BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,389
    edited October 2021

    The issue as has been explained many times is that Brexit has reduced the Uk economy’s ability to adjust to supply chain issues.

    Also, the specific issues around lorry drivers and abattoirs are relating to labour shortages that are mainly driven by Brexit, because their workforces previously made use of EU27 flexible labour.

    That is why the Uk ended up panic buying petrol whereas Germany et al, who also have lorry driver problems, aren’t having a run on forecourts and aren’t chucking perfectly edible dead pigs onto the furnaces.


    It's a UK pattern of behaviour: excess capacity and resilience has been viewed as an unnecessary cost. Once you've pared everything right back, the slightest disruption have consequences apparently out of proportion to the disruption. I suspect that the success of the EU in masking the UK's lack of resilience in other aspects (such as the closing of the gas storage facility) was ignored, as it had worked for so long, and the hard Brexit which was not on the cards till the final countdown has exposed the fragility in the face of a not-totally-unforeseen pandemic (it was more a question of when, not if).

    Retrospect, as our farm vet once said, is a bügger. The only trouble is that there were several voices, let's call it 'Project Fear', for want of a better name, with the foresight to suggest that Brexit might have downsides.

    @rick_chasey - this is the history book I had in mind, re the chimera of autarky - it was a much more interesting read than I anticipated https://www.amazon.co.uk/Upland-Communities-Environment-Population-Structure/dp/0521306639
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,925
    rjsterry said:

    Also, pigs are not going into landfill, they're going into pet food and the like.

    Only meat fit for human consumption is used in pet food. We actually learnt something from BSE. This is unlikely to be the case if pigs are culled on a farm by the knacker man. They will not be butchered (there being too few butchers) so will be unfit for consumption and far more likely to be rendered into byproducts.

    Few will be incinerated because that needs a lot of fuel and guess what?
    Yes, they get rendered and then used in other things including pet food.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,577

    rjsterry said:

    Also, pigs are not going into landfill, they're going into pet food and the like.

    Only meat fit for human consumption is used in pet food. We actually learnt something from BSE. This is unlikely to be the case if pigs are culled on a farm by the knacker man. They will not be butchered (there being too few butchers) so will be unfit for consumption and far more likely to be rendered into byproducts.

    Few will be incinerated because that needs a lot of fuel and guess what?
    Yes, they get rendered and then used in other things including pet food.
    I will check with someone who knows, but I am pretty sure culled livestock would not make it into the food chain.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,648
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/oct/05/fallen-stock-what-happens-now-to-the-uks-unwanted-pigs

    What will the culled pig meat be used for?
    By-products from animals which are considered fit for human consumption find their way into items such as pet food, animal feed, fish feed and chemicals.

    However, the carcasses of any pigs killed on farm would not be inspected after slaughter, meaning they could not be assessed as being fit for human consumption. The carcasses from the current culling are therefore likely to be used only for products such as biodiesel.
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,389

    Must admit I didn't foresee the Brexit thread getting into this area of expertise.
  • jimmyjams
    jimmyjams Posts: 781

    elbowloh said:

    pangolin said:

    BB don't fall for Stevo's narrative that anyone here thinks this is 100% brexit's fault. I see today he's also tacked "and long lasting" onto the strawman he's arguing against.

    I suppose it is a reminder just how many problems the world wide supply chain has, and that that probably dwarfs any Brexit issues.
    Ok, everyone is having problems, but we've got those problems on top of having brexit problems.

    For example, there's a gas shortage across the globe, but we're having to pay more for our than those in the EU because of Brexit.
    I'd be surprised if that was true.
    As I suspected, not true. Some additional inefficiency which can small variances either way.

    https://fullfact.org/online/gas-prices-brexit/

    And yet, the idea that people blame Brexit for things not related to Brexit is a strawman?
    Consumer gas prices in the UK may not yet be particularly higher than those in the EU (where there is anyway a wide range - Swedes pay 4 times what Hungarians and Latvians pay), but that might be because of the low tax applied to household gas consumption in the UK (5%, I think?) In Denmark the tax is over 50%, high also in Sweden and Italy, in Germany about 25%.
    I don't know what the average current gas prices are in the EU or the UK, however if the UK price is now close to, even if still below, the EU average (a couple of years ago it was a whole 25% lower), then the basic commodity must be, for whatever reason, now much dearer in the UK.
    Brexit may not be the complete reason, but what other reason is there?
  • jimmyjams said:

    elbowloh said:

    pangolin said:

    BB don't fall for Stevo's narrative that anyone here thinks this is 100% brexit's fault. I see today he's also tacked "and long lasting" onto the strawman he's arguing against.

