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Who wins the Tour de France?

RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 23,513
edited 22 August in Pro race
So who is going to win the Tour? PTP will appear Tuesday evening. Based on top 10 in the betting.

Due to my own prejudices I have mistakenly omitted Pinot, who while he has never won a WT stage race in 11 years as a pro, is seen as a favourite. It is however an oversight on my part, so put him in 'other'

Who wins the Tour de France? 69 votes

Roglic
49%
bobmcstufffluidedjimmocratesddraverthomasmcN0bodyOfTheGoatme-109Dorset_BoyDeadCalmtailwindhomeharryquinnredvisiongsk82singletongweedsgregster04ducknumber1kellarFirst.Aspectrichys 34 votes
Dumoulin
8%
takethehighroadblazing_saddlesarnufdabeastosLanterne_Roguemike876 6 votes
Bernal
18%
phreakroscoeHarry182coopster_the_1stNo_Ta_Doctorsalsiccia1bianchi_davekfm2773carbonclemlincolndavezest28mindy_monster50x11 13 votes
Carapaz
11%
thebigmandaniel_bkingstongrahamshererMad_MalxdarkhairedlordCargobikeogruffo 8 votes
Quintana
2%
RichN95.berrillm__2iQE52 2 votes
Pogacar
0%
Buchmann
0%
Lopez
0%
Landa
2%
josamefocuszing723 2 votes
Someone else (tell us)
5%
mididoctorscruffpoptart242emanresu 4 votes
Twitter: @RichN95
«13

Posts

  • zest28zest28 Posts: 260
    edited 22 August
    Bernal
    I know Roglic is the clear favorite to win, but I place my bet on Bernal. And the reason is that he has got the entire Team Ineos working for him.

    We have seen Chris Froome beating the much stronger Contador due to Contador also having to fight against Team Sky, rather than just Froome.
  • robnewcastlerobnewcastle Posts: 204
    Roglic
    I’ve gone for Roglic going off his current form and the sheer strength of his team. But there is a little doubt about how he carries his form through to the 3rd week. The 3rd week is brutal under normal circumstances but in this unpredictable year with lack of racing. Bernal will be right there.
  • DeadCalmDeadCalm Posts: 3,452
    Roglic
    I ve gone with Roglic too. He has to be the favourite with Bernal a strong second. My dark horse is Buchmann.
  • pblakeneypblakeney Posts: 12,126
    Roglic
    Favourite - Roglic.
    Outsider/Podium/Other - Kuss.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Roglic
    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.
  • N0bodyOfTheGoatN0bodyOfTheGoat Posts: 4,212
    Roglic
    Roglic looks a strong favourite at the mo, but I'd like Alaphillipe and Pinot to put in a strong challenge for podium spots.
    ================
    2020 Voodoo Marasa
    2017 Cube Attain GTC Pro Disc 2016
    2016 Voodoo Wazoo
  • kingstongrahamkingstongraham Posts: 10,740
    Carapaz
    Carapaz to just hang around not doing anything much, and others to fall by the wayside.
    My niece rode 12 hours on a turbo (!) for Mind, the mental health charity on August 31st.
    https://www.justgiving.com/fundraising/caitlin-bond1
  • blazing_saddlesblazing_saddles Posts: 15,219
    Dumoulin
    It almost feels like there's not a lot to choose from, regardless of Rich omitting the entire Dauphine podium.
    Therefore I have voted just to curry favour with Rick. :D
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • imposter2.0imposter2.0 Posts: 11,003

    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.

    It's not about the bike, Nick. I don't remember you ever saying "anyone riding a Btwin", back when AG2R were on them...
  • ddraverddraver Posts: 20,148
    Roglic
    It should be Roglic given the imperious performance at the Dauphiné. In fact it should be a boring walk over based on that.

    But this year anything could happen including the race just not happening so....
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • No_Ta_DoctorNo_Ta_Doctor Posts: 9,774
    Bernal
    I've gone for Bernal. Everything points to Jumbo and Roglic, but something tells me they'll find a way to muck it up. Don't know why.
    “Road racing was over and the UCI had banned my riding positions on the track, so it was like ‘Jings, crivvens, help ma Boab, what do I do now? I know, I’ll go away and be depressed for 10 years’.”

    @DrHeadgear

    The Vikings are coming!
  • cruffcruff Posts: 1,518
    Someone else (tell us)
    I'll go with 'coronavirus'
    Fat chopper. Some racing. Some testing. Some crashing.
    Specialising in Git Daaahns and Cafs. Norvern Munkey/Transplanted Laaandoner.
  • RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 23,513
    Quintana

    It almost feels like there's not a lot to choose from, regardless of Rich omitting the entire Dauphine podium.
    Therefore I have voted just to curry favour with Rick. :D


    I picked the riders who are the shortest odds at the bookies (but missed Pinot)
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • brundonbianchibrundonbianchi Posts: 255
    edited 23 August
    Roglic

    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.

