26, 650b or 29er in the long run?

welshkev
welshkev Posts: 9,690
edited March 2014 in MTB buying advice
i'm in the market for a new bike, but it's going to be bought on finance as i'm skint and can't afford to shell out all in one go.

my question is, what do you reckon will still be around in 3 years time (when I would've stopped paying for the bike) I don't want to buy a 26" if next year they become obsolete and vice versa with the others. i'm liking the look of some of the 650b bikes but will they be the Betamax of the bike world?

this isn't a what's best question, it's a what will still be around question....opinions please :D
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Comments

  • EH_Rob
    EH_Rob Posts: 1,134
    there's a few frames that'll take both 26 and 650 id think, but i wouldn't base your decision solely on that.
  • Can't see 26" going away (not in 2-3 years anyway) Far too much currently out there at the mo.

    If you were asking about 9sp-10sp, I'd say get at least try to get 10sp out the box. 9sp is being slowly phased out by the looks of things and an upgrade to 10sp could be costly.
  • clamps81
    clamps81 Posts: 315
    Think they'll all still be going. 29" is huge in North America, 26" has been around so long that it's well established and there'll still be a market for ages now and 27.5/650B is being adopted by almost everyone (manufacturer wise) with real enthusiasm. Were I buying now, I think I'd at least give 650b a test ride to see if it suited me. Also worth looking at bikes that are 650b and 26" (think the Banshee Rune is one) to give you some flexibility
    Nukeproof Mega AM


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  • The Rookie
    The Rookie Posts: 27,812
    As said, lots of 26" stuff and it will be around for a long time, many 26" frames take 650B (there is a website that details those tried and succeeded) a 650B tyre is only 1/2" bigger radius than a 26er and my Carrera would take a 650B no probs.

    So depends on your budget, if 29er suites you, get one, if 26er suites you, get one, if you fancy 650B but just not yet, get a frame that is upgradeable in 3-4 years as your wheels and forks are getting tired!
    Currently riding a Whyte T130C, X0 drivetrain, Magura Trail brakes converted to mixed wheel size (homebuilt wheels) with 140mm Fox 34 Rhythm and RP23 suspension. 12.2Kg.
  • welshkev
    welshkev Posts: 9,690
    cheers guys.

    I do like the look of the 650b but it's a bit pricey right now. so I think i'll stick with a 26er :)
  • Thewaylander
    Thewaylander Posts: 8,594
    www.bikemag.com has an article on 650b to 26" at the moment..

    f.all difference except 26" cheaper.
  • benpinnick
    benpinnick Posts: 4,148
    That Bikemag article is a pile of. You go and ride a 650b and you'll notice the difference between them... but only when you go uphill, they definitely have more grip, riding along you can barely tell them apart, which is a good thing IMHO. I think 650b will have replaced 26 for new bikes within 3 years.
    A Flock of Birds
    + some other bikes.
  • supersonic
    supersonic Posts: 82,708
    But a 26er with a big tyre can have more radius than a 650B with smaller one. The more I think about it the more I think the size is a bit daft and born out of some manufacturers needs to jump on the wheel size bandwagon, but not commit to 2ers as they think there could be money here. Most people I speak to notice very little difference.
  • benpinnick
    benpinnick Posts: 4,148
    Thats a bit of a pointless statement SS - A big 650b tyre will always be bigger than a 26 one. I think its better to think of 650b as 26+ - Its the same, but just a bit better. For alot of people that is going to appeal. 26 was just an arbitrary size choice originally that stuck - turns out other sizes probably work better. Sure its more marketing and sales driven than genuinely a performance revolution, but thats just what people said when FS first came out.
    A Flock of Birds
    + some other bikes.
  • benpinnick wrote:
    think of 650b as 26+ - Its the same, but just a bit better.

    In what way?
  • supersonic
    supersonic Posts: 82,708
    My comment was aimed more at those upgrading the 26ers to 650b - if you are going to use the biggest tyre that fits the frame and forks, then it doesn't matter if it is a 26er or 650B. Also there is a big lack of tyres at the minute (and might be in the future) for 650b.

