BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417

    I look forward to the arguments that the idea of the United States of America has had its day, has served its purpose, and might as well be wound up.

    Depends on the purpose. It was mentioned above that the EU was set up to stop the major powers in the region fighting each other, which now seems less likely than spotting the Loch Ness Monster. Don't think that was the purpose of the formation of the USA.

    Or does the EU now has a new purpose, such as the formation of a Superstate?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Yugoslavia had a substantial amount of rifles and tanks in 1991.

    The Yugoslavia of half a dozen regions with cultural and religious differences being artificially held together? That Yugoslavia?

    Much like that EU?
    Better is stays together, no?
    It really is up to them isn't it? Nowt do with us now.

    Have been away from here for a little while and it really is unbelievable that people have gone back to spouting "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.

    I agree with you that Yugoslavia is another example of failed federalism, and a bad example to use in favour of the EU.

    One important thing to understand though is that it doesn't matter whether the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe, but that a lot of people in continental Europe believe it has, and therefore are big fans of the EU.

    Generally speaking, looking around the world, there are a lot of countries that were involved in world war 2, are not part of a union and yet are still peaceful.

    NATO appears to be a much cheaper option these days.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916

    I look forward to the arguments that the idea of the United States of America has had its day, has served its purpose, and might as well be wound up.

    It's a (or the) good example of federalism. The population, ignoring the natives, potentially has a lot more in common though than other less successful attempts.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Yugoslavia had a substantial amount of rifles and tanks in 1991.

    The Yugoslavia of half a dozen regions with cultural and religious differences being artificially held together? That Yugoslavia?

    Much like that EU?
    Better is stays together, no?
    It really is up to them isn't it? Nowt do with us now.

    Have been away from here for a little while and it really is unbelievable that people have gone back to spouting "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.

    Merely countering the opinion that Bosnia can be discounted as a force given how it came to be what it is now. Europe is nothing to do with us could have been a response in either 1914 or 1938.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • david37
    david37 Posts: 1,313
    edited January 2021

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    Yugoslavia had a substantial amount of rifles and tanks in 1991.

    The Yugoslavia of half a dozen regions with cultural and religious differences being artificially held together? That Yugoslavia?

    Much like that EU?
    Better is stays together, no?
    It really is up to them isn't it? Nowt do with us now.

    Have been away from here for a little while and it really is unbelievable that people have gone back to spouting "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.

    extreem remoaner rubbish that the EU was responsible for peace. they were one of a number of post war groups. I would suggest that since the biggest threat to Europe until the last 20 years was conventional war with Russia. since then its been russia with non conventional war and islam.

    The EU has never had a direct response to either of those. the NATO yes, UN yes. the EU prefers french sliming diplomacy that panders to Russia.

    Also the French as a key country in Europe actually armed the Argentinians at the beginning of the Falklands conflict, only stopping when they got busted for it.

    As for the EU army, thats just one of the final steps along with a tightening of member state finance and treasury controls on its journey to becoming a superstate of un elected beurocracy.

    The French and EU do not care about Britain or Britain in Europe any further than it suits them to. That was also the case whilst we were in the EU.
  • elbowloh
    elbowloh Posts: 7,078
    Can we please stop comparing Jugoslavia with the EU. Yugoslavia was ruled an absolute monarchy, under a marxist-leninist government and as a dictatorship. It was never really a confederation of sovereign states like the EU.
    Felt F1 2014
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  • david37
    david37 Posts: 1,313
    elbowloh said:

    Can we please stop comparing Jugoslavia with the EU. Yugoslavia was ruled an absolute monarchy, under a marxist-leninist government and as a dictatorship. It was never really a confederation of sovereign states like the EU.

    the vestiges of sovereignty are being eroded all the time.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    elbowloh said:

    Can we please stop comparing Jugoslavia with the EU. Yugoslavia was ruled an absolute monarchy, under a marxist-leninist government and as a dictatorship. It was never really a confederation of sovereign states like the EU.

