BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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Comments

  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    I am thinking of fellow forumites
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,427

    Stevo_666 said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    On living standards, that's where GDP per capita comes in. As BB mentions above, India has a comparable overall GDP to the UK but its inhabitants are on the whole much less well off than we are as their GDP per capita is much lower.

    The control point has been done to death on here but I'm sure someone will pop up to argue it again...
    In general terms population growth increases gdp, simply by having more hands passing the money on its merry-go-round. more hands = more transactions = more gdp. However, if you have a population growth of one, where they bring covid-19 to the uk and that leads to lots of people staying at home and not spending money... clearly that leads to a reduction in GDP.
    That's not disagreeing with the point I was making further up the thread. But not sure how its connected directly to what you quoted.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,562

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    Speak for yourself. I think if you were there, you can remember.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,330
    edited July 2020

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    edited July 2020

    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    rjsterry said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    Speak for yourself. I think if you were there, you can remember.

    So can I put you down as agreeing with Rick and I that higher GDP growth is a good thing.

    It does stagger me the difference compound growth makes to a 0.5% fall over a decade
  • Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
  • spatt77
    spatt77 Posts: 324
    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
  • morstar
    morstar Posts: 6,190
    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    Boy do I feel old now!
  • Jeremy.89
    Jeremy.89 Posts: 457
    spatt77 said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
    That the majority are in the single market?
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,330
    Jeremy.89 said:

    spatt77 said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
    That the majority are in the single market?
    Adding that 3rd circle made the Venn Diagram work. 😉
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • darkhairedlord
    darkhairedlord Posts: 7,180
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    On living standards, that's where GDP per capita comes in. As BB mentions above, India has a comparable overall GDP to the UK but its inhabitants are on the whole much less well off than we are as their GDP per capita is much lower.

    The control point has been done to death on here but I'm sure someone will pop up to argue it again...
    In general terms population growth increases gdp, simply by having more hands passing the money on its merry-go-round. more hands = more transactions = more gdp. However, if you have a population growth of one, where they bring covid-19 to the uk and that leads to lots of people staying at home and not spending money... clearly that leads to a reduction in GDP.
    That's not disagreeing with the point I was making further up the thread. But not sure how its connected directly to what you quoted.
    I was neither agreeing nor disagreeing with either point. Both were binary positions in an analog world.
  • darkhairedlord
    darkhairedlord Posts: 7,180

    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
    You have reached peak-woke.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
    Not at all, in some years they even ran a surplus
  • coopster_the_1st
    coopster_the_1st Posts: 5,158
    edited July 2020

    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
    Not at all, in some years they even ran a surplus
    The couple of years of surpluses were one-offs from the sale of the 3G licences at the peak of the Tech boom. That was nothing to do with Labours fiscal management of the economy
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,562

    rjsterry said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    Speak for yourself. I think if you were there, you can remember.

    So can I put you down as agreeing with Rick and I that higher GDP growth is a good thing.

    It does stagger me the difference compound growth makes to a 0.5% fall over a decade
    Generally, depends on the distribution of that growth, though.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867

    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
    Not at all, in some years they even ran a surplus
    The couple of years of surpluses were one-offs from the sale of the 3G licences at the peak of the Tech boom. That was nothing to do with Labours fiscal management of the economy
    I was responding to your assertion

    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...
  • Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
    Not at all, in some years they even ran a surplus
    The couple of years of surpluses were one-offs from the sale of the 3G licences at the peak of the Tech boom. That was nothing to do with Labours fiscal management of the economy
    I was responding to your assertion

    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...
    And I originally referred to the last few years prior to the GFC before you widened out the time frame. 2005-2007 was all about house price rises and BTL's.

    On the point of the 3G licence windfall, that was pure luck. It took place at peak tech boom. Had they occurred as little as 6 months later they would have got no-where near what they achieved.
  • Jeremy.89
    Jeremy.89 Posts: 457

    Jeremy.89 said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    People who left secondary education during the gfc are now in their 30s, people who left tertiary education during the gfc are now in their mid 30s. There is a large portion of the working population who simply don't know what it was like pre gfc.

