BREXIT - Is This Really Still Rumbling On? 😴

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  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    edited March 2020
    ...



    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • morstar
    morstar Posts: 6,190
    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    Clearly it's not an objective, but we still managed to give away significant chunks of it in the past, which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • morstar
    morstar Posts: 6,190
    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    Just goes to show that there are more important things than Brexit.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    Just goes to show that there are more important things than Brexit.
    Yeah, I have a feeling Covid 19 is going to make Brexit look like a falling out over who runs the cake stall at the village fete.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    Stevo_666 said:

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    Just goes to show that there are more important things than Brexit.
    Indeed.
    Luckily the UK isn't having to deal with both
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
    Clearly defined does not equate to reasonable.

    We're happy to do trade deals with those that don't want to have a major say in our internal affairs in return for a mutually beneficial FTA. Which is everyone except for the EU at present. Maybe they will see sense and fall into line with the rest of the World over the next few months?
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
    Clearly defined does not equate to reasonable.

    We're happy to do trade deals with those that don't want to have a major say in our internal affairs in return for a mutually beneficial FTA. Which is everyone except for the EU at present. Maybe they will see sense and fall into line with the rest of the World over the next few months?
    Nearly all trade treaties have some form of non-regression clause. We've even asked for them in the mandate for the UK-US deal. Given we have specifically stated that the "whole point" of Brexit is divergence from EU standards, and we have a PM going around denying the reality of the WA treaty which he signed a few months ago, you can see why they might think that basic non-regression isn't enough.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    There must be a corollary to Godwin's law that states any news story will eventually be linked to Brexit if an online discussion continues long enough.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    And this is supposed to be someone who voted remain. On what basis did you do that?
  • morstar
    morstar Posts: 6,190
    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
    Clearly defined does not equate to reasonable.
    They helped us grow our economy whilst in the EU to little detriment.

    However we have decided we wish to follow a different path so that is moot.

    There was then a helpful chart showing how all the different options of parity met TM’s red lines.

    We now apparently have a different set of requirements where we trade zilch in terms of regulatory alignment.

    As a sovereign nation we are free to do so but, seeing as we are heavily dependent on trade for day to day needs, this seems an unrealistic position.

    Unless of course we just accept that both sides are peacocking and setting out their positions.

    The thing with regs is that the EU is highly regulated and they are linking access to alignment.
    The US are low regs so don’t care what regs we have but, trading with them potentially undermines our standards to the detriment of our own industries. e.g farming.

    We can do what the hell we like but there are both good and bad consequences of choices.
    I know you are arguing based on we are Brexiting so let’s get in with it but you do realise that cake and eat it isn’t really available.
  • surrey_commuter
    surrey_commuter Posts: 18,867
    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
    Clearly defined does not equate to reasonable.
    They helped us grow our economy whilst in the EU to little detriment.

    However we have decided we wish to follow a different path so that is moot.

    There was then a helpful chart showing how all the different options of parity met TM’s red lines.

    We now apparently have a different set of requirements where we trade zilch in terms of regulatory alignment.

    As a sovereign nation we are free to do so but, seeing as we are heavily dependent on trade for day to day needs, this seems an unrealistic position.

    Unless of course we just accept that both sides are peacocking and setting out their positions.

    The thing with regs is that the EU is highly regulated and they are linking access to alignment.
    The US are low regs so don’t care what regs we have but, trading with them potentially undermines our standards to the detriment of our own industries. e.g farming.

    We can do what the hell we like but there are both good and bad consequences of choices.
    I know you are arguing based on we are Brexiting so let’s get in with it but you do realise that cake and eat it isn’t really available.
    The US do care about our regs which is why they want us to relax them on hormones in beef and chlorinating chicken. They also want to bar us from doing a deal with China.

    I am guessing this is the way that it is in trade negotiations
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    There must be a corollary to Godwin's law that states any news story will eventually be linked to Brexit if an online discussion continues long enough.
    An odd thing to say.