    However is does show what people are capable of once they start disagreeing, and in relatively recent history. Ukraine could be next. Still, nowt to do with us...
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    john80 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    It's fine for people to be positive towards our Country, but when you start getting silly rejoicing in the breakup of a European Union. Which was created to maintain peace off the backdrop of two world wars. Surely you are either trolling or just not well versed in history.

    Given that was its purpose, surely its job is now done?

    So you think it's impossible for a return to any sort of conflict in Europe, even if the EU disappeared?
    Nothing is impossible, but it's highly unlikely. How likely is it that say France and Germany might go to war these days?
    How long would it take them to completely destroy each other with the advancement in arms? Given it is likely to be less than a week should tell you that it is not going to happen.

    Having been to Serbia in 2015, with the recent marks of a brutal war still very much in evidence, you'll have to excuse me if I don't share the blithe "it's not going to happen" assurance. They didn't think it would happen either. I'd agree that it's rather unlikely between France and Germany, but there are enough tensions elsewhere ready to be exploited by the next populist/fascist.
    So we keep the huge EU monolith going just in case some small corner of Europe decides to have a fight? Sledgehammers and nuts maybe. Although ironically a lot of the current populism in Europe has arisen because those countries are in the EU - so there is an obvious potential solution to that...
    We? There is no we, now. We're on our own. Think it's a stretch to say that the rise of populism - a worldwide phenomenon of the last few years - has arisen due to EU membership. Erdogan in Turkey? Bolsonaro in Brazil? Trump? Modi?
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • ballysmate
    ballysmate Posts: 15,930

    "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.


    Come on, substantiate that claim. How is that bollocks?
    Going back 3 years

    https://forum.bikeradar.com/discussion/13028650/brexit-2020-bye-bye-brussels-its-been-a-blast/p671

    Following on from those 3 year old posts
    Peace was more likely due to the fear of the 300 Soviet divisions that Western Europe were fearful of rolling westwards and the necessity of stationing hundreds of thousands of Nato trrops in W Germany.
  • ballysmate
    ballysmate Posts: 15,930
    pblakeney said:

    elbowloh said:

    Can we please stop comparing Jugoslavia with the EU. Yugoslavia was ruled an absolute monarchy, under a marxist-leninist government and as a dictatorship. It was never really a confederation of sovereign states like the EU.

    However is does show what people are capable of once they start disagreeing, and in relatively recent history. Ukraine could be next. Still, nowt to do with us...
    And the EU played its part in destabilising the area by courting Ukraine.

  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    edited January 2021

    pblakeney said:

    elbowloh said:

    Can we please stop comparing Jugoslavia with the EU. Yugoslavia was ruled an absolute monarchy, under a marxist-leninist government and as a dictatorship. It was never really a confederation of sovereign states like the EU.

    However is does show what people are capable of once they start disagreeing, and in relatively recent history. Ukraine could be next. Still, nowt to do with us...
    And the EU played its part in destabilising the area by courting Ukraine.

    As did Russia. That is how these things begin.
    PS - We were a major part of the EU at the beginning of this saga.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    john80 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    It's fine for people to be positive towards our Country, but when you start getting silly rejoicing in the breakup of a European Union. Which was created to maintain peace off the backdrop of two world wars. Surely you are either trolling or just not well versed in history.

    Given that was its purpose, surely its job is now done?

    So you think it's impossible for a return to any sort of conflict in Europe, even if the EU disappeared?
    Nothing is impossible, but it's highly unlikely. How likely is it that say France and Germany might go to war these days?
    How long would it take them to completely destroy each other with the advancement in arms? Given it is likely to be less than a week should tell you that it is not going to happen.

