Poo tin... Put@in...

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  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    mully79 said:

    It wouldnt surprise me if Russia invades the Ukraine and when the response kicks off, there will be some bs nonsense, like the forces that invaded werent authorised by Russia and Putin will claim it never happened in the first place.
    No one will argue because they dont really want to fight with Russia and that will be that.

    Then in 6 months time Putin says "Yes, okay, it was my command all along".
    And life trundles on as it did in the past.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited February 2022

    What is it with right-wingers and Russia?

    This is a weird interpretation.

    Surely all this shows how weak Russia is?

    Putin can no longer count on Ukraine as a puppet, as they are a democracy and they keep voting in anti Kremlin governments.

    Actually doing the invasion is likely not worth it, as has been discussed on here.

    It has breathed life into NATO (remember Macron declaring it useless a few years ago? He’s not saying that now), and all the big states have been unified around the position.

    Xi is reported to be not happy with the situation, hence the lukewarm response from an otherwise fairly close ally.

    So quite the opposite of what Hannan is saying.

    Meanwhile, Ukraine is now seeing a steady flow of military support, guns, training etc, it wasn’t receiving beforehand.

    In return for what exactly? Ukraine not joining NATO? That was never a realistic option.

    The return of show trials in Russia shows how frightened he is. He’s weaker than he has been, not stronger.

    Hannan is a reliable idiot and always has been. Infuriates me he was once considered the intellectual of the Brexit movement. All evidence points to the contrary.

    And anyway, they’re T-90s, not 72s. He’s an idiot.

  • What is it with right-wingers and Russia?

    This is a weird interpretation.

    Surely all this shows how weak Russia is?

    Putin can no longer count on Ukraine as a puppet, as they are a democracy and they keep voting in anti Kremlin governments.

    Actually doing the invasion is likely not worth it, as has been discussed on here.

    It has breathed life into NATO (remember Macron declaring it useless a few years ago? He’s not saying that now), and all the big states have been unified around the position.

    Xi is reported to be not happy with the situation, hence the lukewarm response from an otherwise fairly close ally.

    So quite the opposite of what Hannan is saying.

    Meanwhile, Ukraine is now seeing a steady flow of military support, guns, training etc, it wasn’t receiving beforehand.

    In return for what exactly? Ukraine not joining NATO? That was never a realistic option.

    The return of show trials in Russia shows how frightened he is. He’s weaker than he has been, not stronger.

    Hannan is a reliable idiot and always has been. Infuriates me he was once considered the intellectual of the Brexit movement. All evidence points to the contrary.

    And anyway, they’re T-90s, not 72s. He’s an idiot.

    There really should be a law about foreigners coming here and stirring up trouble, maybe like the US landing cards so you can kick them straight out
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited February 2022
    It just shows how some people are really attracted to the trappings and behaviour of strong-man politics.

    Anyone who even considers the context of the situation would understand that this behaviour is a symptom of weakness not strength.
  • kingstonian
    kingstonian Posts: 2,847

    It just shows how some people are really attracted to the trappings and behaviour of strong-man politics.

    Anyone who even considers the context of the situation would understand that this behaviour is a symptom of weakness not strength.

    We view it that way in the west, the Russian perspective quite likes this type of posturing. I don’t quite understand why, I’d have thought it would be humiliating to do all the posturing and then back down but there you go.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    It just shows how some people are really attracted to the trappings and behaviour of strong-man politics.

    Anyone who even considers the context of the situation would understand that this behaviour is a symptom of weakness not strength.

    We view it that way in the west, the Russian perspective quite likes this type of posturing. I don’t quite understand why, I’d have thought it would be humiliating to do all the posturing and then back down but there you go.
    Century of state propaganda pummelling you will help a bit.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    Here's a question for Putin. Acknowledging he won't actually read it.
    Have recent event made it more or less likely that Ukraine will join NATO given the chance?
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    So apparently Russian news is now referring to spurious claims of Ukrainian genocide in the Donesk region against Russians, which would suggest they're amping up the pretext to go to war in Ukraine internally.
  • kingstonian
    kingstonian Posts: 2,847
    Russia now saying that refugees fleeing from aggression in East Ukraine will be accommodated in Russia. Approx 190,000 Russian troops now amassed close to the border. Very worrying times indeed.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    Russia now saying that refugees fleeing from aggression in East Ukraine will be accommodated in Russia. Approx 190,000 Russian troops now amassed close to the border. Very worrying times indeed.

    Almost certainly going to happen now. :(
  • Dorset_Boy
    Dorset_Boy Posts: 7,560
    Biden to speak to the nation this evening. Can't remember whether it's 8 pm or 9 pm our time. Wasn't planned until a few hours ago.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916
    190,000 troops is very old school.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329

    Biden to speak to the nation this evening. Can't remember whether it's 8 pm or 9 pm our time. Wasn't planned until a few hours ago.

