The Big 'Let's sell our cars and take buses/ebikes instead' thread (warning: probably very dull)

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Comments

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145

    What, so if they earn money from it, it’s ok to pollute more?

    Driving is a privilege not a right.

    Seemed a reasonable approach during covid.

    If you earn 20k visiting people to deliver meals or change nappies or other fun stuff like that, us it reasonable to incur 10k in fees to do it?

    Is it reasonable to need to replace your car to do it?
    Yes, yes it is.

    And if you read the research, for commercial vehicles, they had 97% compliance.
    Bubble alert.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,144
    I can't see how anyone who has got on a commercial flight recently can agree with Ulez and tell some who is trying to get by should pay an extra tax. They will already pay a higher road car tax anyway!

    Again, a commercial flight will use the same comparative fuel as a car would for it's lifetime.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,144
    Anyone who pontificates about global warming, pollution, emissions... should be banned from using commercial flights, for crimes to hypocrisy alone.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    What, so if they earn money from it, it’s ok to pollute more?

    Driving is a privilege not a right.

    Seemed a reasonable approach during covid.

    If you earn 20k visiting people to deliver meals or change nappies or other fun stuff like that, us it reasonable to incur 10k in fees to do it?

    Is it reasonable to need to replace your car to do it?
    Yes, yes it is.

    And if you read the research, for commercial vehicles, they had 97% compliance.
    Bubble alert.
    Who knew the transition to a less pollutant, greener economy would have some inflationary side effects?

    It's the poorest who suffer the most with pollution anyway.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145

    What, so if they earn money from it, it’s ok to pollute more?

    Driving is a privilege not a right.

    Seemed a reasonable approach during covid.

    If you earn 20k visiting people to deliver meals or change nappies or other fun stuff like that, us it reasonable to incur 10k in fees to do it?

    Is it reasonable to need to replace your car to do it?
    Yes, yes it is.

    And if you read the research, for commercial vehicles, they had 97% compliance.
    Bubble alert.
    Who knew the transition to a less pollutant, greener economy would have some inflationary side effects?

    It's the poorest who suffer the most with pollution anyway.
    Pffft.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.
  • super_davo
    super_davo Posts: 1,221

    Anyone who pontificates about global warming, pollution, emissions... should be banned from using commercial flights, for crimes to hypocrisy alone.

    Air travel is undoubtedly horrendous for the environment, but there are many journeys where the practicalities win out, you'd either just not make them or it's going to be via plane.

    However little time for 1. Short haul flights where time saving is marginal over land travel e.g. London to Edinburgh or even London to Paris / other northern European cities 2. Vegetables flown in from Africa/ South America "off season"
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,314

    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.

    City centres will always have higher levels of pollution by definition. Vehicle pollution is not the only source.
    Electric vehicles are simply outsourcing the fuel pollution. Discuss.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited August 2023
    pblakeney said:

    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.

    City centres will always have higher levels of pollution by definition. Vehicle pollution is not the only source.
    Electric vehicles are simply outsourcing the fuel pollution. Discuss.
    Well yes, if you have to pollute, it makes sense to do it away from where people live.

    City centres don't necessarily need to have higher levels of pollution by definition.

    And if we move to a more renewable power grid, which we need to anyway, then win win.

    ICEs are 100% fossil fuels (well, I guess some of it is bio fuel now) The power grid isn't.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,314
    edited August 2023

    pblakeney said:

    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.

    City centres will always have higher levels of pollution by definition. Vehicle pollution is not the only source.
    Electric vehicles are simply outsourcing the fuel pollution. Discuss.
    Well yes, if you have to pollute, it makes sense to do it away from where people live.

    City centres don't necessarily need to have higher levels of pollution by definition.

    And if we move to a more renewable power grid, which we need to anyway, then win win.

    ICEs are 100% fossil fuels (well, I guess some of it is bio fuel now) The power grid isn't.
    You'll be surprised how close power stations are to towns and cities.
    Tyre pollution, brake pollution, heat pollution, light pollution, human pollution, etc, etc.
    Eventually, yes. But that is decades away. Start the work now but we need it immediately.
    Last point is mixing examples. Not all cars are ICE and the power grid is greatly fossil.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • Jezyboy
    Jezyboy Posts: 3,605
    pblakeney said:

    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.

    City centres will always have higher levels of pollution by definition. Vehicle pollution is not the only source.
    Electric vehicles are simply outsourcing the fuel pollution. Discuss.
    Even with a fully fossil fuel grid, generating electricity, you generally get higher thermal efficiency from a power station than a car engine. Plus it's easier to do flue gas stuff, plus it's generally better to pollute as far away from large concentrations of people.

    But yea, electric cars aren't a cure all.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    No they're not, and that's what I've been arguing from the start. The trends of how people live are changing and cars are going to be less and less convenient anyway.

  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,891
    Anyone seen the light and gone car free yet?
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,314

    No they're not, and that's what I've been arguing from the start. The trends of how people live are changing and cars are going to be less and less convenient anyway.

