BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682
    A question for those adamant that unskilled labour from the EU should be allowed - why not the rest of the word as well?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817
    edited February 2020
    Spread over an organisation, I think it's been proven beyond much doubt that diversity of thought is additive to the whole business profitability; decision taking; culture, blah blah. If everyone in the firm only hired who they knew already, I doubt you'd achieve that.

    At a leadership and adviser level the challenges to achieve diversity of thought are particularly acute as the number of people to spread the diversity around is rather small.

    I get that knowing someone reduces the risk of a hire substantially, but a low risk high is not the same as hiring the best person for the job.

    Anyway, the civil service recruitment process is one of the most highly engineered long-winded processes I've ever seen and to see a person so critical of that make a balls up of his first hire is rather delicious if nothing else.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 27,758
    edited February 2020
    Who's "adamant"? I don't think the care or farming sectors are fussed where their staff come from. They just need a workforce willing to do the job at wages that make the business viable.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817
    edited February 2020

    A question for those adamant that unskilled labour from the EU should be allowed - why not the rest of the word as well?

    I've been quite consistent on that. In fact, I think I challenged you when you argued the opposite; that because ROW isn't afforded the same privileges in the UK as EU citizens, you were comfortable reducing the EU citizen privileges....
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682

    A question for those adamant that unskilled labour from the EU should be allowed - why not the rest of the word as well?

    I've been quite consistent on that. In fact, I think I challenged you when you argued the opposite; that because ROW isn't afforded the same privileges in the UK as EU citizens, you were comfortable reducing the EU citizen privileges....
    I am not sure I see link.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 27,758
    Jeremy.89 said:

    No discussion around Cummings latest hire? For a man so keen on super forecasting he seems completely unable to predict the public reaction to hiring someone linked to eugenics.

    For a man so keen to champion science, he seems unable to distinguish the real thing from junk.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817
    So the Greeks have waded in and demanded the Elgin Marbles back, a nice illustration of the disadvantage of trying to reduce harmony between the EU27, in that you just end up giving each nation carte blanche to chuck in their own parochial challenges.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 27,758

    So the Greeks have waded in and demanded the Elgin Marbles back, a nice illustration of the disadvantage of trying to reduce harmony between the EU27, in that you just end up giving each nation carte blanche to chuck in their own parochial challenges.

    That's not a new request. The bit added into the EU position is to stop London becoming a market for nicked antiquities on their doorstep. Seems pretty reasonable to me.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817
    No it's not new. That wasn't really my point, but yes.
  • Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 18,952
    edited February 2020
    Dmitry Grozoubinski
    @DmitryOpines

    Who is this FOR?

    No. 10 knows what the EU meant with these slides. The EU knows what they meant. It's not complicated.

    The campaign is over. Government has a huge majority. There is no opposition.

    Why continue debasing the discourse to harvest retweets from UK MAGA-hats?


    Each step on the ladder represents a TYPE of EU relationship, not a commitment to copy paste an existing treaty.

    EU Membership
    EFTA Partial SM
    Swiss Piecemeal SM
    Ukraine AA
    Turkey Partial CU
    Free Trade Agreement

    Each step required individual, bespoke negotiations. Same as now.


    The UK wants more access to the EU market than Canada received, and is a closer and larger trading partner (so more of a potential threat to EU sectors).

    Ergo, the EU is seeking more LPF.

    By all means tell them to fuck off or make a counter offer, but stop... whatever this is.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817
    Stevo_666 said:

    Barnier has changed his mind. Canada deal is no longer available

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-51549662

    A reminder


    Hard to see why the EU has U-turned on this unless they previously thought we that would never go for a Canada style deal and now that we are, they are worried about us out-competing them.
    Here's Peter Foster on why the no.10 tweet using said diagram was wide of the mark



  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 18,952

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682
    I don't find these arguments for the defence to be particularly persuasive. Barnier was playing politics, as always, (with the previous slide) and its caught up with him. It's one of the problems of not changing the lead negotiator.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 27,758

    Dmitry Grozoubinski
    @DmitryOpines

    Who is this FOR?

    No. 10 knows what the EU meant with these slides. The EU knows what they meant. It's not complicated.

    The campaign is over. Government has a huge majority. There is no opposition.

    Why continue debasing the discourse to harvest retweets from UK MAGA-hats?


    Each step on the ladder represents a TYPE of EU relationship, not a commitment to copy paste an existing treaty.

    EU Membership
    EFTA Partial SM
    Swiss Piecemeal SM
    Ukraine AA
    Turkey Partial CU
    Free Trade Agreement

    Each step required individual, bespoke negotiations. Same as now.


    The UK wants more access to the EU market than Canada received, and is a closer and larger trading partner (so more of a potential threat to EU sectors).

    Ergo, the EU is seeking more LPF.

