BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    It seems to be a lot of strutting up and down with chests puffed out from both sides at the moment. Not convinced I need to take any of it seriously until we get stuck into the real negotiations.

    I notice you didn't actually disagree with any of the quotes. In any event, it kicks off next week so we will find out soon enough.
    You are reading too much into something that isn't there.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    First hit. In the Telegraph.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/05/15/trump-threatens-use-us-trade-talks-force-nhs-pay-drugs/
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    It seems to be a lot of strutting up and down with chests puffed out from both sides at the moment. Not convinced I need to take any of it seriously until we get stuck into the real negotiations.

    I notice you didn't actually disagree with any of the quotes. In any event, it kicks off next week so we will find out soon enough.
    You are reading too much into something that isn't there.
    Yes, your disagreement...
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    First hit. In the Telegraph.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/05/15/trump-threatens-use-us-trade-talks-force-nhs-pay-drugs/
    Ah, so now everything Trump says should be taken as fact because it suits a Brexit related argument? :smile:
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    It’s a pretty common view.

    Gets reported on US outlets all the time
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    NHS obviously has a lot of bargaining power.
  • john80
    john80 Posts: 2,965
    The nhs does not just have buying power. It also has a strategic decision making process regarding what drugs it will and will not buy based on their benefits. The US model detests this as it is not in big pharmas interests. Long may our current system continue.
  • Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    First hit. In the Telegraph.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/05/15/trump-threatens-use-us-trade-talks-force-nhs-pay-drugs/
    Ah, so now everything Trump says should be taken as fact because it suits a Brexit related argument? :smile:
    Just as a reminder you posted “i’ve never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?

    RJST then gave you a link to the Telegraph quoting the President of the US.

    You then rejected this gold standard evidence because it was seemingly anti-Brexit.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    edited February 2020
    Over-interpreting again, Stevo. You claimed (somewhat implausibly) that you had never seen any reference to SC's assertion. I'm just pointing out that "American patients first" was widely publicised. Here's something more academic.

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/20016689.2019.1650596

    And an article talking about the lobbying that led to the policy.

    https://m.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/us-lobbyists-brexit_uk_5c5b26c6e4b00187b5579f64?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAADYIT2V6sIjwIcmw0jPT4Cv3-NYxMIwLqz4pl4MJNMGxBFbz58_UyDVWJa8dxRD8N8EEWm7N4fq8Rnv2_Hz1fgX_CQrlddu_KOXsWfJJ437N9ktlO_qGOUTI56BSidvIBSd8WsrGuB4aj023TDY4WmmvkNov1smfjIcaiPrT4IFr
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Meanwhile Johnson appears to be walking back on his (non-binding) political declaration.

    Not necessarily the most consensus building run up to the talks....
  • Pross
    Pross Posts: 43,463
    john80 said:

    The nhs does not just have buying power. It also has a strategic decision making process regarding what drugs it will and will not buy based on their benefits. The US model detests this as it is not in big pharmas interests. Long may our current system continue.

    Careful John, you'll get labelled a leftie by Coopster with those views!
  • bompington
    bompington Posts: 7,674
    Pross said:

    john80 said:

    The nhs does not just have buying power. It also has a strategic decision making process regarding what drugs it will and will not buy based on their benefits. The US model detests this as it is not in big pharmas interests. Long may our current system continue.

    Careful John, you'll get labelled a leftie by Coopster with those views!
    I shouldn't worry, actual left wing views don't really count
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    So the commentators in Brussels seem to be agreeing that no deal is getting more likely, on the basis that they recon the UK gov't genuinely believes that the threat of no deal must be credible (not just with the gov't but that it has popular support and if the gov't spins it properly, not as politically costly as you would think) and that what they want isn't really that far fro mthat anyway.

  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Yes. The prediction seems to be that we'll end the transition without an FTA and then realise that is a mistake.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916

    Meanwhile Johnson appears to be walking back on his (non-binding) political declaration.

    Not necessarily the most consensus building run up to the talks....

