Today's discussion about the news

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  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,625
    edited July 2

    gemcorp:%20the%20fund%20with%20a%20complex%20history%20in%20Russia%20and%20Tories%20on%20the%20payroll


    pretty grim reading. Turns out UK politicians are remarkably cheap to buy.


    a slew of soon to be ex Tory MPs and grandees lining up behind Russia’s commercial and diplomatic push into Africa

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,625

    Tbh it is not inconceivable with the demographics heading where they are heading, being able to look after both the aged and the poor is going to be too expensive without a considerable reduction in the quality of life for everyone.

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,146

    Without a Twitter account if I click on the link I still get the same level of information that is visible of the image. In my case I wasn’t necessarily disputing or disagreeing with any point, I just couldn’t work out what it meant by negative marginal reward and was expecting the bars to be below the black line or at least lower than the bar for someone earning less (I did eventually work out what they were getting at).

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    Just heard a reform supporter on r5 talking about controlled immigration being a good thing. Chinese and Bangladeshi people are naturally good cooks, but don't necessarily want to work in the family restaurant any more, because they can sell mobile phones for more money.

    This tour de force of casual racial stereotyping went totally unchallenged by the interviewer.

  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,756

    There were, one of them saying that it the graph was an extreme, very specific example.

    The rest of the thread may very well be true, but if it starts with "here's a very specific example of something in Germany, let me explain why France is worse", it has to actually do that. What it does, is give an example of a situation where in one place in Germany, in one specific situation and with unspecified amounts deducted, there is a problem with the German tax and benefits system, then says that France has too much debt, and can't increase taxes. Both can be true, but there's no direct connection is there?

    Also it's catnip to the kneejerk "cut taxes on the rich" solution camp, because they haven't looked closely enough to see that it is an increase from very low wage to below average that is the problem in that scenario.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683


    The graph seems to suggest that this particular couple can change earnings from €36k to €66k, but must pay *more* than €30k in extra tax.

    At the very least that tweet deserves a good sniff test.

  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,523

    I'm always grateful that you have the patience to get to the bottom of random things. I shamelessly saw the tweeter was a former architect talking about economic stuff, and decided it could safely be ignored.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    Sorry, what has the US got to do with it?

    And to quibble, you didn't comment on an interesting take on the French situation, you reposted it without any cognitive engagement. And then, when someone suggests you might have stepped in some poo and trodden it around the forum, you start accusing people of being too stupid to have understood the general jist of the argument.

    Actually, the statement appended to the data unrelated to France is about as complicated as the [ insert boomer moan here ] arguments we see all the time, it's just that the chart that purports to support the argument is bollocks.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,084

    Yes, I think it's fair criticism that that chart has distracted from rather than supported the main argument. Someone else pointed that if you extend the German graph to the right, the curve kicks back up.

    Looking past that, I think the comments about the madness of France choosing more public spending as the solution to their problems are pretty uncontroversial. It feels like there's a similar denial of reality in the surge in support for Reform.

    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,756
    edited July 2


    It kind of suggests that, but not exactly. If there's reduced benefits and increased tax taken into account, then there could potentially be an example where the net in/out from the state as a whole has that effect. It feels kind of like extrapolating from the "marginal tax rate of a couple 3 kids and two people earning £45k each in the UK and both paying student loans" and making conclusions about the overall state of the British economy.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    I don't think Reform are doing anything other than what all populists do, which is to cherry pick things that people want and say that's what they alone can do.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    Exactly. To there's a similar cliff for child benefit here.

    The list of caveats for that tweet would be longer than the garbled stuff at the end of a US TV advert for a diet drug, though.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,084

    When you were initially pretending to be interested, you asked about a comparative graph for the UK. Not finding a direct comparison with Germany, the US/UK graph was a next best thing.

    You can scroll back and check if you don't think I mentioned France.