    I suppose it is a reminder just how many problems the world wide supply chain has, and that that probably dwarfs any Brexit issues.
    Ok, everyone is having problems, but we've got those problems on top of having brexit problems.

    For example, there's a gas shortage across the globe, but we're having to pay more for our than those in the EU because of Brexit.
    I'd be surprised if that was true.
    As I suspected, not true. Some additional inefficiency which can small variances either way.

    https://fullfact.org/online/gas-prices-brexit/

    And yet, the idea that people blame Brexit for things not related to Brexit is a strawman?
    Consumer gas prices in the UK may not yet be particularly higher than those in the EU (where there is anyway a wide range - Swedes pay 4 times what Hungarians and Latvians pay), but that might be because of the low tax applied to household gas consumption in the UK (5%, I think?) In Denmark the tax is over 50%, high also in Sweden and Italy, in Germany about 25%.
    I don't know what the average current gas prices are in the EU or the UK, however if the UK price is now close to, even if still below, the EU average (a couple of years ago it was a whole 25% lower), then the basic commodity must be, for whatever reason, now much dearer in the UK.
    Brexit may not be the complete reason, but what other reason is there?
    Lack of storage.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    Nothing says 'everything's going well, it's just a blip' like googling uses of culled pigs on a Saturday night
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661


    Can confirm.

    Fist time in 28 years my team has done more hiring for continental roles than London.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    Can pigs be burned for fuel?
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    pangolin said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/oct/05/fallen-stock-what-happens-now-to-the-uks-unwanted-pigs

    What will the culled pig meat be used for?
    By-products from animals which are considered fit for human consumption find their way into items such as pet food, animal feed, fish feed and chemicals.

    However, the carcasses of any pigs killed on farm would not be inspected after slaughter, meaning they could not be assessed as being fit for human consumption. The carcasses from the current culling are therefore likely to be used only for products such as biodiesel.

    That answers my question and I thought I was joking! Two birds, one stone and all that.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,431
    edited October 2021

    Stevo_666 said:

    Nothing says "wasn't a real problem" like it being notable that a petrol station has petrol.

    Is it a long term problem or not?
    Exactly my point. It's a short term issue - with various causes many of which were not Brexit related.

    Petrol is a short term problem that will be replaced by bins being short term problem, that will be joined by...

    Could I check whether shooting pigs and burying them in landfill is short term?
    Anecdotally, I drove past 2 more petrol, stations this morning with no queues, so you are right to try to move the debate onto the next short term issue as things adjust.

    The answer to the time span any of these other issues which allow people to say 'aha I told you so' is very probably.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,431
    pangolin said:

    BB don't fall for Stevo's narrative that anyone here thinks this is 100% brexit's fault. I see today he's also tacked "and long lasting" onto the strawman he's arguing against.

    It would be useful the for you to list out the other issues as you see them. It does appear that you are agreeing with my point about the various causes.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    edited October 2021
    ddraver said:
    This post/twitter thread should be getting more of your attention

    Particularly this bit



    We're stumbling back to No (trade&cooperation) Deal territory
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,577
    I think you are muddling rendered abbatoir waste and byproducts from animals killed outside the food chain. As I said, I'll check and report back.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666 said:

    pangolin said:

    BB don't fall for Stevo's narrative that anyone here thinks this is 100% brexit's fault. I see today he's also tacked "and long lasting" onto the strawman he's arguing against.

    It would be useful the for you to list out the other issues as you see them. It does appear that you are agreeing with my point about the various causes.
    :D

    Have you now decided there are issues, and Brexit is partially the cause of some of them?

    If so, I think you've now moved in line with where the majority opinion on here has been for a while.