    I think there is a bit of disgruntlement at the EU's perceived rolling back on the political declaration. If Brexit wasn't so binary in its reporting in the UK, I think there would be more commentary about this.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436

    Meanwhile Johnson appears to be walking back on his (non-binding) political declaration.

    Not necessarily the most consensus building run up to the talks....

    I think there is a bit of disgruntlement at the EU's perceived rolling back on the political declaration. If Brexit wasn't so binary in its reporting in the UK, I think there would be more commentary about this.
    In what way is it perceived that the EU have rolled back on the political declaration?
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916

    Meanwhile Johnson appears to be walking back on his (non-binding) political declaration.

    Not necessarily the most consensus building run up to the talks....

    I think there is a bit of disgruntlement at the EU's perceived rolling back on the political declaration. If Brexit wasn't so binary in its reporting in the UK, I think there would be more commentary about this.
    In what way is it perceived that the EU have rolled back on the political declaration?
    Dynamic alignment. Apparently, the wording around the level playing field conditions was changed in the run up to the final drafting to make it clearer that it didn't involve dynamic alignment*. With this is in mind, it is hard to interpret the current drafting to mean dynamic alignment.

    Still, remain reporting is "Of course, the UK is a big market, so obviously the EU needs control" and Brexit reporting is "Brussels trying to colonise UK" etc.

    *I haven't verified this.
  • So the commentators in Brussels seem to be agreeing that no deal is getting more likely, on the basis that they recon the UK gov't genuinely believes that the threat of no deal must be credible (not just with the gov't but that it has popular support and if the gov't spins it properly, not as politically costly as you would think) and that what they want isn't really that far fro mthat anyway.

    If you take both sets of red lines at face value then I agree that walking away does not seem so extreme.
    I also agree with RJS that it will be seen to be a mistake. If we assume that Boris will keep spending to keep the economy afloat then this might take until we find out what our borrowing limit is.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    No amount of gov't spending will cover no deal.
  • No amount of gov't spending will cover no deal.

    reports suggest that increased Govt spending was the only thing that kept growth positive last year. I can not see the clown giving up that easily and will keep borrowing to spend. If you remove the blue rosette then he is an old fashioned Keynesian.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916
    A fairly reasoned article on the discussion around regulation and level playing field

    https://ucl-brexit.blog/2020/02/26/brexit-can-regulatory-autonomy-and-level-playing-field-be-reconciled/
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916

  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    First hit. In the Telegraph.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/05/15/trump-threatens-use-us-trade-talks-force-nhs-pay-drugs/
    Ah, so now everything Trump says should be taken as fact because it suits a Brexit related argument? :smile:
    Just as a reminder you posted “i’ve never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?

    RJST then gave you a link to the Telegraph quoting the President of the US.

    You then rejected this gold standard evidence because it was seemingly anti-Brexit.

    No, I rejected it because of the source - Trump. Do you now count his pronouncements as reliable etc?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    rjsterry said:

    Over-interpreting again, Stevo. You claimed (somewhat implausibly) that you had never seen any reference to SC's assertion. I'm just pointing out that "American patients first" was widely publicised. Here's something more academic.

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/20016689.2019.1650596

    And an article talking about the lobbying that led to the policy.

    https://m.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/us-lobbyists-brexit_uk_5c5b26c6e4b00187b5579f64?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAADYIT2V6sIjwIcmw0jPT4Cv3-NYxMIwLqz4pl4MJNMGxBFbz58_UyDVWJa8dxRD8N8EEWm7N4fq8Rnv2_Hz1fgX_CQrlddu_KOXsWfJJ437N9ktlO_qGOUTI56BSidvIBSd8WsrGuB4aj023TDY4WmmvkNov1smfjIcaiPrT4IFr

    OK, it's what they want - which is hardly surprising. Let's see what happens in the upcoming negotiations rather than assuming the we will simply fold, as many Cake Stoppers will do.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    edited February 2020
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rolf_f said:

    It feels like the UK is negotiating this round a lot better than May did with the withdrawal agreement. For example, I don't think the UK has any intention of allowing chlorinated chicken, but it is forcing the EU to make this a condition to its agreement i.e. make it look like a concession from the UK.