    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,596

    Amusing take on Glasto and borders:

    "Glastonbury has always been a haven for people who love to celebrate multiculturalism, diversity and open borders. And this year’s festival was no exception. The band Idles, for example, called Nigel Farage “a fascist”, and sang a song in praise of mass immigration (“My blood brother is an immigrant, a beautiful immigrant/ My blood brother’s Freddie Mercury/ A Nigerian mother of three”) while the crowd proudly held aloft a rubber dinghy filled with dummies dressed to look like Channel-crossing asylum seekers.

    This display of compassion was of course deeply moving. Which is why I was surprised to read, on the final evening, that the festival had been “thrown into chaos” by people entering the site illegally, after buying fake wristbands or swarming over the security fence. Apparently, this caused fans to “panic” about the resultant “overcrowding”.

    But hang on a minute. Surely those fans should have welcomed the new arrivals with open arms.

    After all, anyone willing to risk their life climbing a 13ft fence in order to see Coldplay is clearly desperate. We should be showing these poor people compassion, rather than furiously calling for them to be arrested and sent back where they came from.

    No doubt some regulars will say, “But these numbers are unsustainable. It’s making life a misery for people who are already here. Also, we know nothing about all these people who are flooding in illegally – they could be dangerous criminals.”

    Quite plainly, though, anyone who spouts this hateful, far-Right rhetoric is a fascist. The only way to defeat the gangs selling fake wristbands is to provide a safe, legal route into the festival. And that means removing the fence, so anyone can walk straight in.

    In fact, the people who have bought tickets should be made to pay out of their own pockets to feed and accommodate all the people who got in without tickets. It’s only fair."

    😄

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,533

    😴

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    You mentioned France. The tweet mentioned France. The data mentioned Germany and didn't ever support the broad argument in relation to Germany. You and other then get defensive when the tweet is criticised and start accusing people of either not reading, not understanding, being picky etc. Then you post vast amounts of other unrelated data and invite people who don't necessarily disagree with the general premise to disprove it. All without acknowledging that the original tweet was misleading gibber.

    Quite how I've ended up being right about that tweet while also disagreeing with myself is as mystifying.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,084

    "Write 1000 words based on an obviously false equivalence"

    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    So now you agree, but having vigorously participated in the discussion and defended the tweet, you are suggesting that people are banging on.

  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,756

    Constantly increasing Glastonbury ticket prices limits accessibility, potentially depriving society of the next generation of well-rounded individuals... much like adding VAT on private schools would etc etc

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    Stevo, this is from the Satire Supplement and you've fallen for it.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,084

    You said you couldn't read it because it was on Twitter. That turns out to be untrue. You specifically asked for other data. Now I'm posting 'vast' amounts of data. Like I said, my mistake for not editing out the distracting red dot that everyone started chasing around the floor. And my mistake for misinterpreting that you were interested in the topic.

    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,596

    I didn't think it would be well received by middle class lefties 😉

    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,146

    You really need to stop reading The Telegraph. Do you actually pay to read that load of nonsense?

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    I asked for comparative data from the same thread about the country he was posting about and had intimated would follow, not a copy of the internet. It is instructive that there wasn't any.

    I would still be interested in a flavour of the twitteratis responses, on the offchance that someone else pointed out some flaws in the thesis. If it comes from twitter, people here might find it persuasive.

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,683

    That particular piece is comedy gold though. Credit where credit is due.

  • wallace_and_gromit
    wallace_and_gromit Posts: 3,390

    No need to pay for the Torygraph. Just disable Javascript on your browser and you're in for free.

    And it was a funny article. Obviously tongue in cheek. Particularly the bit about taking the fences down to let everyone in via "safe, legal routes".

  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,756

    It sounds like they could have done with a few more people in to see the headliner on Sunday.

  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,146

    It was quite amusingly written but the actual message is still bollox.

  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,533

    Meh, to be overly po faced, nothing around the migration situation is amusing.