Winning lottery vs getting struck by lightning
tgotb
Posts: 4,714
So it's often said that you're more likely to get struck by lightning than you are to win the lottery. But someone wins the lottery more or less twice a week, yet when someone *does* get struck by lightning it seems to be sufficiently remarkable to make the news. What gives?
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Cornerblock wrote:It could be you!
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TGOTB wrote:So it's often said that you're more likely to get struck by lightning than you are to win the lottery. But someone wins the lottery more or less twice a week, yet when someone *does* get struck by lightning it seems to be sufficiently remarkable to make the news. What gives?
It's because that often saying is a load of ballax.
Hope that helps.Ben
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Ben6899 wrote:TGOTB wrote:So it's often said that you're more likely to get struck by lightning than you are to win the lottery. But someone wins the lottery more or less twice a week, yet when someone *does* get struck by lightning it seems to be sufficiently remarkable to make the news. What gives?
It's because that often saying is a load of ballax.
Hope that helps.
Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1
Odds of winning the California lottery: 13,000,000 to 1
Says: http://www.funny2.com/oddsb.htm0 
Rick Chasey wrote:Ben6899 wrote:TGOTB wrote:So it's often said that you're more likely to get struck by lightning than you are to win the lottery. But someone wins the lottery more or less twice a week, yet when someone *does* get struck by lightning it seems to be sufficiently remarkable to make the news. What gives?
It's because that often saying is a load of ballax.
Hope that helps.
Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1
Odds of winning the California lottery: 13,000,000 to 1
Says: http://www.funny2.com/oddsb.htm
If it's on the internet, hell if it's written down anywhere, then it must be true.
And I would hate to win the California lottery because it would mean I lived in California.Ben
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Currently, about 3060 people are struck by lightning each year in Britain
This thread inspired by DDD's insurance one by any chance?0 
bompington wrote:Currently, about 3060 people are struck by lightning each year in Britain
This thread inspired by DDD's insurance one by any chance?
How many people win the lottery each year?Ben
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But that's the odds of winning the lottery once with one ticket versus the odds of being struck by lighting over your whole life. If you only ever buy one ticket, yes you are more likely to be struck by lightning than win the jackpot.
Using standard mortality tables, I have just worked out that if I buy a single ticket more than 23 minutes before the draw, I'm more likely to die before the draw than win the jackpot. Hmm.0 
TGOTB wrote:So it's often said that you're more likely to get struck by lightning than you are to win the lottery. But someone wins the lottery more or less twice a week, yet when someone *does* get struck by lightning it seems to be sufficiently remarkable to make the news. What gives?
Not that remarkable...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lightning_strike#Epidemiology
However, in the UK there appears to be only 3060 reported strikes a year*, if you say that's roughly one a week the odds of being *the* person in the UK who gets struck each week is about 60 million to one, which is rather higher than the 13 million to one odds of picking that week's lottery numbers.
PP
*http://www.torro.org.uk/site/lightning_info.php
Disclaimer: I'm not actually that good at stats so some or all of the above may be nonsense :)People that make generalisations are all morons.
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SteppenHerring wrote:But that's the odds of winning the lottery once with one ticket versus the odds of being struck by lighting over your whole life.0

bompington wrote:SteppenHerring wrote:But that's the odds of winning the lottery once with one ticket versus the odds of being struck by lighting over your whole life.
So, his stat that the odds of being struck by lightning is 1:576,000 is more likely that the single ticket lottery win.0 
Thread conclusion: you can make statistics say whatever you want them to.Ben
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Rick Chasey wrote:Ben6899 wrote:Thread conclusion: you can make statistics say whatever you want them to.
I don't think that's exclusive to statistics :P
Not at all. I can switch off my brain and make my mouth say anything as well.Ben
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SteppenHerring wrote:Using standard mortality tables, I have just worked out that if I buy a single ticket more than 23 minutes before the draw, I'm more likely to die before the draw than win the jackpot. Hmm.
because you referred to standard mortality tables, your post already sounds authoritative. so i'm going to jump in and say that is an awesome stat right there.FCN 10  Crosstrail0 
aeon wrote:SteppenHerring wrote:Using standard mortality tables, I have just worked out that if I buy a single ticket more than 23 minutes before the draw, I'm more likely to die before the draw than win the jackpot. Hmm.
because you referred to standard mortality tables, your post already sounds authoritative. so i'm going to jump in and say that is an awesome stat right there.Pannier, 120rpm.0 
OK, i didn't win the jackpot, but i did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my math is correct, thats odds of around 1:50000Invacare Spectra Plus electric wheelchair, max speed 4mph0

OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:50000FCN 3: Raleigh Record Ace fixieto be resurrected sometime in the future
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EKE_38BPM wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:50000Invacare Spectra Plus electric wheelchair, max speed 4mph0

It's because when the lottery is on, loads buy a ticket.
When a storm is on, they don't all go running outside waving steel rods about.0 
OptimisticBiker wrote:EKE_38BPM wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:50000
The whole odds of getting struck by lightning vs the odds of winning the lottery depends on what time period you're looking at and how many tickets you buy. Along with how often you play golf in thunderstorms and whether you think sheltering under a tree is a good idea or not of course.0 
thegibdog wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:EKE_38BPM wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:50000Invacare Spectra Plus electric wheelchair, max speed 4mph0

OptimisticBiker wrote:thegibdog wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:EKE_38BPM wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:500000

thegibdog wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:thegibdog wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:EKE_38BPM wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:50000Invacare Spectra Plus electric wheelchair, max speed 4mph0

OptimisticBiker wrote:thegibdog wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:thegibdog wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:EKE_38BPM wrote:OptimisticBiker wrote:OK, I didn't win the jackpot, but I did win with 3 numbers using the same ticket every week for the last 3 weeks... if my maths are correct, thats odds of around 1:50000
Maybe we're getting too deep into this  the real question is whether getting struck by lightning would increase or decrease the odds!0