LEAVE the Conservative Party and save your country!

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  • rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Anyway, good luck with your campaign to withdraw from the UN Refugee Convention 🙂

    I don't think this gets enough coverage. Withdrawing from the ECHR would allow a few more deportations and a handful of transfers to Rwanda, but it wouldn't remove the UK's obligation to take in those who report in the required fashion who have a valid claim. So one wonders if those agitating for withdrawing from the ECHR are thick or have ulterior motives unrelated to immigration.

    We're not going to do either. It's just a thing that is said to get people on side. Much like the barge and Rwanda it's all a performance.
    I don't think we'll do either. It's just curious that the treaty being talked about for withdrawal isn't the one that would make a material difference to what the government calls "illegal migration". I guess one applies the old adage: "Never attribute to malice what can be explained by incompetence."
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    That’s all the Tories have been. Performative.
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Which paradise land should we all go it?
    Brother emigrated to Canada (BC). Has since contracted for his former UK employer from Canada. Extra cost for them (they couldn't find someone local) and less tax for the UK. Now working for Canadian government.
    Depending where he is, living costs are astronomical over there. And if they aren't ypu will spend a lot of time waiting to get over a bridge, one way or another.
    Suburbs of Victoria. It's not cheap, certainly.
    A very British move that. I've done my Canadian time and would struggle with the car centric and dull layout of towns. Victoria is obviously a bit different though.

    Depends on where you are. I was there for 5 years split between Montreal, Quebec and Calgary during which I never owned a car. Plenty of snow, but skiing though...
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Which paradise land should we all go it?
    Brother emigrated to Canada (BC). Has since contracted for his former UK employer from Canada. Extra cost for them (they couldn't find someone local) and less tax for the UK. Now working for Canadian government.
    Depending where he is, living costs are astronomical over there. And if they aren't ypu will spend a lot of time waiting to get over a bridge, one way or another.
    Suburbs of Victoria. It's not cheap, certainly.
    A very British move that. I've done my Canadian time and would struggle with the car centric and dull layout of towns. Victoria is obviously a bit different though.

    His wife is Canadian.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,917
    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Which paradise land should we all go it?
    Brother emigrated to Canada (BC). Has since contracted for his former UK employer from Canada. Extra cost for them (they couldn't find someone local) and less tax for the UK. Now working for Canadian government.
    Depending where he is, living costs are astronomical over there. And if they aren't ypu will spend a lot of time waiting to get over a bridge, one way or another.
    Suburbs of Victoria. It's not cheap, certainly.
    A very British move that. I've done my Canadian time and would struggle with the car centric and dull layout of towns. Victoria is obviously a bit different though.

    His wife is Canadian.
    Victoria is the perfect compromise then.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417

    Korean women give birth to 0.78 children on average. Life expectancy of Korean women is 87 years.

    Not just the UK with problems on that front.

    Ah, you listen to Radio 4 I see.

    Don't they have a projection of something like 17 people in three generations time for every 100 in the generation?

    Whereas ours is more like 60.

    Where are the extra 40 people going to come from Stevo? Or is the plan to double productivity somehow?
    Hopefully not off the beaches of Kent. Better if we can choose people to come in who are likely to contribute rather than hose who are likely to be a liability.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    Anyhow, maybe we should look more closely at the Australian experience with curtailing small boat immigration as they seem to have got results:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/18/they-said-i-couldnt-stop-the-boats-they-were-wrong/
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    rjsterry said:

    Which paradise land should we all go it?
    Brother emigrated to Canada (BC). Has since contracted for his former UK employer from Canada. Extra cost for them (they couldn't find someone local) and less tax for the UK. Now working for Canadian government.
    Depending where he is, living costs are astronomical over there. And if they aren't ypu will spend a lot of time waiting to get over a bridge, one way or another.
    Suburbs of Victoria. It's not cheap, certainly.
    A very British move that. I've done my Canadian time and would struggle with the car centric and dull layout of towns. Victoria is obviously a bit different though.

    His wife is Canadian.
    Victoria is the perfect compromise then.
    Don't think he considers it much of a compromise.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    Anyhow, maybe we should look more closely at the Australian experience with curtailing small boat immigration as they seem to have got results:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/18/they-said-i-couldnt-stop-the-boats-they-were-wrong/

    I'm amazed you think stopping boats is actually the goal.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    Korean women give birth to 0.78 children on average. Life expectancy of Korean women is 87 years.

