LEAVE the Conservative Party and save your country!

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  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,300
    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    Yep, so a rate 15% higher and a threshold £25k lower than today. As I was saying...
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    It is hard to overstate after tax, student loans, and housing costs, how little there is left for most under 40s

    Worth noting that life was not a bed of roses in the early 90s when mortgage rates were 15% and mortgage affordability tests were much harder to pass. I attended an interview in person for my first mortgage!
    That is an unfair comparison as we did not count our income as net of crushed avocado on artisan sourdough toast
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,300
    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    Yep, so a rate 15% higher and a threshold £25k lower than today. As I was saying...
    So you didn't like the tax burden in 1989. How's it looking now?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited May 2023

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited May 2023
    And don't forget:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortgage_interest_relief_at_source

    I could do with tax relief on the £600-700 a month I'm spending on interest.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988

    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    Yep, so a rate 15% higher and a threshold £25k lower than today. As I was saying...
    So you didn't like the tax burden in 1989. How's it looking now?
    Lower than in 1988 for an equivalent amount of income.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    You've explained it over and over again, that we know. We await the magical solution.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988

    It is hard to overstate after tax, student loans, and housing costs, how little there is left for most under 40s

    Worth noting that life was not a bed of roses in the early 90s when mortgage rates were 15% and mortgage affordability tests were much harder to pass. I attended an interview in person for my first mortgage!
    That is an unfair comparison as we did not count our income as net of crushed avocado on artisan sourdough toast
    Don't forget the skinny lattes.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    You've explained it over and over again, that we know. We await the magical solution.
    Get rid of the greenbelt and loosen up house planning rules so nimbys can't object to reasonable stuff and incentivise housebuilders to build houses where people will buy them.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988

    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    You've explained it over and over again, that we know. We await the magical solution.
    Get rid of the greenbelt and loosen up house planning rules so nimbys can't object to reasonable stuff and incentivise housebuilders to build houses where people will buy them.
    Good luck. Wonder why this hasn't been done already at any time in the last couple of decades?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • It is hard to overstate after tax, student loans, and housing costs, how little there is left for most under 40s

    Worth noting that life was not a bed of roses in the early 90s when mortgage rates were 15% and mortgage affordability tests were much harder to pass. I attended an interview in person for my first mortgage!
    15% and a tax break on f*ck all is still f*ck all.

    What proportion of income do under 40s pay on housing? And how has that changed over time?

    I'll give you an idea. My house was £75k in 1996. I bought it for £425k.

    So my deposit was almost the same as the entire house was worth in 1996.

    Sure, you have inflation etc but that doesn't account for a lot of it.

    So say I saved £10k and then my mortgage was £75k. 15% on £60k is what, £9k?

    Currently, 2 year fixed on 85% LTV is what, 5%?

    What do you think 5% of £360k is? £18k. Twice as much.


    And then childcare costs 2x as much as it did in the 90s, and then you're paying off your student loan too.
    Re the bolded bit, I know you pose this for a rhetorical flourish but such questions don't half make you look like a patronising twot, passing yourself off as the only person bright enough to know that 5% of £360k is £18k.

    But anyway, what you're missing is wage inflation since 1996. Assuming this was 3% pa (quite conservative I think) then one's salary at a fixed age / stage of employment would have doubled from the mid 90s to the 2020s. So your £18k pa now is worth circa £9k in the mid-90s. Or put another way, the proportion of your income used to pay mortgage interest is the same in both years.

    That said, I certainly sympathise re student loan repayments. Both my offspring will have those to contend with these.

    Also, I'm not a big fan of the various government schemes since the GFC that have deliberately or unintentionally fuelled house price inflation.

    But life wasn't the bed of roses in the early 90s that you appear to assume it to be. Mass unemployment ("Major's Millions") and negative equity were non-trivially challenging issues.



  • It is hard to overstate after tax, student loans, and housing costs, how little there is left for most under 40s

    Worth noting that life was not a bed of roses in the early 90s when mortgage rates were 15% and mortgage affordability tests were much harder to pass. I attended an interview in person for my first mortgage!
    That is an unfair comparison as we did not count our income as net of crushed avocado on artisan sourdough toast
    We only had 4 TV channels too. And cheap flights were something that only happened when Hoover got a promotional offer wrong.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoover_free_flights_promotion
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988
    This will be millenials in 30 years time...
    https://youtu.be/26ZDB9h7BLY
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,610
    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    You've explained it over and over again, that we know. We await the magical solution.
    What we need is a national strike. "Nah, I ain't paying stupid money, I'll give you £X."
    Houses will cost stupid money as long as people are prepared to pay stupid money.
    #notgonnahappen
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,300
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    Yep, so a rate 15% higher and a threshold £25k lower than today. As I was saying...
    So you didn't like the tax burden in 1989. How's it looking now?
    Lower than in 1988 for an equivalent amount of income.
    So you’ve no interest in the overall tax burden.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited May 2023

    It is hard to overstate after tax, student loans, and housing costs, how little there is left for most under 40s

    Worth noting that life was not a bed of roses in the early 90s when mortgage rates were 15% and mortgage affordability tests were much harder to pass. I attended an interview in person for my first mortgage!
    15% and a tax break on f*ck all is still f*ck all.

