The Big 'Let's sell our cars and take buses/ebikes instead' thread (warning: probably very dull)

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Comments

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    SUVs are the low hanging fruit re weight, not what type of propulsion you’re using
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,162

    I find it difficult to believe that cars have no effect on the creation and expansion of potholes.

    In addition to stresses from vehicles potholes are often down to poor construction or poor specification and then once water gets in it will get worse and worse if not fixed. Around these parts there are country lanes falling apart that despite only getting a handful of vehicles a day driving them. Council's haven't got money to fix them and they don't get prioritised due to lack of use. The track, as it is now, that I walk the dogs along appears to just be unbound stone these days whereas when I first moved here it was (just about) still asphalt. My street is a lightly trafficked cul-de-sac so gets nothing heavier than the bin lorry, I suspect it is the original road that has been there around 50 years and the points where it is failing are mainly around the joints and where various trenches have been cut over the years.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,620

    SUVs are the low hanging fruit re weight, not what type of propulsion you’re using

    If EVs become the only show in town then every car is going to be around the same weight as a current SUV.

    However, more importantly, road wear is apparently equal to the fourth power of the axle load on the road:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law
    Which isn't very good news for buses which weigh around 10x as much as a car...
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 26,976

    SUVs are the low hanging fruit re weight, not what type of propulsion you’re using

    What about electric SUVs?
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • photonic69
    photonic69 Posts: 2,670
    To Hell with the lot of you! I'm getting a Unimog. Fed up with these potholed roads that are only going to get worse. And when there is too much traffic on the roads I'll just veer off and cut through hedges a fields. Sorted.

    I should also manage to get the weekly shop in the back as well as space for the bikes. With the wheels still on.



    Sometimes. Maybe. Possibly.

  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,620

    Pross said:

    morstar said:

    Pross said:

    morstar said:

    Sure it’s an opinion column so you’re not gonna get all that analysis.

    It’s more he’s an obvious petrolhead and a pro-car chap and in that context it was fairly well balanced

    I thought it was a good article.
    I am increasingly of the opinion that the current electric car pathway is massively flawed for the reasons he mentions.

    Heavy which will lead to more tyre use and wear on infrastructure. Then the requirements for manufacturing a battery which has a very poor lifespan. It’s not sustainable.
    The impact of car use on road infrastructure is negligible to the extent that you don’t even consider the amount of cars using the road over its lifetime when designing the thickness the construction. It is based entirely on HGV use (other than on minor residential streets where it is really down to the minimum thicknesses the various layers can be laid to).
    So, I’d need to do more research to back the claims up but…

    I have definitely read that some infrastructure such as multi storey car parks may be stressed beyond their design expectations. They may not be well reasoned arguments so I’m not hanging my hat on them.

    Roads are generally maintained to a minimal standard these days, increased weight on the majority of vehicles will inevitably increase maintenance as there is no wiggle room left to let them degrade more than is already allowed.

    I have also read that the next pollutant in the cross hairs for cars is rubber particles from tyre wear. The increase in weight will increase this wear.

    I’m not anti electric, i considered buying on many occasions, it’s just I am seeing more and more issues beyond just the lack of charging infrastructure which is the obvious practical limitation.

    The battery making and recycling issue can’t just be swept under the carpet even if the total emissions are theoretically less. It’s a new issue that is being ignored.

    One of Atkinsons points is about lifecycle and getting longer life out of an existing car. If anything, the decreasing range of a 3 year old battery will encourage exactly the opposite.
    It really doesn't, as you point out yourself the deterioration in roads is down to lack of maintenance. Skipping the proper minor maintenance regime means that the problem gets worse and worse but a minor increase in vehicle mass is negligible. The following is an explanation from the Kent CC design information.