    Choice is good yes, but this is an expensive route to no (or little benefit, in some areas - and less in others) benefit from I have seen and ridden.
  • EH_Rob
    EH_Rob Posts: 1,134
    They're better in the way that you don't really need to bother getting one.
  • benpinnick
    benpinnick Posts: 4,148
    They have more grip (due to larger contact area) and improved roll over. Not so much I would recommend ditching your 26, but if you were in the market for a new bike I would definitely consider a 650.
    A Flock of Birds
    + some other bikes.
  • supersonic
    supersonic Posts: 82,708
    Do you know how much bigger the contact area is for a given tyre?
  • isnt' weight more too? bigger wheel = more weight? bigger tyre = more weight?
    potentially more flex in the wheel?
  • benpinnick
    benpinnick Posts: 4,148
    SS No, but I do know that it will be bigger all other things being equal (volume etc). Bigger wheels do mean more weight of course. Flex wise I dont think you can tell, but I guess its always going to be a bit flexier when you have like for like.
    A Flock of Birds
    + some other bikes.
  • supersonic
    supersonic Posts: 82,708
    The contact area is the same for a given pressure. The shape changes, it elongates by roughly 5%.
  • benpinnick
    benpinnick Posts: 4,148
    so its 5% bigger contact area then? Or are you saying that 29ers also have the same size contact area as 26/27.5?
    A Flock of Birds
    + some other bikes.
  • supersonic
    supersonic Posts: 82,708
    No, the shape changes. For many tyres ie not over or under inflated (but at the same pressure within the range), then the contact area under pressure is the same.

    There can be slight variations as nothing is perfect but bigger radius does not = more contact area for a given pressure. The shape is the important part.
  • benpinnick
    benpinnick Posts: 4,148
    But then are you saying that 29ers dont have a larger contact area when the pressure is the same? Yes or no?
    A Flock of Birds
    + some other bikes.
  • Barrelmaker
    Barrelmaker Posts: 188
    There are quite a few bikes out there with adjustable dropouts so you could run 26 or 650b. And some 26er forks will take a 650b rim.
  • supersonic
    supersonic Posts: 82,708
    They don't have a larger contact area. A = W/P (area, weight, pressure). To maintain this, the shape of the contact patch changes.

    Now things can get complicated as tyres have knobbles. In some scenarios more may be in contact with the ground, others less.
  • adamfo
    adamfo Posts: 763
    benpinnick wrote:
    But then are you saying that 29ers dont have a larger contact area when the pressure is the same? Yes or no?

    No they don't. If the weight and tyre pressure are the same the total contact patch area is the same. The 29er has more traction because the contact patch is slightly thinner and longer.
    Imagine Citroen 2CV wheels bolted onto a Golf GTi with spacers. The car would have more traction in the snow but dramatically less lateral grip because the contact patch is long and thin not short and wide. The amount of rubber touching the ground is of course the same.
  • cooldad
    cooldad Posts: 32,599
    Why would the contact patch be thinner if the tyres are the same width?
    I don't do smileys.

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  • lawman
    lawman Posts: 6,868
    adamfo wrote:
    If the weight and tyre pressure are the same the total contact patch area is the same. The 29er has more traction because the contact patch is slightly thinner and longer.

    So the contact patch is not the same then is it?!
  • The Rookie
    The Rookie Posts: 27,812
    lawman wrote:
    adamfo wrote:
    If the weight and tyre pressure are the same the total contact patch area is the same. The 29er has more traction because the contact patch is slightly thinner and longer.

    So the contact patch is not the same then is it?!
    Where does it say that bright spark?

    Area=lengthxwidth (effectively) so longer and thinner will be about the same right?
    Currently riding a Whyte T130C, X0 drivetrain, Magura Trail brakes converted to mixed wheel size (homebuilt wheels) with 140mm Fox 34 Rhythm and RP23 suspension. 12.2Kg.
  • welshkev
    welshkev Posts: 9,690
    So, which will be around longer? :wink:
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,661
    Giant looking like they re going 650b -= http://www.bikeradar.com/mtb/news/artic ... ted-37015/

    I'm in the market for a new bike and was choosing between a 29er HT or my first 120mm odd FS bike. The likliehood is that either of them would have been Canyons. I was also thinking that a 650b AnthemX so that article is particularly interesting...

    I ve gone with the 29er now becasue I want to see how the wheel debate works out in the long run (think 29in HT's are here to stay). I reckon that a 650b 120mm FS might be the perfect balance between the "fun" of a 26er with the "speed" benefits of a 29er

    Make of that what you will...

    (shameless plug - my 29in experience is on my blog ;) )
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver
  • cooldad
    cooldad Posts: 32,599
    650b is just for indecisive people, big? or small? bugger can't decide.
    I don't do smileys.

    There is no secret ingredient - Kung Fu Panda

    London Calling on Facebook

    Parktools
  • ddraver
    ddraver Posts: 26,661
    I'm a very average guy....
    We're in danger of confusing passion with incompetence
    - @ddraver