Tour Betting

cal_stewart

Right,

I'm looking at riders for a EW bet as I think Wiggins and Evans have 1&2 sawn up bar mishaps.

The odds on Wiggins and Evans are mad compared to previous years. Think the favourite is usually around 5-1 IIRC.
So I'm looking at a couple of outsiders to put so money on EW, as it doesn't take a lot for the above two have a bad day a blow it.

At the money I'm thinking

Nibs 22-1,
Lieuwe Westra 100/1
and
Rein Taaramae 250-1

ilovebigwig

Pierre Rolland at 50-1 looks pretty good.

cal_stewart

whats his tt like

rick_chasey

Let's take a look at odds checker for top 3 finishes. They're a little old by the looks of it, with Andy Schleck still there.

VdB would be a good shout for me.

SORT BY: FAV

Cadel Evans
37/100

Bradley Wiggins
21/50

Jurgen Van Den Broeck
389/100

Denis Menchov
41/10

Vicenzo Nibali
24/5

Andy Schleck
49/10

Frank Schleck
49/10

Chris Froome
63/10

Robert Gesink
63/10

Alejandro Valverde
34/5

Pierre Rolland
34/5

Samuel Sanchez
34/5

Chris Horner
9

Ryder Hesjedal
9

Janez Brajkovic
21/2

Levi Leipheimer
57/5

Tony Martin
119/10

Andreas Kloden
64/5

Alexandre Vinokourov
76/5

Thomas Voeckler
88/5

Jelle Vandendert
20

Juan Jose Cobo
20

Michael Rogers
20

Roman Kreuziger
22

Bauke Mollema
23

Christian Vandevelde
23

Lieuwe Westra
23

Peter Velits
23

Robert Kiserlovski
23

Tom Danielson
23

Michele Scarponi
24

Nicolas Roche
26

Rui Costa
26

Damiano Cunego
27

Daniel Martin
28

Fabian Cancellara
28

Rein Taaramae
28

Richie Porte
28

Tiago Machado
28

Vasily Kiryienka
28

Jean-Christophe Peraud
29

Steven Kruijswijk
29

Jerome Coppel
31

Tejay Van Garderen
31

Haimar Zubeldia
33

Laurens Ten Dam
33

Andrew Talansky
35

Chris Anker Sorensen
35

Ruben Plaza
35

Thibaut Pinot
35

Wouter Poels
35

David Millar
37

Maxime Monfort
37

Mikel Astarloza
37

Pieter Weening
37

Arnold Jeannesson
39

Christophe Le Mevel
39

Rigoberto Uran
51

Philippe Gilbert
61

David Zabriskie
66

Luis Leon Sanchez
66

Franco Pellizotti

cal_stewart

vdb is 18-1 on SkyBet which is 4.5-1 to place.

cal_stewart

for me Rein Taaramae 250-1 is crazy odds yes I don't think he we win but 250-1 for a GC leader who can tt a bit and the climbs this year suit him better. Plus he's top 10ed in a GT before

Sorry 11th in 2011

rick_chasey

Cal_Stewart wrote:

for me Rein Taaramae 250-1 is crazy odds yes I don't think he we win but 250-1 for a GC leader who can tt a bit and the climbs this year suit him better. Plus he's top 10ed in a GT before

Sorry 11th in 2011

Betting on someone who won't make it is pointless, however good the odds are.

cal_stewart

3rd is a ask, I did say outside. Lieuwe Westra at 100-1 is high with the route and he is a outside chance

LeicesterLad

i'd have a couple of quid on Westra at 100-1 any day of the week! Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT.

rick_chasey

LeicesterLad wrote:

i'd have a couple of quid on Westra at 100-1 any day of the week! Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT.

TT has been appalling in the past.

RichN95.

Cal_Stewart wrote:

for me Rein Taaramae 250-1 is crazy odds yes I don't think he we win but 250-1 for a GC leader who can tt a bit and the climbs this year suit him better. Plus he's top 10ed in a GT before

Sorry 11th in 2011

He had glandular fever at the beginning of the year and then he broke his elbow. I wouldn't expect much from him.

ilovebigwig

Cal_Stewart wrote:

whats his tt like

Good point, weak I believe (looking at last years in various races). Can he make up 5 minutes in the mountains? Unlikely.

andyjr

ilovebigwig wrote:

Cal_Stewart wrote:

whats his tt like

Good point, weak I believe (looking at last years in various races). Can he make up 5 minutes in the mountains? Unlikely.

Even more so if he has to drag TV around again

TheBigBean

I'm tempted by Cobo. Froome as well. Both have previous form in GTs.

Pross

Rogers worth a go, good TT and will be up there in the mountains due to his support role for Wiggins. Froome similar but less generous odds.

Courage Monsieur

Just been looking at this for an each way bet.

How about Martin (66-1 best price) or Valverde (50)?

Also, I'm nostalgic for the old guard. Basso (200), Menchov (22).

How about Vino for top 10?

DeafMetal

Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT.

RichN95.

DeafMetal wrote:

Rolland good for a couple of quid too but I know nothing about his TT.

This tweet pretty much sums up his TT:

https://twitter.com/inrng/status/215932993846525952