more and more troops into the meat grinder, Ukraine at least gave them unwanted Christmas hardware gifts - two or three fighter jets shot down, plus another major ship in Crimea taken out with some nice fireworks to celebrate. (Russia has confirmed the hit.)
But things not looking great for Ukraine if the Republicans block further US support in 2024.
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I think the Russians said that one person was killed. Maybe the others just had surface wounds, despite none of the ship apparently surviving. I think that'll encourage Ukraine through dark days. It was a pretty big bang.
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It’s not Stalin’s era anymore though. With it not being a defensive war, with the population having access to media that isn’t state propaganda I can’t see the population blindly accepting being thrown into the meat grinder.
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MAGA Trump. Brexshit. Spaffer. Muppets gonna keep on muppeting.
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all the analysts (who in fairness thought Russia would win in a week) seem to be saying that it’s Ukraine with the manpower and supply problems and not Russia.
They have a lot of very poor people and criminals for who going to a war marginally better than their current life. The sanctions have not had the effect we all hoped on the Russian economy or war industry.
It’s looking grim for Ukraine and if Trump wins they are toast. Even if not, the rise in far right in Europe (like Wilders) won’t help as they are pro Russia.
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Blimey, it's not surprising that that boat isn't going to be going anywhere but down. Boom. Nice fireworks indeed.
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Yup, though can't help feeling that a strategic supply of some cheeky longer-range missiles would give a good return on the outlay: if they can make Crimea harder to hold onto, it would tilt the scales somewhat.
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They do not have mre people than Ukraine has bullets.
It is all about the repacement rate. To "draw" Ukraine would need a kill ration of 3:1.
Ho Chi Minh told the Americans that he could have 100 deaths for every American death ad they would still win
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It really isn't.
The only way ukraine can get anywhere near the winning ratio is to defend and never attack, but they have to attack to prove to their population and backers that they can win.
Well resourced armies rotate the chaps at the front (think 6-8 months) as that level of stress is reckoned to be unsustainable. Ukraine has not been abe to do that so the longer Russia forces them to keep a massive front line presence the more likely you are to see a collapse.
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OK I don't think we're disagreeing. I think the comment I made is more about Russia's tolerance for their own losses (i.e. they'll take as many losses as required) and that Ukraine is running relatively low on munitions and general war supplies.
The longer any war plays out the more the war industrial capacity and manpower comes into play. Ukraine is very low and the West is losing interest in propping up the shortfall.
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war is very expensive and whilst supplying the war machine has turbocharged the Rusian economy it must be fuelled by debt. For those of us who do not believe debt fuelled growth is unsustainable it would suggest that at some point the Russian economy will colleapse.
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