Donald Trump
Comments
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You're 'avin a larf int' ya?pearceygy said:What’s with all the Trump hating on here? He has his faults for sure but he’s achieved far more than the youth club leader Obama, and to think it could of been Corrupt Clinton? Anyway fingers crossed he gets another term least thing the country needs is a left wing Marxist nutcase who’s not even fit to hold a conversation never mind run the country.
seanoconn - gruagach craic!0 -
FANG are so big they account for the vast majority of all movements - S&P at this point is a marginally diluted big tech play and not much more.Stevo_666 said:
Not sure exactly what you're referring to, but if the author of the article is right it has had an 87% success rate since 1928 and 100% since 1984.rick_chasey said:
S&P has big structural issues right now anyway.Stevo_666 said:According to this article, the movement of the S&P 500 in the run up to the presidential election has been a good indicator of who will win:
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/want-to-know-wholl-win-the-us-election-look-at-the-stock-market-98lxg3hc60 -
OK. Will still be interested to see if the S&P 'method' calls it the right way.rick_chasey said:
FANG are so big they account for the vast majority of all movements - S&P at this point is a marginally diluted big tech play and not much more.Stevo_666 said:
Not sure exactly what you're referring to, but if the author of the article is right it has had an 87% success rate since 1928 and 100% since 1984.rick_chasey said:
S&P has big structural issues right now anyway.Stevo_666 said:According to this article, the movement of the S&P 500 in the run up to the presidential election has been a good indicator of who will win:
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/want-to-know-wholl-win-the-us-election-look-at-the-stock-market-98lxg3hc6"I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]0 -
Correlation isn't causation etc.Stevo_666 said:
OK. Will still be interested to see if the S&P 'method' calls it the right way.rick_chasey said:
FANG are so big they account for the vast majority of all movements - S&P at this point is a marginally diluted big tech play and not much more.Stevo_666 said:
Not sure exactly what you're referring to, but if the author of the article is right it has had an 87% success rate since 1928 and 100% since 1984.rick_chasey said:
S&P has big structural issues right now anyway.Stevo_666 said:According to this article, the movement of the S&P 500 in the run up to the presidential election has been a good indicator of who will win:
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/want-to-know-wholl-win-the-us-election-look-at-the-stock-market-98lxg3hc6
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Another evening with only the wine bottles for company? You should really address your level of drinking.orraloon said:^ that's that Botster arris at it again with another dormant login ID. Off.
Not me, nothing to do with me, but there are likely to be a lot of 'shy' Trump voters in the US who are going to make this a lot closer than you think
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Try going to the Tory Party thread and you will see exactly the same argument.pinno said:
You're 'avin a larf int' ya?pearceygy said:What’s with all the Trump hating on here? He has his faults for sure but he’s achieved far more than the youth club leader Obama, and to think it could of been Corrupt Clinton? Anyway fingers crossed he gets another term least thing the country needs is a left wing Marxist nutcase who’s not even fit to hold a conversation never mind run the country.
Whether a troll or not he reflects the tribal nature of US politics.0 -
The irony of the USPS debacle is comical.
Trump dislikes mail in ballot (despite him using it)
USPS Head is a Trump supporter
USPS have began rolling back services including mass sorting machines citing Covid
Trump actively blocks funding to USPS claiming he wont fund fraud.
Its both very stupid, and very clever.
He knows his core voting group will turn up and vote because they reckon Covid-19 is fake and if they carry a fire arm it wont come near them. Figures suggest around 3/4 of republicans are planning to vote in person while around half the Democrats are planning to use mail in ballots citing Covid-19 (plus historically democrats vote via mail ballot)
But, you then have the greater number of people who are seeing his de funding of USPS for what it is, active voter suppression.
Which has alarmed even some Republicans. The house has been recalled because of it to try an push a bill through and call up the post master general on why exactly they suddenly cant deal with the voter mail.