    I would say that Dominic doesn't give a stuff about chlorinated chicken either way (he won't be eating it) and he certainly wouldn't want a block on chlorinated chicken getting in the way of us caving in to a terrible trade deal with the US. So this is the EU protecting itself and the UK (assuming it agrees to this) negotiating as badly as ever.

    To me it seems like quite a good ultimatum - we can have a trade deal with Europe or one with the States but not with both. But given our intelligence as a nation, I guess the latter would be the favoured option.

    Maybe we should do a deal with the party that wants a trade deal. The EU backsliding in the Canada deal and their unreasonable insistence we stick to their rules means it will be difficult to get anywhere with them.
    I'm curious as to why you think it's unreasonable for them to expect us to 'stick to their rules' to trade with the EU. Isn't that exactly what the US would expect us to do (e.g. 'chlorine-washed chicken is fine', or 'open up the NHS to US healthcare industry') in order to trade with them? It'll be difficult for the UK to get anywhere with the US unless we accept the terms (aka 'rules') they insist on?
    No more unreasonable than us expecting them to stick to our rules. Plenty of other trade deals are struck without one party having a say in setting the laws of the other, including those where there is close.proximity and substantial trade such as US-Canada. This one is no different.

    Healthcare? Why is the involvement of US firms bad but the involvement of EU firms good?

    PS: if chlorine washed chicken is your big brexit related issue - and if it did come to pass - here's a shock top tip: dont buy it...
    It's not the nationality that's relevant, it's the stated aim of breaking the NHS's grip on pricing of medicines. Given that those medicines are paid for through your taxes, I would have thought you would be keen to take advantage of the way the NHS purchases medicines. Further, the US health system is significantly more expensive than the UK model, so what do we have to learn from them? On food standards,quite apart from the the animal welfare arguments and the much higher incidence of food poisoning arising from the US system, allowing in significantly more cheaply produced meat will put UK producers out of business, which will then remove that choice.
    I'm pretty sure every supplier wants to break down the price barrier, not just US ones that's what they are in business to do - make a profit. The US suppliers are probably a bit more open about it, as Americans sometimes are. This isn't a US thing, it's a market thing - the NHS has massive buying power so can extract big discounts from suppliers.

    Food - I don't have any data on that but clearly its not in our interests to allow massive undercutting. There are potential solutions that can be part of a trade deal, but it seems you are already assuming the worst. Anecdotally, the only two occasions I have suffered food poisoning were in France. Just sayin'...
    US Govt thinks that they are subsidising the NHS because of the strict price controls they impose on drug companies.
    Really? However if needed it shouldn't be difficult to explain to the Americans the economics of buying power. In the same way the likes of Wal-mart or Tesco screw their suppliers on prices, because they are very big buyers.
    I am sure we have tried but they see it as state price fixing resulting in the UK getting a free ride on the R&D expenditure which is funded by US consumers.
    I've never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?
    First hit. In the Telegraph.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/05/15/trump-threatens-use-us-trade-talks-force-nhs-pay-drugs/
    Ah, so now everything Trump says should be taken as fact because it suits a Brexit related argument? :smile:
    Just as a reminder you posted “i’ve never seen anyone refer to this US view before. Got a link?

    RJST then gave you a link to the Telegraph quoting the President of the US.

    You then rejected this gold standard evidence because it was seemingly anti-Brexit.

    No, I rejected it because of the source - Trump. Do you now count his pronouncements as reliable etc?
    I mean what has he to do with US trade policy? He's only the president. 😄

    From the article

    Alex Azar, the US Health and Human Services Secretary, has said Washington will use its muscle to push up drug prices abroad, to lower the cost paid by patients in the United States.

    A bit more than just a random Trump tweet.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Gove insisting that 50,000 customs officials will be employed by the end of the year is quite a ballsy claim.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • bompington
    bompington Posts: 7,674
    rjsterry said:

    Gove insisting that 50,000 customs officials will be employed by the end of the year is quite a ballsy claim.

    I'm sure there are lots of ex-Stasi types in Eastern Europe they could bring in...