    What proportion of income do under 40s pay on housing? And how has that changed over time?

    I'll give you an idea. My house was £75k in 1996. I bought it for £425k.

    So my deposit was almost the same as the entire house was worth in 1996.

    Sure, you have inflation etc but that doesn't account for a lot of it.

    So say I saved £10k and then my mortgage was £75k. 15% on £60k is what, £9k?

    Currently, 2 year fixed on 85% LTV is what, 5%?

    What do you think 5% of £360k is? £18k. Twice as much.


    And then childcare costs 2x as much as it did in the 90s, and then you're paying off your student loan too.
    Re the bolded bit, I know you pose this for a rhetorical flourish but such questions don't half make you look like a patronising twot, passing yourself off as the only person bright enough to know that 5% of £360k is £18k.

    But anyway, what you're missing is wage inflation since 1996. Assuming this was 3% pa (quite conservative I think) then one's salary at a fixed age / stage of employment would have doubled from the mid 90s to the 2020s. So your £18k pa now is worth circa £9k in the mid-90s. Or put another way, the proportion of your income used to pay mortgage interest is the same in both years.

    That said, I certainly sympathise re student loan repayments. Both my offspring will have those to contend with these.

    Also, I'm not a big fan of the various government schemes since the GFC that have deliberately or unintentionally fuelled house price inflation.

    But life wasn't the bed of roses in the early 90s that you appear to assume it to be. Mass unemployment ("Major's Millions") and negative equity were non-trivially challenging issues.



    You're still ignoring the cost of the deposits to begin with, plus the duration of having to pay off something an order of magnitude plus more to begin with.

  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    But it is not about the size of the debt as that is irrelevant compared to the cost of the debt servicing.

    In the early '90s 15% of £100k would have been hammering our lucky boomer as hard as 2% of £750k that has benefited millenials for the last decade.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    But it is not about the size of the debt as that is irrelevant compared to the cost of the debt servicing.

    In the early '90s 15% of £100k would have been hammering our lucky boomer as hard as 2% of £750k that has benefited millenials for the last decade.
    Yes but you need to save so much more to get to the deposit to get on the ladder to begin with, as rental prices only go up and up.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    And don't forget:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortgage_interest_relief_at_source

    I could do with tax relief on the £600-700 a month I'm spending on interest.

    As a sensible chap I am sure you will be fine when that goes up £1k a month but assuming your peers are in the same boat are they aware of the tsunami heading their way and will they be able to cope
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,484
    It is indeed pretty irritating to hear the same bilge time and again about 15% interest rates on much lower loan to ave salary ratios 30 years ago.

    It is almost as bad as cyclists run red lights.

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    And don't forget:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortgage_interest_relief_at_source

    I could do with tax relief on the £600-700 a month I'm spending on interest.

    As a sensible chap I am sure you will be fine when that goes up £1k a month but assuming your peers are in the same boat are they aware of the tsunami heading their way and will they be able to cope
    lol, you mean up to £1400-1500 a month. plus the equity payments.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    And don't forget:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortgage_interest_relief_at_source

    I could do with tax relief on the £600-700 a month I'm spending on interest.

    As a sensible chap I am sure you will be fine when that goes up £1k a month but assuming your peers are in the same boat are they aware of the tsunami heading their way and will they be able to cope
    lol, you mean up to £1400-1500 a month. plus the equity payments.
    I was assuming a monthly increase of £1k a month. I was more interested in hearing a straw poll of whether your peers know what is coming, how long it will last and if they will be able to cope.

    Or put another way did lenders test affordability at 2% or 5%?
  • briantrumpet
    briantrumpet Posts: 20,948

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    Yep, so a rate 15% higher and a threshold £25k lower than today. As I was saying...
    So you didn't like the tax burden in 1989. How's it looking now?
    Lower than in 1988 for an equivalent amount of income.
    So you’ve no interest in the overall tax burden.

    Only if Labour's to blame.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited May 2023

    And don't forget:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortgage_interest_relief_at_source

    I could do with tax relief on the £600-700 a month I'm spending on interest.