    Having been to Serbia in 2015, with the recent marks of a brutal war still very much in evidence, you'll have to excuse me if I don't share the blithe "it's not going to happen" assurance. They didn't think it would happen either. I'd agree that it's rather unlikely between France and Germany, but there are enough tensions elsewhere ready to be exploited by the next populist/fascist.
    So they keep the huge EU monolith going just in case some small corner of Europe decides to have a fight? Sledgehammers and nuts maybe. Although ironically a lot of the current populism in Europe has arisen because those countries are in the EU - so there is an obvious potential solution to that...
    We? There is no we, now. We're on our own. Think it's a stretch to say that the rise of populism - a worldwide phenomenon of the last few years - has arisen due to EU membership. Erdogan in Turkey? Bolsonaro in Brazil? Trump? Modi?
    Edited to deal with your first point.

    As for your reference to populism outside of the EU, if you read my post I did say 'populism in Europe'.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    john80 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    It's fine for people to be positive towards our Country, but when you start getting silly rejoicing in the breakup of a European Union. Which was created to maintain peace off the backdrop of two world wars. Surely you are either trolling or just not well versed in history.

    Given that was its purpose, surely its job is now done?

    So you think it's impossible for a return to any sort of conflict in Europe, even if the EU disappeared?
    Nothing is impossible, but it's highly unlikely. How likely is it that say France and Germany might go to war these days?
    How long would it take them to completely destroy each other with the advancement in arms? Given it is likely to be less than a week should tell you that it is not going to happen.

    Having been to Serbia in 2015, with the recent marks of a brutal war still very much in evidence, you'll have to excuse me if I don't share the blithe "it's not going to happen" assurance. They didn't think it would happen either. I'd agree that it's rather unlikely between France and Germany, but there are enough tensions elsewhere ready to be exploited by the next populist/fascist.
    So they keep the huge EU monolith going just in case some small corner of Europe decides to have a fight? Sledgehammers and nuts maybe. Although ironically a lot of the current populism in Europe has arisen because those countries are in the EU - so there is an obvious potential solution to that...
    We? There is no we, now. We're on our own. Think it's a stretch to say that the rise of populism - a worldwide phenomenon of the last few years - has arisen due to EU membership. Erdogan in Turkey? Bolsonaro in Brazil? Trump? Modi?
    Edited to deal with your first point.

    As for your reference to populism outside of the EU, if you read my post I did say 'populism in Europe'.
    So if we're agreed that it's a fairly universal phenomenon, your evidence for the EU causing the rise of populism is what, exactly?
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    john80 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    It's fine for people to be positive towards our Country, but when you start getting silly rejoicing in the breakup of a European Union. Which was created to maintain peace off the backdrop of two world wars. Surely you are either trolling or just not well versed in history.

    Given that was its purpose, surely its job is now done?

    So you think it's impossible for a return to any sort of conflict in Europe, even if the EU disappeared?
    Nothing is impossible, but it's highly unlikely. How likely is it that say France and Germany might go to war these days?
    How long would it take them to completely destroy each other with the advancement in arms? Given it is likely to be less than a week should tell you that it is not going to happen.

    Having been to Serbia in 2015, with the recent marks of a brutal war still very much in evidence, you'll have to excuse me if I don't share the blithe "it's not going to happen" assurance. They didn't think it would happen either. I'd agree that it's rather unlikely between France and Germany, but there are enough tensions elsewhere ready to be exploited by the next populist/fascist.
    So they keep the huge EU monolith going just in case some small corner of Europe decides to have a fight? Sledgehammers and nuts maybe. Although ironically a lot of the current populism in Europe has arisen because those countries are in the EU - so there is an obvious potential solution to that...
    We? There is no we, now. We're on our own. Think it's a stretch to say that the rise of populism - a worldwide phenomenon of the last few years - has arisen due to EU membership. Erdogan in Turkey? Bolsonaro in Brazil? Trump? Modi?
    Edited to deal with your first point.