    The last few years prior to the GFC were mostly about monthly house price increases of at least 1% and how many houses people had as BTL's
    I was thinking about no pressure on public services/finances good pay rises and little threat of redundancy
    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...

    That worked out well 😔
    Not at all, in some years they even ran a surplus
    The couple of years of surpluses were one-offs from the sale of the 3G licences at the peak of the Tech boom. That was nothing to do with Labours fiscal management of the economy
    I was responding to your assertion

    All fuelled by ever increasing borrowing...
    And I originally referred to the last few years prior to the GFC before you widened out the time frame. 2005-2007 was all about house price rises and BTL's.

    On the point of the 3G licence windfall, that was pure luck. It took place at peak tech boom. Had they occurred as little as 6 months later they would have got no-where near what they achieved.
    The right wing blaming their misfortune on luck again.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    Speak for yourself. I think if you were there, you can remember.

    So can I put you down as agreeing with Rick and I that higher GDP growth is a good thing.

    It does stagger me the difference compound growth makes to a 0.5% fall over a decade
    Generally, depends on the distribution of that growth, though.
    My argument is that the poorest are most dependent on the state so will benefit the most from a strong economy as there is less pressure on state finances
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,562

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    it is quite interesting that people can not remember the difference between pre and post GFC.

    Saying that I assume they do not put the differences down to the relative performance of the economy

    interesting graph - the magic number seems to be 2.5%
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ihyp/pn2
    Speak for yourself. I think if you were there, you can remember.

    So can I put you down as agreeing with Rick and I that higher GDP growth is a good thing.

    It does stagger me the difference compound growth makes to a 0.5% fall over a decade
    Generally, depends on the distribution of that growth, though.
    My argument is that the poorest are most dependent on the state so will benefit the most from a strong economy as there is less pressure on state finances
    Would be better if they were less dependent in the first place.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    spatt77 said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
    That is a great list of nations who have had remarkable economic growth...!

  • spatt77
    spatt77 Posts: 324

    spatt77 said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
    That is a great list of nations who have had remarkable economic growth...!

    and yet not one of them has a economy as big as ours..........
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    spatt77 said:

    spatt77 said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
    That is a great list of nations who have had remarkable economic growth...!

    and yet not one of them has a economy as big as ours..........
    are we not still in the week long debate about the importance of economic growth?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited July 2020
    spatt77 said:

    spatt77 said:

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    spatt77 said:

    I think all this talk about GDP and growth is missing the point! surely a better standard of living and being in control is more important? Im sure the countries with the highest standard of living maybe dont figure anywhere on GDP graphs!

    You are asking people to consider that money is not the be all and end all.
    The world is a lot less angry when their earnings are all rising.

    It is a lot angrier when earnings don’t.

    You may not think earnings are the be all and end all, but they make everything else feel better.
    Meh, currently earning less, spending less, and still happy.

    Edit:- Not much crossover in the Venn diagram.





    cheers! that was the point i was trying to make! :)
    That is a great list of nations who have had remarkable economic growth...!

    and yet not one of them has a economy as big as ours..........
    Take a look at the median and mode incomes per head...
  • john80
    john80 Posts: 2,965

    pblakeney said:

    ...admitted to hospital due to dehydration and spent her remaining days at the NHS expense. Can we end this pointless aside?

    After 1,456 pages of banging on about GDP growth, it appears surrey commuter doesn't understand what it is. Isn't that worth pausing on for a moment, or at least allowing him the opportunity to find a shovel?

    john80 said:

    john80 said:

    john80 said:

    Could we agree

    john80 said:

    john80 said:

    Let's have a look at the fish vs FS scale.

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn06193/

    2019 parliament report puts FS at 6.9% of UK GDP and 3.1% of all UK jobs (who knew, FS was high earning, eh?) That's £132bn to the economy per year and 1.1m jobs

    (As an aside: 43% of financial services exports went to the EU and 34% of financial services imports came from the EU)

    Anyway, fish. https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CDP-2017-0256/CDP-2017-0256.pdf

    two years older at 2017, so expect some marginal differences.

