The Big 'Let's sell our cars and take buses/ebikes instead' thread (warning: probably very dull)

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Comments

  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700
    On the basis that it will raise more money than currently, and won't appreciably change air quality, you would have to say its a tax.

    On the basis that it singles out a specific car ownership demographic, you can't argue that, if it is a tax, it is regressive.

    So I suppose the question of whether or not it is a reasonable policy comes down to whether or not it is a public health policy or a tax. If the former, you would want it to be evidence based wouldn't you?

    I would, anyway.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700

    The 'narrative' from the Right seems to be it's either regressive ("those poor poor people!", as if they care, all of a sudden) or it's socialism, taxing the well-off to help poor people.

    There seems to be an inherent tension between these two arguments.

    In fairness, the main rightie arguments seem to me to be more libertarian in nature. Bit like opposition to LTNs.

    Precisely why the inalienable right to personal motorised transportation is singled out in this way can only be vote related.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,655
    Obviously rich people can afford to do things poor people can’t.

    That’s a free market for you.

    Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t discourage behaviour via pricing.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700

    Obviously rich people can afford to do things poor people can’t.

    That’s a free market for you.

    Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t discourage behaviour via pricing.

    Does it mean you should?

    I can see both sides' viewpoints on this.

  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,655

    Obviously rich people can afford to do things poor people can’t.

    That’s a free market for you.

    Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t discourage behaviour via pricing.

    Does it mean you should?

    I can see both sides' viewpoints on this.

    No one has offered a better alternative
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700

    Obviously rich people can afford to do things poor people can’t.

    That’s a free market for you.

    Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t discourage behaviour via pricing.

    Does it mean you should?

    I can see both sides' viewpoints on this.

    No one has offered a better alternative
    VED? Fuel duty?

    At the moment of your aim is to encourage lower NOx emissions (for a given CO2 band) then VED in particular seems to work somewhat the wrong way around, for deisels in particular.

    Firstly the £40k premium is an additional tax of £2k for even fairly midrange vehicles, which by virtue of age will be less polluting. Also, the RDE2 reduction only applies to newer cars.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    How would you design transportation if there was no history of it and a blank canvas?

    Roads/rail seem like a hell of a waste of valuable land and cost in infrastructure. Instead you could/need to have just service main paths.

    Flight seems the most logical with VTOL aircraft, transiting to wings being most efficient.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,655

    Obviously rich people can afford to do things poor people can’t.

    That’s a free market for you.

    Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t discourage behaviour via pricing.

    Does it mean you should?

    I can see both sides' viewpoints on this.

    No one has offered a better alternative
    VED? Fuel duty?

    At the moment of your aim is to encourage lower NOx emissions (for a given CO2 band) then VED in particular seems to work somewhat the wrong way around, for deisels in particular.

    Firstly the £40k premium is an additional tax of £2k for even fairly midrange vehicles, which by virtue of age will be less polluting. Also, the RDE2 reduction only applies to newer cars.
    You just want fewer short journeys by car, especially in built up areas where the pollution and traffic are more concentrated.

    Ulez does that effectively by making short journeys uneconomical but for longer journeys or more important journeys the cost is more likely to be worth it.

  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    edited August 2023
    Perhaps the VTOL's could be autonomous taxis and people don't own them they just play for access to the network?
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    Roads? That can't be the future long term.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    This spring, however, Coventry is once again at the forefront of world-leading innovation in personal mobility as it hosts what is billed as the first-ever fully functional hub for flying taxis, the electric-powered vertical takeoff and landing craft that backers are talking up as the biggest new thing in aviation.

    The site is fully functional, that is, apart from the air taxis themselves. With the scores of proposed eVTOL models yet to win regulatory signoff, unmanned drones are standing in for the typically five-person craft during three weeks of demonstration flights in Coventry.
    https://europe.autonews.com/automakers/worlds-first-flying-taxi-hub-takes-shape-england
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920

  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,760
    edited August 2023
    Stupidest thing about ulez is excluding classic cars. Filthy things.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920

    Stupidest thing about ulez is excluding classic cars. Filthy things.

