Who will win the 2019 Tour?
Comments
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I want it to be Pinot.
I think it will be Thomas.0 -
I'd have no objection to any one of those six winning it. But I think it'll be Thomas, especially if Ineos get over whatever has been causing their drop in form.It's only a bit of sport, Mun. Relax and enjoy the racing.0
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I've gone for Pinot, would love Geraint to win again but I don't think he has enough in hand over Pinot who looks more likely to pick up a few bonus seconds0
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Much as I want Thomas to win again, the story so far I don't think supports a Thomas win without something changing in the third week - and that could be as simple as fatigue on either side.
On the road, excluding TT and crosswinds, Pinot's "legs" have earned him 4 finishes ahead of Thomas, accruing 1m50 time gaps and 24s bonuses, so 2m14s advantage. Thomas' legs have gained him 2s on Pinot on road stages, and 47s in TTT / ITT advantage. That's a net 1m25s in favour of Pinot, which becomes a net 15s in favour of Thomas when the crosswinds day losses of 1m40 comes into play.
This is where the gaps have come, and who they have benefitedStage TT Legs Bonus Crosswinds 2 12GT 3 5TB 6 2GT 8 20TP 8TP 10 1m40GT 13 35GT 14 36TP 10TP 15 49TP 6TP Total 47GT 1m48TP 24TP 1m40GT
Let's assume that there isn't a repeat of the brain fade that lost Pinot the crosswinds time, and with no opportunity for any more TT advantage to play into Thomas' hands, the prediction would be for Pinot to gain around 35-40s on Thomas over the next few stages, perhaps a few less if bonus seconds are discounted.
I know it's not as simple as all that, but just a different way of looking at it. Bring on Thursday / Friday / Saturday!2015 Canyon Nerve AL 6.0 (son #1's)
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Kruijswijk“New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!0
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