    There were 4,000 businesses in the fishing industry in 2016. These businesses employed 24,000 people and contributed £1.4 billion (0.12% of the all UK economic output.) to the UK economy in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA – a measure similar to GDP, abeit flattering, as it's just 0.12% of the all UK economic output)

    (For Scottish Indie's, just over half of these fishermen are in Scotland...)

    So we're not that far off FS being two orders of magnitude more valuable than fishing.


    The problem with this logic is that if you extrapolate it up then it shows the weakness in running a country with just money leading the decisions. What percentage would be required to sell the inhabitants of that country down the river. What if China said in 2025 when they might be the leading economy in the world that we cannot trade with them unless we sign up to a one way extradition process where having a flag was enough to get deported and put in the Ghulag. Maybe France want all the fishing rights so that some Southerners can keep selling financial products to this market. Maybe Nissan want the UK to have the four freedoms so that they don't have to pay import taxes or export taxes on goods. At what point does it not work within a democracy this money first obsession you have.
    This is not easy to read, and I'm not really sure what you're driving at.

    Let me put my point in a different way. A lot more jobs are affected by screwing up FS than are affected by screwing up Fishing.

    That may not be the *only* factor in deciding what to prioritise, but it is surely a bloody big one?
    The basic point is that a good democracy is often at odds with business for the greater good of the population. If this was not the case we would still have victoria employment practices. We would still have victorian environmental laws. The constant quest for a steady gdp increase is actually not that important to most people. Allowing your economy to rely on certain sectors is a fools errand.
    Could we agree that most people don’t realise how important a steady increase in GDP is to them?

    It is probably peoples failure to understand this simple concept that has led us to where we are.
    Only where there is context in the form of the gdp growth. It is the lack of care as to what type of growth is going on that is the problem. Gdp figures would be great if we doubled the population but the vast majority of the populations quality of life and access to services would suffer.
    Why do you think GDP figures would be great if we doubled the population?
    I am not even going to answer this as it is so fecking obvious.
    Go on give it a try.

    I find it helps to take two extreme examples.

    So on the one hand add 68 million Elon Musks and on the other add 68 million penniless economically inactive people.
    When you look up the definition of GDP please advise the group how either of the examples above would not boost GDP. Kind of proving my original point are you not.
    Let’s simplify it. In these two examples do you think there is an identical impact on GDP?

    Elon Musk moves to the UK and sets up a factory employing 1,000 people.

    My penniless granny moves here to live with me here after losing her life savings buying crypto currencies and has no income or entitlement to any benefits.
    The simple act of moving to the UK will itself have increased the GDP by the journey alone. I suspect you are trying to talk about GDP per capita, but that wasn't the original point.

    She swam
    Then walked to Surrey, ate nothing and died without a funeral?
    I am starting to understand the fun you get nitpicking holes in a simplistic scenario that somebody is using to explain an economic concept

    So yes I buried her in the garden using a shovel I already owned
    You have been trying to explain away you lack of understanding of gdp for a good few pages now. You were wrong then and your simplistic arguments have merely highlighted this point.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    john80 said:

    pblakeney said:

    ...admitted to hospital due to dehydration and spent her remaining days at the NHS expense. Can we end this pointless aside?

    After 1,456 pages of banging on about GDP growth, it appears surrey commuter doesn't understand what it is. Isn't that worth pausing on for a moment, or at least allowing him the opportunity to find a shovel?

    john80 said:

    john80 said:

    john80 said:

    Could we agree

    john80 said:

    john80 said:

    Let's have a look at the fish vs FS scale.

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn06193/

    2019 parliament report puts FS at 6.9% of UK GDP and 3.1% of all UK jobs (who knew, FS was high earning, eh?) That's £132bn to the economy per year and 1.1m jobs

    (As an aside: 43% of financial services exports went to the EU and 34% of financial services imports came from the EU)

    Anyway, fish. https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CDP-2017-0256/CDP-2017-0256.pdf

    two years older at 2017, so expect some marginal differences.