    The best current solution was found during covid.
    But apparently everyone "needs" to go to an office.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    pblakeney said:

    No they're not, and that's what I've been arguing from the start. The trends of how people live are changing and cars are going to be less and less convenient anyway.

    The best current solution was found during covid.
    But apparently everyone "needs" to go to an office.
    Productivity is lower when people are 100% WFH.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,314
    edited August 2023

    pblakeney said:

    No they're not, and that's what I've been arguing from the start. The trends of how people live are changing and cars are going to be less and less convenient anyway.

    The best current solution was found during covid.
    But apparently everyone "needs" to go to an office.
    Productivity is lower when people are 100% WFH.
    That's down to work ethics and incentives. Still, it's a choice. Save the planet and health, or the economy. Saving the economy is just kicking the can down the road.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited August 2023
    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    No they're not, and that's what I've been arguing from the start. The trends of how people live are changing and cars are going to be less and less convenient anyway.

    The best current solution was found during covid.
    But apparently everyone "needs" to go to an office.
    Productivity is lower when people are 100% WFH.
    That's down to work ethics and incentives. Still, it's a choice. Save the planet and health, or the economy. Saving the economy is just kicking the can down the road.
    This is fatalistic nonsense. There is an opportunity to do both.

    Change is hard, especially in old age, I appreciate.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145

    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.

    I don't really see why people who live and work in city centres should have to suffer worse air because it might be a bit more expensive for some people to come in by car?

    An old colleague who had a stroke which put him out of the industry now delivers food all over London for a living; he does it all by electric bike as it's cheaper and faster for the food he delivers.

    Win win.

    This seems to be the direction of travel, if you'll pardon the pun, but there's a legitimate debate about how to get there.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,133
    edited August 2023

    I can't see how anyone who has got on a commercial flight recently can agree with Ulez and tell some who is trying to get by should pay an extra tax. They will already pay a higher road car tax anyway!

    Again, a commercial flight will use the same comparative fuel as a car would for it's lifetime.

    ULEZ is about local pollution, not global climate change related emissions. They are two very different issues.

    I'm quite bullish about London's ability to do something about air quality in London, much less so about London's ability to make any real impact on global emissions.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145
    So, apologies in advance for the source of this article, but it's another example of a blunt policy being based on assumptions that predate any evidence.

    The cherry picking aspect of it is similar to the ULEZ justifications.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12459223/SNP-overstate-success-minimum-pricing-scheme-alcohol-deaths-soar-highest-level-14-years.html

    The medical profession support higher minimum pricing, even though there's no data to support it having any effect so far other than a single outlier study that was questioned even at the time, but it stands to reason that if you increase prices even more, it will reduce the harms, right?

    Do you see the parallels?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited August 2023

    So, apologies in advance for the source of this article, but it's another example of a blunt policy being based on assumptions that predate any evidence.

    The cherry picking aspect of it is similar to the ULEZ justifications.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12459223/SNP-overstate-success-minimum-pricing-scheme-alcohol-deaths-soar-highest-level-14-years.html

    The medical profession support higher minimum pricing, even though there's no data to support it having any effect so far other than a single outlier study that was questioned even at the time, but it stands to reason that if you increase prices even more, it will reduce the harms, right?

    Do you see the parallels?

    Do you even google this stuff before you write it?

    Literally the first hit.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/98100/impacts-alcohol-price-review.pdf

    on balance the evidence shows that increases in alcohol prices are linked to decreases in harms related to alcohol consumption. However, alcohol price is only one factor affecting levels of alcohol consumption with individual, cultural, situational and social factors also influential. • Available evidence suggests that increases in alcohol prices tend to be associated with reductions in crime. However, this relationship is not straightforward and linear and the evidence base is not able to support a causal relationship between alcohol pricing and crime. • When considering individual crime types rather than overall crime, there is a larger evidence base for a link between alcohol price and violence than for other crime types. The balance of this evidence tends to support an association between increasing alcohol price and decreasing levels of violence. No firm conclusions can be drawn around links between alcohol pricing and other specific crime types as the evidence is limited and some findings are inconclusive. • It is important to recognise that inconclusive evidence or an absence of evidence does not necessarily mean that increasing alcohol price does not impact on particular types of crime. Rather, this indicates that there is a lack of robust evidence to allow a judgement to be made either way.



    Second hit:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3860576/

    A large and growing body of research conducted by economists over the past two decades has examined the impact of alcoholic beverage taxes and prices on drinking prevalence, frequency, and intensity, as well as on a host of adverse outcomes related to alcohol use and abuse. The majority of these studies support the hypothesis that increases in alcoholic beverage prices, which can be achieved by raising federal and state alcohol excise taxes as well as through a variety of other policies, are effective in reducing alcohol use.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,133
    edited August 2023
    Driving from Surrey into Kingston this morning, there was a matrix sign in esher (surrey) saying "new ulez covering whole of London from 29th August", and signs clearly saying where the boundary starts, with an opportunity to avoid it once inside the London borough.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145

    So, apologies in advance for the source of this article, but it's another example of a blunt policy being based on assumptions that predate any evidence.