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Whatever - have a word with the bloke who wrote the article if you disagree. I was just posting it as info.rick_chasey said:
Correlation isn't causation etc.Stevo_666 said:
OK. Will still be interested to see if the S&P 'method' calls it the right way.rick_chasey said:
FANG are so big they account for the vast majority of all movements - S&P at this point is a marginally diluted big tech play and not much more.Stevo_666 said:
Not sure exactly what you're referring to, but if the author of the article is right it has had an 87% success rate since 1928 and 100% since 1984.rick_chasey said:
S&P has big structural issues right now anyway.Stevo_666 said:According to this article, the movement of the S&P 500 in the run up to the presidential election has been a good indicator of who will win:
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/want-to-know-wholl-win-the-us-election-look-at-the-stock-market-98lxg3hc6"I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]0 -
There's also the fact that the Trump is making the post take longer to be delivered, including all the things that aren't ballots. I can't see how that is a move in the right direction.step83 said:The irony of the USPS debacle is comical.
Trump dislikes mail in ballot (despite him using it)
USPS Head is a Trump supporter
USPS have began rolling back services including mass sorting machines citing Covid
Trump actively blocks funding to USPS claiming he wont fund fraud.
Its both very stupid, and very clever.
He knows his core voting group will turn up and vote because they reckon Covid-19 is fake and if they carry a fire arm it wont come near them. Figures suggest around 3/4 of republicans are planning to vote in person while around half the Democrats are planning to use mail in ballots citing Covid-19 (plus historically democrats vote via mail ballot)
But, you then have the greater number of people who are seeing his de funding of USPS for what it is, active voter suppression.
Which has alarmed even some Republicans. The house has been recalled because of it to try an push a bill through and call up the post master general on why exactly they suddenly cant deal with the voter mail.0 -
It's good for fed-ex, ups, and DHL.kingstongraham said:
There's also the fact that the Trump is making the post take longer to be delivered, including all the things that aren't ballots. I can't see how that is a move in the right direction.step83 said:The irony of the USPS debacle is comical.
Trump dislikes mail in ballot (despite him using it)
USPS Head is a Trump supporter
USPS have began rolling back services including mass sorting machines citing Covid
Trump actively blocks funding to USPS claiming he wont fund fraud.
Its both very stupid, and very clever.
He knows his core voting group will turn up and vote because they reckon Covid-19 is fake and if they carry a fire arm it wont come near them. Figures suggest around 3/4 of republicans are planning to vote in person while around half the Democrats are planning to use mail in ballots citing Covid-19 (plus historically democrats vote via mail ballot)
But, you then have the greater number of people who are seeing his de funding of USPS for what it is, active voter suppression.
Which has alarmed even some Republicans. The house has been recalled because of it to try an push a bill through and call up the post master general on why exactly they suddenly cant deal with the voter mail.0 -
And it's exactly why I am avoiding such threads.surrey_commuter said:
Try going to the Tory Party thread and you will see exactly the same argument.
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Pity. There's no actual debate (though not stipulated), it's just a sh1t slinging fest.
seanoconn - gruagach craic!0 -
Surely your post is one for the irony thread?pinno said:
And it's exactly why I am avoiding such threads.surrey_commuter said:
Try going to the Tory Party thread and you will see exactly the same argument.
.
Pity. There's no actual debate (though not stipulated), it's just censored slinging fest.
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my point is that you should not look upon Trump in isolation, it needs to be seen in perspective.pinno said:
And it's exactly why I am avoiding such threads.surrey_commuter said:
Try going to the Tory Party thread and you will see exactly the same argument.
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Pity. There's no actual debate (though not stipulated), it's just a censored slinging fest.
This thread is full of questions about why the Republican party does not solve their Trump problem. Boris is tearing up many things that the Tory party stands for yet it stays mainly mute.
Total disregard for accepted norms and conventions when you realise that if you have enough brass neck nobody can stop you?
Talk total nonsense (AKA lie) to resolve an immediate problem?
preside over failure and proclaim a world leading victory?
There is an incredibly high number of people in the Uk who think the Govt have dealt well with C19.
You study Trump from afar and profess to not know how his support can not implode and how can he not get a thumping defeat yet the answers to most of these questions is on your own doorstep. If there was an election tomorrow the Tory and Labour % votes will move in the same narrow bands.2 -
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I'm no fan of any of them but that's not a helpful comparison. It manages to simultaneously discredit BoJo and give too much credibility to the other two.rick_chasey said:^^ it is no co-incidence one of Obama's close advisers lumps BoJo in with Trump and Bolsonaro.
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Right wing populists who are very relaxed about lying and who like to appoint incompetents for their loyalty.First.Aspect said:
I'm no fan of any of them but that's not a helpful comparison. It manages to simultaneously discredit BoJo and give too much credibility to the other two.rick_chasey said:^^ it is no co-incidence one of Obama's close advisers lumps BoJo in with Trump and Bolsonaro.