    There were 4,000 businesses in the fishing industry in 2016. These businesses employed 24,000 people and contributed £1.4 billion (0.12% of the all UK economic output.) to the UK economy in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA – a measure similar to GDP, abeit flattering, as it's just 0.12% of the all UK economic output)

    (For Scottish Indie's, just over half of these fishermen are in Scotland...)

    So we're not that far off FS being two orders of magnitude more valuable than fishing.


    The problem with this logic is that if you extrapolate it up then it shows the weakness in running a country with just money leading the decisions. What percentage would be required to sell the inhabitants of that country down the river. What if China said in 2025 when they might be the leading economy in the world that we cannot trade with them unless we sign up to a one way extradition process where having a flag was enough to get deported and put in the Ghulag. Maybe France want all the fishing rights so that some Southerners can keep selling financial products to this market. Maybe Nissan want the UK to have the four freedoms so that they don't have to pay import taxes or export taxes on goods. At what point does it not work within a democracy this money first obsession you have.
    This is not easy to read, and I'm not really sure what you're driving at.

    Let me put my point in a different way. A lot more jobs are affected by screwing up FS than are affected by screwing up Fishing.

    That may not be the *only* factor in deciding what to prioritise, but it is surely a bloody big one?
    The basic point is that a good democracy is often at odds with business for the greater good of the population. If this was not the case we would still have victoria employment practices. We would still have victorian environmental laws. The constant quest for a steady gdp increase is actually not that important to most people. Allowing your economy to rely on certain sectors is a fools errand.
    Could we agree that most people don’t realise how important a steady increase in GDP is to them?

    It is probably peoples failure to understand this simple concept that has led us to where we are.
    Only where there is context in the form of the gdp growth. It is the lack of care as to what type of growth is going on that is the problem. Gdp figures would be great if we doubled the population but the vast majority of the populations quality of life and access to services would suffer.
    Why do you think GDP figures would be great if we doubled the population?
    I am not even going to answer this as it is so fecking obvious.
    Go on give it a try.

    I find it helps to take two extreme examples.

    So on the one hand add 68 million Elon Musks and on the other add 68 million penniless economically inactive people.
    When you look up the definition of GDP please advise the group how either of the examples above would not boost GDP. Kind of proving my original point are you not.
    Let’s simplify it. In these two examples do you think there is an identical impact on GDP?

    Elon Musk moves to the UK and sets up a factory employing 1,000 people.

    My penniless granny moves here to live with me here after losing her life savings buying crypto currencies and has no income or entitlement to any benefits.
    The simple act of moving to the UK will itself have increased the GDP by the journey alone. I suspect you are trying to talk about GDP per capita, but that wasn't the original point.

    She swam
    Then walked to Surrey, ate nothing and died without a funeral?
    I am starting to understand the fun you get nitpicking holes in a simplistic scenario that somebody is using to explain an economic concept

    So yes I buried her in the garden using a shovel I already owned
    You have been trying to explain away you lack of understanding of gdp for a good few pages now. You were wrong then and your simplistic arguments have merely highlighted this point.
    where did you pop up from? keep reading past that post and you will see that people either begrudgingly concede my point or go awol.

    simplistic models are how economic theories are best explained, typically they involve an island which I guess stops some loon disagreeing with your explanation on the grounds the old lady could have bought a sandwich.

    try this example;
    Elon relocates 100 rocket scientists to the UK and Priti Patel deports 200 ne'er do wells - are you still confident GDP falls in line with population

    or 1,500 City jobs move to luxembourg but at the same time 2,000 uneducated non-English speaking dependents join their families in the UK - are you confident GDP will rise in line with population growth?
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,919


    where did you pop up from? keep reading past that post and you will see that people either begrudgingly concede my point or go awol.

    Or got bored. Not sure anyone accepted your opinion.

    It is true that someone managed what you couldn't and produced an obscure example of how adding one person might lower GDP. Another example might be a destructive invading army.


    - are you confident GDP will rise in line with population growth?

    That would be GDP per capita which you were explicitly not discussing.