Vuelta 6 Stage "spoiler"

victorponf
victorponf Posts: 1,187
edited September 2010 in Pro race
Intersting stage, whit "Cresta del Gallo" climb close to finish (17,4 Km)

4,4 Km al 7,4%
maximum 15%
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Comments

  • FJS
    FJS Posts: 4,820
    Exactly, a bit different than the 7 km at 4% the Vuelta website describes it as. Still, it could be far enough from the finish for the peloton to go over it steadily and grouped; tricky PTP-wise
  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    Methinks some riders will be looking for get away on that climb and stay away. Not sure it will be a bunch sprint....


    Climb is close enough to the finish that the peleton may not be able to reel in attacks quickly enough on the descent.
  • Kléber
    Kléber Posts: 6,842
    I did panic for a second and switched my PTP pick to Bole... but went back to Cav.

    If he wants to win the worlds he'll use today as a good test.
  • Bronzie
    Bronzie Posts: 4,927
    Similar run-in to last year's stage 10 when Gerrans won from Hesjedal, Vino and Fuglsang out of a break of 19. The twisty descent caused some problems (especially for "Mad" Linus who crashed on the descent after jumping away on the climb).

    http://www.cyclingnews.com/races/64th-v ... 10/results

    I suspect the break may go all the way to the finish today, if not it'll come down to a sprint from a group of 50 or so including the favourites. Can't see Cav or the other bunch sprinters making it over with the bunch. Suits someone like Grega Bole or Van Avermaet if he can hang in there.
    It's a Lifestyle! -+-+- Coggan Training Levels
  • Cumulonimbus
    Cumulonimbus Posts: 1,730
    Caisse have a lot of guys who can get over the climb with the leaders and then set a good pace afterwards. This could stop the sprinters from coming back and allow Sanchez a chance of a stage win. Then again Sanchez could go on the climb.

    It could also be worth watching Peter Velits. This guy will get over the climb with the leaders and has a good sprint. Being only 16 seconds down a stage win would likely give him the overall lead. If the main sprinters get over then he doesnt stand a chance of winning the stage. Maybe people like van Garderen, Roche will look to breakaway on the climb?

    Also an important day for the points jersey. A sprinter who does get involved in a sprint finish here while others miss out will get a big advantage in this competition (not convinced that a sprinter will win it overall but we'll see).

    Then again will we see some of the GC guys try an attack to see if a major contender can be caught napping?

    Then the break may stay away. If all the guys in it are low on GC then Lotto may play it safe and let them eat up the time bonuses just in case. Hopefully be more interesting than yesterday was before the last few kilometres anyway :wink:
  • Bernardus
    Bernardus Posts: 136
    Estrada -not Erik- (Andalucia), Eichler (Milram) and Bichot (Bouygues) are in todays breakaway. Their advantage is already more than 6 minutes.
  • calvjones
    calvjones Posts: 3,850
    Cumulonimbus wrote:
    Caisse have a lot of guys who can get over the climb with the leaders and then set a good pace afterwards. This could stop the sprinters from coming back and allow Sanchez a chance of a stage win. Then again Sanchez could go on the climb.

    It could also be worth watching Peter Velits. This guy will get over the climb with the leaders and has a good sprint. Being only 16 seconds down a stage win would likely give him the overall lead. If the main sprinters get over then he doesnt stand a chance of winning the stage. Maybe people like van Garderen, Roche will look to breakaway on the climb?

    Also an important day for the points jersey. A sprinter who does get involved in a sprint finish here while others miss out will get a big advantage in this competition (not convinced that a sprinter will win it overall but we'll see).

    Then again will we see some of the GC guys try an attack to see if a major contender can be caught napping?

    Then the break may stay away. If all the guys in it are low on GC then Lotto may play it safe and let them eat up the time bonuses just in case. Hopefully be more interesting than yesterday was before the last few kilometres anyway :wink:

    Yep. Definitely one of those things will happen :wink:
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  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    calvjones wrote:
    Cumulonimbus wrote:
    Caisse have a lot of guys who can get over the climb with the leaders and then set a good pace afterwards. This could stop the sprinters from coming back and allow Sanchez a chance of a stage win. Then again Sanchez could go on the climb.

    It could also be worth watching Peter Velits. This guy will get over the climb with the leaders and has a good sprint. Being only 16 seconds down a stage win would likely give him the overall lead. If the main sprinters get over then he doesnt stand a chance of winning the stage. Maybe people like van Garderen, Roche will look to breakaway on the climb?

