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Who wins the Tour de France?

RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 26,725
edited August 2020 in Pro race
So who is going to win the Tour? PTP will appear Tuesday evening. Based on top 10 in the betting.

Due to my own prejudices I have mistakenly omitted Pinot, who while he has never won a WT stage race in 11 years as a pro, is seen as a favourite. It is however an oversight on my part, so put him in 'other'
Twitter: @RichN95

Who wins the Tour de France? 69 votes

Roglic
49%
bobmcstufffluidedjimmocratesddraverthomasmcN0bodyOfTheGoatme-109Dorset_BoyDeadCalmtailwindhomeharryquinnredvisiongsk82singletongweedsgregster04ducknumber1kellarFirst.Aspectrichys 34 votes
Dumoulin
8%
takethehighroadblazing_saddlesarnufdabeastosLanterne_Roguemike876 6 votes
Bernal
18%
phreakroscoeHarry182coopster_the_1stNo_Ta_Doctorsalsiccia1bianchi_davekfm2773carbonclemlincolndavezest28mindy_monster50x11 13 votes
Carapaz
11%
thebigmandaniel_bkingstongrahamshererMad_MalxdarkhairedlordCargobikeogruffo 8 votes
Quintana
2%
RichN95.berrillm__2iQE52 2 votes
Pogacar
0%
Buchmann
0%
Lopez
0%
Landa
2%
josamefocuszing723 2 votes
Someone else (tell us)
5%
mididoctorscruffpoptart242emanresu 4 votes
«13

Posts

  • zest28zest28 Posts: 388
    edited August 2020
    Bernal
    I know Roglic is the clear favorite to win, but I place my bet on Bernal. And the reason is that he has got the entire Team Ineos working for him.

    We have seen Chris Froome beating the much stronger Contador due to Contador also having to fight against Team Sky, rather than just Froome.
  • robnewcastlerobnewcastle Posts: 241
    Roglic
    I’ve gone for Roglic going off his current form and the sheer strength of his team. But there is a little doubt about how he carries his form through to the 3rd week. The 3rd week is brutal under normal circumstances but in this unpredictable year with lack of racing. Bernal will be right there.
  • DeadCalmDeadCalm Posts: 4,028
    Roglic
    I ve gone with Roglic too. He has to be the favourite with Bernal a strong second. My dark horse is Buchmann.
    Team My Man 2022:

    Antwan Tolhoek, Sam Oomen, Tom Dumoulin, Thymen Arensman, Remco Evenepoel, Benoît Cosnefroy, Tom Pidcock, Mark Cavendish, Romain Bardet
  • pblakeneypblakeney Posts: 22,878
    Roglic
    Favourite - Roglic.
    Outsider/Podium/Other - Kuss.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • brundonbianchibrundonbianchi Posts: 689
    Roglic
    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.
  • N0bodyOfTheGoatN0bodyOfTheGoat Posts: 5,514
    Roglic
    Roglic looks a strong favourite at the mo, but I'd like Alaphillipe and Pinot to put in a strong challenge for podium spots.
    ================
    2020 Voodoo Marasa
    2017 Cube Attain GTC Pro Disc 2016
    2016 Voodoo Wazoo
  • kingstongrahamkingstongraham Posts: 23,898
    Carapaz
    Carapaz to just hang around not doing anything much, and others to fall by the wayside.
  • blazing_saddlesblazing_saddles Posts: 20,658
    Dumoulin
    It almost feels like there's not a lot to choose from, regardless of Rich omitting the entire Dauphine podium.
    Therefore I have voted just to curry favour with Rick. :D
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • imposter2.0imposter2.0 Posts: 11,986
    brundonbianchi said:

    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.

    It's not about the bike, Nick. I don't remember you ever saying "anyone riding a Btwin", back when AG2R were on them...
  • ddraverddraver Posts: 25,573
    Roglic
    It should be Roglic given the imperious performance at the Dauphiné. In fact it should be a boring walk over based on that.

    But this year anything could happen including the race just not happening so....
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • No_Ta_DoctorNo_Ta_Doctor Posts: 12,203
    Bernal
    I've gone for Bernal. Everything points to Jumbo and Roglic, but something tells me they'll find a way to muck it up. Don't know why.
    “Road racing was over and the UCI had banned my riding positions on the track, so it was like ‘Jings, crivvens, help ma Boab, what do I do now? I know, I’ll go away and be depressed for 10 years’.”

    @DrHeadgear

    The Vikings are coming!
  • cruffcruff Posts: 1,518
    Someone else (tell us)
    I'll go with 'coronavirus'
    Fat chopper. Some racing. Some testing. Some crashing.
    Specialising in Git Daaahns and Cafs. Norvern Munkey/Transplanted Laaandoner.
  • RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 26,725
    Quintana
    blazing_saddles said:

    It almost feels like there's not a lot to choose from, regardless of Rich omitting the entire Dauphine podium.
    Therefore I have voted just to curry favour with Rick. :D


    I picked the riders who are the shortest odds at the bookies (but missed Pinot)
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • brundonbianchibrundonbianchi Posts: 689
    edited August 2020
    Roglic
    imposter2.0 said:

    brundonbianchi said:

    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.

