BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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Comments

  • TheBigBean wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    Longshot wrote:
    With the EU meeting on the 17th/18th, you'd have thought he might have found some better way to use his and his minions' time.

    They maybe don't need to. Word is the deal has already been done and both the EU and UK Gov are just using the remaining time to try and make political gains.

    I've heard this now from three different people, all unconnected with each other, whose information is usually accurate and fairly reliable.

    That of course is no guarantee that it's not pure BS.

    Alternatively then, they could use the time trying to not wee-wee off the people who have to vote for it.
    This seems relevant.

    https://www.itv.com/news/2019-09-30/joh ... rt-peston/

    Still not convinced he can pull it off.

    No insight as to whether a deal is likely, but I suspect if a deal has been done, it would be with someone other than Barnier and Juncker e.g. Varadkar, Merkel and Macron. If those three agree, I can't imagine any other country being bothered.


    Peston's not worth reading on Brexit.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • The same nonsense just keeps coming back, the loop's just speeding up.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    I thought prevailing thought in Brussels was that they anticipate BoJo seriously kicking off in order to electrify his new base.
  • https://twitter.com/tconnellyRTE/status ... 7678618626

    Round and round the big wheel goes.
    Where she stops nobody knows.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028


    Round and round the big wheel goes.
    Where she stops nobody knows.

    The comments under that tweet speak volumes - for example: "Thats an even worse idea than when they actually had no idea"


  • Round and round the big wheel goes.
    Where she stops nobody knows.
    Johnson is giving unicorns a bad name.
  • The same nonsense just keeps coming back, the loop's just speeding up.

    Tuesday 1st October 2019

    EFvXfC1XUAENQgO?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rdt
    rdt Posts: 869
    rjsterry wrote:
    This seems relevant.

    https://www.itv.com/news/2019-09-30/joh ... rt-peston/

    Still not convinced he can pull it off.


    When we have journos so lacking in knowledge of the EU basics, as Pesto telegraphs clearly with that article, then it's no wonder we have politicos like BloJo (+ most of them, frankly) able to go around in circles talking the same nonsense without fear of proper scrutiny by the 4th estate.

    In that article, Pesto's focus is all tariffs and customs, when the key issue is and was always NTBs - non-tariff barriers - the removal of which is the great achievement of the EU's single market and what delivers frictionless trade and no borders...

    My guess is that Johnson's "plan" would/will be to announce in conference a "generous, bold, creative offer" that he and his puppeteer must know does absolutely nothing to address the issues on hand, NTBs etc. But as there are no magical solutions just waiting to be discovered if only someone looked in the right place, then it's ~99.9% probable that it will simply be a rehash of daft ideas, often deriving from the clueless Shanker Singham. "Ideas" that have already been dismissed by the EU and others over and over and over again as doing absolutely nothing to resolve the problems being created on the island of Ireland as a result of the UK leaving the EU whilst Ireland remains in the EU. And so the "generous, bold, creative offer" will be rejected again as just more nonsense.

    Just as Johnson and King Dom expect will happen.

    The "plan" as such, if you could call it that, would be for Johnson to then say to his hard-of-learning acolytes: "Look at those nasty JFs refusing to listen to our cunning plan or ever compromise!", ie "Look, dead cat!" Basic partisan blame game stuff that we've seen again and again...

    It's all bu11sh!t, of course, basic confirmation bias stuff aimed solely at telling those already onside what they wish to hear so that they double down on their belief systems, feeling vindicated in their views and hence motivated to vote the "correct way" come the next, imminent GE. I'm sure it'll work on them. But it's not aimed at resolving the actual underlying issues for the nation.

    These issues cannot be resolved without tacitly acknowledging that the whole Leave thing is predominantly a contradictory crock of nonsense cooked up by lying charlatans. The draft Withdrawal Agreement is hated by Brexiters because it takes Brexit from a idealized fantasy, upon which anything and everything can be projected, and instead fixes into the constraints and compromises of the real world. Harsh reality. In doing so, of course, it exposes the lies at the heart of the Leave campaign.


    So, I look forward to the speech with great anticipation :lol:

    Being hyper rational, if the evidence changes then I'll shift my views in an instant: if I've totally misjudged the serial liar Johnson and his speech this week does indeed turn out to be a "game changer" that secures an agreed deal with the EU, solving all the Irish border issues, then fair play to the fella. I'd have misjudged him. What a guy!
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,551
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,551
    Nicky Morgan being slowly dismantled by Emily Maitlis.

    "What happened to you?"
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • robert88
    robert88 Posts: 2,696
    So it would be a Back Back Stop? Or is it a Front Back Stop? Or if the goods are exports maybe a Back to Front Stop?
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349
    Imposter wrote:
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
    Don't tell me... a mixture of lots of mentions of 'surrender act', outright lies, and plenty of um's and ah's, whilst not answering any questions.
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028
    Imposter wrote:
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
    Don't tell me... a mixture of lots of mentions of 'surrender act', outright lies, and plenty of um's and ah's, whilst not answering any questions.

    Didn't matter what the question was, he just talked about buses and occasionally hospitals...
  • Imposter wrote:
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
    Don't tell me... a mixture of lots of mentions of 'surrender act', outright lies, and plenty of um's and ah's, whilst not answering any questions.

    the man has no substance and the more people see of him the more the veneer wears off. Labour should wait as long as he can for the election whilst the goon implodes
  • Imposter wrote:
    Imposter wrote:
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
    Don't tell me... a mixture of lots of mentions of 'surrender act', outright lies, and plenty of um's and ah's, whilst not answering any questions.

