Things you have recently learnt

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  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?


    Giga Shanghai, with another in Germany on the way.

    Yep incredible, Steve Eisman (The big Short fame) even went the direction of the film with Tesla. I must admit I thought the repair side of the cars would be a problem with the lack of dealerships as apposed to other manufacturers.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,025

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Musk is now 4th richest in the world.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,227

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?


    Giga Shanghai, with another in Germany on the way.

    Yep incredible, Steve Eisman (The big Short fame) even went the direction of the film with Tesla. I must admit I thought the repair side of the cars would be a problem with the lack of dealerships as apposed to other manufacturers.
    Toyota sell way more cars in China each year than Tesla have sold since they were founded, and anywhere in the world. And they aren't exactly slouches on the electric cars.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,490
    Market capitalisation is based on share price. It could halve tomorrow.
    In fact Elon has done just that with just a single tweet in the recent past.
    Be as well going to Ladbrookes without inside info.
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,385

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154
    Yes and autonomous transport technology. Also, I know the same has been said 'overvalued' for Microsoft, Google and Amazon during their meteoric rise.

    What counts is mass production of the latest battery technology at the best base price. Hence the Giga factories and potential market share for affordable long range EV's.

    All we need now is Cern to understand how to make cheap abundant electricity.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,025
    Whilst I expect batteries to win the small car market, it is worth noting that Toyota has a hydrogen car, and hydrogen is coming soon.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    If I was running hedgie money I would be paying for my hefty short position on it right now (and probably crying as a result).
  • Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154

    Whilst I expect batteries to win the small car market, it is worth noting that Toyota has a hydrogen car, and hydrogen is coming soon.

    The infrastructure will be a challenge but it is for electric charge points too. That's another area where Tesla have excelled.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660
    They are very good at fudging their books....
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154
    edited August 2020

    They are very good at fudging their books....

    Well you could say that about many companies.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    They are very good at fudging their books....

    Well you could say that about many companies. Tesla have a cash cow at the moment though.
    What is the cash cow? Only they don't seem to make many profits and when they do and you look at what generated it, it's rarely selling cars or batteries, it's normally some fat "regulatory credit" or fannying about with receivables to window dress the results.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154


    Look at the scale of the new factory in Germany when complete. Incredible really for such a new automotive company, started 2003!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660



    Look at the scale of the new factory in Germany when complete. Incredible really for such a new automotive company, started 2003!

    Is this another fantasy image of the factory? A bit like the one where they produced a photo like this and then ended up erecting massive tents?
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,025

    Whilst I expect batteries to win the small car market, it is worth noting that Toyota has a hydrogen car, and hydrogen is coming soon.

    The infrastructure will be a challenge but it is for electric charge points too. That's another area where Tesla have excelled.
    Another pump at the petrol station. It is true that for anyone with a drive or garage, supplying an electric is easier and cheaper. That's why I expect it to win the small car market; however, vehicles in continous use and heavy vehicles will do better with hydrogen.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,385

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
    No idea.... Looks like Panasonic make the cells and Tesla package them into the batteries.
  • fenix
    fenix Posts: 5,437

    Whilst I expect batteries to win the small car market, it is worth noting that Toyota has a hydrogen car, and hydrogen is coming soon.

    The infrastructure will be a challenge but it is for electric charge points too. That's another area where Tesla have excelled.
    Another pump at the petrol station. It is true that for anyone with a drive or garage, supplying an electric is easier and cheaper. That's why I expect it to win the small car market; however, vehicles in continous use and heavy vehicles will do better with hydrogen.
    I expect electric will be just fine for >90% of drivers. What's the average mileage ? 250 miles a week ? Already you can get cars that would only need one charge each week.
  • Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
    No idea.... Looks like Panasonic make the cells and Tesla package them into the batteries.
    I just can't see their competitive advantage other than first mover which would disappear overnight with a tech jump.
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 22,025

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
    No idea.... Looks like Panasonic make the cells and Tesla package them into the batteries.
    I just can't see their competitive advantage other than first mover which would disappear overnight with a tech jump.
    Genuine question - aren't they quite advanced in the autonomous driving sector?
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,385

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
    No idea.... Looks like Panasonic make the cells and Tesla package them into the batteries.
    I just can't see their competitive advantage other than first mover which would disappear overnight with a tech jump.
    Genuine question - aren't they quite advanced in the autonomous driving sector?
    Possibly, but one of the big boys will leave them in the dust. Google probably, if all the testing around San Francisco I saw on holiday last year is indicative.

