Predictions.

rick_chasey
rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
edited September 2012 in Pro race
I'm a little interested in predictions at the moment.

Playing around with the PTP figured when I can be bothered.

I also have a habit of making cast iron predictions about races and riders.

It's about time I called myself up on a big one.

I said Evans would never win a GT, let alone the Tour, and that he should focus on one-dayers.

I very much stand corrected.

Anyone else want to own up to spurious predictions that have been blown out of the water?
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Comments

  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,253
    I once boldly stated that Andre Greipel would never win a stage of the Tour de France
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • sonny73
    sonny73 Posts: 2,203
    Pretty much all predictions I made have been blown out of the water. Anton to win the Vuelta was the biggy for me though. I was feverishly trying to convince my old man to have a bet on him, fortunately he didn't take my tip and likely will not any other in future based on that :lol:
    He took great pleasure ripping my prediction apart each time Anton cracked.
  • rebs
    rebs Posts: 891
    They were lots of people on here who said Wiggins would never be a capable Stage Racer... :P

    I remember slagging off Geox by saying they would never show anything in a GT.
  • iainf72
    iainf72 Posts: 15,784
    I once said Cavendish would never amount to much.

    And I was right, he's good at sprinting but that's hardly cycling.

    :wink:
    Fckin' Quintana … that creep can roll, man.
  • kfinlay
    kfinlay Posts: 763
    My most recent was that Cav would never win this years worlds instead favouring Gilbert, Hushovd or Sagan.

    Didn't mind being wrong though ;-)
    Kev

    Summer Bike: Colnago C60
    Winter Bike: Vitus Alios
    MTB: 1997 GT Karakorum
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Exactly, this is it really.

    We all love to make predictions, because, if you're right, you're a hero, and if you're wrong no-one will notice.

    I intend to hold people (in jest) accountable for big cast iron predictions, to see if it improves the quality of them.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    We have our first bold prediction. The 2012 Tour route isn't even officially announced yet, and:
    iainf72 wrote:
    If he's in form, Menchov will win this.
  • "I don't make mistakes. I make prophecies which immediately turn out to be wrong."

    Murray Walker

    :D
  • I intend to hold people (in jest) accountable for big cast iron predictions, to see if it improves the quality of them.

    Sounds like you'd be interested in Long Bets - The Arena for Accountable Predictions http://longbets.org/
  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,253
    We have our first bold prediction. The 2012 Tour route isn't even officially announced yet, and:
    iainf72 wrote:
    If he's in form, Menchov will win this.

    With that in mind, another prediction I have made in the past is that Tony Martin will never come in the top ten of a GT.
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • inkyfingers
    inkyfingers Posts: 4,400
    It would be quicker to list the predictions i've made that have actually come true, most of them are complete tosh. Road racing is not a science, which is why we all love it (apart from Iain, everyone knows he hates cycling).

    If you are looking for a prediction now i'd say Wiggins will podium in the TdF next year (if that route leak is true).
    "I have a lovely photo of a Camargue horse but will not post it now" (Frenchfighter - July 2013)
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Assuming Contador is not banned i'll throw my hat in the ring and say Contador-Evans-Wiggins podium in that order. If Bertie is banned then Evans-Wiggins-Menchov.
  • Mine:

    A Schleck will never win a grand tour
  • Mine:

    British winner of the Tour and British winner of the Olympic RR in 2012. Gonna be a sterling year.
    "That's it! You people have stood in my way long enough. I'm going to clown college! " - Homer
  • dougzz
    dougzz Posts: 1,833
    Mine:

    British winner of the Tour and British winner of the Olympic RR in 2012. Gonna be a sterling year.
    You're talking the Belgian born brit, as opposed to the Kenyan one, and the scouser than can swim :)

    Andy Schleck will win the TdF 2012, you heard it here first.
  • rebs
    rebs Posts: 891
    Andy Schleck will never win a Pro Tour Stage race from this day forward.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    rebs wrote:
    Andy Schleck will never win a Pro Tour Stage race from this day forward.

    Oooo, that's a big call.

    Like it.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Voeckler won't make top 10 in the 2012 Tour...
  • I predicted Cunego to win the TDF after his Giro win in 2004 so got that wrong.
    Big prediction for next year is that Contador wins the Tour after escaping a ban..
    Long term prediction is neither Schleck ever wins the Tour.
    If suffer we must, let's suffer on the heights. (Victor Hugo).
  • Gazzaputt
    Gazzaputt Posts: 3,227
    Bertie will receive a 2 year ban and will never be the same rider after.
  • rebs
    rebs Posts: 891
    To be fair. Iains Menchov cal has a massive get out clause in it "if he's on form"

    What a way to wuss out! :P
  • Tusher
    Tusher Posts: 2,762
    Thomas Voeckler will win the Tour de France in 2012.
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    RichN95 wrote:
    We have our first bold prediction. The 2012 Tour route isn't even officially announced yet, and:
    iainf72 wrote:
    If he's in form, Menchov will win this.

    With that in mind, another prediction I have made in the past is that Tony Martin will never come in the top ten of a GT.

    I think I said the same thing about Jakob Fuglsang after people were bigging him up after he was doing well in the first week of the Vuelta. It puzzles me why people rate him so highly.

    I also think Pierre Rolland will flop pretty badly in the next 2/3 years.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Tusher wrote:
    Thomas Voeckler will win the Tour de France in 2012.

    That is an unbelievable shout, and one I shall challenge.

    He absolutely will not win the Tour.

    Game on.
  • emadden
    emadden Posts: 2,431
    Emm... Andy Schleck will not look around for his brother in a race in 2012

    ....

    Frank Schleck will not fall off and break something in 2012 :D
    **************************************************
    www.dotcycling.com
    ***************************************************
  • calvjones
    calvjones Posts: 3,850
    Stannard will podium in the Roubaix velodrome.
    ___________________

    Strava is not Zen.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    calvjones wrote:
    Stannard will podium in the Roubaix velodrome.

    :O Twofold.

    Terrible use of the word podium, and a big shout.

    Anyone going to challenge?
  • inkyfingers
    inkyfingers Posts: 4,400
    calvjones wrote:
    Stannard will podium in the Roubaix velodrome.

    :O Twofold.

    Terrible use of the word podium, and a big shout.

    Anyone going to challenge?

    I don't think it's that crazy a call, Backstedt won it so i'd say he could become an outsider for PR in the next few years.
    "I have a lovely photo of a Camargue horse but will not post it now" (Frenchfighter - July 2013)
  • Yellow Peril
    Yellow Peril Posts: 4,466
    calvjones wrote:
    Stannard will podium in the Roubaix velodrome.

    :O Twofold.

    Terrible use of the word podium, and a big shout.

    Anyone going to challenge?

    No worse a use of the phrase podium than of your use of the phrase "a big shout" Rick
    @JaunePeril

    Winner of the Bike Radar Pro Race Wiggins Hour Prediction Competition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    calvjones wrote:
    Stannard will podium in the Roubaix velodrome.

    :O Twofold.

    Terrible use of the word podium, and a big shout.

    Anyone going to challenge?

    No worse a use of the phrase podium than of your use of the phrase "a big shout" Rick

    Touché.