Who will be in yellow after Stage 7?

Quite Frankly
Quite Frankly Posts: 386
edited July 2009 in Pro race
Armstrong for me.

Comments

  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    Can't see the mountains being a problem for Lance quite yet. With the small cushion he has on Bertie - good chance he can finish in Yellow tomoro - assuming he can get some distance on Canci. That isn't guaranteed either.

    May be Lance's last shot at Yellow this Tour so am sure he'll be going for it.
  • mididoctors
    mididoctors Posts: 18,908
    bradley wiggins (just kidding)
    "If I was a 38 year old man, I definitely wouldn't be riding a bright yellow bike with Hello Kitty disc wheels, put it that way. What we're witnessing here is the world's most high profile mid-life crisis" Afx237vi Mon Jul 20, 2009 2:43 pm
  • jackhammer111 - banned
    jackhammer111 - banned Posts: 245
    If Lance hangs with Contador tomorrow, he's in yellow.
    Don't expect Contador to expend extra energy to put time into Lance tomorrow if Lance can climb with him.
  • Bakunin
    Bakunin Posts: 868
    Contador -- it is important to end this silliness tomorrow.

    Given that Lance doesn't have the jersey -- Contador's away.
  • Bugly
    Bugly Posts: 520
    the problem for Bertie is that if he attacks Armstrong and fails then the Astana team will go to Armstrong's camp. Armstrong doesn't have to make the running he is sitting pretty but Contador has more to lose tomorrow then gain.
  • iainf72
    iainf72 Posts: 15,784
    I don't know. If Bertie wins and gains some time on everyone, it will be a stinker of a Tour.

    The ideal solution for for Lance and Bertie to stare at each other and some other people to climb into contention.

    I'd not be too surprised if Cancellera was still there in the end.
    Fckin' Quintana … that creep can roll, man.
  • Anonymous
    Anonymous Posts: 79,667
    Wiggins.
  • blazing_saddles
    blazing_saddles Posts: 22,726
    Bakunin wrote:
    Contador -- it is important to end this silliness tomorrow.
    Given that Lance doesn't have the jersey -- Contador's away.

    I agree and it's really a Spanish stage.
    Bugly wrote:
    the problem for Bertie is that if he attacks Armstrong and fails then the Astana team will go to Armstrong's camp. Armstrong doesn't have to make the running he is sitting pretty but Contador has more to lose tomorrow then gain.

    The alternative for Contador is far worse. Besides, if he fails to drop Lance, then that's it, surely?
    Armstrong will demand team leadership, if he gets the jersey.
    I'd say Lance has more to lose.
    "Science is a tool for cheaters". An anonymous French PE teacher.
  • zippypablo
    zippypablo Posts: 398
    I'd agree with Blazing S
    Contador will probably attack and Astana can't chase their own man.
    But if Lance gets yellow can Bertie attack the yellow jersey in days to come??
    I'm thinking more Roche/Visentini than Lemond/Hinault with these two :?
    If suffer we must, let's suffer on the heights. (Victor Hugo).
  • timoid.
    timoid. Posts: 3,133
    Contador will drop Lance for half a minute and finish with Sastre, Evans, Schleck and perhaps Kreuziger in the current elite. Lance will come in shepherded by Zubeldia and Klodi. I could even see Cancellara sticking with that group. Leipheimer will finish somewhere between the two groups.

    Agree with zippypablo on the 87 Giro analogy. Does this make Paulinho the new Eddy Schepers?
    It's a little like wrestling a gorilla. You don't quit when you're tired. You quit when the gorilla is tired.
  • mrushton
    mrushton Posts: 5,182
    If there is any justice (and I don't expect any) it will be Contador with Armstrong #2. But can you really see the others catching these 2? It's in both their interests to keep Astana on top even if it meant giving Levi/Kloden the jersey for a day. In a perfect world i'd like Contador to win overall and Armstrong to take the Ventoux stage and announce he's had a good time but that's it (until the next comeback tour)(
    M.Rushton
  • takethehighroad
    takethehighroad Posts: 6,821
    Astana have got a chance to distance some people here and putr them out of contention completely. I'm thinking Evans for one, it's really a power ("diesel") climb, but if Astana, and Contador can vary the pace enough they can put him into difficulty, similar to what he was like on the Ventoux in the Dauphine.

    As for yellow, I think it will be Lance, but like iain says I wouldn't be too shocked to see Fabian hold on. The thing counting against him though is he will probably have to work for the Schlecks. He had his fifteen minutes during the TdS where they helped him out, so I think they'll call that in.
  • nolf
    nolf Posts: 1,287
    I reckon Andy schleck is going to be looking at making up for a whole load of lost time.

    I'm expecting big attacks by sexybank and astana, possibly similar format as last year- both teams hammering along at the front to wear everyone out, so you'll just be left with the 2 strong teams of Astana and sexybank going toe to toe up the climb.

    Then attacks by the schlecks up the climb? try to get some time on main rivals?
    "I hold it true, what'er befall;
    I feel it, when I sorrow most;
    'Tis better to have loved and lost;
    Than never to have loved at all."

    Alfred Tennyson
  • moorjohn
    moorjohn Posts: 89
    Bertie will stay with Armstrong until Ventoux. There's too much to lose for either to attack before then, and as long as they stay close to each other in time, they will both benefit from their strong team.

    Also Bertie won't attack today because it's not steep enough.

    There will be Sastre and Schleck off the front, but Astana will limit losses, and Armstrong will be in yellow tonight.

    :?
  • singlespeedexplosif
    singlespeedexplosif Posts: 1,564
    Bertie will give Armstrong a big old slice of reality pie, served with a side of whupass.
  • Harry182
    Harry182 Posts: 1,170
    Lance for the stage but Bertie for the overall
  • takethehighroad
    takethehighroad Posts: 6,821
    moorjohn wrote:
    Also Bertie won't attack today because it's not steep enough.

    It's steep enough for me!!!!
  • Pokerface
    Pokerface Posts: 7,960
    Harry182 wrote:
    Lance for the stage but Bertie for the overall

    You mean you think Lance will win today - but Bertie will win the overall Tour? Or take the overall lead today? Because that would be impossible (to take the overall lead today if Lance wins the stage).

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