    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • TheBigBean
    TheBigBean Posts: 21,916
    The joint committee hasn't met to decide which checks are required. If they go for the full Barnier of checks then presumably NI will exercise its democratic right to leave the protocol one way or another.
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436

    NI will exercise its democratic right to leave the protocol one way or another.

    What a choice,eh?
    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
    Clearly defined does not equate to reasonable.

    We're happy to do trade deals with those that don't want to have a major say in our internal affairs in return for a mutually beneficial FTA. Which is everyone except for the EU at present. Maybe they will see sense and fall into line with the rest of the World over the next few months?
    Nearly all trade treaties have some form of non-regression clause. We've even asked for them in the mandate for the UK-US deal. Given we have specifically stated that the "whole point" of Brexit is divergence from EU standards, and we have a PM going around denying the reality of the WA treaty which he signed a few months ago, you can see why they might think that basic non-regression isn't enough.
    My point above was what constitutes reasonable. The EU demands go well beyond the normal non-regression clauses. It is also likely to be politically unacceptable, clearly.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416
    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    Just goes to show that there are more important things than Brexit.
    Yeah, I have a feeling Covid 19 is going to make Brexit look like a falling out over who runs the cake stall at the village fete.
    Quite possibly. Fasten your seatbelts on this one...
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • Stevo_666
    Stevo_666 Posts: 61,416

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    There must be a corollary to Godwin's law that states any bad news story will eventually be linked to Brexit if an online discussion continues long enough.
    FTFY.
    "I spent most of my money on birds, booze and fast cars: the rest of it I just squandered." [George Best]
  • tailwindhome
    tailwindhome Posts: 19,436
    Stevo_666 said:

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    There must be a corollary to Godwin's law that states any bad news story will eventually be linked to Brexit if an online discussion continues long enough.
    FTFY.
    Yeah. You didn't really improve it though.

    “New York has the haircuts, London has the trousers, but Belfast has the reason!
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Hey Stevo remind us what persuaded you to vote remain.
  • rjsterry
    rjsterry Posts: 29,556
    edited March 2020
    Stevo_666 said:

    rjsterry said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    morstar said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    Stevo_666 said:

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?

    The UK has already accepted EU control over (part of) the UK.


    The point is why would we want to give away loads of it?
    You don’t set out with that as your objective!
    You trade some of it away for other benefits that you consider of equal or preferably greater value.

    which is largely why we are in this situation now.
    Yes, because either Remain, failed to convince people the benefits outweighed what we traded or...
    Brexit tapped into emotional arguments that bypassed economic ones or...
    The benefits didn’t outweigh what we traded.
    All subjective.

    It’s not about what we traded so much as how much importance you assign to what we traded.
    I’d argue the number of people qualifying their reasoning was quite low.

    You seem to be of the opinion we are going to trade away very little in coming years. I find that highly unlikely. It will just be to a broader spread of partners and on a more ad hoc basis that the clearly defined expectations of the EU.
    Clearly defined does not equate to reasonable.

    We're happy to do trade deals with those that don't want to have a major say in our internal affairs in return for a mutually beneficial FTA. Which is everyone except for the EU at present. Maybe they will see sense and fall into line with the rest of the World over the next few months?
    Nearly all trade treaties have some form of non-regression clause. We've even asked for them in the mandate for the UK-US deal. Given we have specifically stated that the "whole point" of Brexit is divergence from EU standards, and we have a PM going around denying the reality of the WA treaty which he signed a few months ago, you can see why they might think that basic non-regression isn't enough.
    My point above was what constitutes reasonable. The EU demands go well beyond the normal non-regression clauses. It is also likely to be politically unacceptable, clearly.
    That's a fairly subjective question and I have suggested why they might want to go beyond typical non-regression clauses: our stated aim of divergence, which is the opposite of what happens under most trade agreements and even our proposals for a US-UK deal. Clearly all the publicity on our side makes it unlikely we'll agree to it (at least publicly) but based on Johnson's previous approach of agree to anything then sell it as something else, who knows? As always, the uncertainty is the last thing needed.
    1985 Mercian King of Mercia - work in progress (Hah! Who am I kidding?)
    Pinnacle Monzonite

