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  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,271
    I think this is a reasonable summary of Labour's prospects, in the aftermath of the by-elections...

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/23/labour-stumble-uxbridge-shows-keir-starmer-how-to-put-party-on-firmer-footing

    One moral here is that the way to sell environmentally friendly policies to voters is with carrots, not sticks. It was a blunder to fight that byelection without a plan to make the transition to cleaner vehicles affordable for voters struggling with the cost of living crisis. “With hindsight, we should have talked about a more generous car scrappage scheme,” says one shadow cabinet member. Another warning is that the Tories still have some life in them. They may look exhausted as a government, but they won’t relinquish power without a vicious fight and have some ruthless tricks up their sleeves when it comes to campaigning.

    Labour needs to fully absorb this lesson before it is plunged into the intense heat of a general election campaign. Every policy that it plans to put before the electorate ought to be examined for potential vulnerabilities and thoroughly fireproofed against assault. Lines of defence need to be clear and firm because, as Uxbridge illustrated, Labour won’t see off Tory attacks with equivocations and ambiguity.

    There’s another cause for some Labour disquiet. We know that public alienation from the Conservatives runs deep, but there is still not that much enthusiasm for Sir Keir’s party. In Selby, the Tory vote collapsed by more than 21,000. The Labour vote only rose by less than 3,000. It has become a cliche to say that Sir Keir has yet to “seal the deal” with Britain, but that doesn’t stop it being true.

    This will add spice to the argument about where the party should strike the balance between reassuring voters that it can be trusted with government and enthusing them with its plans for power. A wrong answer is to say that Labour should try to be exciting by throwing caution to the winds. Sir Keir won’t win office if a lot of voters think his party is a risky proposition. An equally wrong answer is to say that Labour should have as few distinctive policies as possible for fear of exposing itself to Tory attack. Voters need to believe Labour will be different if they are to be persuaded that their families and their country will be better off for electing a Starmer government. Between here and election day, Labour has to convince people that it will be both a responsible government and one that delivers change. It is a tricky balancing act, but if you can’t ride two horses at once, you shouldn’t be in the circus.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    Pross said:

    Did a bit of Leftie bashing for Stevo today. One of the local MPs and former Shadow Home Secretary did the 10k I ran but I beat him by 20 minutes.

    Nick Thomas-Symonds? Quick Google shows he's a bit of a chubster so no surprise there.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    edited July 2023

    I think this is a reasonable summary of Labour's prospects, in the aftermath of the by-elections...

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/23/labour-stumble-uxbridge-shows-keir-starmer-how-to-put-party-on-firmer-footing

    One moral here is that the way to sell environmentally friendly policies to voters is with carrots, not sticks.
    Try telling that bit about carrots not sticks to a few people on here...
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,601
    Honestly panicking about not winning Uxbridge strikes me as faintly ridiculous. This is a constituency (or rather it's predecessor was one) where even Tony Blair didn't make much of a dent in the popularity of the conservatives.

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,461
    Stevo_666 said:

    Pross said:

    Did a bit of Leftie bashing for Stevo today. One of the local MPs and former Shadow Home Secretary did the 10k I ran but I beat him by 20 minutes.

    Nick Thomas-Symonds? Quick Google shows he's a bit of a chubster so no surprise there.
    Don’t go bursting my bubble. He’s younger than me too.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,461
    Jezyboy said:

    Honestly panicking about not winning Uxbridge strikes me as faintly ridiculous. This is a constituency (or rather it's predecessor was one) where even Tony Blair didn't make much of a dent in the popularity of the conservatives.

    And it went to a recount with even the winning candidate admitting he’d only won due to a local issue and not something that was national policy. It was a huge vote swing.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,095
    edited July 2023
    If Labour had got 500 more votes, they'd probably claim that he'd won because he was anti ulez.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316

    If Labour had got 500 more votes, they'd probably claim that he'd won because he was anti ulez.

    Whatever. A win's a win and I can see the green issue being a big feature in the GE, now that we have spotted the lefties' and centre lefties' electoral achilles heel.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,461
    Stevo_666 said:

    If Labour had got 500 more votes, they'd probably claim that he'd won because he was anti ulez.

    Whatever. A win's a win and I can see the green issue being a big feature in the GE, now that we have spotted the lefties' and centre lefties' electoral achilles heel.
    Are you saying green issues are bad and we shouldn’t do them then?
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,095
    Oh please, please make the Tories the "climate change isn't a problem" party because of a win partially due to a policy that isn't to do with climate change.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    Pross said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    If Labour had got 500 more votes, they'd probably claim that he'd won because he was anti ulez.

    Whatever. A win's a win and I can see the green issue being a big feature in the GE, now that we have spotted the lefties' and centre lefties' electoral achilles heel.
    Are you saying green issues are bad and we shouldn’t do them then?
    I'm saying that there are ways of beating the lefties in quite a few constituencies.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    For those of who think I am against all forms of strike action, here's a strike I can get right behind :)
    https://camdennewjournal.co.uk/article/parking-wardens-are-the-latest-workers-to-strike-in-pay-dispute
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,095
    Surprised to hear you think they deserve a large pay rise, but fair enough.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316

    Surprised to hear you think they deserve a large pay rise, but fair enough.

