Today's discussion about the news
Comments
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"Source: Defra Agriculture in the United Kingdom (AUK) 2020
The production to supply ratio is estimated to be 60% for all food in 2020 and 76% for indigenous type food (that which can be commercially grown domestically). Actual consumption of UK-produced food is closer to 54%, as a part of UK production is exported."
Being more self-sufficient would surely put the UK in a more vulnerable position when home-grown crops fail (likely with climate change). Global food supply is far more reliable, as only certain regions will experience crop failures at any one time. I’d imagine a balanced approach (as we already have) is the best way to ensure food security.
Since the UK already produces 76% of crops that we can actually grow, how much more could we produce without causing further environmental catastrophe? 🌲🌲🌲
There's an increasing need to engineer more resistant staple crops, since resistance has been bred out in favour of yield. These new hardy varieties could take many years to produce and scale up. Also, these new crops will need time to adapt to their environment in order to start producing high yields.
An article I read recently was advocating (as an insurance policy) growing South America (Andean) crops alongside our staples, due to their hardy nature. If one crop fails, another would (hopefully) survive.
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Since Brexit, the UK has been able to grow gene edited crops.
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Perhaps the best way to ensure food security, would be to change what we eat. Fewer livestock farms and changing to precision fermentation (already perfected with dairy), invest in lab grown meat. More land to grow crops and rewild, lower co2 production and more absorption, clean rivers and a return in wildlife.
Wasting less food would be a thing too.
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Britain has needed imported food to survive for over one and a half centuries.
The amount of co2 used to transport food around the world is tiny in proportion to the overall emissions of food production.
Globalised food production, made where it is most efficient, is going to be our saviour.
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At least that's looking at opportunities and resilience options. RC's approach is simply to say "It'll be fine", despite climate change, despite the threat of political upheaval, despite the friction at the EU border. At least the latter is something we could have some say in. The rest of it... well, let's keep our fingers crossed, eh?
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Brexit has largely improved food security. The UK could waive checks on EU imports or allow chlorinated chickens from the US.
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And another bonus: with growth hormone type USAnian beef and the like, Pidders, Geraint et al could do a Contador 'nowt to do with me' excuse for a dope test fail. Another brexshit sunny uplands uptick. PopCorn's Thick Lizzy will be promoting that next week.
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You guys are arguing that Brexit has not made food better in the UK, whereas BB is pointing out that it has given us more options. Both can be correct.
- Genesis Croix de Fer
- Dolan Tuono0 -
I think the argument that "oh you have the options" is irrelevant if the reality means those options are not usable.
On paper independence on food policy may improve food security but the reality is plainly different.
The kid who didn't revise may be good enough to get all As, but he didn't so he got all Ds.
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It's made the bottom of the barrel wider.
- Genesis Croix de Fer
- Dolan Tuono0 -
It needs more research, but legally yes it is now possible. That said, it looks like the EU will follow.
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I'm not asking about possibilities. I'm asking about reality. Having the option is useless if you don't intend to exercise it at some point.
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You know how long it takes to grow crops, right? Gene edited crops need to be tested and analysed before being deployed on a commercial scale. The law changed something like 12 months ago.
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Given I grew up within 400m of NIAB and had friends parents working there, I’d be surprised if they didn’t have some ready to go.
Certainly caused enough consternation at the time.
The bollocking we got for climbing into one of their fields was something else
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Whenever debt vs gdp stats have been quoted recently e.g. for international comparisons or to see how debt vs gdp has evolved over time since the GFC, the UK's current measure has been circa 100%, so I assume the figure for the current quoted in the Trott interview of circa 90% is on a different basis and that the preferred (by Treasury, OBR etc.) basis has changed recently. I also recall (quite well, though can't find a link) on the projections that start at 100%, the figure in 5 years time was forecast to be slightly smaller.
So maybe Trott was done for by the change in basis.
EDIT - Found the link: SN02812.pdf (parliament.uk)
Table shows net debt increasing over 5 years on one measure and decreasing over the same period on the other measure.
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Per one of my earlier posts, I was just pushing to see how much slack the Cake Stoppers would give Starmer for making a palpably untrue statement. And the answer is "a lot". If that's your view then fine. It just seems to suggest that the moral compasses are collectively in need of a little calibration. But equally, from my perspective, as I'm being steam-rollered by a relentless tide of "slack cutting" maybe I'm in the wrong. I've always taken the view that if you're starting from a position of not stating the truth then you're on sticky ground. But maybe that's why I'm an accountant rather than a politician!
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This link is also interesting, quoting debt vs GDP at circa 100%. UK government debt and deficit - Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
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Both Starmer and Sunak have found a way to let it go.
Was always a point scoring storm in a teacup.
The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
I am not sure. You have no chance.Veronese68 wrote:PB is the most sensible person on here.2 -
Have you watched it yet?
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It wasn't even the biggest thing he did last week on which to criticise him. I'm really struggling to see why you are going for it in such a big way. As far as things on which to guage the leeway we're prepared to give him, saying someone was present who wasn't at that exact moment but was shortly afterwards barely registers compared to the outright lies and deliberate misuse of statistics we've seen from the various leaders across the current Government. It's hardly a 'gotcha' moment.
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The BoE is not rolling over expiring gilts, so its holdings are reducing, hence why the two metrics are different. Based on this, I don't think the net debt is particularly sensible any more, but apparently the government committed to it in 2021.
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I think the suggestion that a difference of a few minutes and metres represents an attempt to mislead is pretty silly. Especially when we're not exactly short of material criticisms of Starmer.
1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
Pinnacle Monzonite
Part of the anti-growth coalition0 -
Haven't watched a politician's speech for years. Better for my blood pressure and the longevity of my TV / computer screen that way.
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I'd accept the "a few minutes and a few metres" isn't significant argument if you were talking about success or otherwise of making an agreed rendezvous in the mountains, in fog, with just an old school map and compass. But in respect of binary claims, I'm a big fan of not saying what you don't know to be true, unless you flag it up clearly as an opinion / best guess.
But as was observed up-thread, Sunak and Starmer have moved on so this is my last comment on the subject beyond observing that another reason why I'd be cr*p as a politician is that I like following an argument through to the end, whereas politicians seem to like changing their current favourite argument as often as Imelda Marcos changed her shoes.
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I guess this proves that we shouldn't get too hung up on a single economic measure. On on measure, the UK's debt to GDP ratio is high but projected to fall, whereas on another, the ratio is lower but projected to rise. It's enough to drive a man to drink!
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I thought I was bad at getting bogged down in the details of a discussion 😁. Granted "in this building" would have been more accurate than "in this chamber". Not sure it changes the point.
1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
Pinnacle Monzonite
Part of the anti-growth coalition0