I've just won...
Cleat Eastwood
Posts: 7,508
A prize from the specialized advent calendar.
http://www.specializedadventcalendar.co ... /index.asp
And heres what I did.
There was a program on last week on bbc four about statistics and they showed a graph called the poisson curve or something like that.
I emailed a friend on FB who does stats analysis and just asked how accurate it was and he said, jokingly it was the best they've got, so I said "ok then what are the best times according to the graph for me to try this competition"
Well he did some jiggery pokery and said about 4 hours after the new competition starts.
So I tried it 2 days ago and didnt win. Then I realised the comp starts at noon, not midnight, so I tried at about 4-ish,....and I won
So if my mates right, and poisson is right, then try it round about 4 oclock with say 20 mins leeway. Obviously luck still plays a part but It worked for me. Give it a go.
http://www.specializedadventcalendar.co ... /index.asp
And heres what I did.
There was a program on last week on bbc four about statistics and they showed a graph called the poisson curve or something like that.
I emailed a friend on FB who does stats analysis and just asked how accurate it was and he said, jokingly it was the best they've got, so I said "ok then what are the best times according to the graph for me to try this competition"
Well he did some jiggery pokery and said about 4 hours after the new competition starts.
So I tried it 2 days ago and didnt win. Then I realised the comp starts at noon, not midnight, so I tried at about 4-ish,....and I won
So if my mates right, and poisson is right, then try it round about 4 oclock with say 20 mins leeway. Obviously luck still plays a part but It worked for me. Give it a go.
The dissenter is every human being at those moments of his life when he resigns
momentarily from the herd and thinks for himself.
momentarily from the herd and thinks for himself.
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Comments
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So what did you win?
and whats a Poisson Curve and how did you mate work it out?0 -
So did you win a fish?0
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life is too short to care....0