    As a sensible chap I am sure you will be fine when that goes up £1k a month but assuming your peers are in the same boat are they aware of the tsunami heading their way and will they be able to cope
    lol, you mean up to £1400-1500 a month. plus the equity payments.
    I was assuming a monthly increase of £1k a month. I was more interested in hearing a straw poll of whether your peers know what is coming, how long it will last and if they will be able to cope.

    Or put another way did lenders test affordability at 2% or 5%?
    Only 2 of my mates have mortgages (the rest all rent...35yr olds), one is a bigshot city lawyer and so is his wife so they don't worry about that and the other's missus inherited a material 6 figure sum, so neither are that worried about that stuff > this is pretty standard for 30 somethings who have mortgages. A big proportion will have inherited money.

    I can afford a tripling of the interest payments if needed, though clearly not desirable. Plus I've built up enough cushion through overpayments that I can draw down on that for around about 18 months if rates triple, so I have been very conservative (plus I managed to save enough that even after the deposit I have a safety cushion).

    I'm locked into 1.9% until Jan 2025 so I might miss the worst of it.
  • Dorset_Boy
    Dorset_Boy Posts: 7,624
    Miras went in 1988.

    15% was a low interest rate in 1989. It was more like 18-19%.
    Graduate salaries in 1987/88 were about £8,000 pa in London (outside of banking).
    2 bedroom flat close south circular in Forset Hill, Brockley, Catford, Lewisham area was around £80,000. Hardly expensive areas of London at the time.

    So with a 5% deposit, monthly mortgage cost was £1,153 pm over a 25 year term.
    So more than the annual salary of a graduate, or if buying as two people then just under £580 pm, or around £6,950 pa! Not much disposable income left there....!

    So about the same as the repayment costs on a £275,000 property over most of the last 14 years.

    It is clearly harder to raise the deposit now, but the debt servicing costs haven't been relatively higher until very recently. So the issue has been getting on the ladder in the first place.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    Yep, so a rate 15% higher and a threshold £25k lower than today. As I was saying...
    So you didn't like the tax burden in 1989. How's it looking now?
    Lower than in 1988 for an equivalent amount of income.
    So you’ve no interest in the overall tax burden.
    Why do you assume that?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,988
    pblakeney said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    £41,200 in 1989 adjusted for inflation is £101,702 in 2023.

    If only wages rose at the same rate as house prices eh?

    I mean, what about "house prices rising faster than wages" makes you think houses cost the same as they used to?

    It's just so f*cking moronic having to explain the same sh!t over and over.

    You've explained it over and over again, that we know. We await the magical solution.
    What we need is a national strike. "Nah, I ain't paying stupid money, I'll give you £X."
    Houses will cost stupid money as long as people are prepared to pay stupid money.
    #notgonnahappen
    True. Apart from the strike bit, obviously.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    edited May 2023

    Miras went in 1988.

    15% was a low interest rate in 1989. It was more like 18-19%.
    Graduate salaries in 1987/88 were about £8,000 pa in London (outside of banking).
    2 bedroom flat close south circular in Forset Hill, Brockley, Catford, Lewisham area was around £80,000. Hardly expensive areas of London at the time.

    So with a 5% deposit, monthly mortgage cost was £1,153 pm over a 25 year term.
    So more than the annual salary of a graduate, or if buying as two people then just under £580 pm, or around £6,950 pa! Not much disposable income left there....!

    So about the same as the repayment costs on a £275,000 property over most of the last 14 years.

    It is clearly harder to raise the deposit now, but the debt servicing costs haven't been relatively higher until very recently. So the issue has been getting on the ladder in the first place.

    What was your tax relief? I'd imagine on 18% interest it was material.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,484

    Miras went in 1988.

    15% was a low interest rate in 1989. It was more like 18-19%.
    Graduate salaries in 1987/88 were about £8,000 pa in London (outside of banking).
    2 bedroom flat close south circular in Forset Hill, Brockley, Catford, Lewisham area was around £80,000. Hardly expensive areas of London at the time.

    So with a 5% deposit, monthly mortgage cost was £1,153 pm over a 25 year term.
    So more than the annual salary of a graduate, or if buying as two people then just under £580 pm, or around £6,950 pa! Not much disposable income left there....!

    So about the same as the repayment costs on a £275,000 property over most of the last 14 years.

    It is clearly harder to raise the deposit now, but the debt servicing costs haven't been relatively higher until very recently. So the issue has been getting on the ladder in the first place.

    What was your tax relief? I'd imagine on 18% interest it was material.
    What would the 80k flat be worth now? More, or less, than £275k?