I think that describes all three.
And you wonder why all three have done badly in Corona.0 -
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His tribute to his brother. Brings a tear to the eye.
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lock up immigrants = use the royal navy to "push" inflatable dinghies or women and children back into French watersrick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
claim to build a wall = claiming to not build a customs checks between NI/UK
i think the brains around Boris have been watching Trump and drawing their own conclusions about how it will work with the British public.
i think the parliamentary party will knife him before the public does as I imagine the lying feels more personal.0 -
So far as I'm aware Fed-ex and UPS have noped out of that situation, I think the bulk of their setup is parcel not letter so they would need to integrate a lot of new infrastructure to handle even normal postal volumes.darkhairedlord said:
It's good for fed-ex, ups, and DHL.kingstongraham said:
There's also the fact that the Trump is making the post take longer to be delivered, including all the things that aren't ballots. I can't see how that is a move in the right direction.step83 said:The irony of the USPS debacle is comical.
Trump dislikes mail in ballot (despite him using it)
USPS Head is a Trump supporter
USPS have began rolling back services including mass sorting machines citing Covid
Trump actively blocks funding to USPS claiming he wont fund fraud.
Its both very stupid, and very clever.
He knows his core voting group will turn up and vote because they reckon Covid-19 is fake and if they carry a fire arm it wont come near them. Figures suggest around 3/4 of republicans are planning to vote in person while around half the Democrats are planning to use mail in ballots citing Covid-19 (plus historically democrats vote via mail ballot)
But, you then have the greater number of people who are seeing his de funding of USPS for what it is, active voter suppression.
Which has alarmed even some Republicans. The house has been recalled because of it to try an push a bill through and call up the post master general on why exactly they suddenly cant deal with the voter mail.0 -
Well, yes, they are all mostly bipedal as well. My point was more about degrees of carp.rick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
I think our democracy will more or less survive BoJo, whereas the US will regret this total shift of acceptable standards for generations to come. Not really sure about Brazil, tbh.0 -
Brazil's exports to China is worth $64bn and $29bn to the US.
With those major players on side, Bolsonero probably feels like he can do what he likes.seanoconn - gruagach craic!0 -
I think that the US written constitution is much stronger than ours. For instance it details exactly who is in charge in certain events up to and including the President losing the election and refusing to leave the White House.First.Aspect said:
Well, yes, they are all mostly bipedal as well. My point was more about degrees of carp.rick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
I think our democracy will more or less survive BoJo, whereas the US will regret this total shift of acceptable standards for generations to come. Not really sure about Brazil, tbh.
The Uk by contrast seems to rely upon the PM knowing what the right thing to do is. As far as I am aware it is against no law or parliamentary rule to lie to the Queen, promote your brother to the HoL, take donations from shady Russians, suppress reports into your own wrongdoing, award lucrative contracts to your mates, fly your latest squeeze around the world on public funds.
It still amuses me that Al Fayed sued Neil Hamilton for accepting a bribe and then not getting him a British passport. Bizarrely it was neither illegal to bribe an MP or for an MP to accept a bribe.0 -
I may be missing the point but that puts him in their pocketspinno said:Brazil's exports to China is worth $64bn and $29bn to the US.
With those major players on side, Bolsonero probably feels like he can do what he likes.0 -
They’re just less obvious about it but I do not think this is a given and it smacks of British exceptionalism.First.Aspect said:
Well, yes, they are all mostly bipedal as well. My point was more about degrees of carp.rick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
I think our democracy will more or less survive BoJo, whereas the US will regret this total shift of acceptable standards for generations to come. Not really sure about Brazil, tbh.
