The Big 'Let's sell our cars and take buses/ebikes instead' thread (warning: probably very dull)

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Comments

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    Offshore most likely.
    I'm in the central belt of Scotland and wind is 10-12mph at 250m where I live. That's fairly calm here.

    Intermittent wind becomes a non issue if you have an excess capacity and energy can be stored. It is not an excuse for persisting with gas.

    Offshore wind won't be popular because we will be able to see them from most of our coastline, but it's a lot less intrusive than onshore, and so will be a lot less unpopular. We have a huge resource available offshore in our territorial waters, so pushing offshore wind is a sensible strategy imo. We shouldn't need any onshore wind, honestly.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,915

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    Offshore windfarms have capacity factors* of close to 50%. Whilst everyone thinks that nuclear is always on, it's not (see France for a case in point at the moment), so nuclear only manages around 80%.

    To get close to 50% for offshore wind is pretty amazing.

    *Capacity factor = actual output / theoretical max.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Nuclear is always on, essentially, but the reaction can be moderated. I know it's a boron topic though.

    It is slow to ramp up and down though, even compared to coal. I think.

    Safety issues mean frequent inspections and high maintenance costs, hence why even 80% is high for nuclear.

    Neutrons degrade steel and make it brittle, basically. The same issue will be present if fusion ever takes off, which means it may never ve a cheap energy panacea.
  • rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    Offshore windfarms have capacity factors* of close to 50%. Whilst everyone thinks that nuclear is always on, it's not (see France for a case in point at the moment), so nuclear only manages around 80%.

    To get close to 50% for offshore wind is pretty amazing.

    *Capacity factor = actual output / theoretical max.
    That's 23.5% of UK electricity generation currently coming from wind, nothing to do with the capacity factor.

    Up to 24.1% now.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    Offshore windfarms have capacity factors* of close to 50%. Whilst everyone thinks that nuclear is always on, it's not (see France for a case in point at the moment), so nuclear only manages around 80%.

    To get close to 50% for offshore wind is pretty amazing.

    *Capacity factor = actual output / theoretical max.
    That's 23.5% of UK electricity generation currently coming from wind, nothing to do with the capacity factor.

    Up to 24.1% now.
    I think you twoare agreeing.

    Capacity factor ls are why "will generate enough energy to power X,000 homes" claims from developers should generally be read as "X,000 ÷ 2" or much lower for a lot of the borderline viable sites they take a punt and put applications on. Normally they take the rating of the turbine X number of turbines and if the planning authority is diligent, float a balloon with an anemometer on it to measure wind at the statistically windiest time of year, then extrapolate over the whole year and over promise based on that.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,328

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    It was blowing in my face on the uphill section of my run!
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    Offshore most likely.
    I'm in the central belt of Scotland and wind is 10-12mph at 250m where I live. That's fairly calm here.

    Intermittent wind becomes a non issue if you have an excess capacity and energy can be stored. It is not an excuse for persisting with gas.

    Offshore wind won't be popular because we will be able to see them from most of our coastline, but it's a lot less intrusive than onshore, and so will be a lot less unpopular. We have a huge resource available offshore in our territorial waters, so pushing offshore wind is a sensible strategy imo. We shouldn't need any onshore wind, honestly.
    We need to get beyond what is popular when it comes to energy production (in the same way as we do with car usage). If all unpopular options are ruled out we'll be having blackouts in no time and if we rule out renewables on how they look from certain vantage points then some of those coastlines will be part of the sea in a few decades anyway.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,328

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    You need to dig out Mr Goo's views on it and the blight it would have on the poor folk down on the Dorset coastline.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
  • rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    Offshore windfarms have capacity factors* of close to 50%. Whilst everyone thinks that nuclear is always on, it's not (see France for a case in point at the moment), so nuclear only manages around 80%.

    To get close to 50% for offshore wind is pretty amazing.

    *Capacity factor = actual output / theoretical max.
    That's 23.5% of UK electricity generation currently coming from wind, nothing to do with the capacity factor.

    Up to 24.1% now.
    I think you twoare agreeing.

    Capacity factor ls are why "will generate enough energy to power X,000 homes" claims from developers should generally be read as "X,000 ÷ 2" or much lower for a lot of the borderline viable sites they take a punt and put applications on. Normally they take the rating of the turbine X number of turbines and if the planning authority is diligent, float a balloon with an anemometer on it to measure wind at the statistically windiest time of year, then extrapolate over the whole year and over promise based on that.
    Yes, thanks, I just grasped what TBB was saying. It's an impressively (and surprisingly) high number.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    edited January 2023
    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields to green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,328

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
    I mean, there is already a tonne of offshore wind and a load that is already signed off to go.

