2024 Election thread

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Comments

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,599

    Are you disagreeing that tax has gone up under the current Government and that any 'cuts' will be just undoing some of their rises? I just don't see how they can expect people not to notice the things they are going to fix are things they either broke to start with of have had over a decade to sort out. I'd just like someone I feel comfortable putting a tick next to when the time comes, at present I don't have that and when Labour is the closest I do have it gets a bit worrying.

  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,499

    The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.

    In other words, don't keep voting tory if you want change.

    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,830

    I'm just saying that you and Brian have something in common, hence his support for you. There's often been a bit of a centre leftie tag team approach to debates in here with people answering on behalf of others to help them out, but it seems to have extended a bit now 🙂

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,817

    Everyone loves a chart.


    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,817
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,830

    Already explained upthread that some tax rises were necessary due to costs and economic impact of Covid and the Ukraine war. They have at least started to reverse that and I cannot see any other party doing that if they get in.

    But it's good hear Cake Stoppers talking about high taxes like they are a bad thing.

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • sungod
    sungod Posts: 17,435

    the most recent tax increases were the result of the panic reaction to the damage to the uk caused by the tories - truss/kwartang - just latest in a long line of tax increases and damage directly caused by this party of corrupt, self-serving, liars, most preceding covid/ukraine

    my bike - faster than god's and twice as shiny
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,830

    At least we can rely on you to be the neutral voice of reason 😉

    What do you think any other party would have done on taxes overall in response to Covid and Ukraine?

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    One of the good things about this forum is that we are exposed to different points of view.

    It is fascinating that you are prepared to believe that taxes are falling.

    I remain convinced that 25% of the electorate will echo your thoughts and vote Tory at the next election

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,599

    I think some people struggle to look beyond what is happening at a particular time so struggle with the concept that inflation falling simply means prices are still going up quicker than the Government target just at a slower rate than they were before they won't look beyond a cut in NI now and compare how much tax they are paying in comparison to the start of the current term. It's the same going the other way where interest rates went up sharply but were still reasonably low when viewed over a longer time period.

  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    But if you look at other topics but rarely see (or express) negatives about their chosen side.

    If we ignore the more emotive subjects and just look at Pootin it used to surprise me how one eyed people were in their interpretation of events.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,397

    I think you are probably right, but investment in national infrastructure might be a higher priority under labour. Long term, what's the best value?

  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,830

    To be a bit more precise, they have implemented some tax cuts, the most recent on being the NI reduction. And clearly more needs to be done. We could get into typical Cake Stop semantics over whether taxes have fallen depending on the starting point, period of measurement etc, so easier if I clarify what I was trying to say above.

    I wonder how many people will vote Labour because they think that they will get more money from the state?

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,830

    Fair question. It may be a higher priority, but I haven't seen any specific policies that address this, let alone how they might fund them given that the policy changes they have proposed so far are pretty minor in terms of their estimated impact on tax revenue in the scheme of things.

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,817

    Regardless of which party you support (or none) I think anyone banking on long term reductions in the overall tax take is kidding themselves. Government spending has been hit by inflation as much as everyone else. And being a nation of aged and sick, demand on health, care and pension spending is only going to increase. A couple of hundred quid per taxpayer is an easy thing to do when you more or less know someone else will be balancing the books in a year's time.

    The interesting thing about that graph of tax burden as a share of GDP is that the absolute figures for overall spending and receipts are almost a straight line. It's just that the lack of growth in the last few years means that overall tax rates need to go up to compensate. The only way taxes significantly reduce is if we all start producing more.

    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • sungod
    sungod Posts: 17,435



    glad you agree with me that calling this party of corrupt, self-serving, liars, a party of party of corrupt, self-serving, liars is neutral and reasonable

    we can certainly rely on you to dodge facts...

    the tories failed to fix the extreme marginal tax rate caused by tapering, in place long before covid/ukraine

    the last tax rises were not due to covid/ukraine, they were due to the tories trashing the uk's reputation with the markets

    my bike - faster than god's and twice as shiny
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,459

    Has this been posted?



    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Useless without the age split

  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,764


    As someone in the thread noted, it needs to be taken with a pinch of salt, as people tend to say altruistic things for opinion polls, and then (depressingly) tend to vote for their own personal tax cut when it comes to elections, and screw altruism.

    That said, I suspect/hope that the Tories have both so monumentally screwed everything up, and lied so frequently, that voters won't fall for the 8-2 = "tax cut" that will benefit the well off more than the least well off in any case. I'm hoping that Truss/Kwartang have burst the 'trickle-down economics' bubble, at least till collective amnesia sets in when they get bored with Labour and want to believe something else.

  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,029

    There's an annoying poster on here with a hobby horse. Apparently, the old folk (aka boomers) vote Tory and the young folk (aka snowflake avocado eaters) vote labour.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,397

    The option of cut taxes and increase spending without increasing borrowing wasn't available.

    Clearly biased. Stevo won't be pleased.

  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,459

    Sure possible

    Also possible that people just want stuff to work for a bit first

    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,459
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,764


    That's what the 'baked in' opinion poll leads suggest. I think people have pretty much switched off listening to the Tories' attempts to 'break through' with their launches, relaunches and rerelaunches of various gimmicks, none of which address the underlying concerns of a majority of voters. I suspect any last-minute giveaways will be seen as desperate attention grabbing, and won't persuade many that the past fourteen years' shambles needs any extension.

    It's worth remembering that the poll lead for Starmer is without any great enthusiasm for the man himself, unlike for Blair (IIRC): there's no charisma, he's dull & rather boring, and yet they've still got about double the amount of support than the Tories have, and it's not budging. I think the UK electorate actually wants to be a bored by the politicians - they've had enough of the showmen for now.

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,599

    It’s a bit of odd one. The oldies seem more keen to tax and spend which makes sense when you are no longer working or due to retire soon I guess but then they apparently are more likely to vote for the ‘low tax’ Party and vice versa for younger voters who are more likely to vote for the tax and spend Party

    Also interesting that all cohorts would rather pay more tax in return for better services. It would be good to see historical data on the issue. Is it a sign that the consensus is austerity has gone too far and needs reversing? Of course it is highly likely that many of them want the higher taxes to be paid by ‘others’..

  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,764


    That'd be the age split that shows Rick's age bracket is as keen on tax cuts at the 65+ bracket.

  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,657

    I think there's a little bit of thinking more taxes, but talking to friends, a number would be willing to pay higher taxes if public services were better.

    Certainly the frustration ATM is the feeling of high taxes, low investment and poor public services.

  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,830

    Thanks for providing more evidence for what I said above 🙂

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]