    Not just the UK with problems on that front.

    Ah, you listen to Radio 4 I see.

    Don't they have a projection of something like 17 people in three generations time for every 100 in the generation?

    Whereas ours is more like 60.

    Where are the extra 40 people going to come from Stevo? Or is the plan to double productivity somehow?
    Hopefully not off the beaches of Kent. Better if we can choose people to come in who are likely to contribute rather than hose who are likely to be a liability.
    You didn't answer why you think someone claiming asylum is likely to be a liability. Also a bit weird seeing as you offered a room to a refugee.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
  • pblakeney
    pblakeney Posts: 27,329

    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
    It's even simpler than that.
    Ukranians welcomed with open arms but not Afghans?
    The above may be fact, or fiction, I may be serious, I may be jesting.
    I am not sure. You have no chance.
    Veronese68 wrote:
    PB is the most sensible person on here.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    Annualising one day's figure to arrive at a number of people who'll arrive in the next decade will certainly lead to the feeling that 'too many' are arriving and something must be done.


    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • verylonglegs
    verylonglegs Posts: 4,023

    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
    Am I the only one to find that quite a remarkable number? I don't mean that from any anti-immigration point of view, more as an indication of how quickly the world, or the UK, is changing.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited August 2023

    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
    Am I the only one to find that quite a remarkable number? I don't mean that from any anti-immigration point of view, more as an indication of how quickly the world, or the UK, is changing.
    Honestly, how are you supposed to bring up a family when large swathes of young can barely afford to rent their own home and instead live with parents or in house shares?!

    I know I whine on about the cost of living especially rent and houses but also childcare etc but it all adds up and when people say “don’t have kids if you can’t afford them” people do listen and they don’t.

    And this isn’t just a UK thing. It’s the same in a lot of places.

    It’s a lot harder to conceive, both emotionally and physically, if you can’t afford anything beyond a bedsit near work.

    Or that the cost of childcare means that after costs you’re earning significant under the minimum living wage.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Don’t forget *average* wage of under 30s is around £25k
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    edited August 2023

    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
    Am I the only one to find that quite a remarkable number? I don't mean that from any anti-immigration point of view, more as an indication of how quickly the world, or the UK, is changing.
    Change is good. All the interesting stuff happens when things change.

    Annualising one day's figure to arrive at a number of people who'll arrive in the next decade will certainly lead to the feeling that 'too many' are arriving and something must be done.


    Numbers are actually down 17% on last year. Of course if you take the Telegraph's word you'd think the sky was falling in.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Don’t forget *average* wage of under 30s is around £25k

    Considering min wage would put you on £21k this must include part timers which does not seem terribly helpful
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556

    Don’t forget *average* wage of under 30s is around £25k

    Considering min wage would put you on £21k this must include part timers which does not seem terribly helpful
    No, it's just that working in the City gives a skewed view of where the middle is.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,917

    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
    Am I the only one to find that quite a remarkable number? I don't mean that from any anti-immigration point of view, more as an indication of how quickly the world, or the UK, is changing.
    Honestly, how are you supposed to bring up a family when large swathes of young can barely afford to rent their own home and instead live with parents or in house shares?!

    I know I whine on about the cost of living especially rent and houses but also childcare etc but it all adds up and when people say “don’t have kids if you can’t afford them” people do listen and they don’t.

    And this isn’t just a UK thing. It’s the same in a lot of places.

    It’s a lot harder to conceive, both emotionally and physically, if you can’t afford anything beyond a bedsit near work.

    Or that the cost of childcare means that after costs you’re earning significant under the minimum living wage.
    How is it different if a woman was born abroad?
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited August 2023

    rjsterry said:

    On the population point, ONS data just out shows UK birthrate at lowest point since 1977. 1/3 of those births are to mothers born outside the UK.

    That’s the real reason some people don’t like immigrants let’s be honest
    Am I the only one to find that quite a remarkable number? I don't mean that from any anti-immigration point of view, more as an indication of how quickly the world, or the UK, is changing.
    Honestly, how are you supposed to bring up a family when large swathes of young can barely afford to rent their own home and instead live with parents or in house shares?!