    Pre 80s or whatever they are tax and MOT exempt!? I love seeing old cars on the road, but it doesn't make sense when newer cars than that are being taxed off the roads.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    No, you would create roads given our hindsight now and a blank canvas.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    Rail? Possibly too.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700

    Rail? Possibly too.

    Canals?

    Semi autonomous equine transportation?
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920

    Rail? Possibly too.

    Canals?

    Semi autonomous equine transportation?
    I do like the fact they are being restored. They certainly made sense at that snapshot in time to transport weight.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920
    Public sector spending on roads in the United Kingdom was over 11.13 billion British pounds in 2022/23, a slight decrease when compared with the previous year. Throughout most of this time period the amount spent on local roads is consistently higher than that spent on national roads.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,092

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    This is the issue really. Or issues, plural.

    Firstly the magnitude of the health justification is far from clear. Second, the solution is regressive, if you see it as a taxation.

    Interview from professor at birmingham uni on R4 yesterday covered these points, basically saying it is a cost benefit analysis where the benefit is probably very small or it would be easier to quantify, and the cost is born disporoprtionately by lower income households.

    Seemed to me they cut him a bit short because it wasn't what they'd expected him to say.
    Why are you discounting the cost of buying a newer vehicle?
    More wealthy people are likely to already have one. Leaving less wealthy people to pay the charge or get a new vehicle.

    Buying a newer vehicle is also, proportionately, more difficult at lower income levels.

    So whichever way you look at it, ULEZ is a new and regressive tax.
    So when a wealthier person upgrades their car that's just a free pass and when a poorer person upgrades their car that's a regressive tax. Got it.

    Embarrassing.
    ? That's literally the situation if it is occasioned by a tax policy, yes.
    It's not a tax policy. It's the cost of operating a vehicle. Not everyone can afford it and that is fine.
    If it isn't a tax, what is it?
    Transport/air quality policy.

    If it was a purely money-raising exercise there would be no scrappage scheme or offer of a couple of grand towards a new compliant vehicle.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,608
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    The poor generally don't own cars in the first place, especially in urban areas.
    But the ones that do are getting whacked with charges which are significant relation to their income. And done forget, not all are urban based but quite a few need to enter the zone on a regular basis.

    Hence the controversy.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700
    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    This is the issue really. Or issues, plural.

    Firstly the magnitude of the health justification is far from clear. Second, the solution is regressive, if you see it as a taxation.

    Interview from professor at birmingham uni on R4 yesterday covered these points, basically saying it is a cost benefit analysis where the benefit is probably very small or it would be easier to quantify, and the cost is born disporoprtionately by lower income households.

    Seemed to me they cut him a bit short because it wasn't what they'd expected him to say.
    Why are you discounting the cost of buying a newer vehicle?
    More wealthy people are likely to already have one. Leaving less wealthy people to pay the charge or get a new vehicle.

    Buying a newer vehicle is also, proportionately, more difficult at lower income levels.

    So whichever way you look at it, ULEZ is a new and regressive tax.
    So when a wealthier person upgrades their car that's just a free pass and when a poorer person upgrades their car that's a regressive tax. Got it.

    Embarrassing.
    ? That's literally the situation if it is occasioned by a tax policy, yes.
    It's not a tax policy. It's the cost of operating a vehicle. Not everyone can afford it and that is fine.
    If it isn't a tax, what is it?
    Transport/air quality policy.

    If it was a purely money-raising exercise there would be no scrappage scheme or offer of a couple of grand towards a new compliant vehicle.
    Oh, right, if its air quality what evidence are they using?

    Honestly I don't know whether or not there are data to support the policy, but the continuation of a trend that was happening for other reasons anyway isn't convincing. At least one academic who advised on this seems to hold the same, and presumably far more informed, view.

    So it is on shaky ground from a public health standpoint.

    If it is just a transport policy, why?
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 60,608

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Definitely would be ok with paying for road use. Can charge you according to how popular the road is and how fast it is.

