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Tour Betting

cal_stewartcal_stewart Posts: 1,840
edited June 2012 in Pro race
Right,

I'm looking at riders for a EW bet as I think Wiggins and Evans have 1&2 sawn up bar mishaps.

The odds on Wiggins and Evans are mad compared to previous years. Think the favourite is usually around 5-1 IIRC.
So I'm looking at a couple of outsiders to put so money on EW, as it doesn't take a lot for the above two have a bad day a blow it.

At the money I'm thinking

Nibs 22-1,
Lieuwe Westra 100/1
and
Rein Taaramae 250-1
eating parmos since 1981

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Posts

  • ilovebigwigilovebigwig Posts: 118
    Pierre Rolland at 50-1 looks pretty good.
  • cal_stewartcal_stewart Posts: 1,840
    whats his tt like
    eating parmos since 1981

    Canyon Ultimate CF SLX Aero 09
    Cervelo P5 EPS
    www.bikeradar.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=40044&t=13038799
  • rick_chaseyrick_chasey Posts: 61,001 Lives Here
    Let's take a look at odds checker for top 3 finishes. They're a little old by the looks of it, with Andy Schleck still there.

    VdB would be a good shout for me.
    SORT BY: FAV

    Cadel Evans
    37/100

    Bradley Wiggins
    21/50

    Jurgen Van Den Broeck
    389/100

    Denis Menchov
    41/10

    Vicenzo Nibali
    24/5

    Andy Schleck
    49/10

    Frank Schleck
    49/10

    Chris Froome
    63/10

    Robert Gesink
    63/10

    Alejandro Valverde
    34/5

    Pierre Rolland
    34/5

    Samuel Sanchez
    34/5

    Chris Horner
    9

    Ryder Hesjedal
    9

    Janez Brajkovic
    21/2

    Levi Leipheimer
    57/5

    Tony Martin
    119/10

    Andreas Kloden
    64/5

    Alexandre Vinokourov
    76/5

    Thomas Voeckler
    88/5

    Jelle Vandendert
    20

    Juan Jose Cobo
    20

    Michael Rogers
    20

    Roman Kreuziger
    22

    Bauke Mollema
    23

    Christian Vandevelde
    23

    Lieuwe Westra
    23

    Peter Velits
    23

    Robert Kiserlovski
    23

    Tom Danielson
    23

    Michele Scarponi
    24

    Nicolas Roche
    26

    Rui Costa
    26

    Damiano Cunego
    27

    Daniel Martin
    28

    Fabian Cancellara
    28

    Rein Taaramae
    28

    Richie Porte
    28

    Tiago Machado
    28

    Vasily Kiryienka
    28

    Jean-Christophe Peraud
    29

    Steven Kruijswijk
    29

    Jerome Coppel
    31

    Tejay Van Garderen
    31

    Haimar Zubeldia
    33

    Laurens Ten Dam
    33

    Andrew Talansky
    35

    Chris Anker Sorensen
    35

    Ruben Plaza
    35

    Thibaut Pinot
    35

    Wouter Poels
    35

    David Millar
    37

    Maxime Monfort
    37

    Mikel Astarloza
    37

    Pieter Weening
    37

    Arnold Jeannesson
    39

    Christophe Le Mevel
    39

    Rigoberto Uran
    51

    Philippe Gilbert
    61

    David Zabriskie
    66

    Luis Leon Sanchez
    66

    Franco Pellizotti
  • cal_stewartcal_stewart Posts: 1,840
    vdb is 18-1 on SkyBet which is 4.5-1 to place.
    eating parmos since 1981

    Canyon Ultimate CF SLX Aero 09
    Cervelo P5 EPS
    www.bikeradar.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=40044&t=13038799
  • cal_stewartcal_stewart Posts: 1,840
    for me Rein Taaramae 250-1 is crazy odds yes I don't think he we win but 250-1 for a GC leader who can tt a bit and the climbs this year suit him better. Plus he's top 10ed in a GT before

    Sorry 11th in 2011
    eating parmos since 1981

    Canyon Ultimate CF SLX Aero 09
    Cervelo P5 EPS
    www.bikeradar.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=40044&t=13038799
  • rick_chaseyrick_chasey Posts: 61,001 Lives Here
    for me Rein Taaramae 250-1 is crazy odds yes I don't think he we win but 250-1 for a GC leader who can tt a bit and the climbs this year suit him better. Plus he's top 10ed in a GT before

    Sorry 11th in 2011

    Betting on someone who won't make it is pointless, however good the odds are.
  • cal_stewartcal_stewart Posts: 1,840
    3rd is a ask, I did say outside. Lieuwe Westra at 100-1 is high with the route and he is a outside chance
    eating parmos since 1981

    Canyon Ultimate CF SLX Aero 09
    Cervelo P5 EPS
    www.bikeradar.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=40044&t=13038799
  • LeicesterLadLeicesterLad Posts: 3,908
    i'd have a couple of quid on Westra at 100-1 any day of the week! Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT.
  • rick_chaseyrick_chasey Posts: 61,001 Lives Here
    i'd have a couple of quid on Westra at 100-1 any day of the week! Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT.

    TT has been appalling in the past.
  • RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 25,887
    for me Rein Taaramae 250-1 is crazy odds yes I don't think he we win but 250-1 for a GC leader who can tt a bit and the climbs this year suit him better. Plus he's top 10ed in a GT before

    Sorry 11th in 2011
    He had glandular fever at the beginning of the year and then he broke his elbow. I wouldn't expect much from him.
    Twitter: @RichN95
  • ilovebigwigilovebigwig Posts: 118
    whats his tt like

    Good point, weak I believe (looking at last years in various races). Can he make up 5 minutes in the mountains? Unlikely.
  • andyjrandyjr Posts: 635
    whats his tt like

    Good point, weak I believe (looking at last years in various races). Can he make up 5 minutes in the mountains? Unlikely.

    Even more so if he has to drag TV around again
  • TheBigBeanTheBigBean Posts: 16,183
    I'm tempted by Cobo. Froome as well. Both have previous form in GTs.
  • ProssPross Posts: 31,637
    Rogers worth a go, good TT and will be up there in the mountains due to his support role for Wiggins. Froome similar but less generous odds.
  • Just been looking at this for an each way bet.

    How about Martin (66-1 best price) or Valverde (50)?

    Also, I'm nostalgic for the old guard. Basso (200), Menchov (22).

    How about Vino for top 10?
  • DeafMetalDeafMetal Posts: 2
    Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT. g.gif
  • RichN95.RichN95. Posts: 25,887
    DeafMetal wrote:
    Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT. g.gif

    This tweet pretty much sums up his TT:

    https://twitter.com/inrng/status/215932993846525952
    Twitter: @RichN95
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