    It's not about the bike, Nick. I don't remember you ever saying "anyone riding a Btwin", back when AG2R were on them...
    I would quite happily have settled for that, they are great bikes, but there was no realistic way AG2R we’re going to trump the Sky train. And you have no idea just how good the XR4 really is. It’s incredible, you could put a trained monkey on it and get results. It might be a pensioner, but it’s still bloody good.

  • CargobikeCargobike Posts: 171
    Carapaz
    I'll be gobsmacked if there are any teams left in it after 3 weeks if they are going to ban teams if 2 or more riders become infected with C-19. There's far too many people involved throughout the teams, media corp and hotels that they will be staying in to expect C-19 not to rear it's ugly head.

    I think it's an absolute farce that it's even taking place at all, but money, as ever, is far more important than peoples safety.

    If he has got over his crash, Roglic has to be there or there abouts, but as an outside bet I'll tip my hat to a South American rider, Bernal or Carapaz.
  • ProssPross Posts: 23,286
    I'm going for a last minute twist where Ineos bring back Thomas after pretending to leave him out and he wins.

    I'm actually struggling to get excited about it for some reason, probably as it seems likely it will get cut short. Also, it felt like a chance to get all the big guns together for a rare head to head with no real guide to form but the field feels diminished with Froome, Kruiswijk and Geraint missing.
  • Roglic
    The 2 Covid strikes and you’re our rule should be interesting.
  • david37david37 Posts: 265
    Id like carapaz to win, it would cement him at the top.
  • imposter2.0imposter2.0 Posts: 11,003

    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.

    It's not about the bike, Nick. I don't remember you ever saying "anyone riding a Btwin", back when AG2R were on them...
    I would quite happily have settled for that, they are great bikes, but there was no realistic way AG2R we’re going to trump the Sky train. And you have no idea just how good the XR4 really is. It’s incredible, you could put a trained monkey on it and get results. It might be a pensioner, but it’s still bloody good.

    AG2R stopped riding Btwins long before Sky ever got going Nick. Plus, the bikes were only branded 'Btwin' but made by Cyfac. But I'm sure you knew all that...
  • sherersherer Posts: 2,418
    Carapaz
    no way will the French let Le Tour spread covid-19 all over France. Think if three teams go down that will be it for the race.

    lets tray and stay positive and hope no one tests positive
  • me-109me-109 Posts: 1,293
    Roglic
    Roglic to win with a good team behind him.

    Bernal to abandon with Plan B hovering around the top 10 and Sir Dave wondering 'What if?'.
  • takethehighroadtakethehighroad Posts: 5,540
    Dumoulin
    PTP will be Roglic, but I can certainly see a scenario where Dumoulin stays in the top 5 and Rog cracks in the 3rd week
    My Men 2020 - Mark Cavendish, Ben Swift, Fernando Gaviria, Alejandro Valverde, Edvald Boassen Hagen, Zdenek Stybar, Vincenzo Nibali, Geraint Thomas.
  • carbonclemcarbonclem Posts: 886
    Bernal
    On the assumption its completes, I'm going for Bernal. I do think an outlier may get the jersey at the race collapses mid way though?
  • redvisionredvision Posts: 2,599
    Roglic
    Assuming the tour goes the full 3 weeks I think it will be a straight up fight between Roglic and Bernal.
    I am leaving towards Roglic but then with the strength of Ineos you just never know.
  • rick_chaseyrick_chasey Posts: 49,233 Lives Here
    I do hope it's not Roglic. Is there a duller rider out there?

  • blazing_saddlesblazing_saddles Posts: 15,219
    edited 24 August
    Dumoulin

    I do hope it's not Roglic. Is there a duller rider out there?

    Yup.
    Tom Dumoulin. :D



    .................although Roglic definitely wins the dullest interview competition, "errrrrrrrrrrrr yeah...." in monotone, every time.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 23,513
    Quintana

    I do hope it's not Roglic. Is there a duller rider out there?


    But he used to be a ski jumper. :)
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • I think it’s between Bernal and big Tam
  • bobmcstuffbobmcstuff Posts: 8,536
    Roglic
    I think purely on face value it's Roglic but I think also there is a bit of an open question on how he will do in the 3rd week.
  • poptart242poptart242 Posts: 475
    Someone else (tell us)
    I can't believe you didn't give Pinot his own box :neutral:
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