    As for your reference to populism outside of the EU, if you read my post I did say 'populism in Europe'.
    So if we're agreed that it's a fairly universal phenomenon, your evidence for the EU causing the rise of populism is what, exactly?
    Here's one example close to home, although now historical. Would UKIP and the Brexit party have existed if the UK had never been in the EU?

    Something tells me you're bored.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    UKIP as originally set up were not a populist party. They have since disintegrated. The Brexit Party is more of a money making exercise for Farage than a political party, but certainly capitalised on disenchantment with our membership, but now that we're out, they have pivoted to being an anti-lockdown/covid denial group so I'll give you half a point.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,697
    Can the morons get themselves an avatar, please? It's really hard to spot the posts to scroll past...

    A sweedish Flag works well.

    Thanks
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916
    One of the interesting things that has come out of the EU not granting equivalence is that it incentivises the UK to diverge. The possibility of divergence is the reason the EU gives for not granting equivalence despite the possibility of it being revoked with 30 days notice.

  • One of the interesting things that has come out of the EU not granting equivalence is that it incentivises the UK to diverge. The possibility of divergence is the reason the EU gives for not granting equivalence despite the possibility of it being revoked with 30 days notice.

    I always thought equivalence with 30 days notice was worse than useless other than as a stop gap measure
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916

    One of the interesting things that has come out of the EU not granting equivalence is that it incentivises the UK to diverge. The possibility of divergence is the reason the EU gives for not granting equivalence despite the possibility of it being revoked with 30 days notice.

    I always thought equivalence with 30 days notice was worse than useless other than as a stop gap measure
    It's the carrot the EU is dangling. They don't seem to have noticed it is not that appealing and might damage their own economy by not offering it.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    rjsterry said:

    UKIP as originally set up were not a populist party. They have since disintegrated. The Brexit Party is more of a money making exercise for Farage than a political party, but certainly capitalised on disenchantment with our membership, but now that we're out, they have pivoted to being an anti-lockdown/covid denial group so I'll give you half a point.

    Wiki disagrees with you.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Independence_Party
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    ddraver said:

    Can the morons get themselves an avatar, please? It's really hard to spot the posts to scroll past...

    A sweedish Flag works well.

    Thanks

    That's a bit harsh on SC and PB :)
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • john80
    john80 Posts: 2,965

    "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.


    Come on, substantiate that claim. How is that bollocks?
    Feel free to substantiate peace being due to the EU. The existence of the EU does not actually prove this for the avoidance of doubt anymore than the existence of any number of other organisations.

    It could be easy to argue that for the 20 years post WW2 the public and countries were too busy digging themselves out of the prior war to have much appetite for another scrap which takes us to the 1970s. At that point France and the UK has a full nuclear deterrent. So lets say a nation decides to invade another. All that is required is for the UK or France to ask them to leave, give them a timescale then destroy their capital if the deadline is missed. How is that country going to continue their assault if city by city they are destroyed for failing to leave the country that they have invaded. how are they going to supply their troops from their demolished country and how is soldier moral having wiped out their entire family at home. The Japanese did not have much appetite to continue and they are probably one of the most stuborn nations in the world. Take us into the modern age and no politician is safe from the weapons of another developed country. The UK could wipe out a leadership overnight with modern weapons that are non-nuclear. The reason Europe is not at war is not just because of the EU. Just think how communications have changed beyond their village since the 1950s. You can get news from anywhere in the world 24 hours a day which makes it much harder to hoodwink the majority of a country into stupid actions. How would Hitler have operated in the modern world. I think he would have been killed a lot earlier.
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,697
    Stevo_666 said:

    ddraver said:

    Can the morons get themselves an avatar, please? It's really hard to spot the posts to scroll past...

    A sweedish Flag works well.

    Thanks

    That's a bit harsh on SC and PB :)
    They re all good...
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • john80 said:

    "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.