    "Vehicle Wear Factor
    Vehicle wear factors are dependant upon the total vehicle weight and its distribution on the vehicle, which affects the load on each axle. Tyre size and pressure and axle configuration affect the load pattern on the structural layers but are not considered for overall structural pavement design in the UK. A Standard 8T axle is said to have a wear factor of 1.0. Axle Loads and their wear factors have been found to have a fourth power law, in that Wear @ 0.0002 x [Axle Load] 4

    Typical wear factors are as follows:
    1T .0002
    5T 0.15
    8T 1.0
    10T 2.3
    13T 6.5
    From this it can be seen that the wear factor for a car is negligible compared to a commercial vehicle, it is for this reason that they are ignored in structural calculations."
    If I understand your tech here, then you can essentially ignore (say) 30 cars carrying one person each - from a road wear perspective - yet whack all of those people in a single public transport thing such as a 15 ton bus, and suddenly you have a road wear and maintenance problem?

    Looks like it. Now which idiot said we should all take the bus? :smiley:
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,162

    Pross said:

    morstar said:

    Pross said:

    morstar said:

    Sure it’s an opinion column so you’re not gonna get all that analysis.

    It’s more he’s an obvious petrolhead and a pro-car chap and in that context it was fairly well balanced

    I thought it was a good article.
    I am increasingly of the opinion that the current electric car pathway is massively flawed for the reasons he mentions.

    Heavy which will lead to more tyre use and wear on infrastructure. Then the requirements for manufacturing a battery which has a very poor lifespan. It’s not sustainable.
    The impact of car use on road infrastructure is negligible to the extent that you don’t even consider the amount of cars using the road over its lifetime when designing the thickness the construction. It is based entirely on HGV use (other than on minor residential streets where it is really down to the minimum thicknesses the various layers can be laid to).
    So, I’d need to do more research to back the claims up but…

    I have definitely read that some infrastructure such as multi storey car parks may be stressed beyond their design expectations. They may not be well reasoned arguments so I’m not hanging my hat on them.

    Roads are generally maintained to a minimal standard these days, increased weight on the majority of vehicles will inevitably increase maintenance as there is no wiggle room left to let them degrade more than is already allowed.

    I have also read that the next pollutant in the cross hairs for cars is rubber particles from tyre wear. The increase in weight will increase this wear.

    I’m not anti electric, i considered buying on many occasions, it’s just I am seeing more and more issues beyond just the lack of charging infrastructure which is the obvious practical limitation.

    The battery making and recycling issue can’t just be swept under the carpet even if the total emissions are theoretically less. It’s a new issue that is being ignored.

    One of Atkinsons points is about lifecycle and getting longer life out of an existing car. If anything, the decreasing range of a 3 year old battery will encourage exactly the opposite.
    It really doesn't, as you point out yourself the deterioration in roads is down to lack of maintenance. Skipping the proper minor maintenance regime means that the problem gets worse and worse but a minor increase in vehicle mass is negligible. The following is an explanation from the Kent CC design information.

    "Vehicle Wear Factor
    Vehicle wear factors are dependant upon the total vehicle weight and its distribution on the vehicle, which affects the load on each axle. Tyre size and pressure and axle configuration affect the load pattern on the structural layers but are not considered for overall structural pavement design in the UK. A Standard 8T axle is said to have a wear factor of 1.0. Axle Loads and their wear factors have been found to have a fourth power law, in that Wear @ 0.0002 x [Axle Load] 4

    Typical wear factors are as follows:
    1T .0002
    5T 0.15
    8T 1.0
    10T 2.3
    13T 6.5
    From this it can be seen that the wear factor for a car is negligible compared to a commercial vehicle, it is for this reason that they are ignored in structural calculations."
    If I understand your tech here, then you can essentially ignore (say) 30 cars carrying one person each - from a road wear perspective - yet whack all of those people in a single public transport thing such as a 15 ton bus, and suddenly you have a road wear and maintenance problem?

    Assuming the buses weren't already running on the road anyway then yes.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,620
    Pross said:

    Pross said:

    morstar said:

    Pross said:

    morstar said:

    Sure it’s an opinion column so you’re not gonna get all that analysis.