    I know I whine on about the cost of living especially rent and houses but also childcare etc but it all adds up and when people say “don’t have kids if you can’t afford them” people do listen and they don’t.

    And this isn’t just a UK thing. It’s the same in a lot of places.

    It’s a lot harder to conceive, both emotionally and physically, if you can’t afford anything beyond a bedsit near work.

    Or that the cost of childcare means that after costs you’re earning significant under the minimum living wage.
    How is it different if a woman was born abroad?
    It’s not just women it’s potential parents but presumably the same logic that makes immigrants more inclined to undercut local labour applies here too.
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    I'm not following the thread of your argument RC. Are you drawing a link between a high cost of living and immigration?
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,917

    I'm not following the thread of your argument RC. Are you drawing a link between a high cost of living and immigration?

    Think of it like a striker who knows he is offside, but still puts the ball in the net just in case. The ball is Rick's hobby horse.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661

    I'm not following the thread of your argument RC. Are you drawing a link between a high cost of living and immigration?

    Low birth rate.

    Which is why immigration is so necessary
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167

    I'm not following the thread of your argument RC. Are you drawing a link between a high cost of living and immigration?

    Low birth rate.

    Which is why immigration is so necessary
    Well yes we get the part about low birth rate increasing the need for immigration. No dispute there.

    Less sure it's anything to do with the average wage. Much less sure.

    I don't live in that much less of a bubble than you do, but I am married to a social worker, who does tend to keep me somewhat grounded. Based on her work, I see absolutely no causal relationship between income and human reproduction rates. If anything, rather the opposite.

    The concept also falls flat on its face if you consider how national GDP per capita relates to current birth rate across the world.

    It is a nice hypothesis to discuss over a cigar and a single malt in the drawing room, but unfortunately it's total nonsense.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Anyhow, maybe we should look more closely at the Australian experience with curtailing small boat immigration as they seem to have got results:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/18/they-said-i-couldnt-stop-the-boats-they-were-wrong/

    I'm amazed you think stopping boats is actually the goal.
    Why is it not a valid goal?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Jezyboy said:

    pblakeney said:

    Maybe if we hadn't contributed just so much to make some places in the world so shitty than this wouldn't be happening.

    It's very on brand for the party of personal responsibility to try and wipe our hands of it though.
    More than one poster has said that we are signed up to treaties that we have to honour by taking asylum seekers in and that we should make it easier for people to apply for asylum. Read between the lines and that is effectively saying 'come on in'.

    So what other solutions do you suggest?
    You need to articulate the problem. What is *the problem* that you think needs solving?
    Too many people coming to the UK illegally. Do I really need to spell it out?
    How many people are coming illegally?
    Seems to be enough to be an issue that the government is trying to address.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • First.Aspect
    First.Aspect Posts: 17,167
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Anyhow, maybe we should look more closely at the Australian experience with curtailing small boat immigration as they seem to have got results:
    https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/18/they-said-i-couldnt-stop-the-boats-they-were-wrong/

    I'm amazed you think stopping boats is actually the goal.
    Why is it not a valid goal?
    Stopping people drowning and tackling a corrupt industry is a valid goal.

    Stopping asylum seekers seeking asylum is not.

    The Tories are doing the second one, and pretending it somehow relates to the first.

    It doesn't. Asylum seekers are desperate people and criminals don't five a shit about them. All the government is doing is making a bad situation worse. A child can figure this out.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,417
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Jezyboy said:

    pblakeney said:

    Maybe if we hadn't contributed just so much to make some places in the world so shitty than this wouldn't be happening.

    It's very on brand for the party of personal responsibility to try and wipe our hands of it though.
    More than one poster has said that we are signed up to treaties that we have to honour by taking asylum seekers in and that we should make it easier for people to apply for asylum. Read between the lines and that is effectively saying 'come on in'.

    So what other solutions do you suggest?
    You need to articulate the problem. What is *the problem* that you think needs solving?
    Too many people coming to the UK illegally. Do I really need to spell it out?
    Well yes. It's not illegal to come to the UK to claim asylum, so who do you mean? People who overstay their visa? Why is it too many when it's a small percentage of overall immigration?
    Because its illegal and its costing us a lot of money as mentioned upthread? Are you suggesting we turn a blind eye to criminal activity?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]