Sods Law

Secteur
Secteur Posts: 1,971
edited August 2012 in The cake stop
For the SECOND day running, I have observed three separate online detailed hourly weather forecasts.

For the SECOND day running they have all said dry till lunch, then wet all afternoon (heavy/ thunderstorms).

For the SECOND day running I have therefore gone out for my long rides in the morning, got properly properly properly soaked in rain that was bouncing off the road, and then spent the afternoon recovering on the sofa looking at blue skies and little fluffy clouds and sunshine.

Seriously, what is the point of weather forecasting when the reliability is 20% at best (my observation).

I accept they cant predict the future, so maybe they should just not bother unless they want to do it properly. Presumably they have some computer algorithm which does it automatically. Well, it's useless!

Fortunately, I always go out prepared, but I miss cycling in the sun / dry weather!

Comments

  • Our's was spot on.
    A few drips in the morning, a nice 55 miles all dry, then a couple of torrential downpours in the afternoon.
    Console yourself with the thought that temperatures decades into the future can be predicted to hundreth's of a degree! :roll:
    Remember that you are an Englishman and thus have won first prize in the lottery of life.
  • Maybe you shouldn't organise your riding based on a forecast you know not to be accurate.
  • wheezee
    wheezee Posts: 461
    Console yourself with the thought that temperatures decades into the future can be predicted to hundreth's of a degree! :roll:

    I think you maybe confusing weather, with long-term global temperature trends.
  • CiB
    CiB Posts: 6,098
    Secteur wrote:
    weather rants...!
    I had yours chief. My forecast from Manchester down to Leicestershire yesterday was for deep blue rain storms all over the whole of that bit of the country. Except for a shower in Macclesfield & then Leek it was dry warm & sunny all the way. With a tailwind. Cheers for that. :D

    To be fair it did piss it down when I was 3 miles from finishing.
  • Bozman
    Bozman Posts: 2,518
    I've virtually given up using them, the Met can't organise a piss up in a brewery, it's almost comical how poor they are.
    I used to joke about it with the wife but it ended up not being funny, I was told to use the radar images for a better forecast....... Just as bad.
    Now I just see if the cows are lying down in the field at the back of my house, very reliable compared the Met.
  • simona75
    simona75 Posts: 336
    In fairness to the forecasters, these conditions are very difficult to make accurate predictions at a local level. The low pressure means that showers can develop almost anywhere and in a matter of minutes so it really is pot luck going out for a ride. This must be the most miserable summer in recent memory
  • I blame Thatcher. :lol:
    Tail end Charlie

    The above post may contain traces of sarcasm or/and bullsh*t.
  • tim_wand
    tim_wand Posts: 2,552
    I blame Thatcher. :lol:

    Oh come on Frank who could have forecast nearly 13 years of blue skys followed by a Red Dawn rising , then this Rainbow shite weve got now.
  • islwyn
    islwyn Posts: 650
    Bad luck... I had clear skies. 8)
  • cycologist
    cycologist Posts: 721
    I blame Thatcher. :lol:

    + 1
    Two wheels good,four wheels bad
  • Yellow Peril
    Yellow Peril Posts: 4,466
    lovely weather here yesterday, now it's hammering it down.

    Can I suggest that anyone trapped inside by the weather takes the opportunity to check their testicles for unusual lumps. I can remember about 15 years ago doing this on a rainy day. I did find a lump which a scan revealed to be benign, but you never know...

    Tomorrow, considering piles on days with high winds.
    @JaunePeril

    Winner of the Bike Radar Pro Race Wiggins Hour Prediction Competition
  • rolf_f
    rolf_f Posts: 16,015
    The forecast was in most respects pretty accurate - mostly bright, some sunshine but also plenty of clouds and chance of showers. The latter is the only mistake. You need to understand that if the Met Office says 'chance of showers' and 'Pennines' in the same sentence that what they actually mean is heavy rain. Showers on the Pennines are a different thing to showers elsewhere. You just need to understand the lingo :lol:
    Faster than a tent.......
  • Secteur
    Secteur Posts: 1,971
    Aaaaaaaarrrrrggghhhhhh!!!

    Today I fancied a lie in, and the weather was fine this morning.

    Since then it's been raining.

    Can't sodding well win!
  • Gentlemen, I think it a good time to refer you to The Rules.

    In particular Rule #9
    If you are out riding in bad weather, it means you are a badass. Period.

    Fair-weather riding is a luxury reserved for Sunday afternoons and wide boulevards. Those who ride in foul weather – be it cold, wet, or inordinately hot – are members of a special club of riders who, on the morning of a big ride, pull back the curtain to check the weather and, upon seeing rain falling from the skies, allow a wry smile to spread across their face. This is a rider who loves the work.

    Ohh, don't forget Rule #5
    Harden The F*ck Up.
  • I've not gone out as the 'met office' app had given detail of bad weather when I've had time to do some miles.
    Each time the bad weather has held off and even been very pleasant.

    Need to get a new forecast; what do you all use?
  • mikeabanks
    mikeabanks Posts: 116
    The forecast for my area said it would rain at 11am yesterday - it did, dead on 11am.
    So the do get it right sometimes :-)
  • y33stu
    y33stu Posts: 376
    I agree there's no point looking at the weather forecast. Went out Saturday morning. Met Office said dry and sunny till lunch, then rain. 5 miles out at 9.30 and It started. Rained all feckin day.

    I get married on Saturday, other half's checking the weather forecast every 5 minutes hoping to see sun. Might as well not bother looking, it wont do what it says it will do anyways.
    Cycling prints
    Band of Climbers
  • Giraffoto
    Giraffoto Posts: 2,078
    y33stu wrote:
    I get married on Saturday, other half's checking the weather forecast every 5 minutes hoping to see sun. Might as well not bother looking, it wont do what it says it will do anyways.
    No, you might as well not bother looking because it's not as if you're going to postpone your wedding if it's raining on the day. Practice the phrase
    Sposa bagnata, sposa fortunata
    ("Wet bride, lucky bride" - an Italian saying of dubious worth other than as a consolation)
    Specialized Roubaix Elite 2015
    XM-057 rigid 29er
  • izza
    izza Posts: 1,561
    y33stu wrote:
    I agree there's no point looking at the weather forecast. Went out Saturday morning. Met Office said dry and sunny till lunch, then rain. 5 miles out at 9.30 and It started. Rained all feckin day.

    I get married on Saturday, other half's checking the weather forecast every 5 minutes hoping to see sun. Might as well not bother looking, it wont do what it says it will do anyways.

    I got married on a cloudy/showers day. However, still made sure that all the bride, groom, best man and ushers had their sunglasses with them. They were worn for all the informal shots and it played a wonderful trick on the memories!!
  • y33stu
    y33stu Posts: 376
    Giraffoto wrote:
    Sposa bagnata, sposa fortunata
    ("Wet bride, lucky bride" - an Italian saying of dubious worth other than as a consolation)

    Fairly apt as I'm off to Italy on the honeymoon. :lol:

    I'm not bothered about the weather, its the better half that is. What will be will be.
    izza wrote:
    I got married on a cloudy/showers day. However, still made sure that all the bride, groom, best man and ushers had their sunglasses with them. They were worn for all the informal shots and it played a wonderful trick on the memories!!

    And that's a cracking idea. Consider that stolen! :wink:
    Cycling prints
    Band of Climbers