    Just the strike bit, not the pay rise bit.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    Uh oh, for those of you who live in London... :)
    https://standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-mayor-london-len-mccluskey-iain-dale-labour-b1098875.html

    Seems somehow appropriate that he said this at the Edinburgh fringe festival stood next to Len McCluskey.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,507
    Stevo_666 said:

    Uh oh, for those of you who live in London... :)
    https://standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-mayor-london-len-mccluskey-iain-dale-labour-b1098875.html

    Seems somehow appropriate that he said this at the Edinburgh fringe festival stood next to Len McCluskey.

    😆

    Will he beat Laurence Fox or Count Binface? Important questions!
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Uh oh, for those of you who live in London... :)
    https://standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-mayor-london-len-mccluskey-iain-dale-labour-b1098875.html

    Seems somehow appropriate that he said this at the Edinburgh fringe festival stood next to Len McCluskey.

    😆

    Will he beat Laurence Fox or Count Binface? Important questions!
    Place your bets now, Banzai style :smile:

    That said, when I started this thread there were people I shall not name (but whose name rhymes with Chick Racey) who confidently predicted that Jezza would never win the Labour leadership :p
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Uh oh, for those of you who live in London... :)
    https://standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-mayor-london-len-mccluskey-iain-dale-labour-b1098875.html

    Seems somehow appropriate that he said this at the Edinburgh fringe festival stood next to Len McCluskey.

    😆

    Will he beat Laurence Fox or Count Binface? Important questions!
    Place your bets now, Banzai style :smile:

    That said, when I started this thread there were people I shall not name (but whose name rhymes with Chick Racey) who confidently predicted that Jezza would never win the Labour leadership :p
    Live by the sword, die by the sword.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    edited August 2023

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Uh oh, for those of you who live in London... :)
    https://standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-mayor-london-len-mccluskey-iain-dale-labour-b1098875.html

    Seems somehow appropriate that he said this at the Edinburgh fringe festival stood next to Len McCluskey.

    😆

    Will he beat Laurence Fox or Count Binface? Important questions!
    Place your bets now, Banzai style :smile:

    That said, when I started this thread there were people I shall not name (but whose name rhymes with Chick Racey) who confidently predicted that Jezza would never win the Labour leadership :p
    Live by the sword, die by the sword.
    You going to make a prediction on this one? I'll stick my neck out and say that he won't win...

    That said, neither of us live in London so the impact on us even if he does get it should be pretty limited.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,691
    Will he beat his brother...?
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    He could stand as the Monster Raving Looney candidate, seems quite appropriate.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    And talking of Monster Raving Loonies, any thoughts on Diane Abbott's recent deleted tweet?
    https://independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/diane-abbott-migrants-sea-tweet-b2390439.html
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,095
    Stevo_666 said:

    And talking of Monster Raving Loonies, any thoughts on Diane Abbott's recent deleted tweet?
    https://independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/diane-abbott-migrants-sea-tweet-b2390439.html

    She has a way with words. Maybe you think she should be suspended from the Labour party?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Wasn’t it in reference to comments from a Tory MP who said the asylum seekers on the boat should go back to France?

  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,601

    Wasn’t it in reference to comments from a Tory MP who said the asylum seekers on the boat should go back to France?

    Quite clearly was. Still, a silly thing to say and bound to wind the snowflakes on the right up.
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,271
    Jezyboy said:

    Wasn’t it in reference to comments from a Tory MP who said the asylum seekers on the boat should go back to France?

    Quite clearly was. Still, a silly thing to say and bound to wind the snowflakes on the right up.

    There are things People Like Us can say on social media, with or without relative anonymity, that politicians really ought not to. One of those things is, erm, black humour, and especially when an event is in the headlines, and people in the public eye are expected to express regret or say nothing at all. Using recent tragedy to score political points is risky enough at the best of times, but Abbott underlined how inept she is by thinking that her quip was appropriate.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316
    Oh I spotted the Lee Anderson comment. Salty language but if they're not happy with the standard of their accommodation they are free to go. Fair enough.

    Funny how Abbott deleted her tweet quite quickly don't you think?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,271
    Stevo_666 said:

    Oh I spotted the Lee Anderson comment. Salty language but if they're not happy with the standard of their accommodation they are free to go. Fair enough.

    Funny how Abbott deleted her tweet quite quickly don't you think?

    Eh? It was stupid, so she deleted it... at least she had enough sense for that (or someone told her to, if she didn't have enough sense).

    Have you ever sent/posted anything you've regretted? I sure have.

    A friend of mine once thought he had commented to me, in reply to some garbled English, "Are all Americans illiterate?" I pinged back "I hope you didn't 'Reply to All' ", to which he quickly replied "Oh fvck!"
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,316

    Stevo_666 said:

    Oh I spotted the Lee Anderson comment. Salty language but if they're not happy with the standard of their accommodation they are free to go. Fair enough.

    Funny how Abbott deleted her tweet quite quickly don't you think?

    Eh? It was stupid, so she deleted it... at least she had enough sense for that (or someone told her to, if she didn't have enough sense).

    Have you ever sent/posted anything you've regretted? I sure have.

    A friend of mine once thought he had commented to me, in reply to some garbled English, "Are all Americans illiterate?" I pinged back "I hope you didn't 'Reply to All' ", to which he quickly replied "Oh fvck!"
    I'm guessing that somebody had to tell that it was a really stupid thing to post, even if it was some sort of response to Lee Anderson.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]