2024 Election thread
Comments
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Seems to be pretty close between the main 3 in my area, getvoting is slightly on the side of labour, tacticalvote favours lib demand (I think based on previous election results).
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Luckily I dont have to tactically vote, but I would in principle.
2020/2021/2022 Metric Century Challenge Winner0 -
I will, Richmond Park constituency is either Conservative or Lib Dem, so I will vote to make sure. I say I will, my proxy will. But they are doing the same thing, so I know my vote is in the right hands.
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Would rather vote lib dem, but they have no chance here, and there is a good chance it'll be close-ish between Labour and Conservative here.
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I will try but can't see anythng other than a Consrvative hold here
Wilier Izoard XP0 -
As there's only two possible winners here, I haven't really thought about who I'd vote for in a pr world.
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I would have done but that link Brian posted says I don’t need to bother. However it might be a Tory scam🤣🤣🤣
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93% chance of a LibDem win in my constituency, so not sure tactics are needed unless you are a Labour voter. A bit of a shame that the current Conservative MP will almost certainly be out after one term as he's a pretty diligent constituency MP and is the sort of person the party needs if they are ever to dig themselves out of the current hole.
1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
Pinnacle Monzonite
Part of the anti-growth coalition0 -
That site says I should vote with my heart because the Lib Dems are predicted to get 64% of the vote.
Looking at some of the forecasts, if it's vaguely right and people do vote tactically, it could be close to a wipeout in London. Crazy days.
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last time around there were quite a few tory seats with slim majorities after they were rightly punished for brexit - london was heavily remain - wouldn't surprise me if a lot of those end up labour this time
my bike - faster than god's and twice as shiny0 -
I’m not voting tactically, I am voting out of principle. I suspect most will be doing similar resulting in a swing vote and can only hope my suspicions are correct. Time will tell.
The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
I am not sure. You have no chance.Veronese68 wrote:PB is the most sensible person on here.0 -
I'll be your proxy if you want 😇
"I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]1 -
I always thought my constituency was solidly Labour giving me freedom to vote how I pleased but it was actually a lot closer than I'd realised in 2019. I've been moved into the next constutuency now which had a stronger Labour majority last time but not massive (about 2,000) and has always been held by Labour. I'll probably vote Labour for the first time ever just to make sure but might still go Lib Dem instead. I don't think we've had any leaflets from any of the Parties and definitely no-one to the door (which is a shame as I'm sure my German dog would love to meet the Reform candidate to discuss Brexit and immigration!) so maybe the Parties have decided it is a foregone conclusion.
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It's interesting how Reform are flat lining until the Truss debacle, then there's a flicker of life before they start gradually improving from the Autumn of 23
I'd guess making immigration the central issue then failing on it has been disastrous for Sunak
“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0 -
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Tories are shameless when they buddy up with big business:
if only they cared this much about university education costs
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Bless them for thinking they can 'panic' admissions teams.
1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
Pinnacle Monzonite
Part of the anti-growth coalition0 -
"Two Liz Trusses". I suppose giving us a new unit of measurement is something the Tories have done.
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after the epic lies of brexit enabled farage to select the gullible, he's doing it again with reform
i.e. if you want to make money, pile in, he's identified the suckers, they're ripe for exploitation - mega hats (make england great again) should do well
my bike - faster than god's and twice as shiny0 -
Going through a phase of thinking the polls are so extreme we’re in uncharted territory so the margin of error is quite big
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"mega hats (make england great again)" I'm sure I trademarked that earlier. 😉🤣
The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
I am not sure. You have no chance.Veronese68 wrote:PB is the most sensible person on here.0 -
Yep. See my comments about my constituency. The Stevos of this world will be hoping that there are enough morons who will vote for a party who can't tell the truth and have proved themselves to be utterly incompetent, because, well...
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I am wondering if this time around the shy Tories are actually the ones claiming they'll vote Reform.
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Thing is we’re at a weird tipping point where a) there’s not much data for reform and b) there’s loads of weird tactical voting going on.
If you stick the small changes between polls into, say ,the FT seat calculator model that spits out huge Tory seat changes - from as little as 40 seats to 180. Massive range.
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I suspect there are a chunk of seats that the splits are roughly 20% reform, 20% conservative and 35% labour.
So will the Reform vote stand up (or will the Conservative vote further decrease).
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I don't think the Reform vote will match polling. Even if it's 10% it's still terrible for the Tories though.
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We get Labour governments in the same way.
I'm just wondering how long afterwards the electoral equivalent of buyers' remorse will set in.
"I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]0 -
As I understand the shy Tory phenomenon is due to being embarrassed about voting for a right wing party...so I'm not sure the typical shy Tory would tell someone they were voting reform?
I think reform will beat UKIPs 2015 vote share.
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I think that there are quite a few shy lefties as well. Understandably so.
"I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]0
