Giro TT sweepstake (may contain spoilers when all is done)

No_Ta_Doctor
No_Ta_Doctor Posts: 14,663
edited May 2018 in Pro race
So, the big TT (not actually very big, but very important) is upon us and all eyes are on how much time Dumoulin will take out of Yates.

Borrowing the excellent work of bobmcstuff:
bobmcstuff wrote:

Well converting from my post above, an average based on previous performances would result in Yates losing 1 minute 43s to Dumoulin.

If Dumoulin has an alright day, so getting into the top half of his wins against Yates, he would take 2 minutes, which still wouldn't quite give him the lead (obviously).

A good day for Dumoulin might see him take 2 minutes 15s or so.

If Dumoulin has an absolute stormer, and/or Yates has a shocker, Dumoulin might take as much as 2 minutes 51 seconds. 3 minutes would be probably the outer limits of reasonable. You have to think that's unlikely though, given Yates' performances to date.

3s/km = 1 min 43s
3.5s/km = 2 mins
4s/km = 2 min 17s
4.5s/km = 2 min 34s
5s/km = 2 min 51s

So predict your timegap here, and win possible bragging rights for all eternity.

Predictions so far: (please try and pick a time nobody else has...)
maddog 2 » 43"
the article don » 54"
TailWindHome » 59"
Rick Chasey » 1' 10"
Fat Cat » 1:17
underlayunderlay » 1'18"
mfin » 1'20"
KingstonGraham » 1'21"
CarbonClem » 1 min 30
kleinstroker » 1'31"
FleshTuxedo » 1:33
Richmond Racer 2 » 1m 37s
redvision » 1'38
mididoctors » 1:39
Rick Chasey » 1' 40" - Dodgy change to the big ring and 70". Not sure that's UCI reg compliant.
Gweeds » 1'43''
M.R.M. » 1'47"
Salsiccia1 » 1'49"
Milton50 » 1'51"
diplodicus » 1 min 55
No tA Doctor » 1'58"
Tashman » 1:59
Poptart242 » 2m dead
r0bh » 2'01"
daninexile » 2'05
TakeTheHighRoad » 2'07"
bobmcstuff » 2'08"
DeadCalm » 2:10
inseine » 2.11
Mad_Malx » 2'12"
greasedscotsman » 2' 13"
Crozza » 2:16
RichN95 » 2.19
Dialatron » 2:22
ShutupJens » 2:25
Above The Cows » 2'42"
Blazing Saddles » 2'-48"
smithy21 » 2’51
Ridgerider » 3:30
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Comments

  • Richmond Racer 2
    Richmond Racer 2 Posts: 4,698
    1m 37s

    Let it be so.
  • No_Ta_Doctor
    No_Ta_Doctor Posts: 14,663
    My prediction: 1'58"
    Warning No formatter is installed for the format
  • No_Ta_Doctor
    No_Ta_Doctor Posts: 14,663
    Richmond Racer 2 wrote:
    1m 37s

    Let it be so.

    And thus it was spoken and thus it was. Possibly.
    Warning No formatter is installed for the format
  • poptart242
    poptart242 Posts: 531
    2m dead. Hope it's much less though!
  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,257
    It's very flat so 2.19
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • ridgerider
    ridgerider Posts: 2,852
    3:30

    I hate Yates.
    Half man, Half bike
  • RichN95.
    RichN95. Posts: 27,257
    Ridgerider wrote:
    I hate Yates.
    Why? And I ask as someone who doesn't particularly like him and his brother for reasons I can't explain.
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • ridgerider
    ridgerider Posts: 2,852
    Because he will we sitting in the back of his bus today waiting for his totally legal jiffy bag to arrive to get him through the last week.

    Or have I got his TUE exemption all out of perspective?
    Half man, Half bike
  • salsiccia1
    salsiccia1 Posts: 3,725
    1'49"
    It's only a bit of sport, Mun. Relax and enjoy the racing.
  • milton50
    milton50 Posts: 3,856
    1'51"
  • Mad_Malx
    Mad_Malx Posts: 5,183
    Ridgerider wrote:
    Or have I got his TUE exemption all out of perspective?