    By all means tell them to censored off or make a counter offer, but stop... whatever this is.

    Not sure if Stevo or Coopster have UK MAGA hats, but the message seems to have been received by them both.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682
    edited February 2020
    For clarity that is United Kingdom Making America Great Again hats? A niche market I would have thought.
  • Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    Are you now confirming the EU are protectionist and not pro-trade?
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    The UK has been fairly clear for a while that the goal is the best access possible whilst being able to regulate itself.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 18,952

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    The UK has been fairly clear for a while that the goal is the best access possible whilst being able to regulate itself.

    Now they need to negotiate the best possible access.


    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 18,952
    Is it possible the UK haven't read the political declaration?
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    The UK has been fairly clear for a while that the goal is the best access possible whilst being able to regulate itself.

    Now they need to negotiate the best possible access.


    Indeed, but it still feels like a lot of people have not understood this.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817

    I don't find these arguments for the defence to be particularly persuasive. Barnier was playing politics, as always, (with the previous slide) and its caught up with him. It's one of the problems of not changing the lead negotiator.

    what about that thread from Foster did you disagree with? As, with evidence, he explains why Barnier's position has not moved if you were paying attention.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 18,952

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    Are you now confirming the EU are protectionist and not pro-trade?
    I'm confirming they're not stupid.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • Is it possible the UK haven't read the political declaration?

    surely it is possible that if you have a very casual relationship with the truth then it is highly likely that you assume the same to be true of others? therefore if you agree to stuff in a legal document you may expect it to have no ramifications.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 20,682

    I don't find these arguments for the defence to be particularly persuasive. Barnier was playing politics, as always, (with the previous slide) and its caught up with him. It's one of the problems of not changing the lead negotiator.

    what about that thread from Foster did you disagree with? As, with evidence, he explains why Barnier's position has not moved if you were paying attention.
    A weak argument can be factually correct.

    I think his original slide was probably right, but it doesn't reconcile with the EU27's shopping list at the moment, so there is a rush to find excuses.
  • Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    This is a odd view from the EU when all the remoaners were saying the EU holds all the cards once the UK leaves.

    Clearly this was never the case

    The UK can have the access they want to the EU market or the ability to regulate as they see fit to boost their economy.

    The EU aren't stupid enough to allow a major competitor both.

    Are you now confirming the EU are protectionist and not pro-trade?
    They are both.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 58,712

    I don't find these arguments for the defence to be particularly persuasive. Barnier was playing politics, as always, (with the previous slide) and its caught up with him. It's one of the problems of not changing the lead negotiator.

    what about that thread from Foster did you disagree with? As, with evidence, he explains why Barnier's position has not moved if you were paying attention.
    A weak argument can be factually correct.

    I think his original slide was probably right, but it doesn't reconcile with the EU27's shopping list at the moment, so there is a rush to find excuses.
    Agreed.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 58,712

    A question for those adamant that unskilled labour from the EU should be allowed - why not the rest of the word as well?

    There hasn't been a good answer to that on here that I can recall.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 58,712
    edited February 2020

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    The problem as I see it is the closer the U.K. gets to a “fully divergent from the EU” position, with the associated friction, the smaller the difference between that and failing to agree to any deal.

    I’m not convinced this U.K. govt will necessarily fold and increasingly the EU has a priority of not having a competitive neighbour.

    Neither helps them get to a mutually beneficial compromise.

    Agreed. General consensus seems to be that statements about wanting to diverge should be taken at face value. "Australia style" non-deal here we come.
    Clearly the EU are worried about us out-competing them. I wonder why?
    With the new immigration policy released this evening, they can probably relax a bit. Not sure how central control of the labour force fits with any plans to out-compete the EU. F*** business indeed.
    No different in principle to the controls over non-EU workers coming into the EU. It will be more about how it is worked in practice.

    Although clearly there will be other factors that concern the EU.
    I think he is looking at it from a UK point of view and querying whether government rather than markets will best allocate resources.
    We've already well established Stevo is not in the business of encouraging competition, either in business, politics, or anywhere else.

    He's made plenty of 'lump of labour' arguments to argue why it make sense to restrict the labour force, so this position should come as no surprise.

    Why bother upping your game when you can vote in governments that protect your weak game?
    At least I'm not in the business of talking bollox and misrepresenting the views of others ;)
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 72,817

    I don't find these arguments for the defence to be particularly persuasive. Barnier was playing politics, as always, (with the previous slide) and its caught up with him. It's one of the problems of not changing the lead negotiator.

    what about that thread from Foster did you disagree with? As, with evidence, he explains why Barnier's position has not moved if you were paying attention.
    A weak argument can be factually correct.

    I think his original slide was probably right, but it doesn't reconcile with the EU27's shopping list at the moment, so there is a rush to find excuses.
    What evidence is there for that, when the close observers have found they haven't changed their position?