    It’s more he’s an obvious petrolhead and a pro-car chap and in that context it was fairly well balanced

    I thought it was a good article.
    I am increasingly of the opinion that the current electric car pathway is massively flawed for the reasons he mentions.

    Heavy which will lead to more tyre use and wear on infrastructure. Then the requirements for manufacturing a battery which has a very poor lifespan. It’s not sustainable.
    The impact of car use on road infrastructure is negligible to the extent that you don’t even consider the amount of cars using the road over its lifetime when designing the thickness the construction. It is based entirely on HGV use (other than on minor residential streets where it is really down to the minimum thicknesses the various layers can be laid to).
    So, I’d need to do more research to back the claims up but…

    I have definitely read that some infrastructure such as multi storey car parks may be stressed beyond their design expectations. They may not be well reasoned arguments so I’m not hanging my hat on them.

    Roads are generally maintained to a minimal standard these days, increased weight on the majority of vehicles will inevitably increase maintenance as there is no wiggle room left to let them degrade more than is already allowed.

    I have also read that the next pollutant in the cross hairs for cars is rubber particles from tyre wear. The increase in weight will increase this wear.

    I’m not anti electric, i considered buying on many occasions, it’s just I am seeing more and more issues beyond just the lack of charging infrastructure which is the obvious practical limitation.

    The battery making and recycling issue can’t just be swept under the carpet even if the total emissions are theoretically less. It’s a new issue that is being ignored.

    One of Atkinsons points is about lifecycle and getting longer life out of an existing car. If anything, the decreasing range of a 3 year old battery will encourage exactly the opposite.
    It really doesn't, as you point out yourself the deterioration in roads is down to lack of maintenance. Skipping the proper minor maintenance regime means that the problem gets worse and worse but a minor increase in vehicle mass is negligible. The following is an explanation from the Kent CC design information.

    "Vehicle Wear Factor
    Vehicle wear factors are dependant upon the total vehicle weight and its distribution on the vehicle, which affects the load on each axle. Tyre size and pressure and axle configuration affect the load pattern on the structural layers but are not considered for overall structural pavement design in the UK. A Standard 8T axle is said to have a wear factor of 1.0. Axle Loads and their wear factors have been found to have a fourth power law, in that Wear @ 0.0002 x [Axle Load] 4

    Typical wear factors are as follows:
    1T .0002
    5T 0.15
    8T 1.0
    10T 2.3
    13T 6.5
    From this it can be seen that the wear factor for a car is negligible compared to a commercial vehicle, it is for this reason that they are ignored in structural calculations."
    If I understand your tech here, then you can essentially ignore (say) 30 cars carrying one person each - from a road wear perspective - yet whack all of those people in a single public transport thing such as a 15 ton bus, and suddenly you have a road wear and maintenance problem?

    Assuming the buses weren't already running on the road anyway then yes.
    We'll need a lot more buses in Ricktopia.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,162
    Pros and cons though, you could save on the quantity of road infrastructure and concentrate on the quality.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,620
    Pross said:

    Pros and cons though, you could save on the quantity of road infrastructure and concentrate on the quality.

    Which roads do you plan on closing?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,103
    Who knew that armchair road engineering was a thing 😆
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,103
    Stevo_666 said:

    SUVs are the low hanging fruit re weight, not what type of propulsion you’re using

    If EVs become the only show in town then every car is going to be around the same weight as a current SUV.

    However, more importantly, road wear is apparently equal to the fourth power of the axle load on the road:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law
    Which isn't very good news for buses which weigh around 10x as much as a car...
    Not sure a few extra potholes are going to have a material impact on global climate change. Think we might be focusing on a trivial point.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,762
    Sounds like a pro tram argument.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,620
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    SUVs are the low hanging fruit re weight, not what type of propulsion you’re using

    If EVs become the only show in town then every car is going to be around the same weight as a current SUV.