    Sounds like monitoring and enforcement might be a small challenge, given that there are over 260,000 miles of paved Road in the UK. I think we are talking Chinese levels of surveillance and then some.
    I think you’d be surprised how much your car is tracked anyway tbh.
    Yep, well aware of camera surveillance - mostly in cities and major roads. You need to take a look at the minor roads and lanes like those near me - and work out how you're going to deal with all of those.
    If they don’t have much traffic no bother.
    They don't. So happy to keep your road charging to the big cities?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 27,760
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Definitely would be ok with paying for road use. Can charge you according to how popular the road is and how fast it is.

    Sounds like monitoring and enforcement might be a small challenge, given that there are over 260,000 miles of paved Road in the UK. I think we are talking Chinese levels of surveillance and then some.
    I think you’d be surprised how much your car is tracked anyway tbh.
    Yep, well aware of camera surveillance - mostly in cities and major roads. You need to take a look at the minor roads and lanes like those near me - and work out how you're going to deal with all of those.
    If they don’t have much traffic no bother.
    They don't. So happy to keep your road charging to the big cities?
    What replaces fuel tax?
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 7,920

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Definitely would be ok with paying for road use. Can charge you according to how popular the road is and how fast it is.

    Sounds like monitoring and enforcement might be a small challenge, given that there are over 260,000 miles of paved Road in the UK. I think we are talking Chinese levels of surveillance and then some.
    I think you’d be surprised how much your car is tracked anyway tbh.
    Yep, well aware of camera surveillance - mostly in cities and major roads. You need to take a look at the minor roads and lanes like those near me - and work out how you're going to deal with all of those.
    If they don’t have much traffic no bother.
    They don't. So happy to keep your road charging to the big cities?
    What replaces fuel tax?
    Miles travelled tax recorded by GPS? Delivery companies could pass on the additional cost. There should be one anyway for all the lazy sods not going to the high street anymore.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,092
    edited August 2023

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    This is the issue really. Or issues, plural.

    Firstly the magnitude of the health justification is far from clear. Second, the solution is regressive, if you see it as a taxation.

    Interview from professor at birmingham uni on R4 yesterday covered these points, basically saying it is a cost benefit analysis where the benefit is probably very small or it would be easier to quantify, and the cost is born disporoprtionately by lower income households.

    Seemed to me they cut him a bit short because it wasn't what they'd expected him to say.
    Why are you discounting the cost of buying a newer vehicle?
    More wealthy people are likely to already have one. Leaving less wealthy people to pay the charge or get a new vehicle.

    Buying a newer vehicle is also, proportionately, more difficult at lower income levels.

    So whichever way you look at it, ULEZ is a new and regressive tax.
    So when a wealthier person upgrades their car that's just a free pass and when a poorer person upgrades their car that's a regressive tax. Got it.

    Embarrassing.
    ? That's literally the situation if it is occasioned by a tax policy, yes.
    It's not a tax policy. It's the cost of operating a vehicle. Not everyone can afford it and that is fine.
    If it isn't a tax, what is it?
    Transport/air quality policy.

    If it was a purely money-raising exercise there would be no scrappage scheme or offer of a couple of grand towards a new compliant vehicle.
    Oh, right, if its air quality what evidence are they using?

    Honestly I don't know whether or not there are data to support the policy, but the continuation of a trend that was happening for other reasons anyway isn't convincing. At least one academic who advised on this seems to hold the same, and presumably far more informed, view.

    So it is on shaky ground from a public health standpoint.

    If it is just a transport policy, why?
    So we're agreed it's not a tax. Good.
    We disagree on your interpretation of the available information.
    Fewer sh*t cars on the road is good enough for me.
    Now just to remove all the hobbyist exemptions.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,092
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    The poor generally don't own cars in the first place, especially in urban areas.
    But the ones that do are getting whacked with charges which are significant relation to their income. And done forget, not all are urban based but quite a few need to enter the zone on a regular basis.