    All you need to do to get back in synch with the Conservative party line is to say that if you think about it, the problems where Brexit is a factor are, in fact, good.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,577
    edited October 2021

    Nothing says 'everything's going well, it's just a blip' like googling uses of culled pigs on a Saturday night

    Oddly enough it's not an unusual topic of conversation if I'm over seeing my folks. RJS Sr. still occasionally consults for the Food Standards Authority on Meat Hygiene.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,577
    Pross said:

    pangolin said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/oct/05/fallen-stock-what-happens-now-to-the-uks-unwanted-pigs

    What will the culled pig meat be used for?
    By-products from animals which are considered fit for human consumption find their way into items such as pet food, animal feed, fish feed and chemicals.

    However, the carcasses of any pigs killed on farm would not be inspected after slaughter, meaning they could not be assessed as being fit for human consumption. The carcasses from the current culling are therefore likely to be used only for products such as biodiesel.

    That answers my question and I thought I was joking! Two birds, one stone and all that.
    Spectacularly inefficient when you consider the energy required to render the pig in the first place.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Nothing says "wasn't a real problem" like it being notable that a petrol station has petrol.

    Is it a long term problem or not?
    Exactly my point. It's a short term issue - with various causes many of which were not Brexit related.

    Petrol is a short term problem that will be replaced by bins being short term problem, that will be joined by...

    Could I check whether shooting pigs and burying them in landfill is short term?
    Anecdotally, I drove past 2 more petrol, stations this morning with no queues, so you are right to try to move the debate onto the next short term issue as things adjust.

    The answer to the time span any of these other issues which allow people to say 'aha I told you so' is very probably.
    How many did you drive past that were closed or had queues?
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,925

    ddraver said:
    This post/twitter thread should be getting more of your attention

    Particularly this bit



    We're stumbling back to No (trade&cooperation) Deal territory
    I imagine it can all change by Weds when countries are asked for their sign off.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,431
    edited October 2021

    Stevo_666 said:

    pangolin said:

    BB don't fall for Stevo's narrative that anyone here thinks this is 100% brexit's fault. I see today he's also tacked "and long lasting" onto the strawman he's arguing against.

    It would be useful the for you to list out the other issues as you see them. It does appear that you are agreeing with my point about the various causes.
    :D

    Have you now decided there are issues, and Brexit is partially the cause of some of them?

    If so, I think you've now moved in line with where the majority opinion on here has been for a while.

    All you need to do to get back in synch with the Conservative party line is to say that if you think about it, the problems where Brexit is a factor are, in fact, good.
    Good luck with your increasingly desperate search for the big problem that 'proves' your predetermined view. The last few have all fallen by the wayside ;)

    The view of some seems to be 'well it wasn't this one, but there must be another problem coming - please let it happen...'
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,431

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Nothing says "wasn't a real problem" like it being notable that a petrol station has petrol.

    Is it a long term problem or not?
    Exactly my point. It's a short term issue - with various causes many of which were not Brexit related.

    Petrol is a short term problem that will be replaced by bins being short term problem, that will be joined by...

    Could I check whether shooting pigs and burying them in landfill is short term?
    Anecdotally, I drove past 2 more petrol, stations this morning with no queues, so you are right to try to move the debate onto the next short term issue as things adjust.

    The answer to the time span any of these other issues which allow people to say 'aha I told you so' is very probably.
    How many did you drive past that were closed or had queues?
    None.

    And we drove past 2 more when we went out to take the dogs for a walk just now - both had fuel and none had queues. Hate to disappoint you :smile:
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    pangolin said:

    BB don't fall for Stevo's narrative that anyone here thinks this is 100% brexit's fault. I see today he's also tacked "and long lasting" onto the strawman he's arguing against.

    It would be useful the for you to list out the other issues as you see them. It does appear that you are agreeing with my point about the various causes.
    :D

    Have you now decided there are issues, and Brexit is partially the cause of some of them?

    If so, I think you've now moved in line with where the majority opinion on here has been for a while.

    All you need to do to get back in synch with the Conservative party line is to say that if you think about it, the problems where Brexit is a factor are, in fact, good.
    Good luck with your increasingly desperate search for the big problem that proves your predetermined view. The last few have all fallen by the wayside ;)
    Back to "there's no problems at all" then. That's quite a take.