    If people are objecting, they haven't been doing a very good job.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
    I mean, there is already a tonne of offshore wind and a load that is already signed off to go.

    If people are objecting, they haven't been doing a very good job.
    Give it time. But hopefully it's just going to be accepted.

    This should be a major manufacturing industry in the UK. Of course, we've been left behind and are buying them in instead.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    You are getting to the age where the wrong word comes out though. Brain sees the sea, thinks waves, types tides. It happens.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
    I think you're stretching there, wind farms tend to rely on exposure which generally means either a coastal location or altitude. The average wind speed maps in this suggest there is are reasonable grounds for them being located in Scotland (or Wales) than in Southern England.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/types-of-weather/wind/windiest-place-in-uk

    As for solar, there is a lot of it it southern Britain. Unsurprisingly this map suggests there is way more of it 'dahn sarf' than 'oop north' https://www.mygridgb.co.uk/map/

    That's not to say that if Southern England were more suited to wind power the Tories wouldn't try to stop it and their recent attempts to make solar farms harder show their true colours.

    Geothermal and hydro would probably be less controversial but the locations for hydro in particular seem pretty limited (I don't understand the reasons why geothermal isn't being pushed more but assume there are some).
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,328

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    You are getting to the age where the wrong word comes out though. Brain sees the sea, thinks waves, types tides. It happens.
    Yeah, I should just retire before I become dangerous. 😉
    That's why I apologised way back up thread.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Pross said:

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
    I think you're stretching there, wind farms tend to rely on exposure which generally means either a coastal location or altitude. The average wind speed maps in this suggest there is are reasonable grounds for them being located in Scotland (or Wales) than in Southern England.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/types-of-weather/wind/windiest-place-in-uk

    As for solar, there is a lot of it it southern Britain. Unsurprisingly this map suggests there is way more of it 'dahn sarf' than 'oop north' https://www.mygridgb.co.uk/map/

    That's not to say that if Southern England were more suited to wind power the Tories wouldn't try to stop it and their recent attempts to make solar farms harder show their true colours.

    Geothermal and hydro would probably be less controversial but the locations for hydro in particular seem pretty limited (I don't understand the reasons why geothermal isn't being pushed more but assume there are some).
    Hard to see where else we could put hydro, tbh. Think it's been looked at.

    Is there any geothermal resource in the UK?

    Obviously it's windier on the coast and at elevation, but the cut off can't be explained that way. At least in my opinion.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    You are getting to the age where the wrong word comes out though. Brain sees the sea, thinks waves, types tides. It happens.
    Yeah, I should just retire before I become dangerous. 😉
    That's why I apologised way back up thread.
    I frequently read my posts and think, what semi literate idiot wrote that.

    Would never openly admit it though.
  • orraloon
    orraloon Posts: 13,227

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    An aside observation. From my place I can see several dairy farms which have wind turbines; these are not wind farms but self-powering. Very gentle breeze here today, could hardly feel anything when working outside but those turbines are turning. So it does not need much wind strength to get generating.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,328

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    You are getting to the age where the wrong word comes out though. Brain sees the sea, thinks waves, types tides. It happens.
    Yeah, I should just retire before I become dangerous. 😉
    That's why I apologised way back up thread.
    I frequently read my posts and think, what semi literate idiot wrote that.

    Would never openly admit it though.
    Makes no difference if people are thinking it anyway.
    Reference the genius that is Trump. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    You are getting to the age where the wrong word comes out though. Brain sees the sea, thinks waves, types tides. It happens.
    Yeah, I should just retire before I become dangerous. 😉
    That's why I apologised way back up thread.
    I frequently read my posts and think, what semi literate idiot wrote that.

    Would never openly admit it though.
    Makes no difference if people are thinking it anyway.
    Reference the genius that is Trump. 😉
    I think I may have been insulted.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    orraloon said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Decarbonising transport is a public health measure that's met with resistance.

    Spoiling everone's fun by GPS tracking to automatically prevent speeding, that would be another. There will be riots against that, because it is a god given right to endanger others with speeding.

    Reducing the amount of decarbonised and non-speeding traffic is different, I would say.

    All part of the same system. Moving individuals around in heavy EVs is just shifting the emissions elsewhere without the required infrastructure changes. And congestion itself has a cost in lost productivity.