    However, more importantly, road wear is apparently equal to the fourth power of the axle load on the road:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law
    Which isn't very good news for buses which weigh around 10x as much as a car...
    Not sure a few extra potholes are going to have a material impact on global climate change. Think we might be focusing on a trivial point.
    They won't, but the buses won't be able to go far if they mess up the roads. That said, it's a hypothetical point because Ricktopia won't happen.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    Sounds like a pro tram argument.

    Loadsa studies say trams are best bang for your buck
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,703

    Sounds like a pro tram argument.

    Loadsa studies say trams are best bang for your buck
    And for your collar bone.
  • photonic69
    photonic69 Posts: 2,670

    Sounds like a pro tram argument.

    Loadsa studies say trams are best bang for your buck
    Monorail, Monorail, Monorail...... less rails, thus cheaper.



    Sometimes. Maybe. Possibly.

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,162
    edited June 2023

    Sounds like a pro tram argument.

    Loadsa studies say trams are best bang for your buck
    Monorail, Monorail, Monorail...... less rails, thus cheaper.


    Walt Disney offered to fund one in LA back in the 1950s but was shouted down by the car lobby (if the tour guide wasn’t full of BS when I was there 30 years ago).

    Edit - Quora says it’s partial BS. He was in favour of it but didn’t offer to pay for it.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,103

    Sounds like a pro tram argument.

    Loadsa studies say trams are best bang for your buck
    And for your collar bone.
    Must be stronger gravity in Edinburgh. People seem to cope with the trams in Croydon.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • To Hell with the lot of you! I'm getting a Unimog. Fed up with these potholed roads that are only going to get worse. And when there is too much traffic on the roads I'll just veer off and cut through hedges a fields. Sorted.

    I should also manage to get the weekly shop in the back as well as space for the bikes. With the wheels still on.


    That’s the spirit!! 😂
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,703
    rjsterry said:

    Sounds like a pro tram argument.

    Loadsa studies say trams are best bang for your buck
    And for your collar bone.
    Must be stronger gravity in Edinburgh. People seem to cope with the trams in Croydon.
    https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15908637.200-cyclists-killed-injured-city-trams-edinburgh/

    I'm not one of them, but they can't all be stupid.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    You wonder how the Dutch manage in its two biggest cities eh?
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 26,976

    You wonder how the Dutch manage in its two biggest cities eh?

    I'm guessing the cycle routes don't cross the lines at an angle.
    "Don't cross the streams." ;)
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Wheelspinner
    Wheelspinner Posts: 6,660

    You wonder how the Dutch manage in its two biggest cities eh?

    You do rabbit on about how wonderful the Dutch are at all this. Have you checked statistics? Netherlands - population a bit under 18 million - has been averaging over 650 traffic related deaths per year the last few.

    The UK with population a bit over 67 million seems to be running about 1500 deaths per year.

    Bit more than double the number of deaths for almost quadruple the population.

    I’d hazard a guess the UK drivers do more miles per year on average on the roads than the Dutch as well.

    Maybe the Dutch aren’t so fabulous at it after all?
    Open One+ BMC TE29 Seven 622SL On One Scandal Cervelo RS
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    I’d be more inclined to argue if i was talking about car drivers.

    Alas.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,703
    I know this is confirmation bias, but by the same token trams aren't a panacea and you are kidding yourselves if you think they don't come with consequences.

    Trolley busses, on the other hand, don't need engines or batteries and so can be relatively light boxes in which large numbers of people can be carried.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,103
    edited June 2023
    Consideration of interaction between cycle routes and tram lines is of course a valid point. That said, we accept far higher casualty rates on roads without trams as just one of those unavoidable things. I don't think it's a valid argument against trams.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,703
    rjsterry said:

    Consideration of interaction between cycle routes and tram lines is of course a valid point. That said, we accept far higher casualty rates on roads without trams as just one of those unavoidable things. I don't think it's a valid argument against trams.
    Cost is, though. Following the daft decision to remove tracks in the first place, in the UK they can be bustard expensive to reinstall. Compare that to some electric cables overhead...