    Is this still mainly based on Waitrose having cake to feed the people?
  • The great thinker of our day, Jeremy Clarkson:

    There’s also a shortage of microchips and cars and food and toys and feathers and concrete and, most importantly, people. Which means we don’t have anyone to kill our pigs or pick our fruit or deliver our fuel to the filling stations. To get round this problem, anyone with an HGV licence is being offered an annual salary of £2 billion if they’ll get back in the Scania. And everyone — Boris Johnson included — is saying that this is fair enough. No, it isn’t. Because if you’re paying people more to pick an apple and then drivers more to deliver it and the supermarket staff more for selling it, the apple will cost £200,000 and we are going to have runaway inflation.


    What fascinates me is that I’m still going to the pub and to parties as though nothing’s wrong. But everything’s wrong. Sure, everything has all gone wrong in the past, but back then the country was full, by and large, of people who wanted to put it right. Lord Carrington, for example.

    Not any more. Now we have Borrie Johnson at the Tory party conference saying that actually nothing is wrong at all and then banging on about LGBT sandwiches.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436

    ddraver said:
    This post/twitter thread should be getting more of your attention

    Particularly this bit



    We're stumbling back to No (trade&cooperation) Deal territory
    I imagine it can all change by Weds when countries are asked for their sign off.
    Seems Frost is planning to shit on it on Tuesday
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    rjsterry said:

    Pross said:

    pangolin said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/oct/05/fallen-stock-what-happens-now-to-the-uks-unwanted-pigs

    What will the culled pig meat be used for?
    By-products from animals which are considered fit for human consumption find their way into items such as pet food, animal feed, fish feed and chemicals.

    However, the carcasses of any pigs killed on farm would not be inspected after slaughter, meaning they could not be assessed as being fit for human consumption. The carcasses from the current culling are therefore likely to be used only for products such as biodiesel.

    That answers my question and I thought I was joking! Two birds, one stone and all that.
    Spectacularly inefficient when you consider the energy required to render the pig in the first place.
    Double whammy, use pig fat to power the process. All these little piggies will be used up in no time. Maybe that's the inbred version of the nursery rhyme for the 6th toe?

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463

    The great thinker of our day, Jeremy Clarkson:

    There’s also a shortage of microchips and cars and food and toys and feathers and concrete and, most importantly, people. Which means we don’t have anyone to kill our pigs or pick our fruit or deliver our fuel to the filling stations. To get round this problem, anyone with an HGV licence is being offered an annual salary of £2 billion if they’ll get back in the Scania. And everyone — Boris Johnson included — is saying that this is fair enough. No, it isn’t. Because if you’re paying people more to pick an apple and then drivers more to deliver it and the supermarket staff more for selling it, the apple will cost £200,000 and we are going to have runaway inflation.


    What fascinates me is that I’m still going to the pub and to parties as though nothing’s wrong. But everything’s wrong. Sure, everything has all gone wrong in the past, but back then the country was full, by and large, of people who wanted to put it right. Lord Carrington, for example.

    Not any more. Now we have Borrie Johnson at the Tory party conference saying that actually nothing is wrong at all and then banging on about LGBT sandwiches.
    That's his job as right wing poster boy gone
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Pross said:

    The great thinker of our day, Jeremy Clarkson:

    There’s also a shortage of microchips and cars and food and toys and feathers and concrete and, most importantly, people. Which means we don’t have anyone to kill our pigs or pick our fruit or deliver our fuel to the filling stations. To get round this problem, anyone with an HGV licence is being offered an annual salary of £2 billion if they’ll get back in the Scania. And everyone — Boris Johnson included — is saying that this is fair enough. No, it isn’t. Because if you’re paying people more to pick an apple and then drivers more to deliver it and the supermarket staff more for selling it, the apple will cost £200,000 and we are going to have runaway inflation.


    What fascinates me is that I’m still going to the pub and to parties as though nothing’s wrong. But everything’s wrong. Sure, everything has all gone wrong in the past, but back then the country was full, by and large, of people who wanted to put it right. Lord Carrington, for example.

    Not any more. Now we have Borrie Johnson at the Tory party conference saying that actually nothing is wrong at all and then banging on about LGBT sandwiches.
    That's his job as right wing poster boy gone
    I suspect he’s stayed where he is on the spectrum and the govt has just lurched to the extreme