    Yes
  • Mad_Malx
    Mad_Malx Posts: 5,183
    2'12"
  • redvision
    redvision Posts: 2,958
    1'38
  • daninexile
    daninexile Posts: 45
    2'05
  • Lanterne_Rogue
    Lanterne_Rogue Posts: 4,334
    Interesting problem - TD will presumably have to go all out in order to try and put pressure back on, Yates has the advantage of knowing what's going on ahead. I'm going to be stupidly bold and predict TD gets his pacing wrong in an attempt to do too much too early - 1'18"
    Twitter: @canocola @thedreadships
  • kingstongraham
    kingstongraham Posts: 28,181
    1'21"
  • bobmcstuff
    bobmcstuff Posts: 11,438
    Mad_Malx wrote:
    Ridgerider wrote:
    Or have I got his TUE exemption all out of perspective?

    Yes

    Also the E in TUE already stands for Exemption. You don't need to write it again. Unless you've had an exemption from your exemption.

    Like people who say "PIN number" :x
  • smithy21
    smithy21 Posts: 2,204
    2’51
  • r0bh
    r0bh Posts: 2,441
    2'01"
  • bobmcstuff
    bobmcstuff Posts: 11,438
    The profile for anyone who's interested:

    stage-16-profile.jpg
  • bobmcstuff
    bobmcstuff Posts: 11,438
    2'08" for me I think...
  • ridgerider
    ridgerider Posts: 2,852
    bobmcstuff wrote:
    Mad_Malx wrote:
    Ridgerider wrote:
    Or have I got his TUE exemption all out of perspective?

    Yes

    Also the E in TUE already stands for Exemption. You don't need to write it again. Unless you've had an exemption from your exemption.

    Like people who say "PIN number" :x
    Spoken like a management consultant :D

    Sorry...Back to the topic.
    Half man, Half bike
  • ridgerider
    ridgerider Posts: 2,852
    4 minutes!
    Half man, Half bike
  • bobmcstuff
    bobmcstuff Posts: 11,438
    Ridgerider wrote:
    bobmcstuff wrote:
    Mad_Malx wrote:
    Ridgerider wrote:
    Or have I got his TUE exemption all out of perspective?

    Yes

    Also the E in TUE already stands for Exemption. You don't need to write it again. Unless you've had an exemption from your exemption.

    Like people who say "PIN number" :x
    Spoken like a management consultant :D

    Sorry...Back to the topic.

    I thought management consultants had a rep for too many words, not too few :lol:

    And I'm not one, anyway ;)
  • blazing_saddles
    blazing_saddles Posts: 22,730
    2'-48"
    To Tom Diesel, that is. :P

    Interesting interview with Orica DS Shayne Bannan on Simon Yates.
    Covers 3rd week fatigue and time trialing among other things.

    https://www.flobikes.com/events/6173896 ... ng=6204725
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • inseine
    inseine Posts: 5,788
    Think maybe we should stop calling them Orica
    http://cyclinganddesign.blogspot.fr/
  • inseine
    inseine Posts: 5,788
    We need a dead heat, so 2.11 to Tester Tom
    http://cyclinganddesign.blogspot.fr/
  • DeadCalm
    DeadCalm Posts: 4,249
    2:11 leaving them tied on time.

    Rats. Beaten to it. Hmm. 2;12 then.
  • Mad_Malx
    Mad_Malx Posts: 5,183
    inseine wrote:
    We need a dead heat, so 2.11 to Tester Tom

    But the lead will then go down to hundredths of a second then
  • Mad_Malx
    Mad_Malx Posts: 5,183
    DeadCalm wrote:
    2:11 leaving them tied on time.

    Rats. Beaten to it. Hmm. 2;12 then.

    I've had that!

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