    On the GPS point, I think a 'metered' model for VED wouldn't be that hard a sell overall. Difficult to argue that it's unfair.
    Not if the grid is decarbonised. At that stage is becomes more of a purely economic policy doesn't it?
    Key word there. We can barely bring ourselves to allow wind farms and the government was actively campaigning against solar farms.
    That is because it is sunnier in the south, where their votes come from. They are self-serving short termist clowns, but won't be in power for long.

    Current UK energy mix (and I've seen other graphs that suggest wind is higher, nuclear is lower, but mostly they suggest gas/coal at the level shown here):



    So 40% still to go. Offshore wind is going to increase massively in the next decade - the SNP has just sold off leases on the cheap, the Crown Estate has just sold them at a more sensible level, and we know there are a couple of new huge nuclear plants under construction. Solar is not going to be a big UK contributor ever, I wouldn't have thought, but even so it will also increase.

    Complete decarbonisation, not sure. But I am going to say gas will be less than 20% sooner than you think.

    Well wind won't be producing anything today - winter high pressure = cold weather & no wind.
    https://grid.iamkate.com/

    23.5%
    Not sure where the wind is blowing!
    Last january was similar, with no wind.
    An aside observation. From my place I can see several dairy farms which have wind turbines; these are not wind farms but self-powering. Very gentle breeze here today, could hardly feel anything when working outside but those turbines are turning. So it does not need much wind strength to get generating.
    The power that is generated goes something like to the cube of wind speed though.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,328

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:



    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Not sure I agree that it is too early in development.

    https://orbitalmarine.com/

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Pross said:

    It feels like tidal seems to still be getting overlooked as "too difficult".

    Too early in development and lacking efficiency.
    Should be a no-brainer if it can be fully developed. Just needs long term investment. "Just."
    My apologies. I was thinking about wave power rather than tidal.
    Wave power is a non starter, honestly. I've just seen yet another reincarnation of the floating sausage that has already failed once. Suffers from the same issues as tidal stream generation, but without the magnitude of power or the reliability.

    The vision is large surface area coverage of course, because there's a lot of ocean, but the unit costs per W are miles away as far as I am aware.

    Could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
    That's an interesting debate you are having with yourself. 😉
    Sorry thought people were interested.
    I meant the difference in outlook in your two posts.
    Your second one ties in with my point that wave power isn't up to scratch. Yet.
    Don't understand.

    Tidal = ready to go
    Wind = well established
    Solar = tories prefer green fields than green energy
    Wave = a bit pants
    Which is what I said at the beginning.
    You are getting to the age where the wrong word comes out though. Brain sees the sea, thinks waves, types tides. It happens.
    Yeah, I should just retire before I become dangerous. 😉
    That's why I apologised way back up thread.
    I frequently read my posts and think, what semi literate idiot wrote that.

    Would never openly admit it though.
    Makes no difference if people are thinking it anyway.
    Reference the genius that is Trump. 😉
    I think I may have been insulted.
    Nah, just an extreme example to make a point. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,915

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
    I mean, there is already a tonne of offshore wind and a load that is already signed off to go.

    If people are objecting, they haven't been doing a very good job.
    Give it time. But hopefully it's just going to be accepted.

    This should be a major manufacturing industry in the UK. Of course, we've been left behind and are buying them in instead.
    Vestas build some turbines on the Isle of Wight. Plus there are a load other industries that support offshore wind.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    Offshore is popular? There's a tonne of it already and loads more planned!!

    Er. Not sure what you are saying.

    Everything is popular until it affects people personally, then is wildly unpopular. Which is why, as I've argued before, there are essentially no wind farms in the south of England. It is not because the wind stops bowing at Watford, it is because most. Tories are southerners. Same applies to solar.

    Of all the options, offshore seems to me to be least likely to give rise to objection, because it will be tens of miles away from any house. And we have such extensive coastal waters there is no reason not to use them in this way.
    There is more than enoygh room for more than enough capacity and we really could be exporting wind energy. Also makes use of a really effective marine service industry we already have.
    I mean, there is already a tonne of offshore wind and a load that is already signed off to go.

    If people are objecting, they haven't been doing a very good job.
    Give it time. But hopefully it's just going to be accepted.

    This should be a major manufacturing industry in the UK. Of course, we've been left behind and are buying them in instead.
    Vestas build some turbines on the Isle of Wight. Plus there are a load other industries that support offshore wind.
    True, but most of the really big kit is coming from countries halfway good at making stuff, not us.