    Hence the controversy.
    Can't bring myself to care. It's happening.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 26,974
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    The poor generally don't own cars in the first place, especially in urban areas.
    But the ones that do are getting whacked with charges which are significant relation to their income. And done forget, not all are urban based but quite a few need to enter the zone on a regular basis.

    Hence the controversy.
    Can't bring myself to care. It's happening.
    Are you saying that it's too late and that we should accept and get on with making the most of it. That sounds familiar.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 16,700
    edited August 2023
    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Speed makes accidents more dangerous and all accidents are in some way speed related.

    So by implication we'd better not travel anywhere if we want to be safe?
    I mean the extreme at both ends of the spectrum are stupid.

    Why don’t you just let all the roads be a race track and have everyone race as fast as possible all the time?
    The point here is that changes in speed limits are almost always downwards. When did you last see a speed limit going up on a section of road?
    Now we’re getting back the original point of the thread.

    More people, more traffic, more congestion, more urbanised living; makes for lower average speeds and less time efficient car driving.
    But I want my freedom! To sit in a traffic jam going nowhere choking on fumes!

    If ever there was a textbook example of the concept of "market failure" i.e. where the best outcome for the individual leads to the worst outcome for the whole, it's use of private vehicles. I find it maddening that "champions of free markets" don't see it.
    I don't think you can argue about free markets when the state owns and provides the roads. If it was a free market, you would pay more to drive on roads at peak time and new private roads would be built wherever there was potential profit.
    The irony is that is probably the exact solution we need. We all know that if the only way to move around is by car, and everyone wants to do it at the same time, net result is gridlock.

    And rather than "pricing poorer drivers off the road" we should incentivise other forms of transport without the associated costs of driving.
    But that is exactly what is happening - and your post is quite timely given that the rather controversial expanded London ULEZ comes into force tomorrow.
    Weird how you've gone all socialist on this issue. You'll be arguing for state benefits for low earning motorists next.
    Well if you're OK with taxing the poor and giving the better off a free pass on motorists taxes, let's extend that to income tax.
    This is the issue really. Or issues, plural.

    Firstly the magnitude of the health justification is far from clear. Second, the solution is regressive, if you see it as a taxation.

    Interview from professor at birmingham uni on R4 yesterday covered these points, basically saying it is a cost benefit analysis where the benefit is probably very small or it would be easier to quantify, and the cost is born disporoprtionately by lower income households.

    Seemed to me they cut him a bit short because it wasn't what they'd expected him to say.
    Why are you discounting the cost of buying a newer vehicle?
    More wealthy people are likely to already have one. Leaving less wealthy people to pay the charge or get a new vehicle.

    Buying a newer vehicle is also, proportionately, more difficult at lower income levels.

    So whichever way you look at it, ULEZ is a new and regressive tax.
    So when a wealthier person upgrades their car that's just a free pass and when a poorer person upgrades their car that's a regressive tax. Got it.

    Embarrassing.
    ? That's literally the situation if it is occasioned by a tax policy, yes.
    It's not a tax policy. It's the cost of operating a vehicle. Not everyone can afford it and that is fine.
    If it isn't a tax, what is it?
    Transport/air quality policy.

    If it was a purely money-raising exercise there would be no scrappage scheme or offer of a couple of grand towards a new compliant vehicle.
    Oh, right, if its air quality what evidence are they using?

    Honestly I don't know whether or not there are data to support the policy, but the continuation of a trend that was happening for other reasons anyway isn't convincing. At least one academic who advised on this seems to hold the same, and presumably far more informed, view.

    So it is on shaky ground from a public health standpoint.

    If it is just a transport policy, why?
    So we're agreed it's not a tax. Good.
    We disagree on your interpretation of the available information.
    Fewer sh*t cars on the road is good enough for me.
    Now just to remove all the hobbyist exemptions.
    No, it's a tax. In a few years, the type of cars it captures will shift, and bump up the tax take.

    By definition, at that stage, the already potentially immeasurably small benefits in some areas will be even smaller.

    Fwiw mileage based road pricing as a replacement for fuel duty and VED seems sensible to me. But more likely VED will be rebanded to capture EVs.