    The cherry picking aspect of it is similar to the ULEZ justifications.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12459223/SNP-overstate-success-minimum-pricing-scheme-alcohol-deaths-soar-highest-level-14-years.html

    The medical profession support higher minimum pricing, even though there's no data to support it having any effect so far other than a single outlier study that was questioned even at the time, but it stands to reason that if you increase prices even more, it will reduce the harms, right?

    Do you see the parallels?

    Do you even google this stuff before you write it?

    Literally the first hit.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/98100/impacts-alcohol-price-review.pdf

    on balance the evidence shows that increases in alcohol prices are linked to decreases in harms related to alcohol consumption. However, alcohol price is only one factor affecting levels of alcohol consumption with individual, cultural, situational and social factors also influential. • Available evidence suggests that increases in alcohol prices tend to be associated with reductions in crime. However, this relationship is not straightforward and linear and the evidence base is not able to support a causal relationship between alcohol pricing and crime. • When considering individual crime types rather than overall crime, there is a larger evidence base for a link between alcohol price and violence than for other crime types. The balance of this evidence tends to support an association between increasing alcohol price and decreasing levels of violence. No firm conclusions can be drawn around links between alcohol pricing and other specific crime types as the evidence is limited and some findings are inconclusive. • It is important to recognise that inconclusive evidence or an absence of evidence does not necessarily mean that increasing alcohol price does not impact on particular types of crime. Rather, this indicates that there is a lack of robust evidence to allow a judgement to be made either way.



    Second hit:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3860576/

    A large and growing body of research conducted by economists over the past two decades has examined the impact of alcoholic beverage taxes and prices on drinking prevalence, frequency, and intensity, as well as on a host of adverse outcomes related to alcohol use and abuse. The majority of these studies support the hypothesis that increases in alcoholic beverage prices, which can be achieved by raising federal and state alcohol excise taxes as well as through a variety of other policies, are effective in reducing alcohol use.
    Sorry I should have explained what "minimum pricing" means. It means a minimum price per unit.

    Which means the price of lots of drinks, indeed most drinks, hasn't changed as a result of the policy. The criticism up here, which isn't the US incidentally, is that it is a pointless administrative burden that's made no difference.

    Hope that helps.

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited August 2023
    So it's not like the ULEZ at all?

    Seems the booze example is really about execution, not about the body of evidence that supports the premise of the policy.

    Surprised you're not complaining how unfair it is that poor people can't drink as much.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145

    Driving from Surrey into Kingston this morning, there was a matrix sign in esher (surrey) saying "new ulez covering whole of London from 29th August", and signs clearly saying where the boundary starts, with an opportunity to avoid it once inside the London borough.

    Does it say where to pay, how long you have to pay, the consequences of not having to pay or who has to pay? By analogy to parking (which honestly I don't know is a suitable analogy or not) if that information isn't clearly available then a fine isn't enforceable.

    I think that the opponents on ULEZ could really get their teeth into the signage issue.

    I suppose TFL will say that the signs are more like yellow lines, in that if you don't know what it means, tough.

    Get the popcorn out.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,144


    I can't see how anyone who has got on a commercial flight recently can agree with Ulez and tell some who is trying to get by should pay an extra tax. They will already pay a higher road car tax anyway!

    Again, a commercial flight will use the same comparative fuel as a car would for it's lifetime.

    ULEZ is about local pollution, not global climate change related emissions. They are two very different issues.

    I'm quite bullish about London's ability to do something about air quality in London, much less so about London's ability to make any real impact on global emissions.
    Daisies don't come out the back of fookin jets!
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,314

    pblakeney said:

    pblakeney said:

    No they're not, and that's what I've been arguing from the start. The trends of how people live are changing and cars are going to be less and less convenient anyway.

    The best current solution was found during covid.
    But apparently everyone "needs" to go to an office.
    Productivity is lower when people are 100% WFH.
    That's down to work ethics and incentives. Still, it's a choice. Save the planet and health, or the economy. Saving the economy is just kicking the can down the road.
    This is fatalistic nonsense. There is an opportunity to do both.

    Change is hard, especially in old age, I appreciate.
    I will easily admit to being fatalistic about the planet. We are killing it, as far as humans are concerned. Change doesn't bother me in the slightest, I've not commuted since March 2020 and never will again. So there.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,145
    edited August 2023

    So it's not like the ULEZ at all?

    Seems the booze example is really about execution, not about the body of evidence that supports the premise of the policy.

    Surprised you're not complaining how unfair it is that poor people can't drink as much.

    Well it's a different policy entirely really.

    Somehat like the difference between a ULEZ scheme based on actual emissions of a given vehicle, vs one that is based on the emissions standards available to the manufacturers when it was actually built. Stevo, though it pains me to agree with him, posted a picture of a porsche that complies. Presumably something like a 4L turbo diesel X5 from 2015 would comply, but a 1L 2010 diesel Polo doesn't.

    Minimum pricing, like ULEZ is a policy that on superficial inspection ought to work, but doesn't seem to actually make any difference to the intended outcome.

    It isn't the way we should do policy.