    21:00 GMT.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • I do feel sorry for all the ordinary people just trying to make the best of it who will get caught up in all of this.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    So Russia has invaded
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    edited February 2022

    Biden to speak to the nation this evening. Can't remember whether it's 8 pm or 9 pm our time. Wasn't planned until a few hours ago.

    21:00 GMT.

    So Russia has invaded

    Looking likely but already? Source?
    PS - Puts everything else into perspective.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    I do like how invasions are coordinated to tie in with broadcasters. #sarcasm

    On the BBC

    "That's all for now
    We're pausing our live coverage of the Ukraine crisis for today. Here's a round-up of some of Friday's key developments:"
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Lets say Russia invades the Ukraine - What then?
    a) The major part of Ukraine will become more anti-Russia.
    b) Install a largely unpopular puppet government? recipe for serious instability and a serious drain on Russia's economy. It will eventually unravel and there'll be an even greater wedge between the two countries.
    c) Incorporate Ukraine into Russia? Well that worked well with Chechnya didn't it, and Ukraine is much closer to Moscow. And I imagine Ukrainian truck drivers are as good as anyone else at driving truck bombs the 500km to Moscow. And so many roads - imagine the security issues.
    d) Institute an oppressive reign of terror? even stronger anti-Russian feeling
    e) Export all non-Russians? Where to? Siberia? so lots of anti-Russian enclaves
    f) Exterminate everyone?
    What I don't understand is why these big countries don't do some serious economic reform so countries and people actually want to join them. Works with England, Europe, USA. Why not with China, Russia
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329
    pblakeney said:

    I do like how invasions are coordinated to tie in with broadcasters. #sarcasm

    On the BBC

    "That's all for now
    We're pausing our live coverage of the Ukraine crisis for today. Here's a round-up of some of Friday's key developments:"

    All overnight stories of explosions in Ukraine have apparently disappeared.
    Strange. 🤔
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • mully79
    mully79 Posts: 904
    Im starting to think Russia will finish its scheduled exercise on the 20th Feb as planned.

    Putin was just trolling American security sources all along.
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    mully79 said:

    Im starting to think Russia will finish its scheduled exercise on the 20th Feb as planned.

    Putin was just trolling American security sources all along.

    I hope I'm right for once but I've always felt it was North Korea style posturing and that an invasion is unlikely. I don't see any real benefit to Russia. They can walk away and say 'we said all along it was just an exercise, why were the West getting so worried?'. In the meantime it has helped increase rebellion in parts of Ukraine so causing Ukraine problems.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    May have jumped the gun rather
  • MattFalle
    MattFalle Posts: 11,644
    Remember your combat ratios gents..... numbers aren't adding up yet.
    .
    The camera down the willy isn't anything like as bad as it sounds.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    MattFalle said:

    Remember your combat ratios gents..... numbers aren't adding up yet.

    If you compare like for like (so ignoring combat ratios) the number of Russians on the Ukrainian border is the roughly same number as the Ukraine has in total in the military.

  • I wonder how much Elon Musk will sell tickets to Mars for?
  • MattFalle
    MattFalle Posts: 11,644
    edited February 2022
    No, that's not the combat ratio.

    you never compare like for like as you're going to get slaughtered if you go like for like in a scrap.
    .
    The camera down the willy isn't anything like as bad as it sounds.
  • I always think, how much heart do people have in a situation counts for a lot too. Look at how hard the Vietnamese people fought.

    Whatever, it's $h1t state of affairs, war. On the backdrop of a Global pandemic too, crazy.
  • DeVlaeminck
    DeVlaeminck Posts: 9,104
    Yes there was some guy on the radio this week saying Russia didn't have enough troops in position to carry out a quick invasion.

    I mean I wouldn't know how important numbers are in modern warfare compared to things like equipment - but that was the opinion of this expert.

    Balanced against that why would the USA be saying they expected an invasion within days if they weren't ?
    [Castle Donington Ladies FC - going up in '22]
  • MattFalle
    MattFalle Posts: 11,644
    edited February 2022
    Numbers are still the most important thing as you still need boots on the ground. The C/R is a basic in every single military op.

    Because they are planning for the worst and would look v silly if Russia invaded and the Govt had said, ah, fella, don't worry about it, nothing is going to happen.

    Also means that the Govt can ramp up military expenditure with nobody asking why - after all, Boeing etc do like a good war: good for profits, innit.
    .
    The camera down the willy isn't anything like as bad as it sounds.
  • mrb123
    mrb123 Posts: 4,816

    I wonder how much Elon Musk will sell tickets to Mars for?

    I'm worried about the journey so am going to have the memory of a trip implanted instead.