    Part of the anti-growth coalition
  • Stevo_666 said:

    We have indicated that we are not to be trusted so why should they make it easy on us? Of course they want protections built into the agreement - it's not really about control but protection of the single market. It is, of course, up to the UK government to agree or not to agree with the conditions the EU are seeking. And we will have to suffer the consequences of obtaining our fantastic sovreignty.

    Untrustworthy? Who's just offered a deal then reneged on it? The EU, not us.

    How does controlling the areas the EU wants to control protect the single market?

    As for sovereignty, its what people want and voted for. Personally I didn't vote that way but I can't see why we would want to give away control. Can you?
    We said we didn't want a Canadian style deal - we ruled it out even as an option and it was never offered in a negotiation setting. It might, as you have claimed, been a negotiation tactic on our part but if we really wanted it then it was a pretty stupid one (which is unfortunately consistent with pretty much every single thing we have done during all the negotiations around Brexit so far). As for untrustworthiness, we have a PM who is telling businesses to ignore the customs requirements that are part and parcel of the agreement he negotiated and signed - and is reportedly asking other ministers to find ways to wriggle out of the requirements of the same agreement. How can you compare these two things and say that the EU is being untrustworthy? Regarding LPF etc It's notable that on the one side we are saying that we won't lower our food standards to get a trade agreement with the US while on the other hand we don't want to align with the EU's standards which, after all, set a minimum standard, because we want the ability to diverge.
    Also interesting to see that the pro-Brexit posts in this thread have progressed (?) from talking about the sunlit uplands awaiting us to whining that "they said we could have a Canadian deal and now they won't let us have it".
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    edited March 2020

    Hey Stevo remind us what persuaded you to vote remain.

    And do also explain how you can have decent free trade with a single market and the regulatory environment that comes with that and yet also have regulatory divergence?
  • Longshot
    Longshot Posts: 940

    Hey Stevo remind us what persuaded you to vote remain.

    And do also explain how you can have decent free trade with a single market and the regulatory environment that comes with that and yet also have regulatory divergence?

    Does every trading partner of the EU have the same regulatory framework?
    You can fool some of the people all of the time. Concentrate on those people.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    Longshot said:

    Hey Stevo remind us what persuaded you to vote remain.

    And do also explain how you can have decent free trade with a single market and the regulatory environment that comes with that and yet also have regulatory divergence?

    Does every trading partner of the EU have the same regulatory framework?
    For the things they have free trade for, yes.
  • john80
    john80 Posts: 2,965

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    We could always make hand soap in the UK and maybe not have such a long supply chain leading to the situation. Don't get me wrong I think we have 3 bars of soap in the house so as long as Coronavirus does not turn into a nuclear winters duration I think we shall make it through.

    Supply chains falling apart should be a key risk in any supplier assessment. The fact that a large number of manufacturers are downgrading production figures suggest that someone has not thought through the risks of long and elaborate supply chains and assessed their risks properly.
  • rick_chasey
    rick_chasey Posts: 75,661
    john80 said:

    The empty shelves, normally full of hand soaps and sanitizer, is a lesson in just how quickly a supply chain can fall apart.

    We could always make hand soap in the UK and maybe not have such a long supply chain leading to the situation. Don't get me wrong I think we have 3 bars of soap in the house so as long as Coronavirus does not turn into a nuclear winters duration I think we shall make it through.

    Supply chains falling apart should be a key risk in any supplier assessment. The fact that a large number of manufacturers are downgrading production figures suggest that someone has not thought through the risks of long and elaborate supply chains and assessed their risks properly.
    Remind me how well autarky worked out in Yugoslavia.