    In terms of tech jumps for batteries - yes, but you can say the same for lots of things. The barrier to entry and inertia for any big sea change once the technology is more widely adopted are other factors to consider. My view is that this means that most likely whatever improvements come along won't be seismic, but incremental and scooped up by whoever is already in the market.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,227
    If they actually become a software company in the autonomous driving sector, it makes a bit more sense. Looks like they are priced as if they already made the breakthrough though.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,385

    If they actually become a software company in the autonomous driving sector, it makes a bit more sense. Looks like they are priced as if they already made the breakthrough though.

    In which case Rick is correct.
  • Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
    No idea.... Looks like Panasonic make the cells and Tesla package them into the batteries.
    I just can't see their competitive advantage other than first mover which would disappear overnight with a tech jump.
    Genuine question - aren't they quite advanced in the autonomous driving sector?
    Possibly, but one of the big boys will leave them in the dust. Google probably, if all the testing around San Francisco I saw on holiday last year is indicative.

    In terms of tech jumps for batteries - yes, but you can say the same for lots of things. The barrier to entry and inertia for any big sea change once the technology is more widely adopted are other factors to consider. My view is that this means that most likely whatever improvements come along won't be seismic, but incremental and scooped up by whoever is already in the market.
    There competition is not just Google, it is also the existing car manufacturers
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,660

    If they actually become a software company in the autonomous driving sector, it makes a bit more sense. Looks like they are priced as if they already made the breakthrough though.

    In which case Rick is correct.
    Look, equity valuations across the board are nuts and totally divorced of reality.

    The entire investment industry is sitting there scratching their head and a few smarter people are arguing with each other on why that is.

    So saying a car company that is valued as the biggest in the world yet sells a fraction of the next biggest car company is overvalued - one that has been on one of the most remarkable runs in terms of valuation ever - is not massively sticking my neck out.

    Then again, 'value' investing has been dying a death for the past 5 years and this year is especially brutal.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154

    Whilst I expect batteries to win the small car market, it is worth noting that Toyota has a hydrogen car, and hydrogen is coming soon.

    The infrastructure will be a challenge but it is for electric charge points too. That's another area where Tesla have excelled.
    Another pump at the petrol station. It is true that for anyone with a drive or garage, supplying an electric is easier and cheaper. That's why I expect it to win the small car market; however, vehicles in continous use and heavy vehicles will do better with hydrogen.
    Yeah that's a fair point.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154
    edited August 2020

    Tesla is the worlds largest car company by market capitalisation, 60% bigger than the second largest, Toyota.

    WTF?

    Overvalued ;-).
    Have always thought the long term plan was providing chargers and batteries to other manufacturers. There will always be fewer Teslas on the road than, say, Audis or Toyotas, and that's the big opportunity if you have the best battery.
    I thought the batteries were Panasonic
    No idea.... Looks like Panasonic make the cells and Tesla package them into the batteries.
    I think I heard Tesla suggest they plan to go it alone with their own new chemistry cell.



    Look at the scale of the new factory in Germany when complete. Incredible really for such a new automotive company, started 2003!

    Is this another fantasy image of the factory? A bit like the one where they produced a photo like this and then ended up erecting massive tents?


    Current groundwork for the German factory. I would get your scepticism if they didn't have products which weren't in demand.
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,227
    Not disputing that they have a product that is in demand, just whether it makes sense that they are valued at more than Toyota, VW and Ford. Combined.
  • focuszing723
    focuszing723 Posts: 8,154

    Not disputing that they have a product that is in demand, just whether it makes sense that they are valued at more than Toyota, VW and Ford. Combined.

    Actually that does sound nuts, even considering potential markets. I still want a new Tesla Roadster though.