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I'm surprised that there has been no comment from the usual quarters about Kamala accusing Biden of being a racist and thus now running on a racists ticket?tailwindhome said:Biden picks Kamala Harris as his VP for 2020 and thereby presumptive nominee for 2024
Or does some racism get a pass if you are a Democrat president?0 -
You could of course watch what she said in that exchange, which started with "Vice President Biden, I do not believe you are a racist."coopster_the_1st said:
I'm surprised that there has been no comment from the usual quarters about Kamala accusing Biden of being a racist and thus now running on a racists ticket?tailwindhome said:Biden picks Kamala Harris as his VP for 2020 and thereby presumptive nominee for 2024
Or does some racism get a pass if you are a Democrat president?0 -
You make it seem like some of these things are new...surrey_commuter said:
I think that the US written constitution is much stronger than ours. For instance it details exactly who is in charge in certain events up to and including the President losing the election and refusing to leave the White House.First.Aspect said:
Well, yes, they are all mostly bipedal as well. My point was more about degrees of carp.rick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
I think our democracy will more or less survive BoJo, whereas the US will regret this total shift of acceptable standards for generations to come. Not really sure about Brazil, tbh.
The Uk by contrast seems to rely upon the PM knowing what the right thing to do is. As far as I am aware it is against no law or parliamentary rule to lie to the Queen, promote your brother to the HoL, take donations from shady Russians, suppress reports into your own wrongdoing, award lucrative contracts to your mates, fly your latest squeeze around the world on public funds.
It still amuses me that Al Fayed sued Neil Hamilton for accepting a bribe and then not getting him a British passport. Bizarrely it was neither illegal to bribe an MP or for an MP to accept a bribe.
The seismic "all bets are off" approach of the Republicans will have a more profound long term effect, I would say.0 -
America was already quasi fascist for a while so there was less resistance, but if you think May and BoJo haven't moved the dial in terms of tearing up elements of liberal democracy for their own (usually Brexit related) ends then you haven't been paying enough attention.First.Aspect said:
You make it seem like some of these things are new...surrey_commuter said:
I think that the US written constitution is much stronger than ours. For instance it details exactly who is in charge in certain events up to and including the President losing the election and refusing to leave the White House.First.Aspect said:
Well, yes, they are all mostly bipedal as well. My point was more about degrees of carp.rick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
I think our democracy will more or less survive BoJo, whereas the US will regret this total shift of acceptable standards for generations to come. Not really sure about Brazil, tbh.
The Uk by contrast seems to rely upon the PM knowing what the right thing to do is. As far as I am aware it is against no law or parliamentary rule to lie to the Queen, promote your brother to the HoL, take donations from shady Russians, suppress reports into your own wrongdoing, award lucrative contracts to your mates, fly your latest squeeze around the world on public funds.
It still amuses me that Al Fayed sued Neil Hamilton for accepting a bribe and then not getting him a British passport. Bizarrely it was neither illegal to bribe an MP or for an MP to accept a bribe.
The seismic "all bets are off" approach of the Republicans will have a more profound long term effect, I would say.
Need i draw your attention to the furore over the ruling that BoJo *unlawfully* suspending parliament, and the rule change thereafter.
Did the government publicly defend the rule of law? Did they f*ck.0 -
We do seem to be merely comparing degrees of cesspit, I agree.rick_chasey said:
America was already quasi fascist for a while so there was less resistance, but if you think May and BoJo haven't moved the dial in terms of tearing up elements of liberal democracy for their own (usually Brexit related) ends then you haven't been paying enough attention.First.Aspect said:
You make it seem like some of these things are new...surrey_commuter said:
I think that the US written constitution is much stronger than ours. For instance it details exactly who is in charge in certain events up to and including the President losing the election and refusing to leave the White House.First.Aspect said:
Well, yes, they are all mostly bipedal as well. My point was more about degrees of carp.rick_chasey said:Unfaithful to their wives...history of gaffes and offensive comments.
list goes on.
I think our democracy will more or less survive BoJo, whereas the US will regret this total shift of acceptable standards for generations to come. Not really sure about Brazil, tbh.
The Uk by contrast seems to rely upon the PM knowing what the right thing to do is. As far as I am aware it is against no law or parliamentary rule to lie to the Queen, promote your brother to the HoL, take donations from shady Russians, suppress reports into your own wrongdoing, award lucrative contracts to your mates, fly your latest squeeze around the world on public funds.
It still amuses me that Al Fayed sued Neil Hamilton for accepting a bribe and then not getting him a British passport. Bizarrely it was neither illegal to bribe an MP or for an MP to accept a bribe.
The seismic "all bets are off" approach of the Republicans will have a more profound long term effect, I would say.
Need i draw your attention to the furore over the ruling that BoJo *unlawfully* suspending parliament, and the rule change thereafter.
Did the government publicly defend the rule of law? Did they f*ck.0