    It's not about the bike, Nick. I don't remember you ever saying "anyone riding a Btwin", back when AG2R were on them...
    I would quite happily have settled for that, they are great bikes, but there was no realistic way AG2R we’re going to trump the Sky train. And you have no idea just how good the XR4 really is. It’s incredible, you could put a trained monkey on it and get results. It might be a pensioner, but it’s still bloody good.

  • CargobikeCargobike Posts: 748
    Carapaz
    I'll be gobsmacked if there are any teams left in it after 3 weeks if they are going to ban teams if 2 or more riders become infected with C-19. There's far too many people involved throughout the teams, media corp and hotels that they will be staying in to expect C-19 not to rear it's ugly head.

    I think it's an absolute farce that it's even taking place at all, but money, as ever, is far more important than peoples safety.

    If he has got over his crash, Roglic has to be there or there abouts, but as an outside bet I'll tip my hat to a South American rider, Bernal or Carapaz.
  • ProssPross Posts: 36,355
    I'm going for a last minute twist where Ineos bring back Thomas after pretending to leave him out and he wins.

    I'm actually struggling to get excited about it for some reason, probably as it seems likely it will get cut short. Also, it felt like a chance to get all the big guns together for a rare head to head with no real guide to form but the field feels diminished with Froome, Kruiswijk and Geraint missing.
  • brundonbianchibrundonbianchi Posts: 689
    Roglic
    The 2 Covid strikes and you’re our rule should be interesting.
  • david37david37 Posts: 1,313
    Id like carapaz to win, it would cement him at the top.
  • imposter2.0imposter2.0 Posts: 11,986
    brundonbianchi said:

    imposter2.0 said:

    brundonbianchi said:

    As long as the winner is riding a Bianchi, I’m happy. Dumoulin or Roglic would be my bet.

    It's not about the bike, Nick. I don't remember you ever saying "anyone riding a Btwin", back when AG2R were on them...
    I would quite happily have settled for that, they are great bikes, but there was no realistic way AG2R we’re going to trump the Sky train. And you have no idea just how good the XR4 really is. It’s incredible, you could put a trained monkey on it and get results. It might be a pensioner, but it’s still bloody good.

    AG2R stopped riding Btwins long before Sky ever got going Nick. Plus, the bikes were only branded 'Btwin' but made by Cyfac. But I'm sure you knew all that...
  • sherersherer Posts: 2,457
    Carapaz
    no way will the French let Le Tour spread covid-19 all over France. Think if three teams go down that will be it for the race.

    lets tray and stay positive and hope no one tests positive
  • me-109me-109 Posts: 1,778
    Roglic
    Roglic to win with a good team behind him.

    Bernal to abandon with Plan B hovering around the top 10 and Sir Dave wondering 'What if?'.
  • takethehighroadtakethehighroad Posts: 6,341
    Dumoulin
    PTP will be Roglic, but I can certainly see a scenario where Dumoulin stays in the top 5 and Rog cracks in the 3rd week
  • carbonclemcarbonclem Posts: 1,383
    Bernal
    On the assumption its completes, I'm going for Bernal. I do think an outlier may get the jersey at the race collapses mid way though?
    2020/2021/2022 Metric Century Challenge Winner
  • redvisionredvision Posts: 2,917
    Roglic
    Assuming the tour goes the full 3 weeks I think it will be a straight up fight between Roglic and Bernal.
    I am leaving towards Roglic but then with the strength of Ineos you just never know.
  • rick_chaseyrick_chasey Posts: 67,500 Lives Here
    I do hope it's not Roglic. Is there a duller rider out there?

    _
  • blazing_saddlesblazing_saddles Posts: 20,658
    edited August 2020
    Dumoulin
    rick_chasey said:

    I do hope it's not Roglic. Is there a duller rider out there?

    Yup.
    Tom Dumoulin. :D



    .................although Roglic definitely wins the dullest interview competition, "errrrrrrrrrrrr yeah...." in monotone, every time.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 26,725
    Quintana
    rick_chasey said:

    I do hope it's not Roglic. Is there a duller rider out there?


    But he used to be a ski jumper. :)
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • scittish_rainscittish_rain Posts: 2
    I think it’s between Bernal and big Tam
  • bobmcstuffbobmcstuff Posts: 10,627
    Roglic
    I think purely on face value it's Roglic but I think also there is a bit of an open question on how he will do in the 3rd week.
  • poptart242poptart242 Posts: 531
    Someone else (tell us)
    I can't believe you didn't give Pinot his own box :neutral:
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