    Come on, substantiate that claim. How is that bollocks?
    Feel free to substantiate peace being due to the EU. The existence of the EU does not actually prove this for the avoidance of doubt anymore than the existence of any number of other organisations.

    It could be easy to argue that for the 20 years post WW2 the public and countries were too busy digging themselves out of the prior war to have much appetite for another scrap which takes us to the 1970s. At that point France and the UK has a full nuclear deterrent. So lets say a nation decides to invade another. All that is required is for the UK or France to ask them to leave, give them a timescale then destroy their capital if the deadline is missed. How is that country going to continue their assault if city by city they are destroyed for failing to leave the country that they have invaded. how are they going to supply their troops from their demolished country and how is soldier moral having wiped out their entire family at home. The Japanese did not have much appetite to continue and they are probably one of the most stuborn nations in the world. Take us into the modern age and no politician is safe from the weapons of another developed country. The UK could wipe out a leadership overnight with modern weapons that are non-nuclear. The reason Europe is not at war is not just because of the EU. Just think how communications have changed beyond their village since the 1950s. You can get news from anywhere in the world 24 hours a day which makes it much harder to hoodwink the majority of a country into stupid actions. How would Hitler have operated in the modern world. I think he would have been killed a lot earlier.
    Chapeau

    I missed it first time around, but having read the last two sentences went back and read again from the start.
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,648
    Small point, but 1945 + 20 = 1965. Most historians agree this was not in the 1970s.
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    pangolin said:

    Small point, but 1945 + 20 = 1965. Most historians agree this was not in the 1970s.

    1918 + 20 = 1938 which has a ring of coincidence though. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • bompington
    bompington Posts: 7,674
    john80 said:

    You can get news from anywhere in the world 24 hours a day which makes it much harder to hoodwink the majority of a country into stupid actions.

    This takes some beating for wilfully blind optimism, although TBF 52% of those who voted is not actually a majority of a country
  • pangolin
    pangolin Posts: 6,648

    john80 said:

    You can get news from anywhere in the world 24 hours a day which makes it much harder to hoodwink the majority of a country into stupid actions.

    This takes some beating for wilfully blind optimism, although TBF 52% of those who voted is not actually a majority of a country
    You could make a strong case that not voting (either way) is a pretty stupid action.
    - Genesis Croix de Fer
    - Dolan Tuono
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,151
    john80 said:

    "the EU has been responsible for peace in Europe" bollox again.


    Come on, substantiate that claim. How is that bollocks?
    Feel free to substantiate peace being due to the EU. The existence of the EU does not actually prove this for the avoidance of doubt anymore than the existence of any number of other organisations.

    It could be easy to argue that for the 20 years post WW2 the public and countries were too busy digging themselves out of the prior war to have much appetite for another scrap which takes us to the 1970s. At that point France and the UK has a full nuclear deterrent. So lets say a nation decides to invade another. All that is required is for the UK or France to ask them to leave, give them a timescale then destroy their capital if the deadline is missed. How is that country going to continue their assault if city by city they are destroyed for failing to leave the country that they have invaded. how are they going to supply their troops from their demolished country and how is soldier moral having wiped out their entire family at home. The Japanese did not have much appetite to continue and they are probably one of the most stuborn nations in the world. Take us into the modern age and no politician is safe from the weapons of another developed country. The UK could wipe out a leadership overnight with modern weapons that are non-nuclear. The reason Europe is not at war is not just because of the EU. Just think how communications have changed beyond their village since the 1950s. You can get news from anywhere in the world 24 hours a day which makes it much harder to hoodwink the majority of a country into stupid actions. How would Hitler have operated in the modern world. I think he would have been killed a lot earlier.
    Aren't you just whimsically playing around in the comfort of hindsight?

    I would have also thought Countries would have had enough of the world war after the first one. That didn't seem to come to fruition, hence outward looking concepts such as the EU and Cern.

    Honestly, it seems as though some people live their lives akin to 1984, wiping out history to suit their myopic stance.