    Didn't matter what the question was, he just talked about buses and occasionally hospitals...

    would that be the 40 brand new hospitals or the 6 refurbished ones?
  • rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?
  • haydenm
    haydenm Posts: 2,997
    Imposter wrote:
    Imposter wrote:
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
    Don't tell me... a mixture of lots of mentions of 'surrender act', outright lies, and plenty of um's and ah's, whilst not answering any questions.

    Didn't matter what the question was, he just talked about buses and occasionally hospitals...

    would that be the 40 brand new hospitals or the 6 refurbished ones?

    HE'S DOING A LABOUR
  • drhaggis
    drhaggis Posts: 1,150
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.
  • DrHaggis wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.

    Trump school of negotiation - make outrageous claims/demands, pull back from the brink and claim victory.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,551
    DrHaggis wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.

    Trump school of negotiation - make outrageous claims/demands, pull back from the brink and claim victory.

    The leaked idea of set back customs posts has been dismissed as out-of-date by Johnson this morning, but why it was ever put on paper when it's obvious that it wouldn't fly is anyone's guess. Peter Foster at the Telegraph reckons it *will* actually form part of formal proposals to EU.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,349
    rjsterry wrote:
    DrHaggis wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.

    Trump school of negotiation - make outrageous claims/demands, pull back from the brink and claim victory.

    The leaked idea of set back customs posts has been dismissed as out-of-date by Johnson this morning, but why it was ever put on paper when it's obvious that it wouldn't fly is anyone's guess. Peter Foster at the Telegraph reckons it *will* actually form part of formal proposals to EU.
    They've probably just changed the title of the proposal.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,915
    rjsterry wrote:
    DrHaggis wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.

    Trump school of negotiation - make outrageous claims/demands, pull back from the brink and claim victory.

    The leaked idea of set back customs posts has been dismissed as out-of-date by Johnson this morning, but why it was ever put on paper when it's obvious that it wouldn't fly is anyone's guess. Peter Foster at the Telegraph reckons it *will* actually form part of formal proposals to EU.

    With whom doesn't it fly?
  • imposter2.0
    imposter2.0 Posts: 12,028
    TheBigBean wrote:
    With whom doesn't it fly?

    Probably doesn't fly with anyone who's ever taken the time to understand the Irish border issues...
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,697
    ...well literally everyone now.

    Saw a tweet from someone who said if you'd gone to sleep between 11pm last night and woken up at 9am this morning you'd have missed a whole Irish Border Proposal come and go
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,551
    TheBigBean wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    DrHaggis wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.

    Trump school of negotiation - make outrageous claims/demands, pull back from the brink and claim victory.

    The leaked idea of set back customs posts has been dismissed as out-of-date by Johnson this morning, but why it was ever put on paper when it's obvious that it wouldn't fly is anyone's guess. Peter Foster at the Telegraph reckons it *will* actually form part of formal proposals to EU.

    With whom doesn't it fly?

    Johnson, Dublin, EU, various informed commentators. Literally nobody supporting it.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • fenix
    fenix Posts: 5,437
    HaydenM wrote:
    Imposter wrote:
    Imposter wrote:
    Bizarre car crash interview with Johnson on BBC this morning...
    Don't tell me... a mixture of lots of mentions of 'surrender act', outright lies, and plenty of um's and ah's, whilst not answering any questions.

    Didn't matter what the question was, he just talked about buses and occasionally hospitals...

    would that be the 40 brand new hospitals or the 6 refurbished ones?

    HE'S DOING A LABOUR

    It's not a miscalculation when put on the spot about sums - it's a open and calculated lie.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    TheBigBean wrote:
    With whom doesn't it fly?


    Most interestingly, Julian Smith MP Secretary of State for NI

    EFyJEXQX0AAk5CS?format=jpg&name=900x900
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    It occurs to me that the UK negotiating position on the backstop is so far away from what could be agreed that they aren't actually trying to replace the backstop.

    They are using the 'backstop talks' as a proxy for 'no deal border arrangement talks' which the EU have said they won't get into.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,915
    rjsterry wrote:
    TheBigBean wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    DrHaggis wrote:
    rjsterry wrote:
    I posted it more for the reference to a 'secret deal' than Peston's credentials. It occurs that it may be the cunning plan that various cabinet ministers are hinting at. As I said, I'm sceptical of Johnson's ability to pull it off, more so if his idea is just "let's just move the border posts either side of a 20mile wide strip of land. Ta-dah!".

    As Boris's whole life has a been a triumph of presentation over substance is it not likely that his cunning plan is to re-present May's WA in a more upbeat manner?

    I could buy this if Johson hadn't been busy burning that bridge since day 1. His rhetoric is making it impalatable for all involved to accept a compromise.

    Trump school of negotiation - make outrageous claims/demands, pull back from the brink and claim victory.

    The leaked idea of set back customs posts has been dismissed as out-of-date by Johnson this morning, but why it was ever put on paper when it's obvious that it wouldn't fly is anyone's guess. Peter Foster at the Telegraph reckons it *will* actually form part of formal proposals to EU.

    With whom doesn't it fly?

    Johnson, Dublin, EU, various informed commentators. Literally nobody supporting it.

    Well, have a good laugh at me, but it looks like the start of a compromise to me.