    Also an important day for the points jersey. A sprinter who does get involved in a sprint finish here while others miss out will get a big advantage in this competition (not convinced that a sprinter will win it overall but we'll see).

    Then again will we see some of the GC guys try an attack to see if a major contender can be caught napping?

    Then the break may stay away. If all the guys in it are low on GC then Lotto may play it safe and let them eat up the time bonuses just in case. Hopefully be more interesting than yesterday was before the last few kilometres anyway :wink:

    Yep. Definitely one of those things will happen :wink:


    You've forgotten the 'someone deciding to neutralize the stage for some reason' option. As seems to happen more frequently in grand tours these days. :lol:
  • Cumulonimbus
    Cumulonimbus Posts: 1,730
    calvjones wrote:
    Cumulonimbus wrote:
    Caisse have a lot of guys who can get over the climb with the leaders and then set a good pace afterwards. This could stop the sprinters from coming back and allow Sanchez a chance of a stage win. Then again Sanchez could go on the climb.

    It could also be worth watching Peter Velits. This guy will get over the climb with the leaders and has a good sprint. Being only 16 seconds down a stage win would likely give him the overall lead. If the main sprinters get over then he doesnt stand a chance of winning the stage. Maybe people like van Garderen, Roche will look to breakaway on the climb?

    Also an important day for the points jersey. A sprinter who does get involved in a sprint finish here while others miss out will get a big advantage in this competition (not convinced that a sprinter will win it overall but we'll see).

    Then again will we see some of the GC guys try an attack to see if a major contender can be caught napping?

    Then the break may stay away. If all the guys in it are low on GC then Lotto may play it safe and let them eat up the time bonuses just in case. Hopefully be more interesting than yesterday was before the last few kilometres anyway :wink:

    Yep. Definitely one of those things will happen :wink:

    Hey if i could say which scenario was going to happen then i wouldnt be telling you lot, i'd be down the bookies putting a lot of money down, or filling in lottery tickets :lol:

    Besides, most of those things could happen if the break comes back which it looks doing thanks to Cofidis :wink:Just mentioning some of the possibilities rather than going for the 'name every possibility without going for one and then claiming i got it right.' 30kms to the bottom of the climb so hopefully it'll get interesting in about half an hour :)
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    Very much piano at the moment. Breakaway is gaining time.
  • Cumulonimbus
    Cumulonimbus Posts: 1,730
    afx237vi wrote:
    Very much piano at the moment. Breakaway is gaining time.

    Yeah, gone up a minute in about the last 5km. The best placed rider in the breakaway is over 20 minutes down so i dont think Lotto will be too concerned.
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    Now Katusha are drilling it. J-Rod fireworks coming up...
  • blazing_saddles
    blazing_saddles Posts: 22,725
    Fair hammering along, today.
    Seems like Katusha fancy it, which is a bit of a surprise,
    given the run in.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • andyp
    andyp Posts: 10,549
    They are riding for Pozzato.
  • Cumulonimbus
    Cumulonimbus Posts: 1,730
    Chances for Pozzatto?
  • blazing_saddles
    blazing_saddles Posts: 22,725
    Ten Dam on the deck. Doubt he'll get back.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    edited September 2010
    .Ten Dam has a matching pair of jerseys now...
  • blazing_saddles
    blazing_saddles Posts: 22,725
    Liquigas aren't playing the Katusha/Pozzato game.
    I don't think Sidi boy will make the climb.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • blazing_saddles
    blazing_saddles Posts: 22,725
    Ah so the sprinters put the strangle hold onto the climb.........
    I take it back. Bunch sprint coming up.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • calvjones
    calvjones Posts: 3,850
    Cav there?
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  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    calvjones wrote:
    Cav there?

    Don't think so. I think it's one for an all rounder... Gilbert, Velits... Hushovd perhaps.
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    Dodgy surface for the descent.
  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    `Pip and Pippo going at it :)
  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    Would think this is a perfect chance for Thor to take a stage win. He's up there and one of the best "sprinter's" left.
  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    Quite a big bunch now but no idea what good sprinters are in there
  • Tom BB
    Tom BB Posts: 1,001
    Was that Cav? HTC 176.... I think
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    Tom BB wrote:
    Was that Cav? HTC 176.... I think

    Sioutsou.
  • afx237vi
    afx237vi Posts: 12,630
    Davis there?
  • Bernardus
    Bernardus Posts: 136
    edited September 2010
    Final kilometer Lotto leading.

    1 Hushovd
    2 Bennati
    3 Davis
    4 Pozzato

    Edit: missed Bole, he was 3rd
  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    Like I said..... Thor takes it.

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